April Bases ✨

mrpickem

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Mar 31
❌4/6.96 WAS +174
✅2.24/2 WAS +1' -112
❌5/5.00 CIN u9 +100
❌4/4.60 NYM -1' +115
✅3/2.36 SF -127
✅2/2.72 SF -1' +136
✅4/5.60 TEX -1' +140
❌4/5.36 BOS +136
✅5/4.50 SEA u7 -111
❌4/3.48 MIA u8' -115
✅3/1.18 TOR -257
✅2/1.67 TOR -1' -120
✅5/5.25 ATL u9 +105
✅4/5.12 LAA +128
✅3/1.20 LAD -250
✅2/1.80 LAD -1' -111

LAST [11-5 +12.40u]
2026 [43-36 +15.20u

Managed to finish March strong for a winning month!

Apr 1 (Early)
  • 4/2.99 PIT -134
  • 4/3.64 PHI-1' -110
  • 4/3.81 PHI U8 -105
  • 5/3.16 NYM -158
  • 6/6.00 NYM U7' +100
  • 3/1.39 ATL -216
  • 3/2.96 ATL -1' -101
  • 4/9.80 COL +245
  • 7/6.80 TOR u7' -103
1775059880498.png
1775059921845.png

176160.jpg
 
rest of day action...
  • 5/4.76 MIA u7' -105
  • 4/3.92 MIL u7 -102
  • 4/4.00 HOU u7 +100
  • 5/7.30 LAA +146
  • 4/2.58 LAA +1' -155
  • 4/4.08 CHC u6 +102
1775061004815.png
CUPwvB.jpg
 
Apr 1
✅4/2.99 PIT -134
❌4/3.64 PHI -1' -110
❌4/3.81 PHI u8 -105
❌5/3.16 NYM -158
✅6/6.00 NYM u7' +100
✅3/1.39 ATL -216
✅3/2.96 ATL -1' -101
✅4/9.80 COL +245
✅7/6.80 TOR u7' -103
❌5/4.76 MIA u7' -105
❌4/3.92 MIL u7 -102
❌4/4.00 HOU u7 +100
❌5/7.30 LAA +146
❌4/2.58 LAA +1' -155
❌4/4.08 CHC u6 +102
✅4/4.04 KAN +101
✅3/7.65 CLE +255
✅5/4.76 LAD u8 -105

LAST [9-9 +7.40u]
2026 [52-45 +22.60u]

When you cash 2 big dogs (+245 & +255) even 9-9 is a good night! જ⁀➴

Apr 2
  • 5/7.00 MIN +140
  • 4/3.42 KAN u9' -117
  • 4/4.28 ARI +107
  • 4/3.48 ATL o8' -115
23113525_01_1600x.jpg

randoms...
•MIN UNDERS 10-2 IN L12 ROADIES​
•UNDERS 15-4 L19 MIN/KAN MATCHUPS​
•ATL WON L8 ROADIES​
•ATL ALSO HAS 8 STRAIGHT UNDERS​
•ARI 6-2 L8 @HOME​
•OVERS 5-2 L7 ATL/ARI MATCHUPS​
•NYM JAS 7 STRAIGHT UNDERS​

1775137155029.png
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1775137236562.png
OliwiaK-2025-02-114.webp
 
Apr 2
✅5/7.00 MIN +140
✅4/3.42 KAN u9' -117
❌4/4.28 ARI +107
✅4/3.48 ATL o8' -115

LAST [3-1 +9.90u]
2026 [55-46 +32.50u]

Apr 3
  • 3/5.25 COL +175
  • 5/4.46 COL u10' -112
  • 5/5.65 ARI +115
  • 3/2.07 ARI +1' -145
  • 4/3.77 ATL o9 -106
  • 4/3.88 HOU -103
  • 4/4.40 OAK u10 +110
  • 4/6.48 STL +162
  • 4/4.04 DET u7' +101
  • 4/6.32 MIA +158
  • 3/4.50 CIN +150
  • 4/4.12 TEX u7' +103
  • 3/4.50 CHC -1' +150
  • 5/4.90 CLE u7' -102
  • 4/5.60 BAL -1' +140
  • 5/5.25 KAN u9 +105
  • 3/5.70 CHW +190
9Fifty-Clubhouse-Diamondbacks-Cap-by-New-Era.58393_f4.jpg

randoms...
•STREAKS: HOU 5, DET -4, BOS -5​
•BRADISH LAST 7 STARTS ALL UNDERS​
•MAHLE STARTS 12-4 TO UNDER L365 DAYS​
•MCGREEVY 12-5 +31% ROI L365 DAYS (5-0 @HOME)​
•UNDERS 8-2 L10 STL/DET MATCHUPS​
•MIA 6-1 L7​
•MIA 4-1 L5 VS NYY​
•MIA 7-2 L9 AWAY​

1775221910058.png

MODEL NOT REALLY RELEVANT YET, JUST THROWING IT OUT THERE FOR TESTING.
AnetM-GuessRel-281640473_2068748246636758_5391422207584901219_n_2022-05-19.jpg.c858125e43742e...webp
 
Apr 3
❌3/5.25 COL +175
❌5/4.46 COL u10' -112
❌5/5.65 ARI +115
❌3/2.07 ARI +1' -145
❌4/3.77 ATL o9 -106
❌4/3.88 HOU -103
❌4/4.40 OAK u10 +110
❌4/6.48 STL +162
✅4/4.04 DET u7' +101
❌4/6.32 MIA +158
✅3/4.50 CIN +150
❌4/4.12 TEX u7' +103
❌3/4.50 CHC -1' +150
✅5/4.90 CLE u7' -102
❌4/5.60 BAL -1' +140
⛅5/5.25 KAN u9 +105
✅3/5.70 CHW +190

LAST [4-12-1 -27.90u]
2026 [55-46 +4.60u]

