***13***

Lexington 125

Lexington 125

I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Happy Turkey day! Hopefully everyone gets to share some time with the people in your lives who matter most!

Bears+10-118

Caleb pass & rush o261.5-115

Gibbs longest rush o18.5 yards

Giants/Cowboys o37.5

nyg/Dal 1sth o19.5+100

Tracey rush yds o65.5

2 units each



Det wins by 1-6/ Gibbs rush o59.5/ NYG tt o16.5 (+1160)

+7900
Gibbs 2tds/ rush&rec o79.5
Nabers rec o84.5 & td
Tracey td

+1840
Gibbs rush & rec o79.5 & TD
Caleb pass & rush o261.5
Tracey td
Nabers rec o54.5
NYG/Dal o37.5


half unit each


TD parlay+15695
Laporta
Kmet
Tracy
CeeDee
Josh Jacobs

.25 units
 
I think the line is inflated but I'm not trying to fade kc this week. After 2 straight weeks cashing against them I'll count my blessings. Pacheco back in whatever capacity I think is sure to energize this offense. Hunt by the numbers was fine but from what I saw he was running through wide open holes. I think Pacheco likely scores and rusk yds/longest rush all cash.... However I'm just on the over

Bowers might have a big game but to me it comes down to rb success for the Raiders. KC great d but a bit of regression was due...I think LV does enough to push this game over the total. 27-17 on the low end though I could see a KC romp. Almost got crazy and played both tt overs but 1 play for this friday
 
Sunday


Cardinals/Vikings o43.5-110 (profit boost)

Taylor rush yds o79.5-114

Colts-1.5-103 1sth

MHarrison jr rec yds o50.5

4 units each


JTaylor longest rush o15.5-112

MHarrison jr longest rec o22.5-115

Bijan rec yds o28.5-115

Henry longest rush o16.5-115

2 units each




+2900

MHarrison jr yds o79.5 & TD
Taylor rush yds o94.5 & TD

1 unit


+3525

Chase yds o79.5 & TD
Nico yds o79.5 & TD
MHarrison jr yds o39.5
JJefferson yds o69.5 & TD

half unit


+4340

Colts ML
Falcons tt o23.5
Jets ML
Bengals ML
Panthers+7
Rams ML
Ravens ML
Bills ML

half unit
 
Cards/Vikings over- While I totally would play this at 45, I had all these racked up boosts so I used them to buy the o43.5-137 to -110. Limit was $50 so I had to do it a bunch, but figure why not use it up. Thinking of using more points to buy down Ravens ML later. Anyhow Zona off a miserable offensive performance scoring just 6 points & doing NOTHING on the ground. Previous to facing Seattle Zona had scored 28+ in three straight. I expect the offense to rebound vs the Vikings. They may not be able to get much in the traditional run game but I expect Murray to extend a couple drives with his legs. Minny secondary is torchable I think this could be a Harrison breakout game... McBride rec o5.5 likely hits as well but I'm keeping it to one offensive player. Nice low number that can be eclipsed by one huge play vs a secondary prone to big yardage plays? Sign me up.

Vikings run game should be effective and the Cards can be scored on. Prior to the Bears last week Minny had faced Tenn, Jax & Indy offenses- this is a step up offensively. Previous to the Bears 17 pt 4th the Vikings had given up 13/7/13 pts but again to lesser offenses & qbs. I think it could be a shootout. JJeff props all likely hit as well. Think this is a game where both teams can get to 23 & although I lean doggie think the over is a much better wager.
 
Lexington 125 said:
Cards/Vikings over- While I totally would play this at 45, I had all these racked up boosts so I used them to buy the o43.5-137 to -110. Limit was $50 so I had to do it a bunch, but figure why not use it up. Thinking of using more points to buy down Ravens ML later. Anyhow Zona off a miserable offensive performance scoring just 6 points & doing NOTHING on the ground. Previous to facing Seattle Zona had scored 28+ in three straight. I expect the offense to rebound vs the Vikings. They may not be able to get much in the traditional run game but I expect Murray to extend a couple drives with his legs. Minny secondary is torchable I think this could be a Harrison breakout game... McBride rec o5.5 likely hits as well but I'm keeping it to one offensive player. Nice low number that can be eclipsed by one huge play vs a secondary prone to big yardage plays? Sign me up.

