Wk 11 National Fixed League/ NYS HS FOOTBALL Quarterfinals/CFB/NBA/NHL/Woodbine thorough+standardbred. BOL TO ALL

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up Family ???

Hope you're all doing fantastic heading into the weekend before Thanksgiving !!

Fellow WNY'S here for the High school football playoff investments PLEASE sign up here at CTG..There are far better cappers than me all over each sport forum here.

Can't wait for this weekend's High school football playoffs at Williamsville South .. As Section 6 ( Buffalo) hosts Secrion 5 ( Rochester ) in the regionals ( State Quarterfinals ) .....I am in utter shock at a couple of the point spreads ( more on that later )...



NFL. Whoa we finally have a excellent Thursday night matchup !!! Sunday- Monday looks loaded with Value ...
Had a nice +$631 week 10 , coming into week 11 on a 3 wk winning streak .. Finally on the plus side this season after getting curbed stomped earlier listening to the defunct Madden Sims lol .. YTD +$184








Anyways
That's enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING!!!!
 
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TNF Parlay +160
$140 (0.7 units ) to win $224
Keaton Mitchell over Over 36.5 rushing yards -118
Game Over 40.5. -245

Breakout Mitchell's speed has been fun to watch over 2 games averaging 14.3 yards per carry.
Don't think this number is high enough vs a Bengals defense that has been a little leaky vs the Run.
Like moving the game total down from 46 to 40.5, thinking both teams likely score 20+.
Can't see putting a unit ($200) on this one thou , just looking to fulfill my degenerate fix .
 
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Woodbine Thursday night thoroughbred Pick 4

20 cent
Race 4. 6,7,8
Race 5. 1,5,6,8. 5 and 6 will be really chalky , but wouldn't be suprised if the 1 or 8 take it.
Race 6. 1,2,8
Race 7. 1,7,8,9. 7 and 9 should be really chalky , hopefully we're live here and the 1 or 8 win ..
Cost 28.80


20 cent
Race 4. 4,9
Race 5. 1,5,6,8
Race 6. 1,2,8
Race 7. 7,8,9
Cost $14.40
 
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Woodbine Thursday night thoroughbred Pick 4

20 cent
Race 4. 6,7,8
Race 5. 1,5,6,8. 5 and 6 will be really chalky , but wouldn't be suprised if the 1 or 8 take it.
Race 6. 1,2,8
Race 7. 1,7,8,9. 7 and 9 should be really chalky , hopefully we're live here and the 1 or 8 win ..
Cost 28.80


20 cent
Race 4. 4,9
Race 5. 1,5,6,8
Race 6. 1,2,8
Race 7. 7,8,9
Cost $14.40





Winner 7/6/2/1 Paid $154.11
Spent $43.20

Profit $100.91

Have some live horses tonight in Races 7,8,10 at Woodbine Mohawk I plan on Wheeling in the bottom of the exotics. .
 
Woodbine Mohawk

Race 7

#1 Born to Rebel. Big fan of driver Louis Phillipe Roy ...This horse has finished in the money in 43% of his 54 starts ...

Don't think this horse wins , but I'll use it in the late pick 4/5 ...I'm more intrested in the bottom of the exotics...

20 cent Super
1st. 4,7,
2nd. 4,6,7,8,9
3rd. 1
4th. All
Cost $11.20

20 cent Super
1st. 4,7
2nd. 4,6,7,8,9
3rd. All
4th. 1
Cost $11.20

$2 ex wheel. 4,7 over 1
$1. Ex wheel. 6,8,9 over 1

Total cost $29.40


Late pick 5
Race 6 2,3,6,7,9
Race 7. 1,4,7
Race 8. 1,4,7,9
Race 9. 2
Race 10. 4
Cost $12

20 cent pick 5
2,3
1,4,7
1,4,7,9
2
7,9
Cost $9.60



Race 8
Love the #1 here as well

$12 win #1
$2 ex wheel. 4,7,9 over 1

20 cent Super
4,7,9
4,5,7,9
1
All
Cost 10.80


20 cent Super
4,7,9
4,5,7,9
All
1
Cost $10.80

Total cost race 8. $39.60





Race 10

#2 Sea Sand 8-1 ML looks very live to me with Sylvian Fillon in the sulkie ...Don't think he wins as the 4 should be a mega chalk with the 7 and 9 not too far behind on the prices ...

