mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
The regular season was a train-wreck with 2 terrible months(MAY, SEP) sinking my season. I finished well under -300u on the season even though, outside them 2 bad months I was up a small amount. Craziest thing is my model alone went 218-197 or +48.86u with a theoretical 1 unit risk per but my other metrics shat the bed. No use crying over spilt milk, just pick up the pieces and move on as the MLB Playoffs are one the best times of the year and rival March Madness for the top spot. Let's Fkn GO!
SUNDAY
4/7.56 NATS +189
3/2.73 Nats o10½ -110
3/4.44 GIANTS +148
3/4.38 CUBS -1½ +146
3/2.61 Reds o8½ -115
3/2.97 O'S u7½ -101
4/3.08 TIGERS -130
3/2.73 Guardians o7½ -110
3/4.20 ROYALS +140
3/2.63 DBACKS u9½ -114
3/4.80 WHITE SOX +160
--- MLB ---
SEPT [215-252 -162.3u]
LAST [5-4-2 +8.54u]
2023 MLB PLAYOFFS
TUESDAY
- 4/2.80 RAYS -143
- 4/2.58 Marlins +1½ -155
- 5/4.85 MARLINS o7½ -103
- 4/3.36 TWINS u7½ -119
- 5/2.89 Brewers -173
randoms...
- STREAKS: 2 TB, 1 (PHI, MIL), -1 (TEX, MIA, MIN) -2 TOR, -4 ARI
- TEAMS ENTERING PLAYOFFS ON 4 GAME LOSING STREAK: 4-3 SU & RL LAST 10 YEARS +6%/+14.1% ROI
- PLAYOFF CHALK OF 170 OR MORE @HOME IS 43-15 +12.5% ROI LAST 7 YEARS
- PLAYOFF CHALK UNDER 160 WHEN TOTAL UNDER 8; UNDER CASHES 60.6% (57-37-3) LAST 7 YEARS
- OVERS IN TAMPA SINCE AUG 1 - 18-6 75%
- OVERS IN PHILLY SINCE AUG 1 - 18-12 60%
- Pfaadt comes off his best game yet with 5.2 inn 0 runs in 3-0 win over ChiSox. But in game before that the light-hitting Yankees touched him for 6 runs in 4.1 inn...he's 3-9 with a 5.70 ERA on the year! The snakes have lost four straight while scoring a total 3 runs in the 4 losses. Corbin has been a top 5 pitcher all year and has allowed zero runs in 3 or his last 4 starts. (1.72 ERA in 22.2 inn)