WK 9 BILLS MAFIA goes to the city of CHILLI/WNY HS Football PLAYOFFS/BREEDERS CUP/HOOPS and PUCKS/ BOL TO ALL !!

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up Family ??

Wow it's week 9 already , time really does fly during football season. What a fantastic week of sports on deck.

Week 9 of the NFL will have my first mortgage wager(s) (6+ units) of the season. Probably would go 10+ units except it's during the sometimes seemingly league manipulated prime time slot(s). More on that later ...Coming off a solid 4-3 +$896 in week 8 .

For those or you WNY folk the High school football class seminfinals are this weekend. At least 6+ local books are offering lines as they continue trying to stay relevant after the Seneca Casino and online sportsbooks are dominating the professional markets. If you're reading this and have not joined here at CAPPING the GAME , please do , there are plenty of far better cappers than me posting all throughout the sports forums here .

The Breeders cup is live from Santa Anita this Saturday in what promises to be a long fun day of degenerate action.

Much respect to anyone who wagers daily on the NBA , the officiating is worse than ever imo ( I'd bet the league has many of their own Donaghy's out there manipulating games ).. I still enjoy betting smaller amounts less than a unit here and there . Maybe my NY BRICKS will be profitable this season ??

NHL Usually just put homer bets on the Sabres down, they're much improved , especially when the goal tending shows up .

Anyways that's enough RAMBLING

Let's get to GAMBLING!!
 
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NFL WEEK 9

CHARGERS -1 -120
6.6 units
$1584 to win $1320
1st Mortgage wager of the season ..
Couldn't get to the Buffalo Seneca casino fast enough to put every penny of cash down I had in the house on the -1 -108 on Monday night. Gladly paid the -120 to move it off of -2 -107 . Was headed back there this morning ( Wednesday) at 5 am before work but unfortunately noticed it shot up to -3 .
Been secretly rooting for the Jersey Jets since Rodgers went down ( sacrilegious here in Buffalo) , while I Love their defense , they simply don't have nearly enough offense to keep up with the Chargers who should be extremely thirsty to get back to 500.
 
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Wednesday night degen action

NHL
SABRES -1 +150 OT/SO included
$100
Might just insta homer bet them every game for the next 7 years.



NBA
No idea why I'm betting on this, o yeah I have a gambling addiction


OVER 210 BRICKS VS CAVS -107
$70


CLIPPERS +125
$50

KINGS +7. -105
$50
 
NFL WAGER

DOLPHINS +100
2.5UNITS ($500)
Might be a bad matchup for the Chiefs ..They really don't have a WR to take the lid off the defense ..Fins have to be really pissed hearing over and over again that they haven't beaten anyone with a pulse. ..
I want to go much larger than this, but the refs have been real shady in several Chiefs games this season helping the leagues cash cow when needed.
 
NFL WEEK 9

CHARGERS -1 -120
6.6 units
$1584 to win $1320
1st Mortgage wager of the season ..
Couldn't get to the Buffalo Seneca casino fast enough to put every penny of cash down I had in the house on the -1 -108 on Monday night. Gladly paid the -120 to move it off of -2 -107 . Was headed back there this morning ( Wednesday) at 5 am before work but unfortunately noticed it shot up to -3 .
Been secretly rooting for the Jersey Jets since Rodgers went down ( sacrilegious here in Buffalo) , while I Love their defense , they simply don't have nearly enough offense to keep up with the Chargers who should be extremely thirsty to get back to 500.

Chargers have such a bad coach. Dunno how ya trust them? Not saying they can’t beat the jets but putting a large bet on them? I couldn’t do it.

Not trying to be a Ass here but if you like them so much you making what sounds like a larger than normal bet why would you feel the need to pay extra juice to get it from -2 to -1? I just can’t fathom the idea I love a play that much but am worried bout 1 point. Especially from -2 to -1, I mean I suppose if we were talking bout getting off -3 or -7 I’d get it but still if it that strong a play in my eyes im not stressing a point. Please don’t take this as me being a prick I’m honestly just curious as it doesn’t make much sense to me (not saying you wrong or don’t have a valid reason just want to understand your thought process).

When I find props I love I often skip the posted number and bet Alt numbers 20- 30-40 yards higher than the original number for fat odds!! I can’t Ass being super confident but then playing extra juice to get a few yards less. Hopefully that makes sense.
 
Wednesday night degen action

NHL
SABRES -1 +150 OT/SO included
$100
Might just insta homer bet them every game for the next 7 years.



NBA
No idea why I'm betting on this, o yeah I have a gambling addiction


OVER 210 BRICKS VS CAVS -107
$70


CLIPPERS +125
$50

KINGS +7. -105
$50


NHL. 1-0. +$150

NBA. 1-2. -$74.90
 
Chargers have such a bad coach. Dunno how ya trust them? Not saying they can’t beat the jets but putting a large bet on them? I couldn’t do it.

Not trying to be a Ass here but if you like them so much you making what sounds like a larger than normal bet why would you feel the need to pay extra juice to get it from -2 to -1? I just can’t fathom the idea I love a play that much but am worried bout 1 point. Especially from -2 to -1, I mean I suppose if we were talking bout getting off -3 or -7 I’d get it but still if it that strong a play in my eyes im not stressing a point. Please don’t take this as me being a prick I’m honestly just curious as it doesn’t make much sense to me (not saying you wrong or don’t have a valid reason just want to understand your thought process).

