Week of Saturday, September 13th Plays and Analysis Thread...

B.A.R.

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
11-4-1 +8.47 units



Great week last week going 6-1. I feel like it could have been an even bigger week but I wasn't ready to fire some bigger units on some games. There was still(and will be going forward) lots to learn.

Recap:

My biggest play for Sparty first Team Total OVER. That hit with ease by halftime. They came out slow, got on a roll then tired late. I would max bet that just about everytime looking back now.

The UCLA Team Total over started slow but then the game turned into a shootout. I dunno if they get over without Memphis scoring right with them. Interesting start for the Bruins so far this season.

There was no frantic fourth this time wrt to Ole Miss getting over their Team Total. Vandy is simply god-awful. Best part was, Fondy lookalike was at the game giving me updates in the second half.

USC was a late add for their Team Total. Just an awful call and I knew better with that Stanford defense. With that being said, that may gain me some value at some point in the next few weeks.

Auburn First Half Team Total was just a routine one as well ass they covered that by 11.5 points. This is another one I wish I would went a bit bigger on. So explosive...

My one side was Florida in their 'opener' against Eastern. I also did their Team Total. A slow start but then they really turned it on. I'll be involved with this team in several capacities this year betting wise methinks.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thoughts

The B1G, sans Sparty, is really more brutal than it has been. Nothing more and nothing less.

ML Utah next week.

How godawful is Fresno?

The chick and Joey announcing team accentuates a hangover

Nice work by the NCAA leaking the PSU news right when the Rice stuff is going on. Very clever

I have about 13 betting options for this week written down. I won't have much of those played till Friday/Saturday though. Kinda spending a few hours now looking more into them

Any thoughts you would like to interject I am all about it, especially on your own local front.

Good luck this week to all.
 
With Miami Ohio showing the ability to score, Michigan struggling some on offense last week and the game sandwiched between nd series finale and Utah I was sort of thinking about the redhawks and the big number ... What do you think of that game?
 
clowncar said:
With Miami Ohio showing the ability to score, Michigan struggling some on offense last week and the game sandwiched between nd series finale and Utah I was sort of thinking about the redhawks and the big number ... What do you think of that game?
Click to expand...


Not gonna lie, talking Michigan football sucks right now. Not that it is because we are very average it is talking about it with people who don't know football in general or ones that know WAY too much, lol.

My first part I will say is I know Miami-O from 3Q's of gamecast in week one, as far as live.

The whole 'The Fort' thing is cute and the anti-RichRod but I honestly do not know who will play or not. I expect Funch is out for awhile. It has been so quiet on that front I think it may be bad. If it was cramps, thank gawd but I do not think that is the case. Basically my point there is that is SUCH a huge point of the offense, obviously. And then there is Taylor, Jabrill, etc...who knows...

Michigan deviated from their week one scheme on defense(Don't care about the opponent, just the scheme) and Mattison said it was injuries. If they have guys there and play aggressive then they will shut down Miami-Ohio and perhaps force a turnover. That is the big thing, can they move ball? I dunno. Week 1 first half and 2nd half was different philosophies...Last week they layed off and let a helluva 5th year senior pick them apart for a half.

One caveat about last week. If Michigan gets one or two of those FG's or goes for it on that 2nd 4th down on the one drive and scores this would been a 7-10 point game. That was it and after Golson carved us up whe quit and that is on ALL of the coaches.

Sorry some quick scrambled thoughts...
 
I will likely take Utah and the points, I would love to hit that ML but road woes last year are a slight concern going into this year for me. That being said, this year's team seems light years ahead of last(if they can keep the injuries to a minimum)

GL this week!
 
The chick and Joey announcing team accentuates a hangover

I couldn't believe they put those 2 dopes on that Iowa/Ball St. game, which was a pretty decent game to begin with. They should be relegated to trash Thursday games, only.
 
Gorgolon Lives said:
The chick and Joey announcing team accentuates a hangover

I couldn't believe they put those 2 dopes on that Iowa/Ball St. game, which was a pretty decent game to begin with. They should be relegated to trash Thursday games, only.
Click to expand...

Bring back Pam Ward!
 
B.A.R. said:
Not gonna lie, talking Michigan football sucks right now. Not that it is because we are very average it is talking about it with people who don't know football in general or ones that know WAY too much, lol.

My first part I will say is I know Miami-O from 3Q's of gamecast in week one, as far as live.

The whole 'The Fort' thing is cute and the anti-RichRod but I honestly do not know who will play or not. I expect Funch is out for awhile. It has been so quiet on that front I think it may be bad. If it was cramps, thank gawd but I do not think that is the case. Basically my point there is that is SUCH a huge point of the offense, obviously. And then there is Taylor, Jabrill, etc...who knows...

Michigan deviated from their week one scheme on defense(Don't care about the opponent, just the scheme) and Mattison said it was injuries. If they have guys there and play aggressive then they will shut down Miami-Ohio and perhaps force a turnover. That is the big thing, can they move ball? I dunno. Week 1 first half and 2nd half was different philosophies...Last week they layed off and let a helluva 5th year senior pick them apart for a half.

