Bills thoughts....
Bills get a close win lw vs a bad Patriots team... it was a horrible spot with a bunch of key injuries on D. Now that the #1 seed is locked up Bills just need 1 win to secure the #2 seed. It is supposed to be raining pretty good and the line is 10? I think the Jets might be the biggest sucker bet of the year.
Because this looks to be a rain game a solid rushing attack will be needed. The Bills have shown all season they can move the ball on the ground, Cook, Johnson, Davis all gonna get carries today. Then of course there's the threat of Josh taking off. Quinnen williams & Reddick are both questionable- even if he goes how motivated is someone like Reddick going to be otr banged up in the rain? Sauce, Adams & Carter all banged up as well. Bills have been able to trun shrt passes into huge gains all season, especially out of the backfield. I expect them to pound the run and look for a couple plays of play action.
The Jets run blocking is beyond terrible every time I watch them. Leading rusher vs Jax was rodgers, Breece ypc is putrid and he's really good. Maybe they try Isaiah Davis or Allen as well, but with poor run blocking it'll be tough sledding. To me it would take a very bad defensive game from Buffalo at home for the Jets to have a great day on the ground. Last home game divisional opponent Bills haven't swept the season at home since 1990 and have a chance to do so today. Injury wise Bills d Hamlin & Rapp are both questionable. I would think Rapp maybe doesn't go but the good news is Rasul is back.
total dropping & could have made a case for u48 but now 45.5 & dropping. Even in the rain I could see it being right around the number.... would think not too many fg attempts and Jets may be inclined to go for it from anywhere with nothing to lose. Possibility for more TDs but the Bills could just pull the plug 2ndh.
Right now leans
Bills 1sth tt over/ game o27.5
Ray Davis rush yds o25.5- Wouldn't expect Cook to get more than 12-14 carries in this one gotta be safe with him. Ray might be the guy today.
Ray Davis TD +460- run game he can slip one in the short passing game as well.
Davante td +155- Rodgers has 499 tds he'll look to Adams for 500
Lazard+475- the only other person I'd consider he's back and a sneaky one.
