Toronto_Mike
Scent of a Woman
YTD: 27-27-4 +$1108.34
Parlay: 5-9
Weekend is finally here and the English Premier League is upon us. It may be tricky at times because of the parity in this league. However, there can be value for a lot of road teams because oddly enough only certain teams can be deemed as really good at home or really crap on the road. With that being said here are my plays.
Manchester Utd vs Fulham Sunday 8:30 am EST Kickoff
Manchester Utd -1.5 @ 2.05 $200 to win $210
Man Utd in the past 2 seasons have loss only 2 home games during league play. This is out of 19 games per season. They have one of the World Class football stadiums in Old Trafford, which is known as a very intimidating spot for any visiting team to play against. Man Utd have had 2 significant transfers this season. Striker Ruud Van Nistelrooy left Utd for Real Madrid after a dispute between manager Alex Ferguson's squad selection near the end of last season. With that you take away one of the Worlds Best best hitmen. He had served Man Utd well scoring 150 goals in 219 appearances for the Red Devils. His scoring prescence will surely be missed. Man Utd did bring in a talented Midfielder in Michael Carrick from Tottenham for 18.6 million pounds. Now, in my opinion, that was a complete waste of money because he definitely does not deserve to be listed as that much and Tottenham just got the better end of the bargin. Whats worse is, on August 5, Michael Carrick sprained his ankle during a preseason game and is now out for about 3 weeks, what a way to start your career in Man Utd. Now as for Fulham, I regard them as relegation battlers. Last season the Cottagers had the worse road record in the entire league. 19 road games played 1 win 4 draws 14 loss'. Fulham have a few disgruntled players who are anxious to leave the club. They did solidify their midfield with Jimmy Bullard from Wigan but there are still defensive gaps that manager Chris Coleman has to figure out. There is no doubt Fulham will have their share of goals but they also let in too many. They were tied with the 3rd worse defense in the league conceeding 58 goals in total, 37 of those on the road. Here are some past h2h's between Man Utd and Fulham
Feb 04, 2006PremiershipManchester UFulham4 - 2
Oct 01, 2005PremiershipFulhamManchester U2 - 3
Mar 19, 2005PremiershipManchester UFulham1 - 0
Dec 13, 2004PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Feb 28, 2004PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Oct 25, 2003PremiershipManchester UFulham1 - 3
Mar 22, 2003PremiershipManchester UFulham3 - 0
Oct 19, 2002PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Dec 30, 2001PremiershipFulhamManchester U2 - 3
Aug 19, 2001PremiershipManchester UFulham3 - 2
As you can see the only stumbling block for Man Utd at home was 3 seasons ago, this was when Fulham had one of their best seasons finishing 9th, from then on, it goes down hill.
Other proof of Fulham's pathetic road woes are shown in their past 8 away games.
May 04, 2006PremiershipSunderlandFulham2 - 1
Apr 29, 2006PremiershipManchester CFulham1 - 2
Mar 25, 2006PremiershipAston VillaFulham0 - 0
Mar 15, 2006PremiershipLiverpoolFulham5 - 1
Mar 11, 2006PremiershipEvertonFulham3 - 1
Feb 26, 2006PremiershipBoltonFulham2 - 1
Feb 04, 2006PremiershipManchester UFulham4 - 2
Jan 23, 2006PremiershipWest HamFulham2 - 1
One win and it was against Man City when they had a dramatic last 5 mins where they scored 2 goals in the last 6 minutes. That won't happen here against Man Utd.
In conclusion, Man Utd have an interesting scenario to deal with. Striker Wayne Rooney and midfielder Paul Scholes picked up preseason Red Cards that the English FA ridiculous now includes as a match ban, therefore after the Fulham match, both players will serve a 3 match ban. It is vital that Utd gain a solid result at home on opening day before they miss the services of their 2 key players. I think Utd's defense will be their most prized asset this entire season so long as all four can manage to go through the season healthy.
