Regular season college football record here 1-2, hope to post more plays in the Bowls (and hope to do better than 1-2!)
First pick: S Car (wait to buy it, opened -11', down to 9' now, I expect the # to drop a little more. I'll update my # in this post after I buy it.)
Identical SU records at 9-3.
Similar ATS too, SC 9-3, Illinois 8-3-1
SOS (Strength Of Schedule) is where you'll start to see some separation.
Massey, who played a great Abe Lincoln, and also Jonathan Brewster, (somebody will get those references, no? At least one of two?) has SC at 12, Illinois at 52.
Enough of a differential to justify a better-than-a-TD spread?
If I knew the answer to that I'd have more $ on it.
But I have another reason for buying SC.
I rate Bowl teams in six categories.
In the past 17 years when a team has a better # in all six categories the record is 18-13, 58%.
I usually buy any play that is 58% or > so I'm on the . . . . started to write the team nickname there but don't like they way it looks ("Not that there's anything wrong with that") so I'll say "I'm on S Carolina" instead.
Illinois backers could say, "Of the Illini's three losses, TWO came against Top 10 teams!"
To which I would reply, "Yes, but 'The Illini' is a stupid name for a team."
More to the point, I would say, "Yes, but they lost by 14 points to #9 Penn St and 29 to #1 Oregon, BOTH of which are more than I need to win with SC laying 9'."
The game's in Florida; neutral field.
Illinois was 2-2 away from home.
SC was 4-1, with the sole loss at 'Bama by 2 pts. One of the wins was at #12 Clemson; not too shabby.
The others were by 25 over Kentucky, 26 over Oklahma, and 21 over Vandy. Again, not too shabby, all by 21 or >, all by more than the # I need this one.
Like Mississippi, the ? for S Car is how will they react to being in a lesser bowl and not the playoffs?
Flat and could care less, or motivated to prove they should have been included?
We'll find out on 12/31.
Also in favor of laying the points - I saw where "experts" at ESPN and Sports Illustrated say it will be a close game and the Illini will cover the spread.
Reason enough for me to go the other way.
My play:
S Car (wait to buy it)
Good luck with your Bowl play this season.
First pick: S Car (wait to buy it, opened -11', down to 9' now, I expect the # to drop a little more. I'll update my # in this post after I buy it.)
Identical SU records at 9-3.
Similar ATS too, SC 9-3, Illinois 8-3-1
SOS (Strength Of Schedule) is where you'll start to see some separation.
Massey, who played a great Abe Lincoln, and also Jonathan Brewster, (somebody will get those references, no? At least one of two?) has SC at 12, Illinois at 52.
Enough of a differential to justify a better-than-a-TD spread?
If I knew the answer to that I'd have more $ on it.
But I have another reason for buying SC.
I rate Bowl teams in six categories.
In the past 17 years when a team has a better # in all six categories the record is 18-13, 58%.
I usually buy any play that is 58% or > so I'm on the . . . . started to write the team nickname there but don't like they way it looks ("Not that there's anything wrong with that") so I'll say "I'm on S Carolina" instead.
Illinois backers could say, "Of the Illini's three losses, TWO came against Top 10 teams!"
To which I would reply, "Yes, but 'The Illini' is a stupid name for a team."
More to the point, I would say, "Yes, but they lost by 14 points to #9 Penn St and 29 to #1 Oregon, BOTH of which are more than I need to win with SC laying 9'."
The game's in Florida; neutral field.
Illinois was 2-2 away from home.
SC was 4-1, with the sole loss at 'Bama by 2 pts. One of the wins was at #12 Clemson; not too shabby.
The others were by 25 over Kentucky, 26 over Oklahma, and 21 over Vandy. Again, not too shabby, all by 21 or >, all by more than the # I need this one.
Like Mississippi, the ? for S Car is how will they react to being in a lesser bowl and not the playoffs?
Flat and could care less, or motivated to prove they should have been included?
We'll find out on 12/31.
Also in favor of laying the points - I saw where "experts" at ESPN and Sports Illustrated say it will be a close game and the Illini will cover the spread.
Reason enough for me to go the other way.
My play:
S Car (wait to buy it)
Good luck with your Bowl play this season.
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