Wild Card NFL

:shake: agree. but, waiting.... keep thinking with good weather more folks will get on the Over and line moves.

Yeah, you might get a point extra by waiting. The key numbers here I was most concerned with are covered (51, 52) so I moved on it now.
 
Playoffs YTD 16-8-2 +25.05 units

Pounded this as soon as it showed up. Wrong team is favored regardless of where the game is being played.

NE +200 five units
[/QUOTE I agree like you said wrong team being the chalk don't forget the bank opens monday
 
Bar, XY, Dbomb - thanks guys. Good luck to you as well.

Went back to look up Brady/Hoodie as dogs of 4 or more over the last 10 years. Went back through 2003 season. Results:

11/14/10 @Pit as +4.5 dog WON 39-26
1/3/10 @HOU as +7 dog - push ***Brady only played 1st half as they had clinched playoffs****
1/14/07 @SD as +5 dog WON 24-21
10/1/06 @CIN as +5.5 dog WON 38-13
11/7/05 vs Ind +4.5 LOST/No Cover 21-40
10/19/03 @Mia as +6.5 dog WON 19-13
9/14/03 @PHI as +4 dog WON 31-10

So throw out the push vs. Hou as the starters only played a half, and New England has been a +4 dog only six times in the past 10 years. IN those games they have gone 5-1 ATS as well as SU, losing only to Manning and the Colts in 2005. I see people making cases for Denver but just like betting against Rivers as a dog last week, it just doesn't make sense. Brady and Hoodie are at their best when they are disrespected and playing in the role of an underdog. They have been in this role a half dozen times against teams that were supposedly better than them, playing at home and history is definitely on the side of NE.
 
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SC...I was a little confused about 11/3/10, wondering how they could have clinched the playoffs in the first week of November. Looked back, actually 1/3/10, Week 17 of 2009 season. Makes sense now.

Certainly looks like you're onto something here. :shake:
 
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