Tuesday Nite:
Over 199 NYK {6units}
NYK +1 {3units}
Suddenly the Clippers are playing a different type of basketball. They are no longer the team that beat NYK at home 90-80. They have basically scored 100 (98 in a blowout win) in 8 of 10 but 110+ in 5 of them. NYK at home scores 104 and allows 104. The LAC defense away has improved away since allowing 9 of the first 12 teams to top 100. However I think its mainly due to competition tha teams have fell short of 100 rather then the defense NO , ATL , ORL , BOS all make it easy to saty under 100. Both teams get to teh FT alot and put there opponents there often. Both teams allow high 3Pt shooting pcts(37%) and both get/allow about 58 FTS per.
The Knicks are 8-3 past 11 at home but 9-2 ATS. They struggle to win consecutive games but LAC is 7-15 away and you wonder if they couldnt beat shorthanded Miami and Boston what the number might be.
Boston is now 8-2 ATS past 10 away with both losses by only half a point. Now on the flip side is DET in another sandwich spot like MILW with LAL on deck. However Boston is 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS when on 3 days rest. Looking at those games there play was fine just all close losses..differential on long rest is only -4 points. I guess you have to entertain a 2nd H over cause if its close it may slide over. Its hard to imagine after the last effort in DET. The total was only 183.5 last meeting and fell well short but Webber , Billups , Wally , West and Scalbrine didnt play....
In Milw I need to better understand the injury situation. However Milw cannot stop anyone and might hav Redd back. Orl score 56 at half last eeting , the Heat scored 117 last time....191 seems attainable if these game is competitive.
I like Memphis but dont like that line drop. I like the over but dont like the line drop. What I think happens is this is a late close game that screws the total. Houston plays defense but it seems to get better vs bad offensive teams...look at who they played Minny , NO , Phi , Port....
Still thinking Mmephis or pass. The Rockets are banged up with Mutumbo and Battier struggling healthwise. TMac really hasnt played that well in backends but hs improved as his health improved. Memphis will compete but find a way to lose so at +4 I dont mind cause I could easily see 1,2,3 pt game either way.
I was all on the Blazers and Under but have to rethink with the value dropping out of it. They have played great ball (for them) at home and look at there recent games. The Suns are clearly battling lately and thats draining...Bell is playing with a bad knee...
Over 199 NYK {6units}
NYK +1 {3units}
Suddenly the Clippers are playing a different type of basketball. They are no longer the team that beat NYK at home 90-80. They have basically scored 100 (98 in a blowout win) in 8 of 10 but 110+ in 5 of them. NYK at home scores 104 and allows 104. The LAC defense away has improved away since allowing 9 of the first 12 teams to top 100. However I think its mainly due to competition tha teams have fell short of 100 rather then the defense NO , ATL , ORL , BOS all make it easy to saty under 100. Both teams get to teh FT alot and put there opponents there often. Both teams allow high 3Pt shooting pcts(37%) and both get/allow about 58 FTS per.
The Knicks are 8-3 past 11 at home but 9-2 ATS. They struggle to win consecutive games but LAC is 7-15 away and you wonder if they couldnt beat shorthanded Miami and Boston what the number might be.
Boston is now 8-2 ATS past 10 away with both losses by only half a point. Now on the flip side is DET in another sandwich spot like MILW with LAL on deck. However Boston is 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS when on 3 days rest. Looking at those games there play was fine just all close losses..differential on long rest is only -4 points. I guess you have to entertain a 2nd H over cause if its close it may slide over. Its hard to imagine after the last effort in DET. The total was only 183.5 last meeting and fell well short but Webber , Billups , Wally , West and Scalbrine didnt play....
In Milw I need to better understand the injury situation. However Milw cannot stop anyone and might hav Redd back. Orl score 56 at half last eeting , the Heat scored 117 last time....191 seems attainable if these game is competitive.
I like Memphis but dont like that line drop. I like the over but dont like the line drop. What I think happens is this is a late close game that screws the total. Houston plays defense but it seems to get better vs bad offensive teams...look at who they played Minny , NO , Phi , Port....
Still thinking Mmephis or pass. The Rockets are banged up with Mutumbo and Battier struggling healthwise. TMac really hasnt played that well in backends but hs improved as his health improved. Memphis will compete but find a way to lose so at +4 I dont mind cause I could easily see 1,2,3 pt game either way.
I was all on the Blazers and Under but have to rethink with the value dropping out of it. They have played great ball (for them) at home and look at there recent games. The Suns are clearly battling lately and thats draining...Bell is playing with a bad knee...
