April / May Bases

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--- MLB ---
2023 [315-317 -138.57u]
LAST [4-4 -1.89u]

THURSDAY
✅2/1.45 Marlins -138
❌3/2.10 Dodgers -143
❌4/4.68 DODGERS -1½ +117
✅3/4.20 Angels +140
❌4/3.05 White Sox -131
✅3/2.86 WHITE SOX u8 -105
✅3/3.60 Yankees +120
❌3/2.91 Rays -103

FRIDAY​

  • 3/3.00 Diamondbacks -1½ +100
  • 4/3.45 Phillies -116
  • 4/4.32 Marlins +108
  • 3.30/3 Marlins u7½ -110
  • 3.30/3 Jays u9½
  • 2/4.32 A'S +216
  • 3/3.06 A'S o9½ +102
  • 3/4.47 Reds +149
  • 5/6.85 Guardians +137
  • 4/1.86 Rangers -215
  • 5/3.79 Padres -132
  • 3/3.00 Padres u8½ +100
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Don't overthink it... :smokejoint:
 
Home dogs less than +140 in FRI-SAT games vs opponent they beat last time they played have shown almost 20% ROI on straight moneyline action over last 3+ years.

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--- MLB ---
2023 [319-325 -156.71u]
LAST [4-8 -18.14u]

FRIDAY
❌3/3.00 Diamondbacks -1½ +100
❌4/3.45 Phillies -116
❌4/4.32 Marlins +108
✅3.30/3 Marlins u7½ -110
✅3.30/3 Jays u9½
❌2/4.32 A'S +216
❌3/3.06 A'S o9½ +102
❌3/4.47 Reds +149
❌5/6.85 Guardians +137
✅4/1.86 Rangers -215
❌5/3.79 Padres -132
✅3/3.00 Padres u8½ +100

SATURDAY
  • 3/1.95 Phillies -154
  • 3.30/3 Phillies u9 -110
  • 4/2.58 Giants -155
  • 4/3.10 Pirates -129
  • 3/1.70 White Sox -176
  • 4/3.03 Blue Jays -132
  • 2/5.10 Athletics +255
  • 4/3.54 ANGELS -113
  • 3/5.10 Rockies +170
  • 4/7.00 Brewers +175
  • 4/2.58 Mets -155
  • 3.15/3 Mets u8 -105
  • 3/3.45 RED SOX +115
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--- MLB ---
2023 [322-333 -177.91u]
LAST [3-8-2 -21.2u]

SATURDAY
✅3/1.95 Phillies -154
❌3.30/3 Phillies u9 -110
❌4/2.58 Giants -155
❌4/3.10 Pirates -129
✅3/1.70 White Sox -176
❌4/3.03 Blue Jays -132
❌2/5.10 Athletics +255
❌4/3.54 ANGELS -113
❌3/5.10 Rockies +170
❌4/7.00 Brewers +175
⛅4/2.58 Mets -155
⛅3.15/3 Mets u8 -105
✅3/3.45 RED SOX +115

SUNDAY
  • 3/3.51 PIRATES +117
  • 3/4.08 Cardinals +136
  • 4/4.64 Marlins +116
  • 4/2.17 JAYS -184
  • 3/1.88 Astros -1½ -160
  • 2/1.42 Angels -141
  • 3.09/3 Angels u8 -103
  • 4/2.76 Yankees -145
  • 3/3.30 Yankees -1½ +110
  • 3/3.15 Nationals u8½ +105
  • 3/2.22 Rays -135
  • 3.15/3 Rays u8 -105
  • 3.15/3 Red Sox o9 -105
  • 4/5.56 G1-Guardians +139
  • 3/1.94 G1-Guardians +1½ -155
  • 4/2.80 G2-METS -143

randoms...
  • STREAKS: 6 HOU, 4 BOS, -4 SD
  • LYNN 11-4 +25.7% ROI ALLTIME VS ROYOS
  • M KELLY 14-8 +41.8% IN HOME STARTS LAST 24 MONTHS
  • TB 21-3 +32.6% @HOME THIS SEASON
  • BAL 15-8 +26.1% @HOME THIS SEASON
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--- MLB ---
2023 [330-341 -184.03u]
LAST [8-8 -6.12u]