Apr 4
  • 3/7.65 WAS +255
  • 4/3.74 ATL o9' -107
  • 4/2.82 PHI -1' -142
  • 4/3.57 COL u10' -112
  • 4/6.24 CHW +156
  • 3/2.70 CHW +1' -111
  • 4/3.54 CHW u8' -113
  • 4/4.12 OAK +103
  • 4/3.74 OAK u10 -107
  • 4/5.84 LAA +146
  • 4/4.04 SEA o9' +101
  • 4/5.76 DET -1' +144
  • 5/4.76 DET u7' -105
  • 5/6.65 SD +133
  • 4/3.77 BOS u8 -106
  • 4/7.12 MIA +178
  • 3/2.50 MIA +1' -120
  • 4/3.54 TEX u8' -113
NewEraMLBMiamiMarlinsMetallicThreadLogo59FiftyFittedHat_4.png

randoms...
•STREAKS: None >3​
•STL 0-5 AWAY L5​
•DET 5-1 L6 @HOME​
•OAK 8-3 L11 @HOME​
•UNDERS 5-0 L5 IN BOS​
•ATL 10-0 L10 AWAY​
•ARI 3-10 L13​
•PHI 8-0 SU & RL L8 VS COL​

marlins-mermaids.jpg

1775307632270.png1775307914437.png
 
Apr 4
❌3/7.65 WAS +255
❌4/3.74 ATL o9' -107
❌4/2.82 PHI -1' -142
✅4/3.57 COL u10' -112
✅4/6.24 CHW +156
✅3/2.70 CHW +1' -111
❌4/3.54 CHW u8' -113
❌4/4.12 OAK +103
❌4/3.74 OAK u10 -107
✅4/5.84 LAA +146
❌4/4.04 SEA o9' +101
⛅4/5.76 DET -1' +144
⛅5/4.76 DET u7' -105
✅5/6.65 SD +133
✅4/3.77 BOS u8 -106
❌4/7.12 MIA +178
❌3/2.50 MIA +1' -120
✅4/3.54 TEX u8' -113

LAST [7-9-2 -1.70u]
2026 [66-67 +2.90u]

Apr 5
  • 3/5.58 WAS +186
  • 3/4.68 COL +156
  • 4/3.35 PHI o11 -119
  • 4/3.88 ARI -103
  • 6/5.31 ARI u9' -113
  • 5/4.72 MIN -106
  • 4/5.92 CHW +148
  • 4/2.94 OAK +1' -136
  • 4/4.28 LAA u9 +107
  • 2/5.10 MIA +255
  • 3/3.57 MIA +1' +119
  • 5/7.20 SD +144
  • 5/5.75 BAL +115
  • 5/4.76 PIT u8' -105
  • 4/3.42 KAN -117
  • 5/4.31 TEX u8 -116
  • 5/6.25 STL +125
1__84939.1665523589.jpg
​
randoms...
•STREAKS: PHI, PIT 4, WAS -4​
•HOME FAVS RL: 32-23 +16.6% ROI L7 DAYS​
•LAUER(TOR) 13-3 +51.3% ROI L365 DAYS​
•BOS 1-6 L7​
•UNDERS 6-0 L6 IN BOS​
•SD UNDERS 8-3 L11​
•COL 2-12 L14​
•PHI 9-0 SU & 8-1 RL L9 VS COL​

KELLY_CLAUSON_SI.webp
 
NYM (26-14) & NYY (25-14) have been the best bets early season(Mar-Apr) since last year, both returning over 20% ROI on straight plays.

1775396109263.png

...and Yankees are off to the best start in the bigs this year

1775396589709.png


1775396328866.png
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Early season model not applicable as it works to find traction.

1775396425988.png
176188.jpg
 
Apr 5
❌3/5.58 WAS +186
✅3/4.68 COL +156
❌4/3.35 PHI o11 -119
✅4/3.88 ARI -103
❌6/5.31 ARI u9' -113
❌5/4.72 MIN -106
✅4/5.92 CHW +148
✅4/2.94 OAK +1' -136
❌4/4.28 LAA u9 +107
✅2/5.10 MIA +255
✅3/3.57 MIA +1' +119
✅5/7.20 SD +144
❌5/5.75 BAL +115
❌5/4.76 PIT u8' -105
❌4/3.42 KAN -117
✅5/4.31 TEX u8 -116
✅5/6.25 STL +125

LAST [9-8 +7.85u]
2026 [75-75 +10.75u]

Apr 6
  • 3/3.45 CHC +115
  • 4/2.11 CHC +1' -190
  • 4/3.54 TAM u8 -113
  • 4/3.07 PIT -120
  • 5/4.76 PIT u8' -105
  • 4/3.20 MIA -125
  • 3/5.04 MIA -1' +168
  • 5/4.76 MIA u8 -105
  • 4/3.08 LAD -130
  • 4/3.74 TOR u9 -107
  • 4/4.20 MIN u7 +105
  • 5/4.55 TEX -110
  • 4/3.64 TEX u7' -110
  • 4/3.64 MIL -110
  • 3/4.56 COL +152
  • 5/4.42 LAA u8 -113
  • 3/3.21 SF +107
  • 3/2.00 SF +1' -150
images

randoms...
  • STREAKS- PIT 5, NYY 4, TEX & TOR -4, WAS -5
  • CLE IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +5.4u
  • HOUSER(SF) 8-1 @HOME L730 DAYS
  • WOODRUFF(MIL) 11-2 +49.6% ROI L365 DAYS w/0.912 WHIP / .188 AVG ALLOWED
  • MARQUEZ(SD) 6-19 -58% ROI L365 DAYS w/5.423 xFIP (WITH COL)
  • BEST MAR-APR RECORD 2025-26: LAD 28-12, NYM 27-14, NYY 25-15
  • CUBS 1-9 L10 ROADIES
176195.jpg

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4ZRpEh.png
 
Apr 6
❌3/3.45 CHC +115
❌4/2.11 CHC +1' -190
❌4/3.54 TAM u8 -113
❌4/3.07 PIT -120
✅5/4.76 PIT u8' -105
❌4/3.20 MIA -125
❌3/5.04 MIA -1' +168
✅5/4.76 MIA u8 -105
✅4/3.08 LAD -130
❌4/3.74 TOR u9 -107
❌4/4.20 MIN u7 +105
✅5/4.55 TEX -110
✅4/3.64 TEX u7' -110
✅4/3.64 MIL -110
✅3/4.56 COL +152
✅4/3.81 HOU o10' -105
⛅5/4.42 LAA u8 -113
❌3/3.21 SF +107
❌3/2.00 SF +1' -150

