2025 Week One CFB Discussion Thread

B.A.R.

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Thursday, August 28th:


Boise St -9.5 and 61.5
South Florida

Ohio
Rutgers -10.5 and 47.5

East Carolina
NC State -12.5 and 56.5

Jacksonville St
Central Florida -16.5 and 56.5

Wyoming -9.5 and 49.5
Akron

Buffalo
Minnesota -17.5 and 45.5

Miami (OH)
Wisconsin -17.5 and 41.5

Nebraska -7 and 50.5
Cincinnati
 
Friday, August 29th:


Appy St -8.5 and 53.5
Charlotte

Kennesaw St
Wake Forest -17.5 and 53.5

Western Michigan
Michigan State -17.5 and 49.5

UNLV -13.5 and 58.5
Sam Houston St

Central Michigan
San Jose State -10.5 and 51
 
Saturday, August 30th


Ball State
Purdue -16.5 and 50.5

FAU
Maryland -16.5 and 57.5

Mississippi St -13.5 and 57.5
Southern Miss

Northwestern
Tulane -6.5 and 47.5

Toledo
Kentucky -10.5 and 48.5

Old Dominion
Indiana -23.5 and NA

Marshall
Georgia -39.5 and 55.5

Nevada
Penn State -45.5 and 60.5

Temple
Umass -1 and 52.5

Alabama -12.5 and 51
Florida State

Auburn -2.5 and 56.5
Baylor

Coastal Carolina
Virginia -12.5 and 57.5

Georgia Tech -4 and 57.5
Colorado

LSU
Clemson -3 and 56.5

Tennessee -12.5 and 55.5
Syracuse (at Atlanta)

Texas
Ohio State -3 and 50.5

UTSA
Texas AM -21 and 56.5

Missouri State
USC -32.5 and 59.5

New Mexico
Michigan -34.5 and 52.5

UTEP
Utah State -3.5 and 59.5

Georgia State
Ole Miss -37 and 62.5

Eastern Michigan
Texas State -14 and 58.5

Rice
UL Lafayette -14.5 and 51.5

Ga Southern
Fresno State -2 and 55.5

California
Oregon State -2.5 and 52.5

Hawaii
Arizona -13 and 53.5

Colorado State
Washington -18.5 and 52.5

Utah -4.5 and 50.5
UCLA
 
Sunday, August 31st:


Virginia Tech
South Carolina -9.5 and 46

Notre Dame -2.5 and 54.5
Miami (FL)


Monday, September 1st:


TCU -2.5 and 59
North Carolina
 
Love seeing this. I picked up my Phil Steele, Lindy's and Athlon yesterday. Looking forward to diving in over the coming weeks. I don't have much to add yet, other than that's a pretty strong line for Alabama. Our record (esp ATS) in true road environments over the last 4 years isn't great
 
gps_3 said:
Love seeing this. I picked up my Phil Steele, Lindy's and Athlon yesterday. Looking forward to diving in over the coming weeks. I don't have much to add yet, other than that's a pretty strong line for Alabama. Our record (esp ATS) in true road environments over the last 4 years isn't great
Click to expand...

What you prefer between Athlon and Lindy?

Does Steele cover the most recent spring transfers?
 
Cincy +7

Nebraska is 14-35 on the road since 2014. Conversely they are 8-3 SU when laying -4 or higher. Within those 11 games none of those previous opponents would compete with this 2025 Cincy team.

Cincy had a gauntlet schedule to finish 2024 the only bad loss in the final weeks was to WVA in a home game.

I do think Nebraska is improving but they have not shown me enough to lay -7 in a week where books struggle to find dogs. This is an over reaction to Cincy 202; 0-5 finish. 0-5 ats as well.
 
Temple +1 same thing as above and they can actually be confident to get a much needed win here.

UMass in 2024 only beat Wagner and Cenral Conn. The reason the line is low is because the finished strong ATS in 2024. Yes in my opinion 2024 does matter to the early season lines.

If you want to look at UNas 2024 be my guest but this is an opportunity for Temple to get a win early in the season.


Northwestern +7 has also been placed I feel like this is a great bet as well
 
spottie2935 said:
Cincy +7

Nebraska is 14-35 on the road since 2014. Conversely they are 8-3 SU when laying -4 or higher. Within those 11 games none of those previous opponents would compete with this 2025 Cincy team.

Cincy had a gauntlet schedule to finish 2024 the only bad loss in the final weeks was to WVA in a home game.

I do think Nebraska is improving but they have not shown me enough to lay -7 in a week where books struggle to find dogs. This is an over reaction to Cincy 202; 0-5 finish. 0-5 ats as well.
Click to expand...

This is a neutral game in KC thats going to be 95 percent Husker fans, me included.
 
Okay I see but -7 is a lot for a a team that struggles to win a lot of games. I’m sure you are well aware so I will post this as public info. Don’t take it personal.

Nebraska won their 2024 bowl game vs. Boston College and that line was -4 on a neutral field of course.

Nebraska Last year was 7-6 and the previous Nebraska winning season was 2016 (9-4). I think they are trending north with an improved and proven good coach and a young quality quarterback. To Lay this many I’d like to see the win 8 or 9 wins the previous year.

The data I’m using includes all B10 teams in this situation and it includes games in weeks 1-3. Cincinnati was very respected last year before the floor collapsed. CIN was favored and covered vs. A playoff ASU team then the 💩 hit the fan. If Nebraska cover the -7 that’s fine I’ll re-evaluate them.
If you’re betting this game best wishes.
 
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