BAW Nation NBA Playoffs...

B.A.R.

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Interesting season as always...

Pretty happy with my RSW selections. I posted Detroit right away and that will go down with the Shoehei HR prop that one year as the easiest season-long prop winner I have ever had.

I added the Clippers RSW just before the ASB and they promptly went on a losing streak. Typical Reno. They played great the last 4 weeks and won that by a few games thankfully.

The rest of the season was the usual ups and downs. I found very good success on 2nd half totals the first 2/3 of the year. Now, next year I need to stick to just that. The rest of the live bets and props were an average proposition this year.

I believe I posted my Memphis and Indiana futures last summer and in the thread. I have added a few for shits n giggles throughout the season. Teams I will be rooting for this postseason follow...

Indiana
Memphis (lol)
LA Clippers
New York
Houston
Detroit

The serious adds there are New York and LA Clippers. Yes, I still believe this championship comes down to Boston, Cleveland, and Ok City. With that being said, I see value in both. Credit to Spek on that LA Clippers look that got me involved in that one more.

Detroit bet is the cost of a cheeseburger and for fun.

My goal in this thread is to give daily thoughts on upcoming series and also the nightly action. I will have a few targeted ideas each series (remember Knicks TT's vs Pacers last year for reference).

Series bets are what we will start with here:

LA Lakers Series -195 (Betonline)

So, I had to recap this one a bit. Initially, this was going to be a bit of a bigger bet. I have this priced around -220. I understand why the price is lower though with how Minnesota played the last 25% of the season. They won 17 out of 21 to finish and have a top 5-6 differential this season.

Overall, this wasn't the season that the Wolves wanted. In my opinion, the Towns trade was a net negative. I say that as a pretty big Donte fan. They simply took a step back this year. Ant Man didn't exactly take that next step as the NBA's best player -- which many of us hoped he would. Ant was much more consistent the last 3-4 weeks. Prior to that he had too many 30 one night and 15 the next type games. He fell in love with the 3 as well this season. With all this said, his playoffs vs Denver a few years ago was outstanding and I think some lessons were learned last year as well.

Now, I think that in a playoff setting the Lakers will be able to score more efficiently than the Wolves. I like the myriad of weapons here and the Lakers defense didn't collapse as badly as I thought it could after the trade. Luka feels much more comfortable and Lebron had a nice rest there at the end of the season to prep for a playoff run. The stretch to end of February and into March showed what they are capable of. Now, they are more comfortable with each other.

The Lakers aren't a championship team in my opinion, but they could sneak into the WCF's with how this path is set up.

This should be a fun series with a legend on one court and two of the very best renewing their rivalry from last year's conference finals.

There was a match-up back at the end of February that I watched intently. I must have been trying for a middle or something. Anyway, I remember thinking about this match as a possible 4/5 first-round series. The noticeable thing I remember is the Lakers controlling the boards post-AD. Now, there was no Rudy, so that is big but LA took it to them on the glass. Just a thought to remember during this series and one I'll track closely.

The key player in this series will be Austin Reeves -- likely the difference maker.

Lakers in 6.

*Subject to change -- I will live bet a series


Some other quick series prices...

I will dig in deep on Stons and Knicks Thursday night...

I have the Pacers favored in this series but was quite surprised they are over 2:1 favs here. That doesn't mean I am betting on Milwaukee, I simply surprised at the pricing. I felt like this was a -140/+110 type of opener. Indiana wins this one in 6 games I believe.

I saw LA Clippers at -113 Sunday night and now that is up to -128/-130. I think the public is seeing what these guys can do with a full squad. A national TV game to end the series only helps. I like them to beat Denver but will wait until after G1 to make a series play (if any at all). The Nuggets have the best player on the court, but the Clippers have the better team and a much better defense. The late-season firings are quite interesting. I simply don't think Denver has the depth to win in the playoffs. They need "Bubble Murray" to have a chance. This should be a tremendous series. I am thinking Clips in 6 as of now.

Knick's price makes sense. I do think the Stons win 1-2 games but this is a New York series. More to come on this one...
'
 
damn, i took stons +2.5 games. wishing i went bigger on clips +130 series but definitely a series where you can bet game by game
Love you got that price. I assume you played that right away at DK??

I would have auto bet anything at plus money.