SUNDAY
❌3/3.51 PIRATES +117
✅3/4.08 Cardinals +136
❌4/4.64 Marlins +116
❌4/2.17 JAYS -184
✅3/1.88 Astros -1½ -160
✅2/1.42 Angels -141
✅3.09/3 Angels u8 -103
✅4/2.76 Yankees -145
✅3/3.30 Yankees -1½ +110
❌3/3.15 Nationals u8½ +105
❌3/2.22 Rays -135
❌3.15/3 Rays u8 -105
❌3.15/3 Red Sox o9 -105
❌4/5.56 G1-Guardians +139
✅3/1.94 G1-Guardians +1½ -155
✅4/2.80 G2-METS -143

MONDAY
  • 4/1.83 PHILLIES -218
  • 3/4.32 DODGERS +144
  • 3.42/3 BRAVES u9½ -114
  • 3/2.91 RAYS -103
  • 3/2.97 RED SOX -101
  • 2/5.42 A'S +271
  • 3/2.36 Rangers -127
  • 3/3.75 Rangers -1½ +125
  • 3/2.04 Twins -147
  • 3/2.70 Astros -111
  • 3.15/3 Brewers u7½ -105
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--- MLB ---
2023 [333-349 -198.67u]
LAST [3-8 -14.64u]

MONDAY
❌4/1.83 PHILLIES -218
✅3/4.32 DODGERS +144
❌3.42/3 BRAVES u9½ -114
✅3/2.91 RAYS -103
❌3/2.97 RED SOX -101
❌2/5.42 A'S +271
❌3/2.36 Rangers -127
❌3/3.75 Rangers -1½ +125
❌3/2.04 Twins -147
✅3/2.70 Astros -111
❌3.15/3 Brewers u7½ -105

TUESDAY
  • 3/3.69 Dbacks +123
  • 3/4.02 NATS +134
  • 3/2.65 Dodgers o8 -113
  • 4/3.96 Mets -101
  • 3/4.71 Mets -1½ +157
  • 4/3.23 Marlins -124
  • 5/4.10 GUARDIANS -122
  • 3/4.86 Rays -1½ +162
  • 5/7.65 Orioles +153
  • 3/2.65 M'S -1½-113
  • 3/1.96 Rangers -153
  • 3/3.51 Astros -1½ +117
  • 3/2.73 Twins u8 -110
45/49.75 +111​

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--- MLB ---
2023 [333-349 -214.99u]
LAST [5-8 -16.32u]

TUESDAY
✅3/3.69 Diamondbacks +123
❌3/4.02 NATIONALS +134
✅3/2.65 Dodgers o8 -113
❌4/3.96 Mets -101
❌3/4.71 Mets -1½ +157
❌4/3.23 Marlins -124
❌5/4.10 GUARDIANS -122
❌3/4.86 Rays -1½ +162
❌5/7.65 Orioles +153
✅3/2.65 M'S -1½-113
✅3/1.96 Rangers -153
❌3/3.51 Astros -1½ +117
✅3/2.73 Twins u8 -110
Believe it or not, it's just as hard to pick this many losers as it is winners...unbelievable 37 day run (227-265 -232.46u since 4/17) :shocked:
1684929865337.png

WEDNESDAY​

  • 3/3.21 Phillies +107
  • 4/2.76 Padres -145
  • 3/3.24 Dodgers +108
  • 3/2.54 Dodgers o9 -118
  • 4/4.24 Mets +106
  • 4/2.38 WHITE SOX +1½ -168
  • 3/2.80 WHITE SOX o8-107
  • 3/5.61 Blue Jays +187
  • 3/2.48 Yankees -121
  • 3/3.09 Tigers +103
  • 3/2.73 Red Sox -110
  • 3/7.29 A'S +243
  • 3/2.68 TWINS u7½ -112
42/45.1 +107

randoms...
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Last edited:
--- MLB ---
2023 [336-359 -238.31u]
LAST [3-10 -23.32u]
:siren:

WEDNESDAY
✅3/3.21 Phillies +107
❌4/2.76 Padres -145
❌3/3.24 Dodgers +108
❌3/2.54 Dodgers o9 -118
❌4/4.24 Mets +106
✅4/2.38 White Sox +1½ -168
❌3/2.80 WHITE SOX o8-107
❌3/5.61 Blue Jays +187
❌3/2.48 Yankees -121
✅3/3.09 Tigers +103
❌3/2.73 Red Sox -110
❌3/7.29 ATHLETICS +243
❌3/2.68 TWINS u7½ -112

THURSDAY
  • 3/1.90 CARDS -158
  • 4/3.51 MARLINS -114
  • 3/4.71 NATS +157
  • 4/2.90 RAYS -138
  • 3/2.59 JAYS o8½ -116
  • 3/2.36 YANKS -127
  • 3/6.42 A'S +214
23/24.38 +106​