LAST [8-10-1 -3.20u]
2026 [83-85 +7.55u]

Apr 7
  • 4/4.32 MIA u7 +108
  • 4/4.00 NYM u7 +100
  • 5/2.44 NYY -205
  • 4/3.60 NYY u8' -111
  • 3/4.62 MIN +154
  • 4/5.68 MIL +142
  • 3/1.88 MIL +1' -160
  • 4/4.00 HOU o10' +100
1775568851214.png​
randoms...
STREAKS- CIN & LAD 4, SF -4, TOR -5​
CLE IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +5.4u ​
DOGS 38-37 +15.9% ROI L7 DAYS​
OVERS 40-31-4 +7.2% ROI L7 DAYS​
CROCHET 23-10 +25.3% ROI w/ 2.560 xFIP L365 DAYS​
SANCHEZ 23-11 +23.3% ROI w/ 2.778 xFIP L365 DAYS​
SKUBAL 23-11 +17.4% ROI w/ 2.572 xFIP L365 DAYS​
ROGERS 15-5 +30.8% ROI w/65% UNDERS (13-7) L365 DAYS​
BAL HAS BEAT CHW 7 STRAIGHT(9 STRAIGHT @CHW)​
SD 12-1 L13 VS PIT​
CUBS 1-10 L11 ROADIES​
AFTER WINNING OPENER, BOS 1-8 IN L9​
NYY 12-3 L15 @HOME​

1775568935507.png
1775568980869.png
1775569026187.png
G75YRz3XIAAtrsT.jpg
 
Apr 7
❌4/4.32 MIA u7 +108
⛅4/4.00 NYM u7 +100
✅5/2.44 NYY -205
✅4/3.60 NYY u8' -111
✅3/4.62 MIN +154
❌4/5.68 MIL +142
✅3/1.88 MIL +1' -160
✅4/4.00 HOU u10' +100

LAST [5-2-1 +8.54u]
2026 [88-87 +16.09u]
Note: I erroneously;y listed play on HOU over yesterday when I actually had under. 🤦🏻‍♀️

Apr 8
  • 5/5.35 PIT u7 +107
  • 4/3.33 PHI -120
  • 5/4.63 SF u8' -108
  • 4/4.44 WAS +111
  • 4/4.84 ARI +121
  • 4/3.81 NYM u7' -105
  • 5.10/5 CLE u7 -102
  • 4/3.81 MIN u8 -105
  • 5.10/5 BOS u7' -102
  • 4/3.81 TOR u7' -105
  • 4/2.81 HOU -142
  • 3/2.65 ATL -113
  • 3/4.35 ATL -1' +145
  • 5/3.79 ATL o8 -132
https-3A-2F-2Ftomahawktake-com-2Fwp-content-2Fuploads-2Fgetty-images-2F2017-2F07-2F959659806-850x560-694fbe526335198ca6a2ba3511be4142.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS- CIN & LAD 5, NYM 4, SEA -4, TOR -6​
CIN 8-3 IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +6.49u ​
DOGS ON ML 45-30 +37.3% ROI L7 DAYS​
DOGS ON RL 47-28 +15.3% ROI L7 DAYS​
DETMERS 0-6 w/ 2.205 xFIP L730 DAYS @HOME​
SINGER'S 28 STARTS 21-7 75% TO UNDER OVER L365 DAYS​
CIN 7-2 +6.14u & COL 5-4 +5.5u ARE TOP 2 PROFIT L10 DAYS ​

1775658834801.png
1775658834810.png
1775658885203.png
THIRD STRAIGHT DAY MODEL TAKING MIL 😬

1770867000186-png.336413
 
Apr 8
❌5/5.35 PIT u7 +107
❌4/3.33 PHI -120
✅5/4.63 SF u8' -108
❌4/4.44 WAS +111
✅4/4.84 ARI +121
❌4/3.81 NYM u7' -105
❌5.10/5 CLE u7 -102
❌4/3.81 MIN u8 -105
✅5.10/5 BOS u7' -102
✅4/3.81 TOR u7' -105
❌4/2.81 HOU -142
✅3/2.65 ATL -113
✅3/4.35 ATL -1' +145
✅5/3.79 ATL o8 -132

LAST [7-7 -1.03u]
2026 [95-94 +15.06u]

Apr 9
  • 4/4.52 CIN +113
  • 3/5.13 COL +171
  • 4/3.17 SD u8' -126
  • 3/1.67 NYY -180
  • 4/4.68 NYY -1' +117
  • 4/4.72 MIN +118
  • 4/3.57 CHW o9 -112
white-ceramic-mug-with-color-inside-dark-blue-11-oz-right-69b32de6f0f7b.jpg

randoms...
STREAKS- CHW -4​
CLE 8-5 IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +6.43u ​
DOGS ON ML 42-33 +24.8% ROI L7 DAYS​
DOGS ON RL 46-29 +9.7% ROI L7 DAYS​
VASQUEZ 18-8 +22.4% ROI DESPITE 5.583 xFIP L365 DAYS ​
VASQUEZ 20 STARTS CASHED UNDER 70% (14-6) L730 DAYS @HOME​
DET 2-7 -57.1% ROI AWAY THIS SEASON​

1775748962854.png
Top 10 teams by profit in 2026
1775749199832.png
Note: My calculation method is to always use risk 1u where standard method risks 1u on dogs but is to win 1u on favs. I do this to add additional value to dog plays and prevent bit hits if I do play big chalk. Both methods are shown here.

