BAW Nation NBA Playoffs...
- Thread starter B.A.R.
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survive&advance
Nothing but net MFer!
Huuuge stons win let’s go
Pretty damn good start to the postseason!
What a game in Denver as well. Hunt will tell ya I almost bet LAC in 2nd quarter after the Nuggets early burst. I'm glad I didn't as this game was razor thin.
Bottom line in Denver, the turnover margin flipped!
Timmy H and Bease were a combined 2-17 tonight. That will happen again.
Where's KAT? He had like 11-6 tonight. Ridiculous!
Tuesday thoughts midday tomorrow...
What a win DETROIT BASKETBALL!!
#BackToWork
What a game in Denver as well. Hunt will tell ya I almost bet LAC in 2nd quarter after the Nuggets early burst. I'm glad I didn't as this game was razor thin.
Bottom line in Denver, the turnover margin flipped!
Timmy H and Bease were a combined 2-17 tonight. That will happen again.
Where's KAT? He had like 11-6 tonight. Ridiculous!
Tuesday thoughts midday tomorrow...
What a win DETROIT BASKETBALL!!
#BackToWork
Haha I actually thought of that.It's only me or THJ's sole purpose tonight was to prove I'm right and that Schroeder should play over him?
Tim has been a very good addition this year.
The Dennis trade was a sneaky one but in a game like tonight so crucial to have a true PG out there to let Cade play off the ball late in games.
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
Jokic with triple double, but he almost cost Nugs Game 1 with 0/2 free throws 90 seconds to go, barely got over 50% from stripe tonight and did few turnovers in the 4th that just don't fit him. He is nervous, not focused and out of rhythm. He is amazing enough to still put up stats, but either Zubac got under his skin or coach changes just scrape the tip of the iceberg - something is bad there.
Btw... is it me or Bogdanovic thinks that he is on the same team as Jokic? I mean two games where I think he made only bad plays... Serbian bond is stronger that team ties?
Btw... is it me or Bogdanovic thinks that he is on the same team as Jokic? I mean two games where I think he made only bad plays... Serbian bond is stronger that team ties?
Hell ya I owe ya a bunch from golf!
Easy peasy
Blowout could kill this prop. Hoping we can see at least 28 mins from LeBron tonight. That'll give me 14 more to get those 4 rebounds.
This is more than regression tonight but I'm happy so I can hopefully start having options on the series bet.
I was targeting some live total action but nothing till the 4th as of now.
Hockey for an hour and then be back with Wednesday night thoughts!
This is more than regression tonight but I'm happy so I can hopefully start having options on the series bet.
I was targeting some live total action but nothing till the 4th as of now.
Hockey for an hour and then be back with Wednesday night thoughts!
So far, as we sit at halftime in LA, tonight hasn't had the drama and fun of Monday night. Yes, Milwaukee made a run but I never feared the Pacers would lose that game.
Indiana had a big first quarter and then controlled the game the rest of the way. This was a pace game I had looked to attack, but frankly, I needed to right away, so I stayed on the sidelines and didn't force a bet. The biggest difference in this game was the Bucks' double the turnovers on the Pacers. Every time, that is crucial and too much to overcome on the road.
I'd expect a frenzied crowd back in Milwaukee, and I think I have an angle for that game I'll share later in the week...
Ok City is simply a train right now, and do not get in front of them. The Grizzlies won the 3rd quarter, but the Thunder clamped down to start the 4th. That was a widely impressive first 6 minutes of defense. OKC with a double-digit rebounding edge and protected the ball to the tune of 7 turnovers!
Very impressive 1st stanza by the Lakers. Minnesota rallied to get within 15 at the half, but still has an uphill battle ahead of itself (as I type all of this). Minny with 4 assists in the 1h and 3 point FG regression came as expected (2-12).
I am out of pocket for most of tomorrow until around halftime of the Rockets game and I won't really be all to upset to miss those two Eastern Conference games...
Boston will be without Tatum. That shouldn't matter all to much. I do want to credit Al Horford for coming to the defense of his star playing via the media (the play is too physical -- injury was dirty) but at the same time "suck it up buttercup". I wouldn't be surprised if we see a tighter whistle, though, so keep that in mind for your totals. Orlando needs options 3 and 4 to step up if they are going to win a game in Boston. The two-man scoring strategy isn't going to get things done. I'll peek at props to see if anything sneaky is available with Tatum out -- but the thought of blowouts always is in my head.
I'm keeping an eye on that total in Cleveland. I want to see how Miami tries to play, pace-wise, but this might be a "live" over opportunity. I would lean heavy for full game total, but I respect Spo and his abilities to come up with a game plan. Shall see. If I do make a bet, I'll post on here if possible.
