What's your top play for Sunday December 21st?

Nothing jumps out as a must play. The first one that jumped out to me was Jax +3.5

Denver doesn't blow anyone out, they looked like shit (Yet somehow still won vs GB) Jax D has been solid for awhile.

And teams on a 11 game winning streaks are 14-36-2 (28%) against the spread since 1990.

JAX +3.5 Final Answer
 
Nothing jumps out as a must play. The first one that jumped out to me was Jax +3.5

Denver doesn't blow anyone out, they looked like shit (Yet somehow still won vs GB) Jax D has been solid for awhile.

And teams on a 11 game winning streaks are 14-36-2 (28%) against the spread since 1990.

JAX +3.5 Final Answer

Don’t hate it, don’t love much of anything today either. Kinda interested in nix passing prop or one the donks WRs. Nix number is pretty high tho, prob depends a lot on jags offense for that. Dont hate Trevor over 222.5 either. Pretty high total for Donks and think they can be thrown on.
 
I like Dallas as well. I’ll prob fade them next week. The game prep for this week is already done. They were in meetings last night focused. It stings but the letdown in my opinion will be after a full week of eliminated practice

Co-sign Detroit
 
Panthers +3

This year Carolina 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS after a loss

3-0 SU/ATS at home after a loss (beat Rams, Cowboys, Dolphins)

Panthers are 4-2 ATS at home this season and all 4 covers were su wins as a dog

Carolina avg 29.5 pts per home win (22.5 pts per at home overall) vs 19.5 pts overall in the road games (19.6 in road wins).

Bucs give up 25.5 pts per game on the road
 
Two games stand out to me today. Tampa -3 and Cincy -3.5. I think Carolina blew their shot last weekend collapsing at NO. Tampa is very healthy on offense, and their schedule sets up nicely to be hosting a playoff game in a couple weeks. Baker hates Carolina too.
I think Cincy makes football fun again for Burrow(at least for this week) against a bad Dolphins D. Tee is back. While its hard to trust that Cincy D, The Dolphins made a panic move and went to Quinn Ewers. The season is over in Miami. Cincy rolls.
I made a few alt bets also, taking both Tampa and Cincy up to -13.5 each at +money
 
Panthers +3

This year Carolina 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS after a loss

3-0 SU/ATS at home after a loss (beat Rams, Cowboys, Dolphins)

Panthers are 4-2 ATS at home this season and all 4 covers were su wins as a dog

Carolina avg 29.5 pts per home win (22.5 pts per at home overall) vs 19.5 pts overall in the road games (19.6 in road wins).

Bucs give up 25.5 pts per game on the road
Teams are 1-12 ATS after playing the Jets. That's the Jags this week.

WOW. Both interesting angles here...
 
MINN -2.5 is my other gut feeling. Giants looked like they mailed it in vs Washington last week, (And close to a very nice draft pick)

Any word on JJ status today?
 
Two games stand out to me today. Tampa -3 and Cincy -3.5. I think Carolina blew their shot last weekend collapsing at NO. Tampa is very healthy on offense, and their schedule sets up nicely to be hosting a playoff game in a couple weeks. Baker hates Carolina too.
I think Cincy makes football fun again for Burrow(at least for this week) against a bad Dolphins D. Tee is back. While its hard to trust that Cincy D, The Dolphins made a panic move and went to Quinn Ewers. The season is over in Miami. Cincy rolls.
I made a few alt bets also, taking both Tampa and Cincy up to -13.5 each at +money
Really like the CIncy play as well.
 
Baltimore -3 played earlier in week. Patriots have been gashed on ground since Milton Williams got hurt. Hard to trust Monkten as OC but even he is smart enough to give the ball to King Henry. Spillane also out for NE, and Jones, Landry, Davis CBs are all banged up. NE very poor covering TEs can see both Andrews and Likely having impactful games.
 
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Baltimore -3 played earlier in week. Patriots have been gashed on ground since Milton Williams got hurt. Hard to trust Monkten as OC but even he is smart enough to give the ball to King Henry. Spillane also out for NE, and Jones, Landry, Davis CBs are all banged up. NE very poor covering TEs can see both Andrews and Likely having impactful games.
I will take that statement about Monkten back! He is a complete ass clown who could fuck up a one car funeral! How in life w 7 min to go when you can put the game away with a couple first downs do they rotate Henry out of the game for Mitchell? Coaching malpractice at it's best. Henry was destroying that defense and they take him out of the fucking game! Just horrible!
 
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