1775749403040.png
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1775749818361.png
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Apr 9
❌4/4.52 CIN +113
⛅3/5.13 COL +171
❌4/3.17 SD u8' -126
❌3/1.67 NYY -180
❌4/4.68 NYY -1' +117
✅4/4.72 MIN +118
❌4/3.57 CHW o9 -112

LAST [1-5-1 -14.28u]
2026 [95-94 +0.78u]

Apr 10
  • 6/7.92 PIT +132
  • 5/8.20 ARI +164
  • 3/5.58 WAS +186
  • 3/4.80 COL +160
  • 4/3.87 SD u8 -104
  • 3/3.81 MIN +127
  • 3/1.85 MIN +1' -162
  • 3/4.80 CHW +160
  • 4/3.42 KAN u8' -117
  • 5/6.25 HOU +125
  • 5/6.65 MIA +133
  • 4/6.64 LAA +166
  • 4/5.36 OAK +134
  • 4/5.36 STL +134
  • 4/3.74 LAD -1' -107
1775824226030.png
randoms...
STREAKS- MIN 4, HOU -4, SEA & DET -5​
CLE 8-5 IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +6.43u ​
DOGS ON ML 55-53 +16.5% ROI L10 DAYS​
DOGS ON RL 48-31 +7.9% ROI L7 DAYS​
HOLMES 18-12 +11% ROI L365 DAYS ​
SOROKA(ARI) 2-10 -76.6% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.12 WHIP / 4.195 xFIP​
MARTIN(CHW) 2-11 -81.5% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.32 WHIP / 4.778 xFIP​
DET 2-8 -61.4% ROI AWAY THIS SEASON(LOST L8 IN A ROW)​
COL ROADIES HAVVE CASHED UNDER TOTAL 58.2%(46-33-3) L365 DAYS​

Pittsburgh-Pirates-v-Arizona-Diamondbacks-10-1_1759514554.jpg


1775824461576.png
 
Apr 10
✅6/7.92 PIT +132
✅5/8.20 ARI +164
✅3/5.58 WAS +186
❌3/4.80 COL +160
✅4/3.87 SD u8 -104
❌3/3.81 MIN +127
❌3/1.85 MIN +1' -162
❌3/4.80 CHW +160
✅4/3.42 KAN u8' -117
❌5/6.25 HOU +125
❌5/6.65 MIA +133
✅4/6.64 LAA +166
✅4/5.36 OAK +134
✅4/5.36 STL +134
❌4/3.74 LAD -1' -107

LAST [+20.35u 8-7]
2026 [+21.13u 102-101]

Apr 11
  • 6/6.90 ARI +115
  • 3/1.74 ARI +1' -172
  • 4/3.51 PHI u9 -114
  • 4/5.16 PIT +129
  • 4/6.32 WAS +158
  • 4/5.40 SD -1' +135
  • 5/4.55 SD u8' -110
  • 4/6.96 CHW +174
  • 4/4.36 KAN u9 +109
  • 4/3.92 NYY -1' -102
  • 4/3.88 TAM u7' -103
  • 5/6.15 MIA +123
  • 5/6.00 LAA +120
  • 4/5.92 OAK +148
  • 4/3.64 CLE o8 -110
  • 4/4.88 STL +122
  • 4/6.64 TEX +166
  • 4/3.60 TEX o8' -111
c__26608.1757518104.jpg

randoms...
STREAKS- HOU -5​
CLE 8-6 IS PROFIT CHAMP SO FAR AT +5.43u ​
DOGS ON ML 60-50 +24.8% ROI L10 DAYS​
DOGS ON RL 53-30 +10.8% ROI L7 DAYS​
LAUER 7-0 @HOME +74.3% ROI L365 DAYS ​
FRIED 18-12 +40.6% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/1.08 WHIP / 3.046 xFIP​
HARRISON 9-3 +33.7% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 1.50 WHIP / 3.647 xFIP​
SENGA 10-3 +18.8% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 1.34 WHIP / 4.169 xFIP​
FEDDE 7-22 -56.5% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.58 WHIP / 5.272 xFIP​
FELTNER 3-13 -72.9% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.58 WHIP / 4.398 xFIP​
COL ROADIES HAVE CASHED UNDER TOTAL 58.8%(47-33-3) L365 DAYS​

BEST/WORST STARTER$ LAST 365 DAYS w/ w-L roi ERA/WHIP/xFIP
LAUER(TOR) 13-4 / +58.7% / 2.19 / 1.26 / 4.218
HARRISON(MIL) 6-2 +49.1% / 3.62 / 1.50 / 3.800
PEREZ(ATL) 2-7 /-64.3% / 3.28 / 1.16 / 5.448
MARQUEZ(SD) 7-19 / -55.4% / 3.59 / 1.76 / 5.423

1775925853753.png
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176227.jpg
 
Apr 11
❌6/6.90 ARI +115
✅3/1.74 ARI +1' -172
✅4/3.51 PHI u9 -114
✅4/5.16 PIT +129
✅4/6.32 WAS +158
✅4/5.40 SD -1' +135
❌5/4.55 SD u8' -110
❌4/6.96 CHW +174
✅4/4.36 KAN u9 +109
❌4/3.92 NYY -1' -102
❌4/3.88 TAM u7' -103
❌5/6.15 MIA +123
❌5/6.00 LAA +120
✅4/5.92 OAK +148
❌4/3.64 CLE o8 -110
❌4/4.88 STL +122
❌4/6.64 TEX +166
✅4/3.60 TEX o8' -111

LAST [-8.99u 8-10]
2026 [+12.14u 112-116]

Apr 12
  • 4/5.04 ARI +126
  • 3/1.82 ARI +1' -165
  • 5/4.76 PHI u8' -105
  • 3/5.94 WAS +198
  • 4/3.64 MIL u8 -110
  • 4/4.92 PIT +123
  • 4/1.90 SD -210
  • 3/3.15 SD -1' +105
  • 5/4.46 SD u8 -112
  • 3/3.39 MIN +113
  • 3/1.52 MIN +1' -198
  • 3/4.08 TAM +136
  • 3/2.34 TAM +1' -128
  • 4/6.40 CHW +160
  • 4/3.81 KAN u9 -105
  • 4/5.76 HOU +144
  • 4/6.80 MIA +170
  • 4/3.25 DET u6' -123
  • 3/4.53 OAK +151
  • 4/4.44 OAK o7' +111
  • 5/5.10 CIN +102
  • 4/4.52 STL +113
  • 4/3.48 ATL u7' -115
817pOerwDQL._AC_UY1000_.jpg