One caveat about last week. If Michigan gets one or two of those FG's or goes for it on that 2nd 4th down on the one drive and scores this would been a 7-10 point game. That was it and after Golson carved us up whe quit and that is on ALL of the coaches.

Sorry some quick scrambled thoughts...
Click to expand...

Appreciated. Colliders having a rough go ...keep it up
 
D-Woww said:
How much is your twitter account worth?
Click to expand...
1273003.gif
 
11-4-1 +8.47 units



Great week last week going 6-1. I feel like it could have been an even bigger week but I wasn't ready to fire some bigger units on some games. There was still(and will be going forward) lots to learn.

Recap:

My biggest play for Sparty first Team Total OVER. That hit with ease by halftime. They came out slow, got on a roll then tired late. I would max bet that just about everytime looking back now.

The UCLA Team Total over started slow but then the game turned into a shootout. I dunno if they get over without Memphis scoring right with them. Interesting start for the Bruins so far this season.

There was no frantic fourth this time wrt to Ole Miss getting over their Team Total. Vandy is simply god-awful. Best part was, Fondy lookalike was at the game giving me updates in the second half.

USC was a late add for their Team Total. Just an awful call and I knew better with that Stanford defense. With that being said, that may gain me some value at some point in the next few weeks.

Auburn First Half Team Total was just a routine one as well ass they covered that by 11.5 points. This is another one I wish I would went a bit bigger on. So explosive...

My one side was Florida in their 'opener' against Eastern. I also did their Team Total. A slow start but then they really turned it on. I'll be involved with this team in several capacities this year betting wise methinks.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thoughts

The B1G, sans Sparty, is really more brutal than it has been. Nothing more and nothing less.

ML Utah next week.

How godawful is Fresno?

The chick and Joey announcing team accentuates a hangover

Nice work by the NCAA leaking the PSU news right when the Rice stuff is going on. Very clever

I have about 13 betting options for this week written down. I won't have much of those played till Friday/Saturday though. Kinda spending a few hours now looking more into them

Any thoughts you would like to interject I am all about it, especially on your own local front.

Good luck this week to all.[/QUOTE]
bar great job 11-4:cheers3:
 
Zecksica said:
See you soon my team!
:tiphat:
Click to expand...

Is that you in your avatar? If so, I see Mr Weeno has dropped down weight classes from Light Heavyweight to Bantamweight. Much less fun for us on the forum, but I think it's the appropriate decision long term for his career :shake:
 
The proverbial kick myself for staying off Baylor plays last night but on the road and not knowing if Petty would be Petty of not made me pause. Oh well, couple of layoffs to start the week but lets get going on today...
 
West Virginia TT will be a play as well and a bit bigger. Right now it has the hook, hope that comes off but even if it rises no biggie so I will keep tracking that for the next 2.5 hours.
 
wvu is 29 now..just grabbed it..not sure on weather so went smaller myself.

gl dude.
 
B.A.R. said:
The proverbial kick myself for staying off Baylor plays last night but on the road and not knowing if Petty would be Petty of not made me pause. Oh well, couple of layoffs to start the week but lets get going on today...
Click to expand...


TT o obviously would have won no matter what .. the bad call on the fumble recovery likely made the difference between covering or not. If you believe the guys in the booth, they said the review people stated it wasn't reviewed because the game wasn't competitive. No way that can be true can it?

gl today
 
clowncar said:
TT o obviously would have won no matter what .. the bad call on the fumble recovery likely made the difference between covering or not. If you believe the guys in the booth, they said the review people stated it wasn't reviewed because the game wasn't competitive. No way that can be true can it?

gl today
Click to expand...


Sarcasm at its finest.

We see that crap all the time. Tough to cap those sorta elements at times.

I woulda done 2x 1h and 1x 2nd half TT fwiw.
 
HUNT said:
wvu is 29 now..just grabbed it..not sure on weather so went smaller myself.

gl dude.
Click to expand...


[h=3]11 am[/h]
26.png
68°
​
Cloudy

<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">68°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">81%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">5%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">SE at 3 mph</dd></dl>
Show 15 Minute Details

[h=3]12 pm[/h]
26.png
68°
​
Cloudy

<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">68°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">84%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">20%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">SE at 3 mph</dd></dl>
Show 15 Minute Details



[h=3]1 pm[/h]
26.png
68°
​
Cloudy

<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">68°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">87%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">15%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">SSE at 2 mph</dd></dl>
Show 15 Minute Details

[h=3]2 pm[/h]
26.png
68°
​
Cloudy

<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">68°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">87%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">25%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">NW at 3 mph</dd></dl>
Show 15 Minute Details

[h=3]3 pm[/h]
26.png
68°
​
Cloudy

<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">68°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">90%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">0%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 14px;">NW at 3 mph</dd></dl>
 
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