When I find props I love I often skip the posted number and bet Alt numbers 20- 30-40 yards higher than the original number for fat odds!! I can’t Ass being super confident but then playing extra juice to get a few yards less. Hopefully that makes sense.
[/QUOTE




Completely understand what you're saying about why spend-120 buying it down to -1 when it's a play that you think should win beyond the spread....Honestly I get a little skeptical about the prime time or stand alone games in the NFL ...Been burned too many times on teams laying just a FG where they win by only 2 or 1 point ...Sure maybe that doesn't happen here , bolts win by 7-17+, and paying the extra juice just prevents me from winning another $110 ..Peace of mind , these coaches especially the often very questionable Staley often go for 2 when trailing , or up etc making 3 a very key number....Often feel the same way about betting player props as you , example last week moved Kincaid up to 4.5 +133 from 3.5 -147 ...Thankfully he squeeked over in the final 2 drives .

Think the Jets are capable of knocking off almost anyone in the league when they get a little offense , but this is a bad match up with the Chargers being super desperate at 3-4 .Loss here and 3-5 is a much deeper whole to crawl out of chasing playoff dreams.....4-4 with a win and a possibly Chiefs loss leaves them only 1.5 behind KC ...Chargers get ahead by 2 scores early Monday night this one could get ugly thou .


Thank you for your time Brother
 
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Completely understand what you're saying about why spend-120 buying it down to -1 when it's a play that you think should win beyond the spread....Honestly I get a little skeptical about the prime time or stand alone games in the NFL ...Been burned too many times on teams laying just a FG where they win by only 2 or 1 point ...Sure maybe that doesn't happen here , bolts win by 7-17+, and paying the extra juice just prevents me from winning another $110 ..Peace of mind , these coaches especially the often very questionable Staley often go for 2 when trailing , or up etc making 3 a very key number....Often feel the same way about betting player props as you , example last week moved Kincaid up to 4.5 +133 from 3.5 -147 ...Thankfully he squeeked over in the final 2 drives .

Think the Jets are capable of knocking off almost anyone in the league when they get a little offense , but this is a bad match up with the Chargers being super desperate at 3-4 .Loss here and 3-5 is a much deeper whole to crawl out of chasing playoff dreams.....4-4 with a win and a possibly Chiefs loss leaves them only 1.5 behind KC ...Chargers get ahead by 2 scores early Monday night this one could get ugly thou .


Thank you for your time brother

That fair and I agree the nfl is def the most shady, I actually thought bout this little more after asking you and had some nightmare flashback of all the games with spreads less than a fg I loved and ended up getting a 4 foot dildo jammed up my ass watching some redic thing happen to cause the team laying -2 to win by 1!! To tell ya the truth If I was gonna make a big nfl bet (which I rarely do these days) I would prob forgo the points and play the ml no matter what the spread! Long as the ml wasn’t fo crazy! This scam Ass league will def get a game like that inside the number if there to much money on that side! And every time it happened to me I thought for days afterwords I seriously let this happen cause I’m greedy and cheap and can’t stand not making move on bets! Lol.

I don’t even like even money bets, the idea of only winning 100 on my 100 sucks to me! That why I bet so many parlays, ml dogs. Or my new favorite thing playing Alt numbers on props! That really where iit at! Has allowed me fo tone down the parlays bet still get a fantastic return on my money! Just last night I hit a +370 amd + 900 for one running back to go for 80+ and 100+!!! Kinda figured out last year when I win my props it not really often I skate just over the posted number. More often than not I either lose or I smash it where my guy has the posted number before half! So when I really like a prop It 50/50 if I play thx original number then I start a wheel every 10 -20 yards starting w the 1st number that pays out 3-1 or better! Super greedy! But it has worked out really really well for me this year! Love that plus money!

But far as nfl sides, I understand totally, I don’t even play many of those anymore! Lll.
 
Im actually far more worried for you wanting to make a big play on chargers. Price or buying a point not the real issue. It trusting this bipolar team with quite possibly the worst coach in football! After years of chargers having the worst run d in the league, cause Staley seriously believed that running not as efficient as passing so he played a defense that encouraged teams to run, guess he finally figured out it’s damn near impossible to win games when teams controlling the entire game rushing for 150+ Every week!!

I guess credit to him only taking 3 years to figure that out but now this “defensive genius” has one the worst pass defenses in the entire league! They have let some very bad qb’s put up very good numbers on them. Dare I say Zach Wilson could have a solid game here?!??! Then I have to wonder if chargers run d is really good or havnt sssn many rb’s ad good as hall?? Im certainly not convinced chargers offense will put up a lot of points on jets d! Jets held Philly to 14! Chargers offense isn’t that loaded these days imo. Allen great, Palmer a guy, exkler nice but chargers don’t commit to the run. I just don’t think they that good. Every year guys I respect buy into this chargers team and every year are let down. Until they fire Staley they will never be anything more than a fringe playoff team who loses most their close games thanks to all the stupid fick decisions he makes! I hope I’m wrong here cause don’t wanna see ya lose a big bet but I rather you At least made it a smaller play! Lol
 
Section 6 ( WNY) High School Football playoffs semi finals

This has been my bread and butter over the last 3+ years ..With NY state legalizing sports betting the Senecs casinos and online books have taken over most of the pro sports handle here , the brightest local books who have weathered the storm are now doing very well cornering the market on NY STATE college slate ( casino/online books can't offer action on any School in the state ) and High School action ( football , Basketball, baseball/softball, and some soccer ) ...Unfortunately the best local book cut me off after my old HS BENNETT won the state championship in the largest class ( that book offered almost every hs sport throughout the state , and Ohio/PA/NJ ) ....

