The mission remains the same get a better handle on unit seperation that seemed to be my biggest falw last week. Which was probably my worst weekin the NBA this year. Bad luck , bad breaks , bad plays I had it all. It wasnt a real big negative but losing is unchartered territory.
Nets @ Jazz:
After fading NJ probably every game on this trip I dug myself a nice hole. Well I have to admit with there West Coast history and RJ getting injured I thought it would be disasterous. The had over relied on Kidd and Carter and thought they couldnt do it every nite oout West. Well they did and got help from Moore , Nachbar and Willaims all playing the best ball in there careers. To say I loved Denver vs them was an understandment. After Q1 I felt highly intelligent after 4Q's I felt extremely stupid.
Tonite after going 1-3 this is the conclusion of a 5 game swing. The Jazz are w/o Boozer and Kirilenko. The first is lets not get crazy about AK-47 importance. His defense has not been there which he was known for and he was avg something like 9pts & 5 boards. Boozer is the big loss as he was there leading scorer and rebounder. I do think Millsap can fill the void on a shortterm basis. He did have 17 boards on Saturday. The question becomes can Harpring who was awful on Sat and Ronnie Brewer pickup some of the slack. This Utah team is fairly deep.
We have Utah at 16-5 at home and also 17-8 on 1days rest compared to NJ who is 8-13 away and 13-14 on 1 day rest. Utah has won 10 of 12 in the series at home. I still think this is a great spot for Utah even shorthanded. Sloan tore them a new ass after there lackluster effort in NewOrleans and I owuld expect better here. They still have scorers in Deron Williams and Memhet Okur who can be aided but Millsap , Harpring , Fisher all capable of 15+...
Bobcats @ Nuggets :
Suprisingly Charlotte is 7-14 SU away and 10-10-1 ATS. The tend to simply win SU or not need the points but do have non win covers away in Cle , NYK and Boston this year. I think the key to this total is simply if Charlotte competes here. They compete its an over cause hard to believe Den isnt around 115 here. If Char does not come cover then I would lean Under but barely...
I think it will be interesting if DEN goes zone tonite. Karl has employed it at times and Tor did it to them a few days ago in the 2nd H. After consecutive losses you would think Nuggets come out strong here versus an inferior team. Char does play its best ball in 1st H though.....
Sixers @ Rockets:
After being on Philly in Atlanta this line looks cheap. The Rockets have gone back to there defensive ways and Philly can struggle versus defensive minded teams. Houston has done well athome in recent games limiting offensive output. I think this total is a bit high. Expect Hou in the 95 -100 range again but only abou 80-85 from Philly. There is alot of inconsistency from both sides so its tough to pinpoint one factor.
Houston has held its last 2 opponents to 85 and 69. The only non OT games that saw 100 pts allowed were Dal 109 and Pho 100. Houtson had won seven straight in the series before losing in March. Something like 10 of 12 have gone to Houston in the series. Th eonly knock is the AI ERA sixers saw the dog and road team go something like 10-1 last 11 meetings.
Pho @ Minny:
All you have to know is Suns 17-1 last 18 away only that 2 pt loss in Dallas. Wolves first game home after 5 game trip and 1st game home with the new coach Wittman. Suns are playing 5 in 7 and have had some trouble past few backend of road games covering. Even though it was shorthanded you woul dthink Minny is focused here after the embarassing loss in Pho. If I read the chat right the Wolves are 4-0 SU and ATS vs teams on NO rest when they have 1 day.
I think 6 is fair for this game so I really cant form an opinion. Hard to fade Suns but its a tough situational spot for them. Actually starting to like the Under as it creeps up. Minny plays sound defense and wont allwo those easy buckets ...I think Suns are around 105 here...sort of recall my comments from the NYK total...
Sac @ Memphis:
While I like Sac here I wont touch them as but a road underdog. I will be playing the over though. As I have said compettive Grizz games will play Over....
Looking for both teams to top 110. Dont think this takes much research/discussion as Mem 11-1-1 Over last 13 at home. Last meeting in Sac was 115-111. The Kings havent been explosive offensively of late but the Grizz play that wide open game that should benefit Artest , Bibby and Martin.
Blazers @ Hornets:
I had this @ -4. Not sure I am interested in laying pts with the Hornets. With Portlands propensity to win SU no matter the spread maybe its Blazers ML or pass.
What this boils down to is an UNDER. The Blazers can struggle on the road to score. They bounced back after there worst performance with there best. However opponent dictated that more then anything. Randolph scored a ton but 16 of 40 is not impressive. Crawford impressed me cause he SHOT 20-30....
The Hornet shave kept soild offenses to 83 and 84 last 2 . So I would expect about low 80s from Portland here. Think 92 -82...
Magic@ Hawks :
Part of me is like Orl played a great 1st half and didnt show up after the half. Then I look and see that ORL is 1-6 last 7 SU and 2-4 as road chalk. The 2 ATS wins as chalk were -1 in Boston and Miami which they won by like 3 both times....