randoms...
  • STREAKS- OAK & SD 4, MIL, NYM % NYY -4, HOU -6
  • BEST PROFIT ROI:
    • SEASON: CLE 9-6 +6.43u +42.9% ROI
    • L10 DAYS: OAK 6-2 +6.48u +81.0% ROI
  • DOGS ON ML 84-81 +17% ROI L14 DAYS
  • DOGS ON RL 68-43 +6.8% ROI L10 DAYS
  • WOODRUFF 6-0 +55.7% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 0.91 WHIP
  • SKUBAL 21-6 +10.7% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 0.86 WHIP / 2.242 xFIP
  • SALE 14-4 +14.8% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 1.06 WHIP / 2.735 xFIP
  • CAMERON UNDERS 19-7 73.1% L365 DAYS
  • GILBERT @HOME UNDERS 19-4 82.6% L730 DAYS
1776002836020.png​
  • BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
    • WOODRUFF 12-2 / +52.8% / 0.912 / 3.24
    • SKUBAL 22-12 +14.1% / 0.856 / 2.572
    • SCHLITTLER 13-6 +22.7% / 1.219 / 3.77
    • CIVALE 6-13 / -48.5% / 1.36 / 4.886
    • FREELAND 11-20 / -35.4% / 1.467 / 4.427
Doyers now have best ROI in MAR/APR 2025-26, no substitute for winning at almost 20 games over 500
1776002885730.png
1776002979845.png
1776003012303.png
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Apr 12
✅4/5.04 ARI +126
✅3/1.82 ARI +1' -165
✅5/4.76 PHI u8' -105
✅3/5.94 WAS +198
❌4/3.64 MIL u8 -110
❌4/4.92 PIT +123
✅4/1.90 SD -210
✅3/3.15 SD -1' +105
❌5/4.46 SD u8 -112
✅3/3.39 MIN +113
✅3/1.52 MIN +1' -198
✅3/4.08 TAM +136
✅3/2.34 TAM +1' -128
✅4/6.40 CHW +160
❌4/3.81 KAN u9 -105
❌4/5.76 HOU +144
❌4/6.80 MIA +170
❌4/3.25 DET u6' -123
✅3/4.53 OAK +151
❌4/4.44 OAK o7' +111
❌5/5.10 CIN +102
❌4/4.52 STL +113
❌4/3.48 ATL u7' -115

LAST [12-11 -1.13u]
2026 [124-127 +11.01u]

Apr 13
  • 5/2.44 PIT -205
  • 5/3.62 ATL -138
  • 4/3.48 ATL u8' -115
  • 5/4.31 NYM +1' -116
  • 4/3.64 LAD u9 -110
  • 2/3.04 HOU +152
  • 3/2.14 HOU +1' -140
  • 5/5.10 SEA u7' +102
  • 2/3.36 LAA +168
  • 3/2.61 LAA +1' -115
  • 3/4.56 MIN +152
  • 3/2.59 MIN +1' -116
  • 5/5.70 OAK +114
  • 6/7.02 ARI +117
  • 4/3.54 ARI o8' -113
  • 4/4.20 STL +105
  • 4/3.81 STL u8 -105
minnesota-twins-sign-t7eq41njril5oe7z.jpg


randoms...
  • STREAKS- OAK & SD 5, COL -4, MIL, NYM % NYY -5, HOU -7
  • BEST PROFIT ROI:
    • SEASON: CLE 9-7 +5.43u +34% ROI
    • L10 DAYS: OAK 7-2 +7.97u +88.6% ROI
  • BOTH MIA & HOU 10-3 ON OVER L15 DAYS
  • DOGS ON ML 86-81 +18% ROI L14 DAYS
  • DOGS ON RL 74-49 +5.1% ROI L10 DAYS
  • SANCHEZ 23-3 +34% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 1.06 WHIP
  • CROCHET 18-10 +18.9% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.03 WHIP
  • HOLMES 3-11 -67.4% ROI @HOME L730 DAYS w/ 1.33
  • WILLIAMS(CLE) UNDERS @HOME 15-5 75% L730 DAYS
  • HOLMES(ATL) UNDERS @HOME 11-2 84.6% L730 DAYS
  • PEREZ(MIA) AWAY OVERS 8-2 80% L730 DAYS
  • TOP BULLPEN ERA
    • ATL 1.99
    • SEA 2.10
    • TEX 2.29
    • CIN 2.94
    • NYY/NYM 2.98
x3znnil7aenxvf4fqvng


BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
  • CROCHET 24-9 / +32% / 1.035 / 2.56
  • SANCHEZ 22-12 +18% / 1.063 / 2.778
  • EOVALDI 15-7 +16.5% / 0.904 / 3.232
  • BURROWS 8-14 / -34.7% / 1.327 / 3.988
gey7w400e9781.jpg.dbf49266f92776685d73a68923a782ed.webp
 
Even though the model has shown slight profit on plays as well as leans, it's only been in test mode. I'm resetting record to zero starting today, and it goes live and meaningful to me.

1776089487494.png
legends-limited-edition-saddle-gun-co2-powered-lever-action-carbine-airsoft-rifle-goldblack__34991_800x.jpg

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Last edited:
Apr 13
✅5/2.44 PIT -205
❌5/3.62 ATL -138
❌4/3.48 ATL u8' -115
❌5/4.31 NYM +1' -116
✅4/3.64 LAD u9 -110
❌2/3.04 HOU +152
❌3/2.14 HOU +1' -140
❌5/5.10 SEA u7' +102
❌2/3.36 LAA +168
✅3/2.61 LAA +1' -115
✅3/4.56 MIN +152
✅3/2.59 MIN +1' -116
❌5/5.70 OAK +114
❌6/7.02 ARI +117
✅4/3.54 ARI o8' -113
❌4/4.20 STL +105
❌4/3.81 STL u8 -105

LAST [6-11 -25.62u]
2026 [130-136 -14.61u]