I'll get into Detroit and New York on Thursday. I'd love to tonight but want to try and be thorough. I guess my biggest thing is we see many teams like the Stons that maximize the regular season and then come playoffs struggle. Hopefully not. They usually play the Knicks pretty tough the past few years (it seems).

What's the price on +2.5. I certainly don't hate the bet. My initial take is Detroit wins G3 and loses in 5. A few weeks ago I thought we could get this series to 6 games. I simply didn't like the finish to the season.

I do know this -- the best player on the court will be in Red, White and Blue. The nation will get to see how fricking good Mellow Yellow is.
 
Love you got that price. I assume you played that right away at DK??

I would have auto bet anything at plus money.

I'll get into Detroit and New York on Thursday. I'd love to tonight but want to try and be thorough. I guess my biggest thing is we see many teams like the Stons that maximize the regular season and then come playoffs struggle. Hopefully not. They usually play the Knicks pretty tough the past few years (it seems).

What's the price on +2.5. I certainly don't hate the bet. My initial take is Detroit wins G3 and loses in 5. A few weeks ago I thought we could get this series to 6 games. I simply didn't like the finish to the season.

I do know this -- the best player on the court will be in Red, White and Blue. The nation will get to see how fricking good Mellow Yellow is.
+2.5 -135 and over 5.5 games -120
 
I am very curious at the price we see on Houston and Golden State.

What a fascinating 1st round matchup.

They played twice after the trade. Each won on the road.

The last matchup was an odd one for GSW. This was in the last few weeks.

Screenshot_20250416-004519.png
 
I am very curious at the price we see on Houston and Golden State.

What a fascinating 1st round matchup.

They played twice after the trade. Each won on the road.

The last matchup was an odd one for GSW. This was in the last few weeks.

View attachment 95860
Alright,

So we already briefly talked about this but the Series Price is out.

Golden State -200
Houston+165.

I noticed both games with Jimmy were lower scoring. The game one total is 215.5 to open so we'll see how that goes.


Chef and Jalen Green both shot the ball terrible in the season series.

Teams played 5 games due to the early season tournament.

Good points about Sengun from @2daBank potentially feasting.

This is a very interesting series. Taking away the game of the teams and I'd say series price value is on Houston. The problem here is that the Rockets are drawing an opponent that is more like a 4-5 seed. That's the overall strength of the West after the trades and with a healthy Kawhi.
 
Interesting season as always...

Pretty happy with my RSW selections. I posted Detroit right away and that will go down with the Shoehei HR prop that one year as the easiest season-long prop winner I have ever had.

I added the Clippers RSW just before the ASB and they promptly went on a losing streak. Typical Reno. They played great the last 4 weeks and won that by a few games thankfully.

The rest of the season was the usual ups and downs. I found very good success on 2nd half totals the first 2/3 of the year. Now, next year I need to stick to just that. The rest of the live bets and props were an average proposition this year.

I believe I posted my Memphis and Indiana futures last summer and in the thread. I have added a few for shits n giggles throughout the season. Teams I will be rooting for this postseason follow...

Indiana
Memphis (lol)
LA Clippers
New York
Houston
Detroit

The serious adds there are New York and LA Clippers. Yes, I still believe this championship comes down to Boston, Cleveland, and Ok City. With that being said, I see value in both. Credit to Spek on that LA Clippers look that got me involved in that one more.

Detroit bet is the cost of a cheeseburger and for fun.

My goal in this thread is to give daily thoughts on upcoming series and also the nightly action. I will have a few targeted ideas each series (remember Knicks TT's vs Pacers last year for reference).

Series bets are what we will start with here:

LA Lakers Series -195 (Betonline)

So, I had to recap this one a bit. Initially, this was going to be a bit of a bigger bet. I have this priced around -220. I understand why the price is lower though with how Minnesota played the last 25% of the season. They won 17 out of 21 to finish and have a top 5-6 differential this season.

Overall, this wasn't the season that the Wolves wanted. In my opinion, the Towns trade was a net negative. I say that as a pretty big Donte fan. They simply took a step back this year. Ant Man didn't exactly take that next step as the NBA's best player -- which many of us hoped he would. Ant was much more consistent the last 3-4 weeks. Prior to that he had too many 30 one night and 15 the next type games. He fell in love with the 3 as well this season. With all this said, his playoffs vs Denver a few years ago was outstanding and I think some lessons were learned last year as well.