Vikings run game should be effective and the Cards can be scored on. Prior to the Bears last week Minny had faced Tenn, Jax & Indy offenses- this is a step up offensively. Previous to the Bears 17 pt 4th the Vikings had given up 13/7/13 pts but again to lesser offenses & qbs. I think it could be a shootout. JJeff props all likely hit as well. Think this is a game where both teams can get to 23 & although I lean doggie think the over is a much better wager.
Click to expand...

I’m torn between cards and total as well. Agree with most you saying. I think we need to start looking at Seattle defense way differently, fact is they had so many injuries when they were getting run all over on. I actually thought conners would have a game last week (one my worst props of year, lol). Think we need to recognize the defensive chops of Seattle HC and now that they getting healthy and learned the system that might be one the best defenses in the league.
 
Colts/ Taylor- Patriots have a bright future with Maye, I think he will succeed. Currently that defense is a hot mess, even without the injuries... Colts off getting waxxed by Lions. After this @Denver then Titans, NYG, Jags. They are def still in it! Seems as if Taylor hasn't really gotten going while Richardson is the starter- that should change today. Yes I know 2 starters are out on the O-line but I think we still see Taylor rip off a couple big runs. Usage to me is the only thing standing in the way of this prop, and with the Colts still in the division race... I think they lean on Taylor to make things easier for AR. Numbers & ypc vs Patriots this season back the wager. I could easily see a game where Taylor has 70 & 1 TD by half. Pats D fade I think Colts come out strong hence the 1sth wager. Might check back at half....
 
2daBank said:
I’m torn between cards and total as well. Agree with most you saying. I think we need to start looking at Seattle defense way differently, fact is they had so many injuries when they were getting run all over on. I actually thought conners would have a game last week (one my worst props of year, lol). Think we need to recognize the defensive chops of Seattle HC and now that they getting healthy and learned the system that might be one the best defenses in the league.
Click to expand...
Yeah I keep hearing Seattle D is going to be fine when healthy... Today will show more to me. I was VERY tempted to band Breece props but I held off. We'll see.
 
wr prop parlay is just a play on the best wrs in the game to do what they do. Would have played all individual but I'm trying to limit wagers so dumb parlay it is.


Likely on Ravens over. Bills thoughts in a little
 
Lexington 125 said:
Yeah I keep hearing Seattle D is going to be fine when healthy... Today will show more to me. I was VERY tempted to band Breece props but I held off. We'll see.
Click to expand...

What the did to cardinals offense last week was super impressive. Coming into that game cards lead the league in explosive runs and they completely shut them down. I don’t think it was a fluke. Something stinks bout that game vs jets today but I think Jets d will have to take geno apart for them to win cause I’m convinced the offense won’t be moving ball on Seattle.
 
snf

Bills-3/ u44.5 +175

Cook td-124

CMC rush yds o64.5

Ray Davis rush yds o15.5

2 units each


Ray Davis td+600

1 unit
 
Love your bills and the cook plays. I think cmc a shell of himself, the burst ain’t back, don’t think he has a good game. This a beat down in the making. Gl Lex
 
2daBank said:
Love your bills and the cook plays. I think cmc a shell of himself, the burst ain’t back, don’t think he has a good game. This a beat down in the making. Gl Lex
Click to expand...
Losing cmc a huge blow he was going for 175 ap. Brutal he was only 10 yards from cashing rushing prop.

Almost played Mason +900 but nah
 
Lexington 125 said:
Losing cmc a huge blow he was going for 175 ap. Brutal he was only 10 yards from cashing rushing prop.

Almost played Mason +900 but nah
Click to expand...

I think bills starting to figure it out. Even with him once they stop w the 2 high safety garbage they finna shut the run down. They need to be stacking the box and making Purdy prove it. I’m not sure he could throw in this with a good shoulder and he not close to 100%. It just dumb them came out playing 2 high safeties. I suspect they hopefully done with that stupid look and Niners run game be taken care of
 
mnf

Broncos tt o23.5

browns/broncos o20.5-101 1sth

2 units each


+460

Jeudy rec yds o49.5
Nix rush yds o19.5
Winston pass yds o199.5
lil Jordan rec yds o18.5

1 unit
 
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