Anyways I have 3 different books that are offering action on the section 6( WNY) football , only one of those offers section 5 ( Rochester area ) ...


Let's get to it !!!



CLASS. AA

#1 *BENNETT. 35/35.5/35.5
#4. ORCHARD PARK

BENNETT comes in off the bye, just what the DR. ordered for 2 O Lineman who were nursing minor injuries.
The first time these teams met Orchard Park held the Tigers to a season low 14 points in the first half before losing 40-0 at Bennett's renovated All High Stadium...
There is simply no one on the Quakers roster with the speed to chase down the Tigers cheetahs Jameer Thomas ( headed to the Cuse) and Eryon Lawrence. .Anytime either of these players get any crease it's usually headed to the end zone..Both are easily the 2 fastest players in WNY ...
Bennett is loaded with studs that play both sides of the ball ..Both lines of scrimmage feature some very big , quick and mean players ...
Bennett plays with massive chips on their shoulders knowing that the city schools were not permitted to play the burbs until. ( parents , family and alums remind them of this ad nauseum) ...
While most of Bennett's players come from the roughest parts of the city they play with extreme sportsmanship on the field , often helping up the opposition, and rarely celebrating big plays or Tds...Coach McDuffie has the kids all in on believing that scoring and shutting down the opps is what is expected on every Drive , and most importantly that everyone on the field is privileged to be there, with likely to remember each key moment for rest of their lives ..

I'm waiting to bet make a 1-2 unit bet on Bennett to possibly get the best line..As it has already dropped from 38/37.5/37.5 , because as one book honestly put it most of our action comes from either the Suburbs and or on teams catching large numbers. .








#2 LANCASTER 20.5/21/20
#4 ORCHARD PARK


Lancaster won 41-21 at Jamestown just 3 weeks ago ..News out of Jamestown is that 3 players who missed that game could be back on the field tonight. Wanted to get Lancaster at 17.5 or less but missed out on that after the line rose from 17.5 - 19.5+ before it became available to me. .Waiting on the wind forecast before taking a stab on either side small ..Might take a lottery ticket on Jamestown ML as well , in the first meeting they had some bad bounces for Tunerovers and fell behind 3 scores early ..
 
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Thursday night football

Not a game I'd bet on a Sunday slate ...No way would I put a unit on anything ...Digging for action with low risk

Harold Landry over 0.5 sacks +150
$70
Heating up the last 2 games..


Over 3.5 FG +115
$50

Really Dumb Parlay +480
$21 ..
HENRY TD
TITANS OVER 16.5
BURKS OVER 24.5
 
That fair and I agree the nfl is def the most shady, I actually thought bout this little more after asking you and had some nightmare flashback of all the games with spreads less than a fg I loved and ended up getting a 4 foot dildo jammed up my ass watching some redic thing happen to cause the team laying -2 to win by 1!! To tell ya the truth If I was gonna make a big nfl bet (which I rarely do these days) I would prob forgo the points and play the ml no matter what the spread! Long as the ml wasn’t fo crazy! This scam Ass league will def get a game like that inside the number if there to much money on that side! And every time it happened to me I thought for days afterwords I seriously let this happen cause I’m greedy and cheap and can’t stand not making move on bets! Lol.

I don’t even like even money bets, the idea of only winning 100 on my 100 sucks to me! That why I bet so many parlays, ml dogs. Or my new favorite thing playing Alt numbers on props! That really where iit at! Has allowed me fo tone down the parlays bet still get a fantastic return on my money! Just last night I hit a +370 amd + 900 for one running back to go for 80+ and 100+!!! Kinda figured out last year when I win my props it not really often I skate just over the posted number. More often than not I either lose or I smash it where my guy has the posted number before half! So when I really like a prop It 50/50 if I play thx original number then I start a wheel every 10 -20 yards starting w the 1st number that pays out 3-1 or better! Super greedy! But it has worked out really really well for me this year! Love that plus money!

But far as nfl sides, I understand totally, I don’t even play many of those anymore! Lll.


A few of my betting buddies here in Buffalo mirror your betting thoughts on betting alt line on props they like ..They've all but given up on betting games ATS or ML at this point ..

Great work cashing those tickets at fantastic prices !!!


Me personally I can't hit a same game parlay no matter how nice it looks on paper...Don't mind doing them for $5-25 , but they're tough sledding over here ...
 
CLASS A SEMIFINALS

#1 CLARENCE. 24.5/24/24.5
#4 WEST SENECA WEST

This opened at 20 at all 3 and quickly shot up ..Clarence while undefeated on the season has lost 4 in a row ATS while WEST Seneca West has won 4 in a row ATS ... Clarence games get pounded every week by bettors , all their sports teams usually excel to at least the championship game . Girls teams won the flag football state Championship , as just competed in every section 6 soccer, Volleyball and field hockey championship ..Arguably Buffalo's most affluent suburb ( district puts a ton of money into sports ) ..
Clarence won the previous meeting 27-6 , but they do usually sit the starters in the 4th if up by 3 scores. ..Power Rating Clarence -20.55

WEST SENECA WEST 0.625 U
+24.5 $125









#2. STARPOINT. -1/-1.5/-2
#3. LOCKPORT.

