2018 Props Thread

[gsro]

I noticed some props threads popping up and I couldn't find a season long one so I figure we could start one. Some decent value usually if you dig enough

 

[gsro]

The injury list is long for the colts on a short week, I'm not expecting much out of them but with no TY i think Ebron and Rogers should get a look for receptions and yards:

Chester Rogers over 4 receptions -125
Chester Rogers total yards over 45.5 -125
Nyheim Hines total yards 37.5 - 135
Nyheim Hines over 5 receptions -105

Both sets of those props I do like. In the first 4 weeks Luck has targeted TY 38 times, Ebron 30, Hines 26, Grant 22 and Rogers 21....with all those injuries I just feel luck's going to have to throw a lot more.

 

[gsro]

The Indianapolis Colts have already ruled out seven players for Thursday night's game against the New England Patriots.Receiver T.Y. Hilton, injured twice on Sunday against Houston, won't play. It'll be just the third game Hilton has missed — he sat out the first game of his rookie season in 2012 with a shoulder injury and missed a game in 2014 due to his shoulder. Tight end Jack Doyle, running back Marlon Mack and defensive players Kenny Moore, Hassan Ridgeway and Quincy Wilson were also ruled out.

Anthony Castonzo, who hasn't seen the field yet because of a hamstring injury, was listed as questionable, as were defenders Darius Leonard, Nate Hairston and Clayton Geathers, center Ryan Kelly and kicker Adam Vinatieri.

 

[The Farm]

I expect Luck to have to throw it 35-40 times tonight. Thinking Ebron gets 12-15 looks. over 5 should be a breeze

 

[cogenman]

The injury list is long for the colts on a short week, I'm not expecting much out of them but with no TY i think Ebron and Rogers should get a look for receptions and yards:

Chester Rogers over 4 receptions -125
Chester Rogers total yards over 45.5 -125
Nyheim Hines total yards 37.5 - 135
Nyheim Hines over 5 receptions -105

Both sets of those props I do like. In the first 4 weeks Luck has targeted TY 38 times, Ebron 30, Hines 26, Grant 22 and Rogers 21....with all those injuries I just feel luck's going to have to throw a lot more.

I like that Nyheim yards total at 37.5. I got 52.5. I think he gets a lot of looks tonight because he's a scat back where he gets his playing time when they're down. And they should be down tonight.

 

[gsro]

pretty good night, Ill take it

 

[gsro]

I expect Luck to have to throw it 35-40 times tonight. Thinking Ebron gets 12-15 looks. over 5 should be a breeze

great call.

 

[B.A.R.]

Okay, lets get capping Week 5 Sunday Action.

 

[Marsski]

I took a pair of over Rec yards against Buffalo's secondary. They aren't good and now Micah Hyde out.

Davis ov 67.5
Taylor ov 41.5

Last week, Davis had 161 yards on ten targets; Taylor 77 yards on 9 targets.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Took a loss the last game w/ Mahomes over .5*. Going back to the well until it happens, so will hit that as a chase.

 

[gsro]

Took a loss the last game w/ Mahomes over .5*. Going back to the well until it happens, so will hit that as a chase.

I like this, he’s bound to throw one

 

[undisputed]

Calvin Ridley over 48.5 receiving yards

 

[booksbestfriend]

Anyone think Baker can get multiple TD passes? Have a +150 out there for him.

 

[einstein2u]

barkley over 67 yards

 

[B.A.R.]

barkley over 67 yards

:shake: welcome to the forum.

 

[The Farm]

I would play any Ty Montgomery overs
Walton overs as well
Christian over 55.5 receiving
Boyd over 5.5

 

[B.A.R.]

TJ Yeldon ...

 

[B.A.R.]

I would play any Ty Montgomery overs
Walton overs as well
Christian over 55.5 receiving
Boyd over 5.5

CMC now at 6 quarters in a row without a target.

 

[The Farm]

Mindblown

 

[B.A.R.]

TJ Yeldon ...

Definitely the toughest prop loss ever.


But,


Breida time.... 54.5

 

[gsro]

Definitely the toughest prop loss ever.


But,


Breida time.... 54.5

Love this and am on Breida over as well....

adding:

Alshon Jefferey Under 4.5 receptions -130
Adam Thielen Over 89.5 yards-135

 

[The Farm]

Definitely the toughest prop loss ever.


