WEEK17 🤗

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
3.15/3 IND +5' -105
4/3.08 TEAS.(IND +12' & o39) 7-Pt

WEEK 16 [19-17 +4.26u]
LAST [0-2 -7.15u]

WEEK 17​

THURSDAY

• 7/6.36 DAL o50 -110
• 5/5.00 MIN +7' +100
• 7/6.36 DET o43 -110
• 8/8.00 KAN +13' +100
• 7/6.48 DEN o36' -108
• 5/3.57 TEAS.(DAL -2 & o43) 7-Pt
• 5/3.57 TEAS.(DET PK & u50') 7-Pt
• 5/6.25 TEAS.(DET +2', DEN -3' & u46', OPEN) 10-Pt

Left open spot on last teaser because payout changed so much.

randoms...

• OVERS 30-16 65.2% LAST 3 WEEKS
• DAL 5-0 ATS LAST 5 VS WAS
• WAS 2-8 ATS LAST 10 GAMES
• DET 9-1 ATS LAST 10 VS MIN
• KAN 0-7 SU & ATS IN LAST 7 GAMES
• TOP RANKED TEAMS 2025:
  • ATS COVERS: RAMS 11-4, (SEA, NE, CHI, SF) 10-5
  • OVERS: DAL 11-4, DET 10-5, 12 TEAMS AT 9-6
  • UNDERS: (NO, KAN) 11-4, HOU 10-5, PHI 9-6
  • AVERAGE SCORING MARGIN: SEA 10.9, RAMS 10.5, NE 7.3, (JAX, HOU) 6.5
  • RUSH PER PLAY: BAL 5.19, BUF 5.06, CHI 4.89, MIA 4.87, DET 4.81
  • PASS PER PLAY: SEA 8.34, NE 8.26, LAR 7.80, DET 7.49, BUF 7.45
  • RUSH DEF P/PLAY: SEA 3.7, DEN 3.76, (IND, LV) 3.82, GB 3.97, JAX 3.99
  • PASS DEF P/PLAY: HOU 5.61, SEA 5.71, DEN 5.73, PHI 5.92, LAC 5.93, GB 5.96
  • SACKS: DEN 63, ATL 50, CLE 49, PIT 43, SEA 42, (HOU, LAR, LAC, DET) 41
  • FEWEST QB SACKS: DEN 18, LAR 19, (ATL, SEA) 22, (GB, CHI, SF) 23
  • 3D%: GB .503, SF .500, LAC .472, BUF .451, ARI .430, CHI .426, NE .425
  • 3D% ALLOWED: DEN .335, SEA .336, HOU .346, NO .348, MIN .350, LAC .358
• 

MODEL LIKES ALL 3 HOME TEAMS TODAY

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL!

 

[B.A.R.]

Merry Christmas Mr Pick'em.

 

[mrpickem]

WEEK 17

THURSDAY
7/6.36 DAL o50 -110
5/5.00 MIN +7' +100
7/6.36 DET o43 -110
8/8.00 KAN +13' +100
7/6.48 DEN o36' -108
5/3.57 TEAS.(DAL -2 & o43) 7-Pt
5/3.57 TEAS.(DET PK & u50') 7-Pt
5/6.25 TEAS.(DET +2', DEN -3' & u46', OPEN) 10-Pt

WEEK [4-4 -1.07u]
LAST [4-4 -1.07u]

SATURDAY

• 5/5.10 HOU +1 +102
• 8/8.00 HOU o39' +100
• 5/4.20 GB -2' -119
• 7/7.07 BAL o38' +101
• 5/4.17 TEAS.(HOU +11', GB +7 & o28') 10-Pt
• 4/8.60 TEAS(BAL +9' & o31', HOU +7' & o32') 6'-Pt

randoms...

• OVERS 31-18 63.3% LAST 3 WEEKS
• SINCE WEEK 9 DOGS HAVE HAVE ONLY 1 LOSING WEEK AND ARE 41-51 58.2% ATS

MODEL WAS 3-0 THURS BUT HAS NO SELECTIONS TODAY

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
5/5.10 HOU +1 +102
8/8.00 HOU o39' +100
5/4.20 GB -2' -119
7/7.07 BAL o38' +101
5/4.17 TEAS.(HOU +11', GB +7 & o28') 10-Pt
4/8.60 TEAS(BAL +9' & o31', HOU +7' & o32') 6'-Pt

WEEK [7-7 +1.70u]
LAST [3-3 +2.77u]