Apr 14
  • 4/5.12 CHC +128
  • 5/2.91 PIT -172
  • 4/5.80 MIA +148
  • 6/3.30 LAD -182
  • 6/6.42 KAN +107
  • 4/3.74 DET u8 -107
  • 3/4.80 LAA +160
  • 4/3.20 TAM -125
  • 4/4.80 MIN +120
  • 4/3.17 COL +1' -126
  • 5/5.50 HOU u8' +110
1776184650206.png

randoms...
  • STREAKS- SD 5, sea 4, COL -4, MIL -5, HOU -8
  • BEST PROFIT ROI:
    • SEASON: CLE 10-7 +6.34u +37.3% ROI
    • L10 DAYS: OAK 6-3 +6.01u +66.8% ROI
  • MIA 11-2 ON OVER L15 DAYS(WAS & HOU BOTH 10-3)
  • DOGS ON ML 79-83 +11.5% ROI L14 DAYS
  • MISIOROWSKI 7-0 +78.6% ROI @HOME w/ 32.3% K-RATE
  • RAY 13-4 +34.2% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.21 WHIP
  • MEYER 2-8 -67.1% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.33
  • VALDEZ(DET) UNDERS @HOME 18-6 75% L730 DAYS
  • LOPEZ(ATL) UNDERS @HOME 11-1 91.7% L730 DAYS
kansas-city-royals-kcrew-dgm160707309_mariners_at_royalsjpg.jpg

  • BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
    • ROGERS 16-5 / +34.22% / 0.93 / 3.637
    • CANTILLO 11-5 +22.6% /
1776184777066.png
1776184806438.png
1776184850149.png
 
Apr 14
✅4/5.12 CHC +128
❌5/2.91 PIT -172
❌4/5.80 MIA +148
✅6/3.30 LAD -182
❌6/6.42 KAN +107
✅4/3.74 DET u8 -107
✅3/4.80 LAA +160
✅4/3.20 TAM -125
✅4/4.80 MIN +120
✅4/3.17 COL +1' -126
❌5/5.50 HOU u8' +110

LAST [7-4 +8.13u]
2026 [137-142 -6.48u]

Apr 15
  • 4/2.44 CHC +1' -164
  • 4/4.08 CIN +102
  • 3/4.92 WAS +164
  • 4/3.36 PIT u9' -119
  • 3/4.62 MIA +154
  • 5/5.05 MIN u8 +101
  • 5/4.00 DET -125
  • 4/3.77 NYY u10' -106
  • 5/4.35 OAK u10 -115
  • 4/4.56 ARI +139
  • 4/3.60 BAL u9 -111
  • 4/3.92 STL -102
  • 4/3.57 TOR -112
  • 5/2.91 HOU -172
  • 4/4.24 HOU u8' +106
  • 4/3.96 SD -101
1776258341725.png

randoms...
  • STREAKS- SD 6, DET, MIN & TAM 4, COL -5, MIL -6, MIL -7
    • SEASON: MIN 11-7 +6.69u +37.1% ROI
    • L10 DAYS: OAK 7-2 +8.05u +89.4% ROI
  • MIA 11-2 ON OVER L15 DAYS(WAS & HOU BOTH 10-3)
  • DOGS ON ML 85-78 +18.9% ROI L14 DAYS
  • DOGS ON RL 79-47 +8.4% ROI L10 DAYS
  • VALDEZ(DET) UNDERS @HOME 18-6 75% L730 DAYS
  • MAHLE(SF) UNDERS 12-4 75% L365 DAYS
  • PATRICK(MIL) UNDERS 16-6 72.7% L365 DAYS
  • ELDER(ATL) UNDERS 19-8 70.4% L365 DAYS
  • PADDACK(MIA) UNDERS 16-8 66.7% L365 DAYS
1776215417060745.jpg
  • BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
    • VASQUEZ(SD) 18-8 / +22.2% / 1.33 / 5.497
    • FLAHERTY 10-23 -38.7% / 1.316 / 3.715
  • BEST/WORST STARTER$ L730 DAYS @SITE W-L / ROI / WHIP
    • HOLMES(NYM) 10-5 +45.6% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.28 WHIP
    • PADDACK(MIA) 7-16 -47.4% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.23 WHIP
    • ROCKER(TEX) 1-8 -82.7% ROI AWAY L730 DAYS w/ 1.40 WHIP
1719817630845505-1.jpg
 
Last edited:
LAD best March/April record and profit for 2025-26 and the Pads are 2nd...also of note they have the 2 best records so far this year.

1776258463161.png

1776258564975.png

1776258583912.png
1776258615110.png

The model has started decent in first 2 days since I announced it ready to go.
1776258680065.png

My bases record by bet type and day of week show I've done well with ML sides, but totals have held me down. Also, Tuesday has been the best day of the week to this point. Last year Wednesday was huge in day of week numbers...and this year it's right there at #2

1776259100465.png

in-or-out-v0-v8cr6p1l52ug1.jpg
 
Apr 15
✅4/2.44 CHC +1' -164
✅4/4.08 CIN +102
❌3/4.92 WAS +164
✅4/3.36 PIT u9' -119
❌3/4.62 MIA +154
❌5/5.05 MIN u8 +101
✅5/4.00 DET -125
✅4/3.77 NYY u10' -106
❌5/4.35 OAK u10 -115
✅4/4.56 ARI +139
❌4/3.60 BAL u9 -111
✅4/3.92 STL -102
❌4/3.57 TOR -112
✅5/2.91 HOU -172
✅4/4.24 HOU u8' +106
✅4/3.96 SD -101

LAST [10-6 +13.24u]
2026 [147-148 +6.76u]

Apr 16
  • 4/5.60 WAS +140
  • 4/3.45 PIT u9 -116
  • 4/3.31 CIN -121
  • 4/4.24 DET +106
  • 2/5.00 LAA +250
  • 5/5.15 OAK +103
  • 4/4.56 BAL +114
  • 3/1.61 BAL +1' -186
  • 4/3.25 MIL -123
  • 5/4.85 MIL u8' -103
  • 5/4.35 HOU u9 -115
  • 5/5.40 SD +108

