Wildcard Weekend

TreyDawg

TreyDawg

Pretty much a regular
Sides: 57-51 +2.00u
Totals: 3-2 +3.30u
ML: 40-56 -76.79u
Teaser: 38-27 +5.40u
UDMLP: 1-13 +0.36u
ML Parlay: 23-29 +1.28u
Longshot: 2-15 +25.42u
TD Player Prop: 43-98 -28.06u
Straight Player Prop: 68-57 -9.82u
Player Prop Parlay: 19-29 +1.54u
Team Total: 22-13 +15.47u

Total Overall: 326-431 -59.90u

Week 18: 20-39 -53.30u

Well stepped up to the plate, took my swing, and oh boy did it go horribly wrong. Maybe the worst week ever. Really liked the Saints, thought the Colts were gonna pull that one out playing hard to the finish after Houston pulled their starters, fading the Redskins backfired per the usual, and then the night cap for the cherry on top with the Ravens. Limping to the playoffs but a good run is right around the corner. Gonna keep a separate playoff record so let's regroup.

🏈 Wildcard Round 🏈

Sides
Panthers +10.5 -113 (2.26/2)
Bills +1.5 -106 (2.12/2)

Totals


ML
Packers -119 (2.38/2)
Live: Bills +160 (1.5/2.4)
Eagles -240 (2.4/1)
Pats -195 (3.9/2)

Teaser
10 pt
Bills +11/Eagles +4/Chargers +13.5/Steelers +13 -110 (2.2/2)

UDMLP


ML Parlay


Longshot


TD Player Prop
Tyler Higbee +229 (1/2.29)
Christian Watson +150 (1/1.5)
Dawson Knox TD +325 (1/3.25)
Parker Washington TD +190 (1/1.9)
AJ Brown +160 (1/1.6)
Treveyon Henderson TD +140 (1/1.4)

Straight Player Prop
Tetairoa McMillan o55.5 rec yds -124 (1.24/1)
Christian Watson o3.5 rec -108 (1.08/1)
Tyler Higbee o26.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
D’Andre Swift o12.5 carries -154 (1.54/1)
Parker Washington o73.5 rec yds +163 (1/1.63)
Parker Washington o4.5 rec +114 (1/1.14)
Parker Washington longest rec o20.5 yds -130 (1.3/1)
Dawson Knox o22.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Dawson Knox o2.5 rec +123 (1/1.23)
Bills/Jags longest FG o50.5 yds -121 (1.21/1)
AJ Brown o68.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Saquon Barkley o92.5 rush yds +110 (1/1.1)
Drake Maye o1.5 Pass TD -125 (1.25/1)
Stefon Diggs o58.5 rec yds -106 (1.06/1)
Treveyon Henderson o65.5 rush yds +116 (1/1.16)
Kenneth Gainwell o33.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Kenneth Gainwell o43.5 rec yds +131 (1/1.31)
Kenneth Gainwell o5.5 rec +125 (1/1.25)
Nico Collins most rec yds +135 (1/1.35)

Player Prop Parlay
Kyren Williams o61.5 rush yds/Christian Watson o55.5 rec yds +177 (1/1.77)
James Cook o67.5 rush yds/TD +102 (1/1.02)
Kincaid o34.5 rec yds/Parker Washington o53.5 rec yds/James Cook o69.5 rush yds/Bills TT o24.5 +575 (1/5.75)
Kenneth Gainwell o59.5 rush + rec yds/Ka'imi Fairbairn o1.5 FGs +200 (1/2)


Team Total
Bills TT o24.5 -130 (2.6/2)

🍀 GL This Week 🍀
 
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Week 18 a really tough week to take a shot. I’ve always freaking hated the final week of the season. Gl in the playoffs.
 
2daBank said:
Week 18 a really tough week to take a shot. I’ve always freaking hated the final week of the season. Gl in the playoffs.
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Yeah I knew that going in but felt real good about a few. That probably shoulda been my cue to run the other way 🤷‍♂️🤣

GL to you bro
 
Tyler Higbee o26.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
D’Andre Swift o12.5 carries -154 (1.54/1)
Kyren Williams o61.5 rush yds/Christian Watson o55.5 rec yds +177 (1/1.77)
 
Nice little collapse there by the Packers. Can’t even tell ya how many times I’ve been burned by ST this season.