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--- MLB ---
2023 [339-363 -243.92u]
LAST [3-4 -5.61u]

THURSDAY
✅3/1.90 Cardinals -158
❌4/3.51 Marlins -114
❌3/4.71 NATIONALS +157
✅4/2.90 Rays -138
✅3/2.59 BLUE JAYS o8½ -116
❌3/2.36 Yankees -127
❌3/6.42 Athletics +214

FRIDAY
  • 3.14/2 Cubs -157
  • 3/2.80 Cubs u7 -107
  • 3/2.65 Phillies o9½ -113
  • 4/3.20 Brewers -125
  • 3/3.96 Tigers +132
  • 3/2.38 O'S -126
  • 2/1.56 Twins +1½ -128
  • 2/4.74 Athletics +237
  • 2/2.64 Athletics +1½ 132
  • 4/3.57 GUARDIANS -112
  • 3/2.65 GUARDIANS u8 -113
  • 3/2.91 Dodgers o9½ -103
  • 3/2.17 Angels -138
  • 3/4.02 Diamondbacks +134
  • 4/3.39 Mariners u7 -118
ANGELS...After leaving COL teams tend to struggle (1-3 this year) -- no reason that won't continue with struggling Marlins, who were without leading hitter Luis Arraez(leg) and is ? today. Also with star Jazz Chisholm on the IL this offense stinks. LAA was off THUR, so their pen is fully rested behind Detmers, who's only good for 5inn regardless. LAA is 15-10 @home and won 4 straight.

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10 years and 2 kids later, Anna still holding up well. :assshake:
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Last edited:
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--- MLB ---
2023 [343-374 -264.28u]
LAST [4-11 -20.36u]


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FRIDAY
❌3.14/2 Cubs -157
❌3/2.80 Cubs u7 -107
✅3/2.65 Phillies o9½ -113
❌4/3.20 Brewers -125
❌3/3.96 Tigers +132
❌3/2.38 O'S -126
❌2/1.56 Twins +1½ -128
❌2/4.74 Athletics +237
❌2/2.64 Athletics +1½ 132
✅4/3.57 GUARDIANS -112
✅3/2.65 GUARDIANS u8 -113
✅3/2.91 Dodgers o9½ -103
❌3/2.17 Angels -138
❌3/4.02 Diamondbacks +134
❌4/3.39 Mariners u7 -118

SATURDAY
  • 3/3.75 PHILLIES +125
  • 3/3.00 PHILLIES o9 +100
  • 2/3.58 ROCKIES +179
  • 3/2.70 TIGERS -111
  • 3/2.86 TWINS -105
  • 3/1.64 TWINS +1½ -183
  • 3/2.68 O'S -112
  • 4/5.36 PADRES +134
  • 3/3.15 DODGERS +105
  • 3/3.06 CARDS +102
  • 3/2.65 GUARDIANS u8 -113
  • 4/4.68 DBACKS +117
  • 4/2.13 ANGELS -188
  • 3/3.15 ANGELS -1½ +104
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--- MLB ---
2023 [352-382 -264.82u]
LAST [9-8 -0.54u]

SATURDAY
✅3/3.75 PHILLIES +125
❌3/3.00 PHILLIES o9 +100
✅2/3.58 ROCKIES +179
✅3/2.70 TIGERS -111
✅3/2.86 TWINS -105
✅3/1.64 TWINS +1½ -183
❌3/2.68 O'S -112
❌4/5.36 PADRES +134
✅3/3.15 DODGERS +105
✅3/3.06 CARDS +102
✅3/2.86 GUARDIANS u8½ -105
❌4/4.68 DBACKS +117
❌4/2.13 ANGELS -188
❌3/3.15 ANGELS -1½ +104
❌3/3.36 CUBS -1½ +112
❌3/2.36 CUBS u9 -127
✅3/2.86 M'S -1½ -105

SUNDAY​

  • 3/3.45 BREWERS +115
  • 3/2.05 CUBS -149
  • 4/1.61 Braves -249
  • 2/1.60 Braves -1½ -125
  • 3/4.08 Rangers +136
  • 4/1.72 Astros -233
  • 3/1.97 Astros -1½ -152
  • 3/2.80 PADRES o7½ -107
  • 3/3.84 PADRES +128
  • 3/2.78 Guardians u8½ -108
  • 3/2.36 Angels -127
  • 4/3.67 Dbacks -109
  • 3/4.02 Pirates +134
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Off a win as a dog over +150 vs same team and not a dog over +150, these teams are 3-14 SU over last 10 weeks, Fade for +46% ROI :holycow:

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Crazy thing is this is a trend I've played quite often over the years with success, but I've always played the other way since the 7-year record is +8.4% ROI for the team coming off the dog win, even including the debacle that is 2023! It was even stronger going back for at least 2012-2016...