1776343717972.png
randoms...
STREAKS- SD 7, DET & TAM 5, SF -4, COL -6, NYM -8
BEST PROFIT ROI:
SEASON: MIN 11-8 +5.69u +29.9% ROI
L10 DAYS: MIN 8-2 +7.9u +80% ROI
MIA 10-2 ON OVER L15 DAYS(TAM 8-2 & CHC 9-3)
DOGS ON ML 82-78 +15.3% ROI L14 DAYS
DOGS ON RL 96-64 +44.4% ROI L14 DAYS
VALDEZ(DET) UNDERS @HOME 18-6 75% L730 DAYS
MONTERO(DET) UNDERS 10-3 L365 DAYS
BURNS(CIN) UNDERS 9-2 L365 DAYS
LOPEZ(OAK) UNDERS 7-1 L365 DAYS
BUEHLER(SD) UNDERS 14-5 L365 DAYS

WMGQmM.gif


BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
CASTILLO(SEA) 21-12 / +20% / 1.19 / 4.085
MESSICK(CLE) 7-3 +21% / 1.311 / 3.15
BURNS(CIN) 3-8 -42.8% / 1.34 / 2.343
LEITER(TEX) 10-20 -40.9 / 1.32 / 4.671
BEST/WORST STARTERS W-L ROI / @SITE / WHIP L730 DAYS
LOPEZ(OAK) 6-2 +49.4% HOME w/ 1.24
BUEHLER(SD) 13-6 +9.6% HOME w/ 1.57
CORBIN(TOR) 7-17 -59.9% AWAY w/ 1.34

176267.jpg
 
1776345562195.png

Top 5 teams all NL (,,•᷄‎ࡇ•᷅ ,,)?
Model is cranking along, today's LAA selection is only if Kikuchi goes.

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Schedules so far in 2026
1776345944630.png
vG0Mw9.jpg


www.lineups.com

MLB Starting Lineups Today

Lineups brings you projected MLB starting lineups for each day’s games, with up to date conformations when lineups are confirmed.
www.lineups.com www.lineups.com
 
Apr 16
✅4/5.60 WAS +140
❌4/3.45 PIT u9 -116
❌4/3.31 CIN -121
✅4/4.24 DET +106
✅2/5.00 LAA +250
❌5/5.15 OAK +103
❌4/4.56 BAL +114
❌3/1.61 BAL +1' -186
✅4/3.25 MIL -123
✅5/4.85 MIL u8' -103
✅5/4.35 HOU u9 -115
✅5/5.40 SD +108

LAST [7-5 +12.69u]
2026 [154-153 +19.45u]

Been on a mini 3-day roll. 🍀💰🍺🚀

1776431142322.png

Apr 17
  • 4/5.20 NYM +130
  • 4/3.25 NYM o10 -123
  • 4/5.60 WAS +140
  • 6/2.18 LAD -275
  • 4/3.20 CLE -125
  • 4/3.85 OAK u9' -104
  • 3/5.40 SEA -1' +180
  • 4/3.85 TEX o6' -104
  • 5/3.13 MIN -160
  • 4/3.48 MIN u8 -115
  • 4/5.08 SD +127
1776431366484.png

randoms...
STREAKS- SD 8, DET & TAM 6, KAN -4, NYM -8
BEST PROFIT ROI:
SEASON: SD 13-6 +7.5u +30.2% ROI
L10 DAYS: MIN 7-2 +7.05u +78.3% ROI
DOGS ON ML 86-81 +16.5% ROI L14 DAYS
DOGS ON RL 100-67 +4.1% ROI L14 DAYS
GILBERT(SEA) UNDERS @HOME 19-4 L730 DAYS
SENGA(NYM) UNDERS @HOME 2-8 L730 DAYS
MONTERO(DET) UNDERS 10-3 L365 DAYS
MIZE(DET) OVERS 20-8 L365 DAYS
SUGANO(COL) UNDERS 21-8 L365 DAYS


BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
LAUER(TOR) 13-5 / +36.9% / 1.257 / 4.218
GLASNOW(LAD) 15-6 +19.5% / 1.073 / 3.606
PEREZ(ATL) 1-8 -82% / 1.093 / 5.332
SOROKA(ARI) 6-13 -46.7 / 1.123 / 4.121
BEST/WORST STARTERS W-L ROI / @SITE / WHIP L730 DAYS
SUGANO(COL) 10-4 +37.1% HOME w/ 1.31
BASSITT(BAL) 6-17 -49.9% AWAY w/ 1.36
SOROKA(ARI) 7-17 -53.8% HOME w/ 1.12
MARTIN(CHW) 2-12 -82.5% AWAY w/ 1.30

Amazing stat...Cobb stole home 54 times!

1776430655159.png
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1776430995536.png

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Apr 17
❌4/5.20 NYM +130
✅4/3.25 NYM o10 -123
❌4/5.60 WAS +140
✅6/2.18 LAD -275
❌4/3.20 CLE -125
❌4/3.85 OAK u9' -104
❌3/5.40 SEA -1' +180
❌4/3.85 TEX o6' -104
❌5/3.13 MIN -160
✅4/3.48 MIN u8 -115
❌4/5.08 SD +127

LAST [3-8 -23.09u]
2026 [157-161 -3.64]

Apr 18
  • 3/3.15 NYM +105
  • 5/5.00 WAS +100
  • 5/5.65 ATL +113
  • 5/2.78 LAD -1' -180
  • 4/4.16 NYY u8 +104
  • 4/2.63 OAK -152
  • 4/2.56 DET -156
  • 4/3.20 CLE -125
  • 5/2.81 TEX +1' -178
  • 5/6.15 CIN +123
  • 5/4.55 MIN u8 -110
  • 4/4.32 PIT u7 +108
  • 5/6.50 STL +130
  • 5/4.27 ARI -117
  • 6/5.66 LAA -106
mike-trout-toon.png

randoms...
STREAKS- LAD 4, SEA 4, KAN -5, NYM -9
BEST PROFIT ROI:
SEASON: LAA 11-10 +6.04u +52.4% ROI
L10 DAYS: ARI 7-2 +6.87u +77.8% ROI
DOGS ON ML 87-83 +15.6% ROI L14 DAYS
DOGS ON RL 102-68 +3.3% ROI L14 DAYS
CAMERON(KAN) UNDERS AWAY 8-2 L730 DAYS
MCCULLERS(HOU) UNDERS 12-4 L365 DAYS
BEST $$ ON SATURDAY L365 DAYS
TAM 17-9 +8.6u
WAS 14-13 +8.3u
CLE 18-11 +8.2u
MIA 16-12 +7.3u

BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
WOODRUFF(MIL) 12-3 / +39.3% / 0.912 / 3.24
SANCHEZ(PHI) 22-12 / +18% / 1.04 / 2.728
SKUBAL(DET) 22-12 / +13.1% / 0.862 / 2.559
EOVALDI(TEX) 16-6 / +25.4% / 0.883 / 3.071
FEDDE(CHW) 6-16 / -43.1% / 1.59 / 5.270
MARQUIZ(SD) 8-17 -46.6 / 1.744 / 5.444
BEST/WORST STARTERS W-L / ROI / @SITE / WHIP L730 DAYS
SANCHEZ(PHI) 23-3 / +34.3% / HOME / 1.04
SKENES(PIT) 17-9 / +5.7% / AWAY / 0.96
FEDDE(CHW) 7-23 / -58.3% / HOME / 1.59
KREMER(BAL) 9-17 / -38.9% / AWAY / 1.18

1776519388100.png
1776519122961022.jpg
 
Apr 18
❌3/3.15 NYM +105
❌5/5.00 WAS +100
✅5/5.65 ATL +113
❌5/2.78 LAD -1' -180
❌4/4.16 NYY u8 +104
✅4/2.63 OAK -152
✅4/2.56 DET -156
✅4/3.20 CLE -125
❌5/2.81 TEX +1' -178
✅5/6.15 CIN +123
❌5/4.55 MIN u8 -110
❌4/4.32 PIT u7 +108
✅5/6.50 STL +130
✅5/4.27 ARI -117
❌6/5.66 LAA -106

LAST [7-8 -6.04u]
2026 [164-169 -9.68]

Apr 19
  • 4/5.56 WAS +139
  • 4/3.70 WAS u8' -108
  • 4/3.51 MIA u8 -114
  • 4/3.42 CHC -117
  • 2/3.36 CHC -1' +168
  • 4/1.51 LAD -260
  • 4/2.33 LAD -1' -172
  • 4/5.68 KAN +142
  • 4/3.08 BOS -140
  • 5/4.67 CLE -107
  • 4/5.68 CHW +142
  • 4/3.81 PIT -105
  • 4/5.44 STL +136
  • 4/4.60 CIN +115
  • 6/5.88 ARI -102
  • 4/3.48 ARI u8' -115
1776598707437.png
randoms...
STREAKS- ARI, ATL, CHC, MIL, & STL 4, MIA, PHI & TOR -4, KAN -6, NYM -10
BEST PROFIT ROI:
SEASON: ARI 13-8 +6.89u +32.8% ROI
L10 DAYS: TAM 7-1 +7.26u +90.7% ROI
DOGS ON ML 87-84 +15.5% ROI L14 DAYS
DOGS ON RL 102-69 +2.1% ROI L14 DAYS
SINGER(CIN) UNDERS 22-7 L365 DAYS
BEST $$ ON SUNDAY L365 DAYS
MIA 16-11 +11.3u
SEA 21-9 +9.7u
CIN 17-9 +9.1u
SD 18-8 +8.8u

BEST/WORST STARTER$ L365 DAYS W-L / ROI / WHIP / xFIP
ROGERS(BAL) 16-6 / +26.7% / 0.903 / 3.637
CROCHET(BOS) 23-10 / +25.8% / 1.048 / 2.527
BURROWS(HOU) 8-15 / -38.2% / 1.246 / 3.738
KELLER(PIT) 11-21 -43% / 1.249 / 4.177
BEST/WORST STARTERS W-L / ROI / @SITE / WHIP L730 DAYS
WOO(SEA) 16-4 / +30.4% / HOME / 0.92
RAY(SF) 13-5 / +27.6% / AWAY / 1.21
NELSON(ARI) 12-6 / +27% / AWAY / 1.08
MYERS(NYM) 4-9 / -40.4% / AWAY / 1.93
GORE(TEX) 9-18 / -46% / AWAY / 1.37
DETMERS(LAA) 0-7 / -100% / HOME / 1.28

1776598652207.png
 
Apr 19
✅4/5.56 WAS +139
✅4/3.70 WAS u8' -108
⛅4/3.51 MIA u8 -114
✅4/3.42 CHC -117
❌2/3.36 CHC -1' +168
❌4/1.51 LAD -260
❌4/2.33 LAD -1' -172
❌4/5.68 KAN +142
❌4/3.08 BOS -140
✅5/4.67 CLE -107
✅4/5.68 CHW +142
✅4/3.81 PIT -105
✅4/5.44 STL +136
✅4/4.60 CIN +115
❌6/5.88 ARI -102
❌4/3.48 ARI u8' -115

LAST [8-7-1 +8.88u]
2026 [172-176 -0.80u]

I was crushing yesterday early on, but managed to lose 5 of last 6 to finish with a decent day. Basically dead even on the year now, so...

370


Apr 20
  • 4/4.00 MIA u8 +100
  • 4/4.12 WAS u8 +103
  • 4/3.92 CHC -102
  • 5/2.08 LAD -240
  • 4/2.44 LAD -1' -164
  • 4/3.70 CLE -108
  • 4/2.60 KAN +1' -154
  • 4/3.88 KAN u9 -103
  • 4/4.48 LAA +112
  • 4/3.67 TOR o7' -109
  • 5/7.00 OAK +140
images
randoms...
STREAKS- ATL, CHC, & STL 5, HOU & MIN -4, PHI -4, KAN -7, NYM -11
BEST PROFIT ROI:
L10 DAYS: TAM 7-2 +6.26u +69.51% ROI
SEASON: CIN 14-8 +7.67u +34.9% ROI
SEASON @HOME: COL 6-3 +8.27U +91.89% ROI
SEASON AWAY: WAS 8-5 +8.74u +67.23% ROI
DOGS ON ML 82-87 +10.1% ROI L14 DAYS
ELDER(ATL) UNDERS 11-3 ON THE ROAD L730 DAYS
BEST $$ ON MONDAY L365 DAYS
LAA 12-7 +8.9u
BAL 10-6 +4.2u
ATL 12-6 +3.6u
KAN 9-6 +3.0u

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