Prediction: Manchester Utd 3-0 Fulham
Parlay: 5-9
Weekend is finally here and the English Premier League is upon us. It may be tricky at times because of the parity in this league. However, there can be value for a lot of road teams because oddly enough only certain teams can be deemed as really good at home or really crap on the road. With that being said here are my plays.
Manchester Utd vs Fulham Sunday 8:30 am EST Kickoff
Manchester Utd -1.5 @ 2.05 $200 to win $210
Man Utd in the past 2 seasons have loss only 2 home games during league play. This is out of 19 games per season. They have one of the World Class football stadiums in Old Trafford, which is known as a very intimidating spot for any visiting team to play against. Man Utd have had 2 significant transfers this season. Striker Ruud Van Nistelrooy left Utd for Real Madrid after a dispute between manager Alex Ferguson's squad selection near the end of last season. With that you take away one of the Worlds Best best hitmen. He had served Man Utd well scoring 150 goals in 219 appearances for the Red Devils. His scoring prescence will surely be missed. Man Utd did bring in a talented Midfielder in Michael Carrick from Tottenham for 18.6 million pounds. Now, in my opinion, that was a complete waste of money because he definitely does not deserve to be listed as that much and Tottenham just got the better end of the bargin. Whats worse is, on August 5, Michael Carrick sprained his ankle during a preseason game and is now out for about 3 weeks, what a way to start your career in Man Utd. Now as for Fulham, I regard them as relegation battlers. Last season the Cottagers had the worse road record in the entire league. 19 road games played 1 win 4 draws 14 loss'. Fulham have a few disgruntled players who are anxious to leave the club. They did solidify their midfield with Jimmy Bullard from Wigan but there are still defensive gaps that manager Chris Coleman has to figure out. There is no doubt Fulham will have their share of goals but they also let in too many. They were tied with the 3rd worse defense in the league conceeding 58 goals in total, 37 of those on the road. Here are some past h2h's between Man Utd and Fulham
Feb 04, 2006PremiershipManchester UFulham4 - 2
Oct 01, 2005PremiershipFulhamManchester U2 - 3
Mar 19, 2005PremiershipManchester UFulham1 - 0
Dec 13, 2004PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Feb 28, 2004PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Oct 25, 2003PremiershipManchester UFulham1 - 3
Mar 22, 2003PremiershipManchester UFulham3 - 0
Oct 19, 2002PremiershipFulhamManchester U1 - 1
Dec 30, 2001PremiershipFulhamManchester U2 - 3
Aug 19, 2001PremiershipManchester UFulham3 - 2
As you can see the only stumbling block for Man Utd at home was 3 seasons ago, this was when Fulham had one of their best seasons finishing 9th, from then on, it goes down hill.
Other proof of Fulham's pathetic road woes are shown in their past 8 away games.
May 04, 2006PremiershipSunderlandFulham2 - 1
Apr 29, 2006PremiershipManchester CFulham1 - 2
Mar 25, 2006PremiershipAston VillaFulham0 - 0
Mar 15, 2006PremiershipLiverpoolFulham5 - 1
Mar 11, 2006PremiershipEvertonFulham3 - 1
Feb 26, 2006PremiershipBoltonFulham2 - 1
Feb 04, 2006PremiershipManchester UFulham4 - 2
Jan 23, 2006PremiershipWest HamFulham2 - 1
One win and it was against Man City when they had a dramatic last 5 mins where they scored 2 goals in the last 6 minutes. That won't happen here against Man Utd.
In conclusion, Man Utd have an interesting scenario to deal with. Striker Wayne Rooney and midfielder Paul Scholes picked up preseason Red Cards that the English FA ridiculous now includes as a match ban, therefore after the Fulham match, both players will serve a 3 match ban. It is vital that Utd gain a solid result at home on opening day before they miss the services of their 2 key players. I think Utd's defense will be their most prized asset this entire season so long as all four can manage to go through the season healthy.
Prediction: Manchester Utd 3-0 Fulham
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