20 Cent Super
4
5,7,8,9
2
All
$6

20 cent
4
5,7,8,9
All
2
Cost $6

$3 ex 4 over 2
$1 ex wheels. 5,7,8,9 over 2


20 cent Super
7,9
4,7,9
2
All
Cost 4.80


20 cent Super
7,9
4,7,9
All
2
Cost 4.80
 
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CLASS A REGIONAL
CLARENCE 9.5/9/9.5/9 (49.5)
EAST (Rochester) Friday 8pm at Williamsville South.

Sure Clarence is undefeated but they have not met a team with nearly as much athleticism as EAST.
Section 6 Champs Clarence made it through what is arguably considered a down year for Class A section 6.

While EAST took care of business in a highly competitive Class A in Rochester, very impressed with their 25-8 win over Brighton who upset top ranked Victor in the semi-finals finals.
East QB Zymier Jackson set a plethora of passing records this season and throughout his hs tenure.
Clarence has never faced a qb like Zymier at any point in the last 2 decades .

I'm in shock over the current line that has moved up from 6/6.5 on Tuesday.
Expected this to be around even/ pick em .

EAST +9.5. 3.5 UNITS ($700)
EAST ML+275. ($200)
 

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Class B Regional
MONROE 11.5/10/11/12.5 (63.5)
HEALTH & SCIENCES

Monroe has destroyed a very weak class B in section 5 out scoring opponents 470-6 . Went back and watched several of their games, the competition they faced was bottom of the barrel. While they likely would have made the playoffs in section 6 they would have taken a few losses imo ..Not saying Monroe can't win this game , but this spread is a major overreaction of their massive blow out wins.

Health and Sciences is battle tested , playing some really tough competition in a loaded deep class B in section 6.
They just put up 38 on a very good Pioneer squad .


I'm waiting to see if this line continues to rise as it's already 12.5 from the big book in Ra cha cha who is finally taking my action again with regional play under way .
 

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CLASS A REGIONAL
CLARENCE 9.5/9/9.5/9 (49.5)
EAST (Rochester) Friday 8pm at Williamsville South.

Sure Clarence is undefeated but they have not met a team with nearly as much athleticism as EAST.
Section 6 Champs Clarence made it through what is arguably considered a down year for Class A section 6.

While EAST took care of business in a highly competitive Class A in Rochester, very impressed with their 25-8 win over Brighton who upset top ranked Victor in the semi-finals finals.
East QB Zymier Jackson set a plethora of passing records this season and throughout his hs tenure.
Clarence has never faced a qb like Zymier at any point in the last 2 decades .

I'm in shock over the current line that has moved up from 6/6.5 on Tuesday.
Expected this to be around even/ pick em .

EAST +9.5. 3.5 UNITS ($700)
EAST ML+275. ($200)


Line holding firm between 9 and 9.5 ..while the total gas climbed to 51.
 
College football Friday night

Colorado +160
$40
Just a couple Andrew Jackson's to make it worth watching.on the DVR before passing out (currently at the Class A regional ) .


Ugly looking slate tomorrow...Going to have a hard time not betting on the Huskies as a small dog .


Adding Saturday play

Kansas St -10 -109
$457.80 to win $420
Likely my play of the day..Way too physical for the Jayhawks...Want to root for the former UB coach but it's very possibly he'll have a 3rd string qb out there.
 
CLASS A REGIONAL
CLARENCE 9.5/9/9.5/9 (49.5)
EAST (Rochester) Friday 8pm at Williamsville South.

Sure Clarence is undefeated but they have not met a team with nearly as much athleticism as EAST.
Section 6 Champs Clarence made it through what is arguably considered a down year for Class A section 6.

While EAST took care of business in a highly competitive Class A in Rochester, very impressed with their 25-8 win over Brighton who upset top ranked Victor in the semi-finals finals.
East QB Zymier Jackson set a plethora of passing records this season and throughout his hs tenure.
Clarence has never faced a qb like Zymier at any point in the last 2 decades .

I'm in shock over the current line that has moved up from 6/6.5 on Tuesday.
Expected this to be around even/ pick em .

EAST +9.5. 3.5 UNITS ($700)
EAST ML+275. ($200)





EAST 42-7 Clarence
+$1,250

East scored 35 unanswered points. NYS Class A player of the year QB Zymier Jackson is the best hs qb I've seen live in a long, long time.
 
CLASS AA Regional
McQuaid 4/4.5/4/5.5(53)
BENNETT

Extremely confusing point spread as McQuaid's excellent QB is OUT. Although that didn't stop them from running over a very good University Prep 45-14 last week as a 3 point chalk in the Rochester Sectional final. They ran a hurry up rushing offense that only threw the ball once.

