Bill Connelly week 1 picks

[M.W.]

I think he'll be 0-4:

For everyone asking: my 2019 projections, win totals, etc., will be posted next week at ESPN. Have to, uh, address a quick trademark issue first. THAT SAID... [redacted] WEEK 1 PICKS Florida 31.4 (-7.5), Miami 21.5 (over 47) Arizona 35.0, Hawaii (+11) 27.6 (under 74.5)

 

[Squirrel]

Yeah total proj seem too high in FL/MIA and too few in Hawaii/AZ. Don't necessarily hate how the difference shakes out though.

 

[Squirrel]

Never mind, 0-4 indeed...

 

[M.W.]

But he did nail the Arizona team total.

 

[RetroVK]

He hit Hawaii

 

[M.O.T]

Anyone familiar with the pick center on ESPN? Looks like they post score projections from Team Rankings and Number Fire, but appear to be missing several FBS vs FBS games.

 

[M.W.]

He hit Hawaii

You are right. Somehow I misread that.

 

[gps_3]

Overall SP+ Rankings

RANK	TEAM	CONFERENCE	ADJ. PPG
1.	Alabama	SEC	35.3
2.	Clemson	ACC	30.0
3.	Georgia	SEC	29.4
4.	LSU	SEC	25.6
5.	Oklahoma	Big 12	24.6
6.	Florida	SEC	23.8
7.	Ohio State	Big Ten	23.6
8.	Auburn	SEC	23.4
9.	Michigan	Big Ten	21.2
10.	Mississippi State	SEC	20.3
11.	Texas A&M	SEC	19.5
12.	Notre Dame	Independent	19.3
13.	Missouri	SEC	18.9
14.	Wisconsin	Big Ten	18.1
15.	Washington	Pac-12	17.8
16.	Penn State	Big Ten	17.7
17.	South Carolina	SEC	15.3
18.	Utah	Pac-12	14.2
19.	Oregon	Pac-12	14.1
20.	Miami	ACC	13.9
21.	UCF	AAC	12.3
22.	Oklahoma State	Big 12	12.1
23.	Michigan State	Big Ten	12.1
24.	Boise State	MWC	12.0
25.	Iowa	Big Ten	11.4
26.	Tennessee	SEC	10.9
27.	Memphis	AAC	10.9
28.	USC	Pac-12	10.5
29.	Appalachian State	Sun Belt	9.9
30.	Minnesota	Big Ten	9.8
31.	Texas	Big 12	9.1
32.	Virginia Tech	ACC	9.1
33.	TCU	Big 12	9.1
34.	Washington State	Pac-12	9.0
35.	Florida State	ACC	9.0
36.	Stanford	Pac-12	8.7
37.	Ole Miss	SEC	8.5
38.	Virginia	ACC	8.5
39.	Nebraska	Big Ten	7.4
40.	Kentucky	SEC	7.3
41.	Iowa State	Big 12	7.0
42.	Baylor	Big 12	6.8
43.	Utah State	MWC	6.8
44.	Cincinnati	AAC	6.7
45.	West Virginia	Big 12	6.6
46.	Fresno State	MWC	6.1
47.	NC State	ACC	6.0
48.	Purdue	Big Ten	5.7
49.	Vanderbilt	SEC	5.6
50.	BYU	Independent	5.5
51.	Indiana	Big Ten	5.0
52.	Arkansas	SEC	4.8
53.	Syracuse	ACC	4.8
54.	Texas Tech	Big 12	4.7
55.	Arizona State	Pac-12	4.3
56.	San Diego State	MWC	4.0
57.	Arizona	Pac-12	3.9
58.	Wake Forest	ACC	3.7
59.	Duke	ACC	3.4
60.	Pittsburgh	ACC	2.9
61.	UCLA	Pac-12	2.9
62.	Temple	AAC	2.4
63.	Northwestern	Big Ten	2.0
64.	California	Pac-12	2.0
65.	Boston College	ACC	1.0
66.	North Carolina	ACC	0.7
67.	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	0.6
68.	Maryland	Big Ten	0.5
69.	Colorado	Pac-12	0.4
70.	Houston	AAC	0.3
71.	Marshall	C-USA	-0.2
72.	Southern Miss	C-USA	-0.3
73.	Northern Illinois	MAC	-0.3
74.	Florida Atlantic	C-USA	-0.3
75.	Kansas State	Big 12	-0.5
76.	USF	AAC	-0.7
77.	Wyoming	MWC	-1.2
78.	Toledo	MAC	-1.5
79.	Georgia Tech	ACC	-1.7
80.	Ohio	MAC	-1.9
81.	North Texas	C-USA	-2.0
82.	Louisville	ACC	-2.1
83.	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	-2.2
84.	Air Force	MWC	-3.2
85.	Army	Independent	-3.3
86.	Louisiana Tech	C-USA	-3.4
87.	Nevada	MWC	-3.6
88.	Western Michigan	MAC	-3.7
89.	Tulane	AAC	-4.2
90.	Florida International	C-USA	-4.3
91.	SMU	AAC	-4.4
92.	Illinois	Big Ten	-5.2
93.	Miami-Ohio	MAC	-5.4
94.	Troy	Sun Belt	-5.5
95.	Eastern Michigan	MAC	-5.8
96.	Hawaii	MWC	-6.0
97.	UL-Lafayette	Sun Belt	-6.9
98.	Oregon State	Pac-12	-7.5
99.	Tulsa	AAC	-7.6
100.	Texas State	Sun Belt	-8.3
101.	Middle Tennessee	C-USA	-8.5
102.	UNLV	MWC	-8.8
103.	Buffalo	MAC	-8.9
104.	UAB	C-USA	-10.2
105.	UL-Monroe	Sun Belt	-10.4
106.	Western Kentucky	C-USA	-10.4
107.	Colorado State	MWC	-11.8
108.	Kansas	Big 12	-12.1
109.	Ball State	MAC	-12.8
110.	Liberty	Independent	-12.9
111.	Rutgers	Big Ten	-13.2
112.	East Carolina	AAC	-13.7
113.	Kent State	MAC	-14.3
114.	Navy	AAC	-15.3
115.	San Jose State	MWC	-15.6
116.	Georgia State	Sun Belt	-15.6
117.	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	-17.3
118.	Charlotte	C-USA	-17.6
119.	New Mexico State	Independent	-17.7
120.	New Mexico	MWC	-17.7
121.	Akron	MAC	-20.3
122.	Old Dominion	C-USA	-20.7
123.	Central Michigan	MAC	-21.2
124.	South Alabama	Sun Belt	-21.7
125.	UMass	Independent	-22.1
126.	UTSA	C-USA	-22.8
127.	Rice	C-USA	-22.9
128.	Bowling Green	MAC	-23.1
129.	UConn	AAC	-26.0
130.	UTEP	C-USA	-30

 

[gps_3]

Apparently there was some copyright issue with the name S&P+, so now it's just SP+. Haven't gone through it much, but first thing that stood out to me is Texas at 31 behind Minnesota and App St.