Atl is battling every nite it seems so I have to look at them. EVen with the home and home spot....I played the under last meeting and might go there again....
So a boring matchup....
BOL
Nets @ Jazz:
After fading NJ probably every game on this trip I dug myself a nice hole. Well I have to admit with there West Coast history and RJ getting injured I thought it would be disasterous. The had over relied on Kidd and Carter and thought they couldnt do it every nite oout West. Well they did and got help from Moore , Nachbar and Willaims all playing the best ball in there careers. To say I loved Denver vs them was an understandment. After Q1 I felt highly intelligent after 4Q's I felt extremely stupid.
Tonite after going 1-3 this is the conclusion of a 5 game swing. The Jazz are w/o Boozer and Kirilenko. The first is lets not get crazy about AK-47 importance. His defense has not been there which he was known for and he was avg something like 9pts & 5 boards. Boozer is the big loss as he was there leading scorer and rebounder. I do think Millsap can fill the void on a shortterm basis. He did have 17 boards on Saturday. The question becomes can Harpring who was awful on Sat and Ronnie Brewer pickup some of the slack. This Utah team is fairly deep.
We have Utah at 16-5 at home and also 17-8 on 1days rest compared to NJ who is 8-13 away and 13-14 on 1 day rest. Utah has won 10 of 12 in the series at home. I still think this is a great spot for Utah even shorthanded. Sloan tore them a new ass after there lackluster effort in NewOrleans and I owuld expect better here. They still have scorers in Deron Williams and Memhet Okur who can be aided but Millsap , Harpring , Fisher all capable of 15+...
Bobcats @ Nuggets :
Suprisingly Charlotte is 7-14 SU away and 10-10-1 ATS. The tend to simply win SU or not need the points but do have non win covers away in Cle , NYK and Boston this year. I think the key to this total is simply if Charlotte competes here. They compete its an over cause hard to believe Den isnt around 115 here. If Char does not come cover then I would lean Under but barely...
I think it will be interesting if DEN goes zone tonite. Karl has employed it at times and Tor did it to them a few days ago in the 2nd H. After consecutive losses you would think Nuggets come out strong here versus an inferior team. Char does play its best ball in 1st H though.....
Sixers @ Rockets:
After being on Philly in Atlanta this line looks cheap. The Rockets have gone back to there defensive ways and Philly can struggle versus defensive minded teams. Houston has done well athome in recent games limiting offensive output. I think this total is a bit high. Expect Hou in the 95 -100 range again but only abou 80-85 from Philly. There is alot of inconsistency from both sides so its tough to pinpoint one factor.
Houston has held its last 2 opponents to 85 and 69. The only non OT games that saw 100 pts allowed were Dal 109 and Pho 100. Houtson had won seven straight in the series before losing in March. Something like 10 of 12 have gone to Houston in the series. Th eonly knock is the AI ERA sixers saw the dog and road team go something like 10-1 last 11 meetings.
Pho @ Minny:
All you have to know is Suns 17-1 last 18 away only that 2 pt loss in Dallas. Wolves first game home after 5 game trip and 1st game home with the new coach Wittman. Suns are playing 5 in 7 and have had some trouble past few backend of road games covering. Even though it was shorthanded you woul dthink Minny is focused here after the embarassing loss in Pho. If I read the chat right the Wolves are 4-0 SU and ATS vs teams on NO rest when they have 1 day.
I think 6 is fair for this game so I really cant form an opinion. Hard to fade Suns but its a tough situational spot for them. Actually starting to like the Under as it creeps up. Minny plays sound defense and wont allwo those easy buckets ...I think Suns are around 105 here...sort of recall my comments from the NYK total...
Sac @ Memphis:
While I like Sac here I wont touch them as but a road underdog. I will be playing the over though. As I have said compettive Grizz games will play Over....
Looking for both teams to top 110. Dont think this takes much research/discussion as Mem 11-1-1 Over last 13 at home. Last meeting in Sac was 115-111. The Kings havent been explosive offensively of late but the Grizz play that wide open game that should benefit Artest , Bibby and Martin.
Blazers @ Hornets:
I had this @ -4. Not sure I am interested in laying pts with the Hornets. With Portlands propensity to win SU no matter the spread maybe its Blazers ML or pass.
What this boils down to is an UNDER. The Blazers can struggle on the road to score. They bounced back after there worst performance with there best. However opponent dictated that more then anything. Randolph scored a ton but 16 of 40 is not impressive. Crawford impressed me cause he SHOT 20-30....
The Hornet shave kept soild offenses to 83 and 84 last 2 . So I would expect about low 80s from Portland here. Think 92 -82...
Magic@ Hawks :
Part of me is like Orl played a great 1st half and didnt show up after the half. Then I look and see that ORL is 1-6 last 7 SU and 2-4 as road chalk. The 2 ATS wins as chalk were -1 in Boston and Miami which they won by like 3 both times....
Atl is battling every nite it seems so I have to look at them. EVen with the home and home spot....I played the under last meeting and might go there again....
So a boring matchup....
BOL
BOL tonight, love utah in this spot as well.
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