No one will be surprised if the Warriors win this series. I do not even think we'd be shocked if Golden State wins both on the road. Am I willing to bet that? Not as of yet. This is now a very strong line on Houston (-3), and frankly, taking away situation and team names, the value lies with the dog. My big thing here -- the shooting will improve. Just as we see Minnesota flipping from red hot to ice cold, we can see the same with the Rockets. The biggest thing with them is the youth vs the experience late in the game. They would do well to take control early and not let this become a 4th quarter game. Easier said than done. Total has been adjusted to 203, and that is much more like it. Pure live stalk here and see what happens.
Props in the late game? Sengun should feast again. Is Kerr content to let him get his and defend the others? Tough to tell, but I don't think so. FVV has the playoff experience here, and I would think he bounces back, but the last few weeks have been bleak (injury and just in general). I'll leave it alone, and he probably goes for 20-5-5 at minimum. He certainly had no issues jacking up jumpers on Sunday.
Anyways, that is all I have for now...
Back with some thoughts post round at lunch tomorrow...
Indiana had a big first quarter and then controlled the game the rest of the way. This was a pace game I had looked to attack, but frankly, I needed to right away, so I stayed on the sidelines and didn't force a bet. The biggest difference in this game was the Bucks' double the turnovers on the Pacers. Every time, that is crucial and too much to overcome on the road.
I'd expect a frenzied crowd back in Milwaukee, and I think I have an angle for that game I'll share later in the week...
Ok City is simply a train right now, and do not get in front of them. The Grizzlies won the 3rd quarter, but the Thunder clamped down to start the 4th. That was a widely impressive first 6 minutes of defense. OKC with a double-digit rebounding edge and protected the ball to the tune of 7 turnovers!
Very impressive 1st stanza by the Lakers. Minnesota rallied to get within 15 at the half, but still has an uphill battle ahead of itself (as I type all of this). Minny with 4 assists in the 1h and 3 point FG regression came as expected (2-12).
I am out of pocket for most of tomorrow until around halftime of the Rockets game and I won't really be all to upset to miss those two Eastern Conference games...
Boston will be without Tatum. That shouldn't matter all to much. I do want to credit Al Horford for coming to the defense of his star playing via the media (the play is too physical -- injury was dirty) but at the same time "suck it up buttercup". I wouldn't be surprised if we see a tighter whistle, though, so keep that in mind for your totals. Orlando needs options 3 and 4 to step up if they are going to win a game in Boston. The two-man scoring strategy isn't going to get things done. I'll peek at props to see if anything sneaky is available with Tatum out -- but the thought of blowouts always is in my head.
I'm keeping an eye on that total in Cleveland. I want to see how Miami tries to play, pace-wise, but this might be a "live" over opportunity. I would lean heavy for full game total, but I respect Spo and his abilities to come up with a game plan. Shall see. If I do make a bet, I'll post on here if possible.
No one will be surprised if the Warriors win this series. I do not even think we'd be shocked if Golden State wins both on the road. Am I willing to bet that? Not as of yet. This is now a very strong line on Houston (-3), and frankly, taking away situation and team names, the value lies with the dog. My big thing here -- the shooting will improve. Just as we see Minnesota flipping from red hot to ice cold, we can see the same with the Rockets. The biggest thing with them is the youth vs the experience late in the game. They would do well to take control early and not let this become a 4th quarter game. Easier said than done. Total has been adjusted to 203, and that is much more like it. Pure live stalk here and see what happens.
Props in the late game? Sengun should feast again. Is Kerr content to let him get his and defend the others? Tough to tell, but I don't think so. FVV has the playoff experience here, and I would think he bounces back, but the last few weeks have been bleak (injury and just in general). I'll leave it alone, and he probably goes for 20-5-5 at minimum. He certainly had no issues jacking up jumpers on Sunday.
Anyways, that is all I have for now...
Back with some thoughts post round at lunch tomorrow...
I'm guessing that OKC got bored in that third quarter, hence they came back in the 4th quarter and shut down Memphis maybe like 9-0 after three minutes. OKC has beaten Memphis by double digits literally every time they played this year. I think any bet on Memphis is going to have to be bank on lack of effort from the Thunder.
Man +3 feels like begging for Warrior money, but I guess the expectation is that strong in general that a team (that isn't, say, an 8 seed playing a 1) will even a series at home? It took the Pistons one game to overcome their lack of experience enough to win, but obviously not all inexperience and not all matchups are the same.
Well, had that over pegged well in Cleveland. 2h even went over after that big first half. I didn't capitalize on this enough. At least I'm seeing it well.
Rockets line told us what was up I guess.
Still working on tomorrow's card -- can't wait for G3!!
I do feel like Detroit could come out way too geeked up and that works against them. We'll see.
More later...
Rockets line told us what was up I guess.
Still working on tomorrow's card -- can't wait for G3!!
I do feel like Detroit could come out way too geeked up and that works against them. We'll see.
More later...
Any questions, fire away!
Tending the BBQ and just whipped up a batch of margs for the ladies. Pro tip, get them buzzed up so they'll leave ya alone during draft and games tonight!
So excited! Although my enthusiasm is tempered for Game #3. Let's see how we handle this.
Tending the BBQ and just whipped up a batch of margs for the ladies. Pro tip, get them buzzed up so they'll leave ya alone during draft and games tonight!
So excited! Although my enthusiasm is tempered for Game #3. Let's see how we handle this.
Play this one at your own risk...
I want to note that I might possibly come back on this if need be (and the opportunity arises).
2h Detroit/New York o104.5 -110 2 units
So, we're seeing a few things so far --
Quicker pace in Detroit. Not lightning, but much better.
New York much more crisp.
Refs are calling this semi right.
Threes are falling both ways.
Free throws are a bonus.
I LOVE that this game isn't tight. That late 23-6 run really helped me decide on this play. A nice medium lead should promote solid 2h scoring.
I don't expect crazy good 3pt shooting, percentage wise, but I expect a solid amount of looks.
Might the refs switch on they call this? Perhaps, but we won't see anything like the first two games. Bummer in that regard.
I'll be stalking the live market but feel pretty confident we find some points again this half.
I want to note that I might possibly come back on this if need be (and the opportunity arises).
2h Detroit/New York o104.5 -110 2 units
So, we're seeing a few things so far --
Quicker pace in Detroit. Not lightning, but much better.
New York much more crisp.
Refs are calling this semi right.
Threes are falling both ways.
Free throws are a bonus.
I LOVE that this game isn't tight. That late 23-6 run really helped me decide on this play. A nice medium lead should promote solid 2h scoring.
I don't expect crazy good 3pt shooting, percentage wise, but I expect a solid amount of looks.
Might the refs switch on they call this? Perhaps, but we won't see anything like the first two games. Bummer in that regard.
I'll be stalking the live market but feel pretty confident we find some points again this half.
Listen, I love the Memphis emotion and pride. That may carry over all game.
But..
This torrid 3pt shooting will not.
Tracking this game heavily for a bit.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Put a bit more on the live OKC ML/LAC parlay live, to get it at +105 or whatever I couldn't pass it up
Well,
That's my first horrible bet of the playoffs.
First force too. Makes sense.
Big credit Memphis not falling in love with the 3 this quarter. Perfect hoops.
Remember I spoke of points in the paint in above post? Memphis has flipped this quarter. Incredible effort.
That's my first horrible bet of the playoffs.
First force too. Makes sense.
Big credit Memphis not falling in love with the 3 this quarter. Perfect hoops.
Remember I spoke of points in the paint in above post? Memphis has flipped this quarter. Incredible effort.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Pregame total of 213,5-214 yet it's still at 214.5 right now? Hmmmm
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Just saw 214.5 at the two places I looked, wasn't doing anything but interesting with the 112 1h and I know 2h are typically lower scoring but that's a significant dropoff
Holy shlit.
I didn't even think of that.
BRUTAL beat.
In today's NBA that is nearly impossible.
Even the game total was 229 and goes under after that 1h.
This is getting to be more absurd the more I think of it.
I nominate this on SVP bad beats segment.
horses
Brady licks Marino's knob
Good call; he usually does not do props or exotics like this too often but should definitely make an exception here. It almost seems unfathomable when you think about it.
He's pressed in some team totals lately I noticed at the end of the CBB season.
I skipped right over the "4:50 left" part until a few mins ago. That's the most ridiculous part. Yeah, playoff games will die late but not even a pointless layup late.
Last night worked out pretty good. Just, wow, in Memphis. That OKC team is the best team IMO. Hopefully the Clips can give them a scare.
Tonight simple and sweet...
No lean in Orlando -- stalk live only
In Minnesota I honestly think the Wolves bounce back and feed off the home crowd. I need the Lakers so I have options on the series bet. Another one I'll track as it goes...
Milwaukee gets their win here I would assume. Pretty hefty tariff though. They'll feed off home crowd and is assume benefit from a favorable whistle. This total adjusted A LOT. I'm not going anywhere near this one total wise. I think though I'll use the ML...
I do want to remind you I think Indy wins this series -- but tonight should be a Bucks win
Parlay:
Milwaukee ML -220
LA Clippers ML -245
1.25 wins 1.31
Tonight simple and sweet...
No lean in Orlando -- stalk live only
In Minnesota I honestly think the Wolves bounce back and feed off the home crowd. I need the Lakers so I have options on the series bet. Another one I'll track as it goes...
Milwaukee gets their win here I would assume. Pretty hefty tariff though. They'll feed off home crowd and is assume benefit from a favorable whistle. This total adjusted A LOT. I'm not going anywhere near this one total wise. I think though I'll use the ML...
I do want to remind you I think Indy wins this series -- but tonight should be a Bucks win
Parlay:
Milwaukee ML -220
LA Clippers ML -245
1.25 wins 1.31
Unreal. Still can't believe that.
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