SUNDAY

• 5/5.00 ARI +7 +100
• 5/4.95 CIN u53' -101
• 7/7.00 SEA -7 +100
• 5/4.76 SEA o42' -105
• 5/4.17 LV +3 -120
• 8/7.14 NYG o40' -112
• 7/5.79 PIT -3 -121
• 5/4.07 PIT o33' -123
• 5/4.46 NO o39 -112
• 4/3.88 TAM -5' -103
• 4/3.81 MIA u44' -105
• 6/5.61 IND +6 -107
• 5/5.05 IND u48' +101
• 5/4.42 NE -12' -113
• 7/6.31 NE o42 -111
• 5/6.75 TEAS.(IND +12' & u55', NE -6') 7-Pt
• 4/9.32 TEAS.(SEA PK, PIT +3', NYJ u49', NYG o35) 6'-Pt
• 5/8.00 TEAS.(NO +4' & o33', BUF +4') 6-Pt

Note: Prophetx makes point buying so cheap, a lot of my plays are altered lines from them. It's almost like the old days of Pinacle, Matchbox and Mansion again with these prices..almost.

​

randoms...

• OVERS 32-19 62.7% LAST 3+ WEEKS
• DOGS 73-51 58.9% ATS AFTER WEEK 8 THIS YEAR
• CAR 10-3 ATS LAST 13 @HOME
• NO 5-1 ATS IN LAST 6
• TEN 5-2 ATS IN LAST 7
• TEN 3-17 SU IN LAST 20 & 1-11 SU L12 @HOME
• OVERS 5-1 LAST 6 IN CLE (CLE OVERS 6-3 L9 OVERALL)
• JAX/IND GAMES CASHED OVER LAST 6
• IND OVERS 4-1 L5 @HOME
• JAX OVERS 4-1 L5 GAMES
• TAM 0-7 ATS LAST 7 GAMES BUT 7-0 LAST 7 VS MIA
• NE 10-5 ATS THIS YEAR(6-1 IN L7)
• PHI UNDERS 6-1 IN LAST 7 GAMES
• LINES SO SHARP 6-7 PT TEASERS JUST AS GOOD AS 10 PTS LATELY AND PAY WAY BETTER. HERITAGE CHANGED TEASER ODDS 4 WEEKS AGO AND WENT FROM BEST ODDS TO WORST(OF MY 3), SB NOW THE BEST FOE ME WITH 6-7 POINTERS

MODEL LIKES LV, TEN, MIA, IND, NYJ

The Bills & Eagles get the 4pm time slot all to themselves today, to decide the best record in the NFL over last 2 years. They are both tied at 24-8 in the reg season with PHI the better bet at 20-12 ATS(NFL best tied with Rams).

Top 11 teams based on W-L for 2024-25


..and the bottom 12...


Ironically the Giants and Raiders will battle it out for the worst record over 2 years as well. The Gints are 5-27 and alone with on the bottom, but LV at 6-26 is only a game off and this game will likely decide who gets #1 draft pick in 2026.



An all-timer imho:

Christy Turlington​

Birthplace Walnut Creek, California
Birthdate January 2, 1969
Height 5'10'
Stats: 34-23-34

 

[mrpickem]

one more at 4...

• 8/5.06 BUF -158

 

[mrpickem]

drats, cant believe Josh missed that pass...

• 5/4.81 SF u51' -104
• 5/3.85 TEAS.(SF +3' & u58') 7=Pt

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
5/5.00 ARI +7 +100
5/4.95 CIN u53' -101
7/7.00 SEA -7 +100
5/4.76 SEA o42' -105
5/4.17 LV +3 -120
8/7.14 NYG o40' -112
7/5.79 PIT -3 -121
5/4.07 PIT o33' -123
5/4.46 NO o39 -112
4/3.88 TAM -5' -103
4/3.81 MIA u44' -105
6/5.61 IND +6 -107
5/5.05 IND u48' +101
5/4.42 NE -12' -113
7/6.31 NE o42 -111
5/6.75 TEAS.(IND +12' & u55', NE -6') 7-Pt
4/9.32 TEAS.(SEA PK, PIT +3', NYJ u49', NYG o35) 6'-Pt
5/8.00 TEAS.(NO +4' & o33', BUF +4') 6-Pt
8/5.06 BUF -158
5/4.81 SF u51' -104
5/3.85 TEAS.(SF +3' & u58') 7=Pt

WEEK [17-17 +1.21u]
LAST [10-10 -0.49u]

Was looking like a very good day, but managed to lose last 4 to make it a wash...

MONDAY

• 5/4.38 ATL +7' -115
• 8/6.96 ATL u50 -115
• 5/3.85 TEAS.(ATL +14' & o43) 7-Pt

​

randoms...

DOGS ARE 31-24 56.4% AT NIGHT THIS SEASON(AFTER 7PM START)​

DOGS 77-57 57.5% ATS AFTER WEEK 8 THIS YEAR​

No model selection tonight.