This is easily the bet of the week ..Maxing out Lockport at one book ML +105 $500 , and throwing down another $300 at +100....For what it's worth my Power Ratings have Lockport -10.76 ....Sure Starpoint is at home but Lockport might be the 2nd best coached team in WNY ,and has the far superior athletes IMO ..

LOCKPORT. 4 UNITS
+105. $500
+100. $300
 
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Class B

#4 PIONEER. 24.5/27/25.5
#8. SOUTH PARK

South Park ( the 3rd best city school ) is coming off a massive upset over # 1 ranked Lackawana in game where they fell behind needs 2 onside kicks to eventually win on 4th and goal with 6 seconds left ...Pioneer has a very good team, blasted the Sparks 44-12 during the regular season ..I'll take a small bite with all these points but wouldn't be suprised if Pionner won by 30+ as my power ratings suggest ..

SOUTH PARK +27. 0.4 UNITS
$80







2. MARYVALE.
3 HEALTH and SCIENCES -5/-6/-4

Apparently some big money has come in on Maryvale as this line opened at +10/+9.5/+10.5 ...
Been waiting to see if the City's 2nd best school had injuries or suspensions but was told last night by a H&S parent that's not the case ...Tempted to make a 4 unit play here but this massive drop will scare me down to 2.5...Also need to be careful as the ref crew for this game IMO is the shadiest in section 6 ( usually help the suburban school , especially at home ) ..
That being said my power Rating has H&S -12.81

HEALTH & SCIENCES -4 2.5 U
$500
 
Thursday night football

Not a game I'd bet on a Sunday slate ...No way would I put a unit on anything ...Digging for action with low risk

Harold Landry over 0.5 sacks +150
$70
Heating up the last 2 games..


Over 3.5 FG +115
$50

Really Dumb Parlay +480
$21 ..
HENRY TD
TITANS OVER 16.5
BURKS OVER 24.5




1-2. -$33.50.
Happy with this bc if I followed my lame ass NFL point spread ratings I would have taken Tennessee ML for $225
 
BREEDERS CUP update

The Juveniles go to post today ( Friday races 5-9 ) .
Planned on just focusing on Wheeling longshots in cheaper 10 cent Supers.
However 2 friends are begging me to spilt a $1 pick 5 ...We probably have a better shot of winning the lottery than hitting a Juvenile pick 5 as there are often plenty of bombers that win ...
We're meeting to handicap at breakfast at 10 am ..
 
A few of my betting buddies here in Buffalo mirror your betting thoughts on betting alt line on props they like ..They've all but given up on betting games ATS or ML at this point ..

Great work cashing those tickets at fantastic prices !!!


Me personally I can't hit a same game parlay no matter how nice it looks on paper...Don't mind doing them for $5-25 , but they're tough sledding over here ...

I prefer not doing the SGP just cause they screw us on the odds but when it a stand alone game what can ya do when you a parlay junkie like me! Lol. For most part if im making a serious bet on one I keep it to just a few plays, of course I’ll do beer money ones with 5-6-7 plays in them I obviously don’t expect to win but think i actually hit one of those often enough im not really losing money on them, not really making money either, I look at them like lotto scratchers, lol. Last 2 games of WS I missed 7 teamers by one guy in each game! Those always sting but there a big silver lining, chances are I bet several of those props straight so losing the beer money parlay by one generally means I did well! I did hit a 7 teamer prop parlay in nfl last week but not same game, I’m such a greedy Fuxk when I cash a $5 bull shit lotto ticket parlay that pays anywherf from 700-1k im mad that I didn’t put 20 on it!! Lol

I’m in same boat as them with NFL, I might bet a handful of sides in a month these days! Some weeks there a few games I love, some weeks I don’t play any sides. Even ncaa im
Prob betting like 70% props 30% sides totals these days. Baseball playoffs I bet way more props than sides. When I feel the insane desire to bet NBA reg season it never sides always props. It just a whole new world, gotta go with where I think I have the biggest edges! Even the type of props I play have evolved from year to year as it just a cat and mouse game, I find something I think they not lining properly and take advantage long as I can but eventually they catch on and I gotta find something else!
 
Breeders Cup tonight ( Friday)

Our 3rd wheel stiffed us on handicapping this morning /betting..
The juvenile slate today is almost impossible to predict or key horses in any leg except Race 6 ....The ALL button might be needed in 4 of 5 legs ...

Buddy and I decided to scale down to the pick 4 , and split it for 25 cents each ..Throw in a few cheap 10 cent Supers well...

25 cent pick 4


Ticket 1

Race 6. 7. Everyone , their Grandma , and barber are probably singling this horse ..

Race 7. 4,6,8,9,11,12
Going deep , is it enough?

Race 8. 2,4,6,8,9,10
Same as Race 7

Race 9. 5,7,8,9,14
Our top choices are the 8 and 5 but he talked me into the other three due to the single in race 6 ...Definitely using the 8 and 5 on top in some Trifectas and supers
Cost $45





Ticket 2.

Race 6. 1,6,12
These are the next three that look good to us after the single above .Probably a donation thou .

Race 7. 6,9,11
The only ones we could agree on here ..

Race 8. 2,4,6,8,9,10

Race 9. 5,8
Cost $27.
 
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Windy day today in much of WNY ..Gusts up to 25-28 Mph .. Waiting for a line update at 4 pm from a couple of books on the playoff games tonight..
Beautiful 53 degrees for 7pm kickoffs...
 