Now, I think that in a playoff setting the Lakers will be able to score more efficiently than the Wolves. I like the myriad of weapons here and the Lakers defense didn't collapse as badly as I thought it could after the trade. Luka feels much more comfortable and Lebron had a nice rest there at the end of the season to prep for a playoff run. The stretch to end of February and into March showed what they are capable of. Now, they are more comfortable with each other.

The Lakers aren't a championship team in my opinion, but they could sneak into the WCF's with how this path is set up.

This should be a fun series with a legend on one court and two of the very best renewing their rivalry from last year's conference finals.

There was a match-up back at the end of February that I watched intently. I must have been trying for a middle or something. Anyway, I remember thinking about this match as a possible 4/5 first-round series. The noticeable thing I remember is the Lakers controlling the boards post-AD. Now, there was no Rudy, so that is big but LA took it to them on the glass. Just a thought to remember during this series and one I'll track closely.

The key player in this series will be Austin Reeves -- likely the difference maker.

Lakers in 6.

*Subject to change -- I will live bet a series


Some other quick series prices...

I will dig in deep on Stons and Knicks Thursday night...

I have the Pacers favored in this series but was quite surprised they are over 2:1 favs here. That doesn't mean I am betting on Milwaukee, I simply surprised at the pricing. I felt like this was a -140/+110 type of opener. Indiana wins this one in 6 games I believe.

I saw LA Clippers at -113 Sunday night and now that is up to -128/-130. I think the public is seeing what these guys can do with a full squad. A national TV game to end the series only helps. I like them to beat Denver but will wait until after G1 to make a series play (if any at all). The Nuggets have the best player on the court, but the Clippers have the better team and a much better defense. The late-season firings are quite interesting. I simply don't think Denver has the depth to win in the playoffs. They need "Bubble Murray" to have a chance. This should be a tremendous series. I am thinking Clips in 6 as of now.

Knick's price makes sense. I do think the Stons win 1-2 games but this is a New York series. More to come on this one...
'

Reno and the Pistons in the playoffs. It's like the old days.
 
Reno and the Pistons in the playoffs. It's like the old days.
Man o man...

Between the 03-05 seasons at Covers and BuryTheBook to the next 3 seasons of playoff runs here at CTG we certainly had a lot of fun with the Stons and playoff basketball!

Some heated moments for sure! A lot of fun though, and the 2004 postseason was certainly a great one for betting our guys!
 
PROP BETS:

YES -- EJECTION IN New York/Detroit SERIES +185


This one is pretty simple for me. The 'Stons like to play a bit physical and certainly have a few guys capable of not controlling themselves. Well, mostly one, Beef Stew lol. With that being said, we could have a myriad of ways this plays out. I think worst case scenario, someone gets tossed in the late stages of a blowout or perhaps frustration at the end of an elimination game.

NIKOLA JOKIC TRIPLE DOUBLES OVER 2 -170

I think the Clippers win this series, but 6 games seem probable. Joker will have to do A LOT in this series, and I feel like we get to a 'push' on this pretty quickly and then have a few games to win the bet.
 
Alright, let's talk about today's games...

As an addendum -- no other series bets at this point. Houston value is sucked away and frankly I am glad so I do not force a bet. That was a pure pricing bet when GSW opened at -200

I believe the Pacers win this series vs the Bucks. But I am in the wait-and-see category here. The Pacers are not as bad defensively as last season, more in the middle of the pack this year. They have some lessons learned from last year as well. I am not a big fan of this Bucks team but Yanni is Yanni and can certainly carry them in a series. Game #1 will be about stalking the pace of this series.

Remember, we just had this same series last postseason. Pacers won 4-2. I know I was involved in the totals quite a bit, good and bad. The series averaged 113-110 over the 6 games.

The Nuggets and Clippers will be one the best series these next two weeks. The Clips come in firing on all cylinders. On the flip side, Denver fired the coach and GM with 4 games left. I still am stunned. Denver has the best player on the floor, but LA Clippers have a better assembled team. Fun series here -- and I'll wait till after G1 to make a decision on a series bet.