But,


Breida time.... 54.5

On the other side with Johnson over 67. BOL reno

 

[gsro]

was caught up with Canadian thanksgiving stuff this afternoon

 

[gsro]

Love this and am on Breida over as well....

adding:

Alshon Jefferey Under 4.5 receptions -130
Adam Thielen Over 89.5 yards-135

B365 offering 50.5 @ 1.83 -120

 

[The Farm]

Breida time.... 54.5[/QUOTE]

Nice quick hit Reno

 

[gsro]

sacks under 5.5 Dallas/Houston -110

 

[gsro]

Deshaun Watson under 22.5 completions -110
Will Fuller under 58.5 receiving yards -110

 

[gsro]

Love this and am on Breida over as well....

adding:

Alshon Jefferey Under 4.5 receptions -130
Adam Thielen Over 89.5 yards-135

Good start day so far on Canadian Turkey day

 

[gsro]

Will update the props record shortly locked in a few for tonight.

No ted ginn tonight

Michael Thomas over 90.5 -120
Total sacks under 4.5 +100

 

[The Farm]

Crowder over 50.5 for me

 

[gsro]

What are your thoughts on Ben Watson over receiving yards?

 

[booksbestfriend]

Pro football reference showing Kamara nursing a knee. His props are juiced to the under. Just FYI...could get some TD-Yes value out there. Crowder +225, AP +190, Reed +165, Ingram +190 ( if Kamara is hurt), and some various +300s in there too.

 

[cogenman]

Took OVER 7.5 catches for Michael Thomas. He's a monster in the receiving game. Check out his targets. And the catches that come with it. He catches just about everything that goes his way. Not sure why they went away from him last week but he caught all his targets. But I think it was because the game was well in hand so they didn't need to find him. I'm hoping for a bounce back game from him.

 

[cogenman]

Note on that last play I own him in fantasy so it's a semi homer play lol.

 

[undisputed]

Ingram over 50.5?

 

[booksbestfriend]

Ingram over 50.5?

He’s gonna need 12-15 carries or break one. Sharing the backfield with one of the most versatile backs in the league and a QB that slings it around the field.

 

[undisputed]

What about AP at 54.5. Or u see anything profitable

 

[booksbestfriend]

He’s averaging 76 a game

 

[gsro]

Played Watson over 35.5 receiving yards -110

 

[undisputed]

I like the AP prop alt

 

[booksbestfriend]

Went the TD route with the names above.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Also have Thomas -120 and Kamara +115 on receptions

 

[undisputed]

Also have Thomas -120 and Kamara +115 on receptions

I'm on Thomas o7.5 recpts also

 

[gsro]

YTD: 9-4-0 +3.4

Looking forward to this Thursday, will likely travelling to Gurv's old hood in Pitt this weekend. Let's keep this thread going!

 

[booksbestfriend]

1-5 this Monday. What a shit show. TU Alex Smith, you cock gobbler.

 

[gsro]

1-5 this Monday. What a shit show. TU Alex Smith, you cock gobbler.

I thought there was some light at the end of the tunnel with the fumble reco very for a TD which keeps Gruden and the Skins competitive for some backdoors.

 

[B.A.R.]

Took OVER 7.5 catches for Michael Thomas. He's a monster in the receiving game. Check out his targets. And the catches that come with it. He catches just about everything that goes his way. Not sure why they went away from him last week but he caught all his targets. But I think it was because the game was well in hand so they didn't need to find him. I'm hoping for a bounce back game from him.

View attachment 35130

Guess he's a decoy now. Last night was definition of spread it out.

 

[cogenman]

Guess he's a decoy now. Last night was definition of spread it out.

Yeah I couldn't believe it. Went from a WR1 to a spread it out guy.

Maybe I'll hit it again but a game where they may be trailing and will need to throw even more.

 

[2daBank]

Guess he's a decoy now. Last night was definition of spread it out.

Think he was the only guy skins bothered covering! The rest of the wrs were just running free all over the field.

 

[gsro]

looing at a few props:
sacks over -110
Alshon under 56.5 receiving yards -115
Ertz to score TD at anytime +137