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Section 6 ( WNY) High School Football playoffs semi finals

This has been my bread and butter over the last 3+ years ..With NY state legalizing sports betting the Senecs casinos and online books have taken over most of the pro sports handle here , the brightest local books who have weathered the storm are now doing very well cornering the market on NY STATE college slate ( casino/online books can't offer action on any School in the state ) and High School action ( football , Basketball, baseball/softball, and some soccer ) ...Unfortunately the best local book cut me off after my old HS BENNETT won the state championship in the largest class ( that book offered almost every hs sport throughout the state , and Ohio/PA/NJ ) ....

Anyways I have 3 different books that are offering action on the section 6( WNY) football , only one of those offers section 5 ( Rochester area ) ...


Let's get to it !!!



CLASS. AA

#1 *BENNETT. 35/35.5/35.5
#4. ORCHARD PARK

BENNETT comes in off the bye, just what the DR. ordered for 2 O Lineman who were nursing minor injuries.
The first time these teams met Orchard Park held the Tigers to a season low 14 points in the first half before losing 40-0 at Bennett's renovated All High Stadium...
There is simply no one on the Quakers roster with the speed to chase down the Tigers cheetahs Jameer Thomas ( headed to the Cuse) and Eryon Lawrence. .Anytime either of these players get any crease it's usually headed to the end zone..Both are easily the 2 fastest players in WNY ...
Bennett is loaded with studs that play both sides of the ball ..Both lines of scrimmage feature some very big , quick and mean players ...
Bennett plays with massive chips on their shoulders knowing that the city schools were not permitted to play the burbs until. ( parents , family and alums remind them of this ad nauseum) ...
While most of Bennett's players come from the roughest parts of the city they play with extreme sportsmanship on the field , often helping up the opposition, and rarely celebrating big plays or Tds...Coach McDuffie has the kids all in on believing that scoring and shutting down the opps is what is expected on every Drive , and most importantly that everyone on the field is privileged to be there, with likely to remember each key moment for rest of their lives ..

I'm waiting to bet make a 1-2 unit bet on Bennett to possibly get the best line..As it has already dropped from 38/37.5/37.5 , because as one book honestly put it most of our action comes from either the Suburbs and or on teams catching large numbers. .








#2 LANCASTER 20.5/21/20
#4 ORCHARD PARK


Lancaster won 41-21 at Jamestown just 3 weeks ago ..News out of Jamestown is that 3 players who missed that game could be back on the field tonight. Wanted to get Lancaster at 17.5 or less but missed out on that after the line rose from 17.5 - 19.5+ before it became available to me. .Waiting on the wind forecast before taking a stab on either side small ..Might take a lottery ticket on Jamestown ML as well , in the first meeting they had some bad bounces for Tunerovers and fell behind 3 scores early ..


Expected both of these lines to drop with the wind, and how large these numbers are...Only Lancaster dropped to -19/20/19.5 ...

Adding BENNETT -35. $400
As usual the refs will likely help the perennial suburban powerhouse who attempted to block the city schools from entering the section 6 playoffs almost a decade ago .
I'd go larger than this but maybe the Tigers put some back ups in a little earlier with Lancaster/Jamestown on deck..
 
Breeders Cup tonight ( Friday)

Our 3rd wheel stiffed us on handicapping this morning /betting..
The juvenile slate today is almost impossible to predict or key horses in any leg except Race 6 ....The ALL button might be needed in 4 of 5 legs ...

Buddy and I decided to scale down to the pick 4 , and split it for 25 cents each ..Throw in a few cheap 10 cent Supers well...

25 cent pick 4


Ticket 1

Race 6. 7. Everyone , their Grandma , and barber are probably singling this horse ..

Race 7. 4,6,8,9,11,12
Going deep , is it enough?

Race 8. 2,4,6,8,9,10
Same as Race 7

Race 9. 5,7,8,9,14
Our top choices are the 8 and 5 but he talked me into the other three due to the single in race 6 ...Definitely using the 8 and 5 on top in some Trifectas and supers
Cost $45





Ticket 2.

Race 6. 1,6,12
These are the next three that look good to us after the single above .Probably a donation thou .

Race 7. 6,9,11
The only ones we could agree on here ..

Race 8. 2,4,6,8,9,10

Race 9. 5,8
Cost $27.



Breeders Cup so far -$72

Man, betting Juveniles is tough, tough sledding ...Saved at least $250+ by not betting the pick 5 and Supers ...
...

Fantastic slate today , not an easy task thou ...Waiting for the scratches , will post around 1 pm est.....
 
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I prefer not doing the SGP just cause they screw us on the odds but when it a stand alone game what can ya do when you a parlay junkie like me! Lol. For most part if im making a serious bet on one I keep it to just a few plays, of course I’ll do beer money ones with 5-6-7 plays in them I obviously don’t expect to win but think i actually hit one of those often enough im not really losing money on them, not really making money either, I look at them like lotto scratchers, lol. Last 2 games of WS I missed 7 teamers by one guy in each game! Those always sting but there a big silver lining, chances are I bet several of those props straight so losing the beer money parlay by one generally means I did well! I did hit a 7 teamer prop parlay in nfl last week but not same game, I’m such a greedy Fuxk when I cash a $5 bull shit lotto ticket parlay that pays anywherf from 700-1k im mad that I didn’t put 20 on it!! Lol

I’m in same boat as them with NFL, I might bet a handful of sides in a month these days! Some weeks there a few games I love, some weeks I don’t play any sides. Even ncaa im
Prob betting like 70% props 30% sides totals these days. Baseball playoffs I bet way more props than sides. When I feel the insane desire to bet NBA reg season it never sides always props. It just a whole new world, gotta go with where I think I have the biggest edges! Even the type of props I play have evolved from year to year as it just a cat and mouse game, I find something I think they not lining properly and take advantage long as I can but eventually they catch on and I gotta find something else!