I have that Lakers series bet but certainly respect the Minnesota late-season run. I'd expect that LeBron comes out pretty frisky after a very nice rest. The set this total low enough that any under value is sucked away. This is another one I'll be peaking for pace and also monitoring the series bet. I'll be around fully for this game, so look for possible live betting as we get a better feel for things.

Saved the hometown boys for last...

We're proud as can be about this resurgence in Motown. Coaching still matters in the NBA to a degree, and that cannot be stated enough. JB has been phenomenal. A big key as well is the addition of role players to help complement Cade. Last season they were so bad on the 3 ball and looked nothing like a modern team. Beasley should be 6 man of the year -- he's just awesome. Tobias came back home and has been so solid in a veteran role. Jalen Duren took the next step in the 2h of the season. Most of all, "Mellow Yellow" Cade Cunningham is damn near a superstar and hopefully those on a national stage can see what he's all about. This guy is damn good, and I cannot wait for him to take over at least one 4th quarter in this series!

Let's look at the season series:


(LCA) New York 128-98 back in early November -- New York led this game 39-13 after 1 quarter. I watched that start, and the Knicks were just on fire. From there, it was too much of a deficit. Brunson had 15 of his 36 in the 1st stanza.

(MSG) Detroit 120-111 in early December -- Conversely Detroit started out up 39-23 after a quarter. Detroit hit 18-36 from behind the long line.

(MSG) Detroit 124-119 in mid January -- Stons 15-34 from 3pt land and Cade dropped 36 points. Brunson had 31-11.

(LCA) Detroit 115-106 last Thursday -- Detroit outscored the Knicks 59-44 in the 2h to win the season series 3-1. Cade dropped 36 points


So, pretty nice season series for Detroit. They play this team well! This is the postseason though and we'll see some different intensity and defense.

Two key players this series IMO will be Ausur Thompson and OG Anuoby. We all know how big OG is for the Knicks and that should be no different this spring. I bring up Ausur due to his defense and ability to lift the team with the dirty points. These are two key defensive guys as well. I think you'll see a correlation between their play and who wins individual games.

The PG match is phenomenal. Cade is the best player on the floor, and Brunson is a prime-time playoff performer. I cannot wait to see what these two have in store for us. Jalen played the last 4 games after a month off. I expect he'll round into form soon!

The last thing to watch is foul trouble issues with KAT and Duren. Both are prone, and that will be key to watch every first quarter and so on.

My gut feeling on Game 1 is that New York comes out and sets the tone for the series. They have been here before, and Detroit has not. I didn't care for some of the defense down the stretch for the Pistons to end the season. Hopefully, they revert to what led them to 30 or so more wins this season. I would use this as a parlay partner, but you need to include Boston and Cleveland -- guess what? That pays 100-68, and frankly, I would rather just watch and live bet.

Detroit will win a game in this series and hopefully a second as well. Please do not think I am down on this team, I am so happy. This is just a different animal. I think they'll be in most games, but G1 is one I worry about. The Knicks will be very ready and, after losing the last 3, likely want to send a message.

Feels like 118-103 in my gut. As of now, no bets, but gun to head, I would say take the Knicks in G1. Certainly, as a parlay partner crossing sports, perhaps.

Excuse typos, a bit late here in the East.

I'll be around in the last two games.
 
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Man o man...

Between the 03-05 seasons at Covers and BuryTheBook to the next 3 seasons of playoff runs here at CTG we certainly had a lot of fun with the Stons and playoff basketball!

Some heated moments for sure! A lot of fun though, and the 2004 postseason was certainly a great one for betting our guys!
Excited to see how the atmosphere is at LCA next week. This is uncharted territory for that arena!
 
PROP BETS:

YES -- EJECTION IN New York/Detroit SERIES +185


This one is pretty simple for me. The 'Stons like to play a bit physical and certainly have a few guys capable of not controlling themselves. Well, mostly one, Beef Stew lol. With that being said, we could have a myriad of ways this plays out. I think worst case scenario, someone gets tossed in the late stages of a blowout or perhaps frustration at the end of an elimination game.