:angrybaseball:

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--- MLB ---
2023 [360-387 -260.22u]
LAST [8-5 +4.6u]

SUNDAY
✅3/3.45 BREWERS +115
❌3/2.05 CUBS -149
✅4/1.61 Braves -249
✅2/1.60 Braves -1½ -125
❌3/4.08 Rangers +136
✅4/1.72 Astros -233
✅3/1.97 Astros -1½ -152
✅3/2.80 PADRES o7½ -107
❌3/3.84 PADRES +128
✅3/2.78 Guardians u8½ -108
❌3/2.36 Angels -127
✅4/3.67 Dbacks -109
❌3/4.02 Pirates +134

MONDAY
  • 2/3.54 Rockies +177
  • 3/3.72 PIRATES +124
  • 3/6.15 NATS +205
  • 3/2.14 O's -140
  • 3/3.36 Twins +112
  • 3/3.72 Angels +124
  • 3/3.81 Yankees +127
  • 2/3.68 ROYALS +184
  • 3/3.00 ROYALS o10 +100
  • 4/4.68 CUBS +117
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@luceritaxo
 
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--- MLB ---
2023 [365-392 -254.97u]
LAST [5-5 +5.25u]

MONDAY
❌2/3.54 Rockies +177
❌3/3.72 PIRATES +124
❌3/6.15 NATIONALS +205
❌3/2.14 Orioles -140
✅3/3.36 Twins +112
✅3/3.72 Angels +124
✅3/3.81 Yankees +127
✅2/3.68 ROYALS +184
❌3/3.00 ROYALS o10 +100
✅4/4.68 CUBS +117

1685443723155.png

TUESDAY​

  • 3/2.46 Marlins -122
  • 3/3.15 Marlins u7½ 105
  • 3/3.75 Phillies +125
  • 1.40/3 ROCKIES +214
  • 2/1.35 Dodgers -1½ -148
  • 3/2.40 RANGERS -125
  • 3/4.17 Guardians +139
  • 4/5.24 ANGELS +131
  • 3/1.94 ANGELS +1½ -155
  • 4/5.28 Yankees +132
  • 3/4.05 Brewers +135
  • 3/2.65 Reds o9½ -113
  • 4/2.20 RAYS -182
  • 3/2.07 Braves -1½ -145

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I’ve come to the conclusion chisox are just straight losers w a bad mix but I’ve had this perception they better vs lhp, surprised to see their record vs them is so poor. Goes to show even if you paying close attention still gotta check your perception at times! Lol. I don’t understand how the hell they keep being lined as decent size favs this series? Gl today
 
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--- MLB ---
2023 [371-402 -268.45u]
LAST [6-10 -13.48u]

TUESDAY
❌3/2.46 Marlins -122
❌3/3.15 Marlins u7½ 105
❌3/3.75 Phillies +125
❌1.40/3 ROCKIES +214
✅2/1.35 Dodgers -1½ -148
✅3/2.40 RANGERS -125
❌3/4.17 Guardians +139
❌4/5.24 ANGELS +131
❌3/1.94 ANGELS +1½ -155
✅4/5.28 Yankees +132
❌3/4.05 Brewers +135
✅3/2.65 Reds o9½ -113
❌4/2.20 RAYS -182
❌3/2.07 Braves -1½ -145
✅3/3.99 Pirates +133
✅3/2.91 Pirates u8½ -103

WEDNESDAY
  • 3/2.68 PIRATES o7½ -112
  • 3/2.42 DODGERS -1½ -124
  • 3/2.86 Marlins u8½ -105
  • 3/1.91 Mets +1½ -157
  • 4/2.35 Yankees +1½ -170
  • 3/3.87 Yankees +129
  • 3/2.68 Yankees o7½ -112
  • 3/3.75 CUBS +125
  • 3/2.10 BRAVES -1½ -143
  • 3/5.07 BREWERS +169
  • 3/2.86 BLUE JAYS u9½ -105
  • 4/2.48 Red Sox -161
  • Reds o10 -118

1685532293398.png3/2.54

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