Much respect for your extremely rare discipline...Waiting on prices you think are off makes you something of a wagering savant these days ...

Love those lotto scratcher type parlays...Some dudes at the J O B follow some discord that encouraged a lotto type bet on a FG in every NFL 1pm and 4pm game a few weeks back...It cashed one chap hit for $51k on a smallish wager .. Of course ny dumb arse didn't tail ( DOH) ...
They moved on to some weird 3 sacks in every game prop at surprisingly astronomical odds ..
 
College Football Saturday ..

Saved about $900 not betting MACTION this week...The MAC is still my favorite conference by far , but betting on it this season has largely been a repeated kick in the Balls ...

Overall on the season im down around $880...Last 2 weeks have been okay , losing around $43 LW , winning $497 the week before....

As a old school college loving degenerate, I HATE the schools jumping ship to move to a conference on the other side of the MAP ..Had a good feeling about 5 years ago this sort of thing was going to happen ( got ridiculed endlessly across the street for it ) ...However no one could have predicted the lunacy like CAL in the ACC LOL ....


Anyways Enough RAMBLING

Let's get to GAMBLING


All wagers 0.75 units /$150 unless noted...

Kansas St over 23.5. $250
Even my die hard Texas Homer buddy thinks K St hangs 27+

Notre Dame -3. $225
Probably a suckers chalk donation.

Rutgers over 10.5
My favorite big 10 team to bet on, and root for this season

Minnesota -1.5. $200
Love MAC MAN PJ

Georgia State +105
Wrong team favorite ?

Washington -3. $420
Unless USC is allowed 13 defenders on the field how do they slow down the Huskies ?

LSU +135. $310
Book manager at the casino said about 90% of the money is on Bama ..The biggest mush in Buffalo who is chasing desperately has hammered Bama ..
 
Breeders cup

$2 pick 3
Race 3. 3
Race 4. 6,1,2,8,9,4,11,7
Race 5. 7,1
Cost. $32

$1 pick 3
Race 3. 3
Race. 4. 6,1,2,8,9,4,11,7
Race 5. 4
Cost $8

50 cent pick 3
Race 3. 5,4
Race 4. 6,1,2,8
Race 5. 7,1
Cost $8
 
Breeders cup

ALL DIRT PICK 4

$1
RACE 5. 7,1
RACE 7. 4,5,9,8,6,7
RACE 9 12
RACE 11. 8,7,9
COST $36


50 CENTS
RACE 5. 7,1
RACE 7. 4,5,9,8,6
RACE 9. 8,3
RACE 11. 8,7,9
COST. $30
 
RACE 6

Take a little shot here wheeling the #8 Du Jour on the bottom of the exotics ..Love the Jockey/Trainer combo of Prat & Baffert

10 cent Super
1st. 3,6,10,14
2nd. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
3rd. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
4th. 8
COST $12

50 cent TRI
1ST. 3,6,10,14
2ND. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
3RD. 8
COST. $12


$1 EX WHEEL
3,6,10,14 OVER 8
COST $4
 
Race 7

Taking another stab on a bomber on the bottom of the exotics ..

10 cent Super
1st. 4,5,8,9
2nd. 4,5,6,7,8,9
3rd. 11
4th. All
Cost $12

10 cent Super
1st. 4,5,8,9
2nd. 4,5,6,7,8,9
3rd. All
4th. 11
Cost $12
 
Race 8

Same philosophy, Wheeling a horse I don't think can win , but the bottom exotics are possible for Japanese horse #1 Shahryar


10 cent Super
1st. 5,8,9
2nd. 25,8,9,11,13
3rd. 1.
4th. All
Cost $12


10. Cent Super
1st. 5,8,9
2nd. 2,5,8,9,11,13
3rd. All
4th. 1
Cost $12


$1 ex wheels
5,8,9 over 1,10
Cost $6
 
Race 9
After cashing nicely the last 2 races for a total of $328 were finally playing with house money......Already invested in the chalks 3,8,12 in the all dirt pick 4 ...Weird feeling we see a bomber win the classic, got my eyes on the #5 Derma Sotogake but he hasn't raced since the Kentucky derby and the 11 Bright Future who comes in winning his last 2 showing great form .. all that being said I'll stick with the same philosophy of using bombers on the bottom of the exotics , however also sprinkling a little on them to win as well ..

50 cent Tri
1st. 3,8,12
2nd. 2,3,6,8,12
3rd. 5,11
Cost $12

10 cent Super
1st. 3,8,12
2nd. 2,3,6,8,12
3rd. All
4th. 5,11
Cost $21.60

$16 win. #11
$12. Win. #5
Cost $28

$1 ex wheels. 3,8,12 over 5,11
Cost $6
 
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Race 10
Have cashed 3 races In a row now , albeit last race was only turning $67 into $89 lol ..Anyways don't have a ton of time for writeups but stick with the same philosophy using the 8,11 here on rhe bottom of exotics ...