NIKOLA JOKIC TRIPLE DOUBLES OVER 2 -170

I think the Clippers win this series, but 6 games seem probable. Joker will have to do A LOT in this series, and I feel like we get to a 'push' on this pretty quickly and then have a few games to win the bet.
Where can I bet ejections? Rockets gsw could have a few
 
Live Prop Bet -- @ halftime

Cade Cunningham o19.5 points -125


The worry here is obviously a 4th foul quickly. This is the playoffs though and they won't sit him long.
Great s success all year vs NYK. He'll have himself a very nice 2h.
 
That Knicks ML was myself feeling a tide turning and I was wrong.

Hopefully grab that Cade live bet and be happy to lose some juice on this game.
 
Alright, let's take a look at the first weekend of the NBA Playoffs!

First of all, let's talk injuries...

Lillard is expected back in Game 2 or Game 3. That is the latest I can find on his status. The 3rd game isn't until Friday, so it will be interesting to see if they wait those extra days. Dame at least was in the box score on Saturday with the theatrics from the bench!

Tatum is downplaying the wrist injury but he certainly was favoring it during the 4th quarter today. This bears watching...

Beef Stew exited Game One right before the incredible Knicks run. He missed the final two games of the regular season and was not himself in G1. He finally asked out with 9 minutes left last night. He may miss G2.

Those are the injuries I am aware of so far...

Now, let's have some quick hitters about each Game One and series thoughts....

Take away Yanni, and the Bucks shot 21-61. This is a one-man team right now -- even with Lillard return, I do not think they have enough. Indiana had 6 guys in double-digits and played solid defense once again. The huge lead at halftime allowed them to coast in the 2nd. This series is far from over, but I still like the Pacers to win this in 6 or fewer. The pace wasn't too bad, and there will be an over game, methinks, in Milwaukee that we'll have a bet on.

Highly disappointed in the loss in Game 1 for the Clippers. This was a winnable game, but the 4th quarter play wasn't there from their best player. The turnovers ultimately did them in. Twenty is way too much. Both teams spread out the scoring nicely. Denver isn't deep, so they'll need top-end production all series long. How the heck did Joker not grab a 10th board is my question. That is wild to me. I expect LA to bounce back nicely here in Game 2. They are a solid team. That said, I wouldn't be surprised by anything that happens in this series. The series price isn't showing the value I would like right now -- so we'll wait this game out.

You could tell as the week went on, and the more I capped Minnesota, the more I wasn't solid on my series bet on the Lakers. That false confidence 1st quarter last night via a bunch of 3's certainly didn't help. The last 36 minutes were just dominant. Minnesota is faster, stronger, and frankly, looked like they wanted it more. I do think this is Minnesota's series. From this point, I hope I can get a few LA wins in the next few to buy off this series bet. We'll see. The league will get involved at some point. And yes, I know the Minny 3-point shooting will regress. Still, they have the look.

Detroit played very well for 39 minutes last night. They were the better team in that span, despite Cade having an off night. The New York defense looked like they were playing a game in mid-January. Then, they stepped up and became aggressive. Meanwhile, Detroit was committing some very odd turnovers. The whole thing was a disaster. Lessons learned. As subpar as the New York defense was most of the night -- the Knicks certainly focused on Cade heavily. That was their plan after he cooked them all season long. I'd expect they continue that focus. Detroit can compete in this series. But let's see if New York has a renewed sense of this is the playoffs for full games now.

I missed the early game today -- the first score I saw was 55-22!! Shai had an off-game, and they won easily. Add in Memphis couldn't throw the ball in the ocean, and we have a game that stayed around 50 points for a bit. The Thunder are THAT good. Those hoping for a playoff demise are likely going to be disappointed. We shall see the next two rounds. This series is over in 4-5 games. I do expect two of these to be closer, though.

Nice 2nd quarter by the Magic today. The fact is though; you are not beating the champs with a 2-man offense. Bravo, Banchero and Franz, but these guys also need to earn more FTs on 51 FGAs. Slower pace here -- I'll be on the lookout for live unders on fast starts. D White is so good and still underrated!

The Cleveland playoff run has begun in earnest. I am so interested to see how this team plays once they get to the Boston series. That will be fantastic (if it happens). I just don't think Indiana can win 3 games in the next series, but I'll hope for a miracle. Anyways, Cleveland shot the ball well, won the rebound battle, and didn't turn the ball over. Add in 18 threes and an easy game, one win. Much like Boston, they should sweep. I certainly am not grabbing ML's on Miami or Orlando later this week. Nothing pace-wise sticks out here for totals just yet.

