2026 Golf Handicapping Thread....

Recap later, gonna keep firing, rd.3

Hoge under 68.5 -112 5u
Bobby Mac under 67.5 -130 5u
Novak under 70.5 -104 2u

GL on your plays
 
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B.A.R. said:
Outrights

Hodges 200
McCarty 140
Max Greyserman 80
Berger 75
SW Kim 50


Avoiding bogies is big this week. Birdies and pars!

Wedge play paramount/irons huge

Putting not as much. Rahm lost strokes winning here.

Ben Griffin lost all value. Henley as well.

Si Woo staying at 50 is shocking.
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I have two guys within 2 strokes and I feel like they have zero chance lol.

Scottie has 7 holes left, albeit at the SC.

Still, almost everyone else in the top 25 is done.

Birdie attempt upcoming from 9 feet and another par 5 left

Scottie OUTRIGHT -130 @betonline
 
2-3 Amex, -1.8u.
Rd.4

Hoge under 70.5 -110 4u
Add- Billy Ho under 70.5 -132 3u

Will look to add outright, live.

GL on your plays and go Broncs
 
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4-3 Amex +4.5u, finishing strong.. Counting Sony, I'm even for the year and happy about it.

Farmers up next- Rotation of North and South course then South course for the weekend. Weather's suppose to be good. Starting to dig in with the standard Ron Klos stuff, hopefully some plays for round 1 tomorrow.

GL this week boys.
 
Outrights...

No Scottie, so we have a chance...

Gotterup 25-1
Nicolai 60-1
Max G 60-1
Homasexual 45-1
Coody 60-1

There are a few others I like that simply lost the # on, that's fine. I'll likely do some totals as well. I've been doing okay on those so far to even out my investments. Now, to consistently posting them.

All that being said, good data coming in after a few weeks and I expect to be more involved coming up.

Purposely starting nice n slow... Maybe pop one here (hoping).
 
Farmers-

SH Kim to make the cut -125 6u (Ceasars)
Add- Rd.1 Homa -122 v Brooksie 4u (DK)

Looking to fade Brooksie rd.1- over/under is 72.5, also cheap h2h v. Homa.

Glad he’s back but don’t think his game is tuned, lots going on with the move from the dark side. First round back on the south course. We’ll see
 
It's going to be a really popular pick, but I'm taking Jason Day in my OAD.

I saw somewhere that something like 6 of the last 7 winners played the North Course first. Not sure why that would matter outside of weather, but I made sure Day started on the North. Weather is supposed to be ideal all 4 days, so it shouldn't come into play.
 
laopadak said:
Farmers-

SH Kim to make the cut -125 6u (Ceasars)

Looking to fade Brooksie rd.1- over/under is 72.5, also cheap h2h v. Homa.

Glad he’s back but don’t think his game is tuned, lots going on with the move from the dark side. First round back on the south course. We’ll see
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The two things about Brooks were always his health, and his GAF for the event. I have to assume he's healthy, otherwise he wouldn't have made the jump from LIV. And I have to think he is really motivated for this event to prove to people he's still world class. It may not be to his major level focus, but higher than he'd normally be for a regular tour event. I still agree with you that fading him is the right play, especially since his numbers will be skewed from the elevated numbers he's likely to draw for this week. I'm pretty sure he starts on the South, so I could definitely see him put up a crooked number
 
gps_3 said:
It's going to be a really popular pick, but I'm taking Jason Day in my OAD.

I saw somewhere that something like 6 of the last 7 winners played the North Course first. Not sure why that would matter outside of weather, but I made sure Day started on the North. Weather is supposed to be ideal all 4 days, so it shouldn't come into play.
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Great OAD pick.

My player pool for that...

Gotterup
Homa
Day
X
Cam Young

Eliminated a few for obvious reasons of saving later.
 
laopadak said:
Farmers-

SH Kim to make the cut -125 6u (Ceasars)
Add- Rd.1 Homa -122 v Brooksie 4u (DK)

Looking to fade Brooksie rd.1- over/under is 72.5, also cheap h2h v. Homa.

Glad he’s back but don’t think his game is tuned, lots going on with the move from the dark side. First round back on the south course. We’ll see
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Brooks has never made the cut at this tournament.

Zero reason to touch him THIS week.

Brooks missed 3 cuts at Majors (12th at Oakmont). His only top tens on LIV occurred by mid March last year.

The form isn't there, potentially.

Now, maybe he shows something this week and we can back him at Phoenix, a place he has great history at.
 
laopadak said:
Farmers-

SH Kim to make the cut -125 6u (Ceasars)
Add- Rd.1 Homa -122 v Brooksie 4u (DK)

Looking to fade Brooksie rd.1- over/under is 72.5, also cheap h2h v. Homa.

Glad he’s back but don’t think his game is tuned, lots going on with the move from the dark side. First round back on the south course. We’ll see
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That homa bet is excellent
 
I remember last years event as being a shit show due to weather. even or +1 on SC was a good number. Don't think streaming has started yet but will tune in immediately and think -1 to -3 on SC will be pretty good, -3 to -5 on NC good and ERL will be in the -6 to -7 range.

Let's get that $$ boys
 
Brooks looked solid today. +1 on the south isn’t out of it by any means, but needs at least -6 tomorrow I’d think
 
Right idea on Brooksie Rd.1, wrong selection as I banked on Homa instead on Brooks over/under.

Rd.2
JJ under 68.5 -114 4u(DK)

GL on your plays
 
1-2 Farmers, -3.8u. Easy winner with SH Kim making cut, didn’t see Homa & JJ imploding. Onward and upward.

Rd.3
Powers under 72.5 -122 5u (DK)
Add- Brooksie over 71.5 -142 3u (DK)

GL on your plays today
 
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1-1 rd.3 -2.9u, -6.7u Farmers. Rd.4, both at Ceasars

Cole under 71.5 +110 4u
Hisatsune under 72.5 -135 4u
 
So Cal weather and views were spectacular as was JRose. Got sick of all the love for Koepka. Nice to have him back, but it is overdone like asking us to celebrate Pete Buttigieg coming back from maternity leave.
 
CHSGTMD said:
So Cal weather and views were spectacular as was JRose. Got sick of all the love for Koepka. Nice to have him back, but it is overdone like asking us to celebrate Pete Buttigieg coming back from maternity leave.
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Love the tournament but the last thing it needs is the runaway. Only watched some Friday action which is frustrating as LaJolla is one of my favorite places on the planet and an actually awesome weather weekend for golf. Justin was just too good.
 
Working on my player pool...

Obviously with Sheffler in the field my outrights lay decreases quite a bit.

Hopefully find some totals this week. Four rounds on one course is nice. Easier for me to be honest.

Weather looks great! This might be the best start to a season weather wise in a decade or so. Last year I felt like every tournament the first 2-3 months we were capping waves a lot on Thursday and Friday.
 
This Wyndham interview is one of the most compelling interviews I've ever heard in all of sport

If you didn't see it, please look it up and listen

Insanely raw from someone on the inside of a corporately driven league. He completely didn't lay up. Good stuff.
 
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