10 cent Super
1st. 5,10
2nd. 1,3,5,9,10
3rd. 8,11
4th. All.
Cost 14.40

10 cent Super
1st. 5,10
2nd. 1,3,5,9,10
3rd. All
4th. 8,11
Cost $14.40


$2 ex wheels. 5,10 over 8,11

$16 win. 8
$8. Win. 11
 
Breeders cup

$2 pick 3
Race 3. 3
Race 4. 6,1,2,8,9,4,11,7
Race 5. 7,1
Cost. $32

$1 pick 3
Race 3. 3
Race. 4. 6,1,2,8,9,4,11,7
Race 5. 4
Cost $8

50 cent pick 3
Race 3. 5,4
Race 4. 6,1,2,8
Race 5. 7,1
Cost $8


Winner , but a loser

$2 pick 3 paid $31.20.
Lost $16.80
 
RACE 6

Take a little shot here wheeling the #8 Du Jour on the bottom of the exotics ..Love the Jockey/Trainer combo of Prat & Baffert

10 cent Super
1st. 3,6,10,14
2nd. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
3rd. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
4th. 8
COST $12

50 cent TRI
1ST. 3,6,10,14
2ND. 2,3,6,10,11,13,14
3RD. 8
COST. $12


$1 EX WHEEL
3,6,10,14 OVER 8
COST $4


Loser -$28
 
Race 8

Same philosophy, Wheeling a horse I don't think can win , but the bottom exotics are possible for Japanese horse #1 Shahryar


10 cent Super
1st. 5,8,9
2nd. 25,8,9,11,13
3rd. 1.
4th. All
Cost $12


10. Cent Super
1st. 5,8,9
2nd. 2,5,8,9,11,13
3rd. All
4th. 1
Cost $12


$1 ex wheels
5,8,9 over 1,10
Cost $6



Winner paid $259.56

Profit. +$229.56
 
Race 9
After cashing nicely the last 2 races for a total of $328 were finally playing with house money......Already invested in the chalks 3,8,12 in the all dirt pick 4 ...Weird feeling we see a bomber win the classic, got my eyes on the #5 Derma Sotogake but he hasn't raced since the Kentucky derby and the 11 Bright Future who comes in winning his last 2 showing great form .. all that being said I'll stick with the same philosophy of using bombers on the bottom of the exotics , however also sprinkling a little on them to win as well ..

50 cent Tri
1st. 3,8,12
2nd. 2,3,6,8,12
3rd. 5,11
Cost $12

10 cent Super
1st. 3,8,12
2nd. 2,3,6,8,12
3rd. All
4th. 5,11
Cost $21.60

$16 win. #11
$12. Win. #5
Cost $28

$1 ex wheels. 3,8,12 over 5,11
Cost $6



Winner paid $89
Spent $67.60

Profit +$21.40
 
Race 10
Have cashed 3 races In a row now , albeit last race was only turning $67 into $89 lol ..Anyways don't have a ton of time for writeups but stick with the same philosophy using the 8,11 here on rhe bottom of exotics ...

10 cent Super
1st. 5,10
2nd. 1,3,5,9,10
3rd. 8,11
4th. All.
Cost 14.40

10 cent Super
1st. 5,10
2nd. 1,3,5,9,10
3rd. All
4th. 8,11
Cost $14.40


$2 ex wheels. 5,10 over 8,11

$16 win. 8
$8. Win. 11



Lost $60.80
 
Breeders Cup results
+$175.01

Feels like I've won huge lol ( plenty of years the breeders has been a waste of time and a $500+ donation ) ..Just breaking even is often a huge accomplishment when betting so many stakes races , including some with deeper fields ...The $259 Super saved the day ...

Can't remember the Rodney Dangerfield joke , but think it's...I'm going to the track today , hope I break even, could really use the money ..lol
 
Section. 6 High school playoff firiday night lights was a perfect 5-0 +$1,915 ...10-0 $2835 over the last 2 weeks

If HS football went year round I'd retire and live on a huge yacht that circles around Grand Island NY ( Niagara River ) ...JK I hate the water ..

( full results/recap when I have time ) .
 
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College Football Saturday ..

Saved about $900 not betting MACTION this week...The MAC is still my favorite conference by far , but betting on it this season has largely been a repeated kick in the Balls ...

Overall on the season im down around $880...Last 2 weeks have been okay , losing around $43 LW , winning $497 the week before....

As a old school college loving degenerate, I HATE the schools jumping ship to move to a conference on the other side of the MAP ..Had a good feeling about 5 years ago this sort of thing was going to happen ( got ridiculed endlessly across the street for it ) ...However no one could have predicted the lunacy like CAL in the ACC LOL ....


Anyways Enough RAMBLING

Let's get to GAMBLING


All wagers 0.75 units /$150 unless noted...

Kansas St over 23.5. $250
Even my die hard Texas Homer buddy thinks K St hangs 27+

Notre Dame -3. $225
Probably a suckers chalk donation.

Rutgers over 10.5
My favorite big 10 team to bet on, and root for this season

Minnesota -1.5. $200
Love MAC MAN PJ

Georgia State +105
Wrong team favorite ?

Washington -3. $420
Unless USC is allowed 13 defenders on the field how do they slow down the Huskies ?

LSU +135. $310
Book manager at the casino said about 90% of the money is on Bama ..The biggest mush in Buffalo who is chasing desperately has hammered Bama ..


-$107.50
3-4

Dang Gophers choking was a $420 swing ....

Not the end of the world , thankfully the POD Washington came through with the cover .
 