The Warriors and Rockets game is finishing up as I type this. Defense has been the name of the game -- and terrible shooting at times, especially by Houston. Valiant comeback by Houston, but the bottom line is they are likely dropping this game at home. The series is already at a crossroads for the Rockets. Game 2 is a must-win. Steph has been awesome tonight. Moody has been off until that dagger with just over 2 minutes left. Take away Sengun, and the Rockets are 21-65 with 90 seconds left in the game. Houston is winning the boards 60-44 with a few minutes left!! They must shoot better and continue to pound the glass. Now, 22 of those are offensive due to their shooting, but this is what they do a lot during the season. I do think they bounce back, but that will have to be a live bet situation. I have seen these situations before, and a 2-0 Warriors lead would not shock me.

*Season low in points for Houston
 
We have two games on Monday night....

Including my 'Stons...

Of course, we start the golf league tomorrow night, so I'll likely not be in the capping command centre (shoutout Sammy) until halftime. Knicks -6 and 221.5 as we write this... I am conflicted on the total as I feel this is an over series when all said and done, but I also see the Knicks with a better effort full-game here. Very interested in how Detroit gameplans Cade into some better opportunities on offense. This team certainly won't bury its head. I do think New York realizes, after 3 losses to them and facing another early in the 4th, that this is a series they need to take seriously.

I mentioned that OG and Ausur would be key players. Onuby was outstanding, but Ausur looked lost at times.

No plays on the game -- possible prop bets tomorrow --



Huge game out West for the Clippers future. The line is exactly what you expect for this game after the G1 loss. I wouldn't read too much into this number moving across zero. This is typical for this exact playoff situation. Hopefully the Clippers can shave off 5-7 turnovers here, and Kawhi shows up in the 4th quarter. I believe Denver will be pretty loose in this game and expect we have a fantastic game once again. The total seems a bit high, but nothing I want to commit to right now.



So, after all this reading, I have yet to add a play. I am happy with my start to the playoffs with the two wins at MSG on Saturday. We'll gear up this week and have more action...Likely some prop action around lunchtime tomorrow...

Till then...
 
Alright, let's take a look at the first weekend of the NBA Playoffs!

First of all, let's talk injuries...

Lillard is expected back in Game 2 or Game 3. That is the latest I can find on his status. The 3rd game isn't until Friday, so it will be interesting to see if they wait those extra days. Dame at least was in the box score on Saturday with the theatrics from the bench!

Tatum is downplaying the wrist injury but he certainly was favoring it during the 4th quarter today. This bears watching...

Beef Stew exited Game One right before the incredible Knicks run. He missed the final two games of the regular season and was not himself in G1. He finally asked out with 9 minutes left last night. He may miss G2.

Those are the injuries I am aware of so far...

Now, let's have some quick hitters about each Game One and series thoughts....

Take away Yanni, and the Bucks shot 21-61. This is a one-man team right now -- even with Lillard return, I do not think they have enough. Indiana had 6 guys in double-digits and played solid defense once again. The huge lead at halftime allowed them to coast in the 2nd. This series is far from over, but I still like the Pacers to win this in 6 or fewer. The pace wasn't too bad, and there will be an over game, methinks, in Milwaukee that we'll have a bet on.

Highly disappointed in the loss in Game 1 for the Clippers. This was a winnable game, but the 4th quarter play wasn't there from their best player. The turnovers ultimately did them in. Twenty is way too much. Both teams spread out the scoring nicely. Denver isn't deep, so they'll need top-end production all series long. How the heck did Joker not grab a 10th board is my question. That is wild to me. I expect LA to bounce back nicely here in Game 2. They are a solid team. That said, I wouldn't be surprised by anything that happens in this series. The series price isn't showing the value I would like right now -- so we'll wait this game out.

You could tell as the week went on, and the more I capped Minnesota, the more I wasn't solid on my series bet on the Lakers. That false confidence 1st quarter last night via a bunch of 3's certainly didn't help. The last 36 minutes were just dominant. Minnesota is faster, stronger, and frankly, looked like they wanted it more. I do think this is Minnesota's series. From this point, I hope I can get a few LA wins in the next few to buy off this series bet. We'll see. The league will get involved at some point. And yes, I know the Minny 3-point shooting will regress. Still, they have the look.