Maybe this is a classic overreaction of Bennett only winning 20-7 over Lancaster last week? The game plan seemed deliberately vanilla, not showing anything on tape , barely passing , running most plays with 2 blocking fullbacks. Maybe Section 5's East domination last night of Clarence plays into this seemingly ridiculous point spread...Thinking Coach McDuffie has some never seen before offensive plays and defensive fronts in the game plan today..


This spread was not available until this morning due to injuries to McQuaid and Bennett's Aaron Roseboros status update .


Either way I'll pass on betting , just plan on going bananas at the game tonight.
 

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College football Friday night

Colorado +160
$40
Just a couple Andrew Jackson's to make it worth watching.on the DVR before passing out (currently at the Class A regional ) .


Ugly looking slate tomorrow...Going to have a hard time not betting on the Huskies as a small dog .


Adding Saturday play

Kansas St -10 -109
$457.80 to win $420
Likely my play of the day..Way too physical for the Jayhawks...Want to root for the former UB coach but it's very possibly he'll have a 3rd string qb out there.




ADDING WASHINGTON OVER 30.5 -110 $440/$400

Corvallis is a tough place to play but I don't think the Beavers can slow down the high flying Huskies.


One of the ugliest Saturday slates I've ever seen ..These 2 plays are the only ones worth betting imo .

Then again it's not like I'm so CFB capping savant , my picks are lucky to be near 48% this season lol.
 
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Class B Regional
MONROE 11.5/10/11/12.5 (63.5)
HEALTH & SCIENCES

Monroe has destroyed a very weak class B in section 5 out scoring opponents 470-6 . Went back and watched several of their games, the competition they faced was bottom of the barrel. While they likely would have made the playoffs in section 6 they would have taken a few losses imo ..Not saying Monroe can't win this game , but this spread is a major overreaction of their massive blow out wins.

Health and Sciences is battle tested , playing some really tough competition in a loaded deep class B in section 6.
They just put up 38 on a very good Pioneer squad .


I'm waiting to see if this line continues to rise as it's already 12.5 from the big book in Ra cha cha who is finally taking my action again with regional play under way .



Wow line is sky rocketing ..Guessing it's after bettors seeing Monroe's 470 points scored while only giving up 6 ...Combined with Rochester's EAST hs hammering Clarence 42-7 ...

Current line
MONROE -16.5/17/-16/-17 (64)

Maybe adding just a one unit play on Health & Sciences catching 17+ ..Waiting closer until the 3:30 kickoff
 
I'll take a slice at Health & Sciences +17 for $250 ( 1.25 units ) and a little sprinkle on the ML as well at +525 $40
 
CLASS AA Regional
McQuaid 4/4.5/4/5.5(53)
BENNETT

Extremely confusing point spread as McQuaid's excellent QB is OUT. Although that didn't stop them from running over a very good University Prep 45-14 last week as a 3 point chalk in the Rochester Sectional final. They ran a hurry up rushing offense that only threw the ball once.

Maybe this is a classic overreaction of Bennett only winning 20-7 over Lancaster last week? The game plan seemed deliberately vanilla, not showing anything on tape , barely passing , running most plays with 2 blocking fullbacks. Maybe Section 5's East domination last night of Clarence plays into this seemingly ridiculous point spread...Thinking Coach McDuffie has some never seen before offensive plays and defensive fronts in the game plan today..


This spread was not available until this morning due to injuries to McQuaid and Bennett's Aaron Roseboros status update .


Either way I'll pass on betting , just plan on going bananas at the game tonight.




Amazing game

Bennett drives 86 yards with 3 37 left scoring the game winning td as time expires...
26-21 , moving on to Cicero North Syracuse to play Christian Brothers academy
 
What we have NFL Sunday?


This is all I have so far, likely adding a few more

Thanks for asking , sweep your slate today brother


STEELERS OVER 15.5 TT. -115
$230/200. 1 UNIT


J FERGUSON OVER 3.5 Catches -106
$212/200
Has caught 4+ in 3 straight games.

EKELER TD SCORED + OVER 3.5 CATCHES +205
$200( 1 UNIT)
 
Monday Night Football
EAGLES OVER 1.5 FIELD GOALS +107
$400 to win $428
Chiefs defense has been very good inside their own 30 . Nice to get one of the best kickers in the game at plus money.
 
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