2008 posted on CTG
67-53, +28,275
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Nice win on NoIlly last night.. Stated I didn't think Kent would score much on the Huskie D and they did not.. Picked up 4 units to the good.. Need to crack through the 60+ unit barrier I have been flirting with.
Going to get a few plays from my Saturday card out early this week as I want to lock in some numbers. I'll list my leans/ games I am working on also..
I will have a play on the Wednesday night Ball State/CMU game but waiting on the weather.. BallSt at 6.5 is a very strong lean though. Just not sure how I am going to play it quite yet..
Locked in:
Vandy -3, -110; 6 units (top unit)
add:
tease Ball St pk W, Iowa +0.5; -110; 4 units..
Ball State -6, -110; 3 units WIN
Mia-Fla +3.5, -110; 5 units LOSS
mi/ gatech over 21 2H, -110; 6 units... WIN
James Starks Univ. +4, -110; 4 units WIN
Buff ML +170, 2 units WIN
Buffalo over 13 TT 2H, +100; 4 units WIN
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Notes on Vandy/ Tenny game:
- I liked Vandy in this game before Tenny gave up on the season and even more now
- Tennessee coming off a bye and saying all the right things but I am not buying it one bit. They gave up not just last week but the last three weeks having not scored in DD for three straight games, all losses
- Vandy at home and riding high off of last weeks dominant performance over Kentucky. They outgained Kentucky 368-241 including a more than 2:1 edge in rushing and T.O.P. Keep in mind this is a Kentucky squad that was coming off a narrow loss to Ga., a win on the road at Miss St and a 3 point loss a few weeks ago at bama.
- Vandy became bowl elig for the first time in 26 years and are looking to add to the resume.
- Note: with thankgiving break Vandy stadium will still be sold out but with considerably less students.. Not really capping that point but just something to keep in mind at most home venues this weekend.
- The stats for Vandy are very misleading because they got rolled statistically pretty bad by the Fla and Georgia offenses.. Take those two games out and this team ranks very well defensively.. And make no mistake, this Tenny offense is one a decent defense can handle. How do you get outgained at home 266-219 to Wyoming?
- Chris Nickerson should start for Vandy at QB after strong performance lw.. I like him.
Summary-- Got a better team at home, riding high vs a team that was already limited, now has quit, laying 3 points.. Yep. Top unit.
Some will suggest that Tenny is in bounceback mode and want to send the coach out right.. Why didn't they do that the last 3 weeks? And as I stated above, even if they come out ready to play--- beating Vandy at home in this spot will be very difficult.. This one could get ugly..
Leans in no particular order.. (A few of these will be plays, many will not. But this is the list I am working on now.. As usual, I'll update this first screen as I lock additional plays in)
Ball St
Buffalo
Akron
Colly St
Mich St
Texas Tech (need 7)
Virg
Air Force (likely play)
BYU
and.......
Shonn Greene Univ. (need straight up win for 10 unit season win bet):23_31_4: