Well Edwards was total shit, im done messing w those high juice ones, Mfer screwed up the RR w Ivey and FVV cashing but tiny profit, which was wiped out by Kessler who hardly played for some reason. My favorite under lean was Ayton tonight, he opened at 28.5 points + reb and closed 30.5, didn’t sniff either number, I was surprised he got bet up cause Boston interior d solid, gonna start playing unders when I feel they justified.
I think im gonna play bron over points at new Orleans, thinking he puts up a pretty big number so he can come home and break the record in his next game, maybe a b3b chase on him if need be? Valanciunas over 23.5 points + reb is worth a look, lakers not great defending centers, my concern is he hasn’t been playing a lot of minutes lately falling under his season average in 6 straight games. AD has been pretty good and for some reason his points + boards coming at a bit a discount off his season averages, not sure why but he avg 26.9 points and 12 boards yet his points+reb is only 36.5, strange.
They don’t have numbers up for the atl/Denver game yet but with hawks playing in Utah Friday night and now b2b in Denver that a tough go, I’ll be hunting some nuggets props, hopefully Murray number is playable, maybe something on Jokic, possibly porter jr treys depending on number.
Okc gets a home game w rockets, they got a day off while rockets played tonight, SGA shot really poorly last game, can’t imagine that happens again vs rockets poor defense on guards, his over points certainly a option. Giddey par is a option as well, he went 20-8-8 the game in Houston but his number a few ticks higher in this from 31.5 in Houston to 33.5 Saturday. They don’t have Houston numbers up yet, I’ll be looking at Sengun rebounds again as he should have a decided advantage on boards vs okc.
I feel like heat have played some good d vs freak over the years, maybe coming off another 50 point game this be a spot to fade him? I dunno, just a initial thought. He has went over his points and par 4 games straight, they hanging a par several points above his season average against a team I think has the ability to at least make it tough on him so im considering it, the heat hold centers to one the lowest point and rebound totals in the league so if there ever a time to fade freak I think this it. Just not sure I want my 1st under to be against this guy! Lol. Let’s see if he gets bet up a bit to at least get plus money or even a extra point or 2 since he so hot you would think the masses will be playing his overs no matter the competition.
That bout all I see right now but there not a ton of players up yet. Hopefully can put together a decent card 2marro with so many teams in action.