Week 9
NFL slate
4-3 +$896 last week

CHARGERS -1 -120
6.6 units MORTGAGE WAGER
$1584 to win $1320

DOLPHINS ML +100
$500 / 2.5 U

K SHAKIR OVER 2.5 -120
$420 / 2.1 UNITS
Wanted to make this one a mortgage wager as the Bengals are giving up stats to the slot and Shakir has caught all 10 of his targets over the last 2 weeks ..BILLS have deployed 3 WR formations more often since the Knox injury ...Juice is now up to -139 since putting this in last night, could have got this at -109 Friday..


COWBOYS OVER 21.5 -107
$400. 2 units
Good spot vs a Eagles defense that clearly isn't anywhere as good as last year ..

KAMARA OVER 4.5 CATCHES -117
$200
Insta bet every week .


Smaller plays

Q JOHNSON CHARGERS to score 2 TD +3300. $16

BILLS AT BENGALS TO GO TO OT +1500
$25
 
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English Premier League
( +$262.50 1-0 season to date )


Chalky parlay +116
$250
Liverpool -1.5
Man City -1.5


Luton town under 0.5 goals scored +105
$200
Becker going for 3 EPL clean sheets in a row .
 
DU. You still doing your madden simulations? Also, as a Bills fan would love to hear your thoughts on the game tonight
 
Section 6 ( WNY) High School Football playoffs semi finals

This has been my bread and butter over the last 3+ years ..With NY state legalizing sports betting the Senecs casinos and online books have taken over most of the pro sports handle here , the brightest local books who have weathered the storm are now doing very well cornering the market on NY STATE college slate ( casino/online books can't offer action on any School in the state ) and High School action ( football , Basketball, baseball/softball, and some soccer ) ...Unfortunately the best local book cut me off after my old HS BENNETT won the state championship in the largest class ( that book offered almost every hs sport throughout the state , and Ohio/PA/NJ ) ....

Anyways I have 3 different books that are offering action on the section 6( WNY) football , only one of those offers section 5 ( Rochester area ) ...


Let's get to it !!!



CLASS. AA

#1 *BENNETT. 35/35.5/35.5
#4. ORCHARD PARK

BENNETT comes in off the bye, just what the DR. ordered for 2 O Lineman who were nursing minor injuries.
The first time these teams met Orchard Park held the Tigers to a season low 14 points in the first half before losing 40-0 at Bennett's renovated All High Stadium...
There is simply no one on the Quakers roster with the speed to chase down the Tigers cheetahs Jameer Thomas ( headed to the Cuse) and Eryon Lawrence. .Anytime either of these players get any crease it's usually headed to the end zone..Both are easily the 2 fastest players in WNY ...
Bennett is loaded with studs that play both sides of the ball ..Both lines of scrimmage feature some very big , quick and mean players ...
Bennett plays with massive chips on their shoulders knowing that the city schools were not permitted to play the burbs until. ( parents , family and alums remind them of this ad nauseum) ...
While most of Bennett's players come from the roughest parts of the city they play with extreme sportsmanship on the field , often helping up the opposition, and rarely celebrating big plays or Tds...Coach McDuffie has the kids all in on believing that scoring and shutting down the opps is what is expected on every Drive , and most importantly that everyone on the field is privileged to be there, with likely to remember each key moment for rest of their lives ..

I'm waiting to bet make a 1-2 unit bet on Bennett to possibly get the best line..As it has already dropped from 38/37.5/37.5 , because as one book honestly put it most of our action comes from either the Suburbs and or on teams catching large numbers. .








#2 LANCASTER 20.5/21/20
#4 ORCHARD PARK


Lancaster won 41-21 at Jamestown just 3 weeks ago ..News out of Jamestown is that 3 players who missed that game could be back on the field tonight. Wanted to get Lancaster at 17.5 or less but missed out on that after the line rose from 17.5 - 19.5+ before it became available to me. .Waiting on the wind forecast before taking a stab on either side small ..Might take a lottery ticket on Jamestown ML as well , in the first meeting they had some bad bounces for Tunerovers and fell behind 3 scores early ..

This is an amazing post on so many levels.

Where the fuck can I play high school football lines?
 
This is an amazing post on so many levels.

Where the fuck can I play high school football lines?


Really appreciate the kindness brother ...

I've basically screwed myself by introducing 7 people to a few of the locals ..A couple of them were skeptical at first bc they needed to put the cash down up front , especially because they bet far larger than myself. 5 of us hammered Bennett all through the playoffs the last 2 years collecting very large combined returns...Never had any issues collecting ( extremely professional and reliable)...We all got cut off from the best book after the state championship last season ...Now I couldn't even get a couple low limit (25-100) bettors into the smaller books to start this season ...
This week I may even fade a few of my picks with a couple books just to hopefully stay in good graces ( assuming I lose then lol) ..

One of them is very recognizable, maybe if you introduced yourself without mentioning me , he'd take your action...I can message you his spot where his group hangs out if you like ? ( nice 70 something yr olds )..
 
DU. You still doing your madden simulations? Also, as a Bills fan would love to hear your thoughts on the game tonight


Sorry I didn't see this earlier..
Haven't had time for the sims , both my kids sports seasons are in full swing now....
Game went pretty much like I thought it would with the BILLS trailing and McDummy blundering critical timeouts ..

.The challenge flag he threw on a pointless 1st down drop was one of the worst I've ever seen ...Shakir and Kincaid appear to be easy money on catches over every week... They'll likely win the next 2 weeks vs softer foes , and the bandwagon will be too full heading into Philadelphia..
 
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