Detroit played very well for 39 minutes last night. They were the better team in that span, despite Cade having an off night. The New York defense looked like they were playing a game in mid-January. Then, they stepped up and became aggressive. Meanwhile, Detroit was committing some very odd turnovers. The whole thing was a disaster. Lessons learned. As subpar as the New York defense was most of the night -- the Knicks certainly focused on Cade heavily. That was their plan after he cooked them all season long. I'd expect they continue that focus. Detroit can compete in this series. But let's see if New York has a renewed sense of this is the playoffs for full games now.

I missed the early game today -- the first score I saw was 55-22!! Shai had an off-game, and they won easily. Add in Memphis couldn't throw the ball in the ocean, and we have a game that stayed around 50 points for a bit. The Thunder are THAT good. Those hoping for a playoff demise are likely going to be disappointed. We shall see the next two rounds. This series is over in 4-5 games. I do expect two of these to be closer, though.

Nice 2nd quarter by the Magic today. The fact is though; you are not beating the champs with a 2-man offense. Bravo, Banchero and Franz, but these guys also need to earn more FTs on 51 FGAs. Slower pace here -- I'll be on the lookout for live unders on fast starts. D White is so good and still underrated!

The Cleveland playoff run has begun in earnest. I am so interested to see how this team plays once they get to the Boston series. That will be fantastic (if it happens). I just don't think Indiana can win 3 games in the next series, but I'll hope for a miracle. Anyways, Cleveland shot the ball well, won the rebound battle, and didn't turn the ball over. Add in 18 threes and an easy game, one win. Much like Boston, they should sweep. I certainly am not grabbing ML's on Miami or Orlando later this week. Nothing pace-wise sticks out here for totals just yet.

The Warriors and Rockets game is finishing up as I type this. Defense has been the name of the game -- and terrible shooting at times, especially by Houston. Valiant comeback by Houston, but the bottom line is they are likely dropping this game at home. The series is already at a crossroads for the Rockets. Game 2 is a must-win. Steph has been awesome tonight. Moody has been off until that dagger with just over 2 minutes left. Take away Sengun, and the Rockets are 21-65 with 90 seconds left in the game. Houston is winning the boards 60-44 with a few minutes left!! They must shoot better and continue to pound the glass. Now, 22 of those are offensive due to their shooting, but this is what they do a lot during the season. I do think they bounce back, but that will have to be a live bet situation. I have seen these situations before, and a 2-0 Warriors lead would not shock me.

*Season low in points for Houston
Hou ml -125 for me g2. I do think they are in trouble overall for the series but have to play this price and spot imo
 
Hou ml -125 for me g2. I do think they are in trouble overall for the series but have to play this price and spot imo
Fair enough. I understand the play totally.

The fact they rebound so well helps. The shooting will be better.

I've seen these types of Rockets halves, full games this year -- simply prone to this at times.
 
Thanks for your thoughts! Adjusted my head a bit + didn't watch some of the games :)
Will try to post some thoughts of my own, probably a bit (a lot) less researched ;)
 
Jalen Duren o10.5 rebounds -105

But Reno,

You spoke of his foul trouble the other night and before the series...

That I did. I expect no Beef Stew tonight or limited at best. They need Jalen 30+ minutes. I'd expect they protect him and we'll see more Tobias on KAT once again. The opportunities will be there with these two teams imo.

Good spot for this bet.
 
Jalen Duren o10.5 rebounds -105

But Reno,

You spoke of his foul trouble the other night and before the series...

That I did. I expect no Beef Stew tonight or limited at best. They need Jalen 30+ minutes. I'd expect they protect him and we'll see more Tobias on KAT once again. The opportunities will be there with these two teams imo.

Good spot for this bet.
Duren double double +120ish not a bad look either
 
Live -

New York +8.5 +104


Actually do feel like Detroit can close this out but I think it will be a fight.

Feels like a 4-7 pointer

Detroit defense just suffocating right now. LOVE IT!
 
Paul Reed with a few big buckets in the 4th but let's not forget Duren.

This would be an epic loss with 10 boards through 3 quarters!!
 
I want to point out that NBA.com and 3 other score services all have Duren at 11 boards right now.

Would really like one more in case of correction.
 
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