McManus might’ve had to walk home from Chicago 😳
 
If not now, when Josh? Not anything you haven’t heard and doesn’t necessarily lead to results on the field. Head is tellin me Jax, could be a mistake but going with heart here. I like Josh Allen and wanna see him make a run. I get that the Jags are on a heater and why step in front of that train? Well Trevor hasn’t fared well in the playoffs and I’m sort of a prove it to me type of guy (part of the reason for the Packers play). Trevor gonna have to show me he can do it in the playoffs. There is precedent for a QB to be a Cinderella of sorts in the regular season then turn into a pumpkin under the playoff pressure.

Not sayin Trevor is a pumpkin but I’ll pay to see him and his team continue to dominate the way they have. The win in Denver was nice, other than that who have the really beaten lately? Titans x2, Colts x2, Jets, and Cardinals are hardly anything to write home about. Gotta go all the way back to Nov to find a playoff team so the Bills need to come out and punch them in the face with Cook and make the Jags respond. Josh Allen is far and away the best QB the Jags defense has seen since October when Stafford lit em up for 35 pts and threw for 5 TDs. IF the Jags slow Cook (I’ll pay to see that too) could Josh put on his cape? Would love to see it honestly.

Bills +1.5 -106 (2.12/2)

Bills TT o24.5 -130 (2.6/2)

James Cook o67.5 rush yds/TD +102 (1/1.02)
Dawson Knox o22.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Dawson Knox o2.5 rec +123 (1/1.23)
Dawson Knox TD +325 (1/3.25)

Parker Washington o73.5 rec yds +163 (1/1.63)
Parker Washington o4.5 rec +114 (1/1.14)
Parker Washington longest rec o20.5 yds -130 (1.3/1)
Parker Washington TD +190 (1/1.9)

Bills/Jags longest FG o50.5 yds -121 (1.21/1)
 
Eagles -240 (2.4/1)

AJ Brown o68.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
AJ Brown TD +160 (1/1.6)
Saquon Barkley o92.5 rush yds +110 (1/1.1)
 
Pats -195 (3.9/2)

Drake Maye o1.5 Pass TD -125 (1.25/1)
Stefon Diggs o58.5 rec yds -106 (1.06/1)
Treveyon Henderson o65.5 rush yds +116 (1/1.16)
Treveyon Henderson TD +140 (1/1.4)
 
Kenneth Gainwell o33.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Kenneth Gainwell o43.5 rec yds +131 (1/1.31)
Kenneth Gainwell o59.5 rush + rec yds/Ka'imi Fairbairn o1.5 FGs +200 (1/2)
 
B.A.R. said:
I sense a theme.
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B.A.R. said:
I'll be honest, for the Steelers to win they'll need KG to be big !
Click to expand...
Fo sho, tryin somethin a little different on the props and instead of having multiple players just gonna go with the one I like best multiple ways (Parker Washington, Dawson Knox).

Can’t commit to either side rn so I dunno who wins or by how many. I think Houston is the much better team and it ain’t close. But the whole Tomlin on Monday night, Steelers dogs at home thing. So I’ll wait till live maybe.

But, for Rodgers to make it through this one alive he’ll need to do what he did last week and get it out of his hands quickly. Gainwell was his top target last week and that might take a little hit with DK back but not necessarily.

KG been over the rec yds number 3 out of last 5, he’s been the top target 3 out of last 5 (2 of those 3 top target games were with DK in the lineup), and they had some success last week with it. Mise well go back to it. Might add a rec prop as well but it’s high, maybe for good reason though.

Boom or bust I guess with the strategy but I just think they’ll have to look for KG to stay in this one and give Rodgers a quick option
 
Gainwell 73 catches on 85 targets (85%) on the year. Last 5 games he’s averaging 6.8 targets per (34 total - 9,4,7,7,7) and 5.8 rec per (29 total) so right on the 85% for the year mark. 7 targets should net him 6 rec, soooo…..

Kenneth Gainwell o5.5 rec +125 (1/1.25)
 
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