• PICK CLUB WEEK #1 LINES ARE POSTED!

Week of Jan 5th to Jan 12th

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
Will throw my plays in one thread all week so I dont clutter any other threads here Where the hell did Brewers and JPicks go? Slackers ..lol ......Posted todays in the last discussion thread in the forum...Basically giving up on trying to play all the sports its to much work ..so only looking at football and the NBA past few weeks which after football CFB and NFL is over probably take a break until baseball and nba playoffs..maybe dabble in CBB when those tourneys start..Anyway a little easier to keep track of daily records and stuff ...cut down on the violatilty , work on the consistency and keep the risk to a minimum while being able to still maximing potential profits .....

1/02 -670
1/03 +1935
1/04 +800

1/05 +768
1/06 +872
1/07 +412
1/08 +240
1/09 +56
1/10 -480
1/11 +362

1.05 Monday







<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Spurs 1st Quarter -1 (120)
Spurs 1st Half -1.5 -115 (80)
Spurs -3 -120 (200)ML -165(80)
Under 191 Milw (160)
Under 91 TT Raps -115 (80)
Under 182 Heat (120)
Kings +5 (160) ML +180(40)
1st H Kings +2.5 +100 (120)
Nuggets -9 (240)
1st H Nuggets -5 -115 (120)
Over 220 GSW (200)
Over 112.5 1st H GSW(80)

Had to rush today so not sure I did enough due diligence ...(was supposed to play hoops but ppd)

Quick points :
Spurs basically payback plays a role here and Und 17-2 L19 ...look at the H vs A for these teams

Tor looks horthanded and MILW has played solid defense at home lately expecting about 85 for Tor ...lean MILW because of the line but they have been getting alot -6's lately Det , LAC and Charlotte recently with 2 being blowouts ...

Nets off two tough grueling OT games ...

Same sort of infaltion with Denver ...Nuggets getting stronger lines and Iny usually weak lines on the road

GSW and Utah who is playing defense......

GL:cheers:
 
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Toronto has been shorthanded for the past few games. Makes it easier for the coaching staff to play with the in game substitution pattersn and the players have been getting a better idea about their roles onthe team.
 
In the early session have pending :

Spurs 1st Quarter -1 (120) Won 21-15
Spurs 1st Half -1.5 -115 (80) Loss , TIED at 39
Spurs -3 -120 (200)ML -165(80) Win 91-84
Under 182 Heat (120) Win 91-84

Under 191 Milw (160)
Under 91 TT Raps -115 (80)

Kings +5 (160) ML +180(40) Loss 98-90 (couldnt score at all!)
1st H Kings +2.5 +100 (120) Won , Lead 55-43


2nd Half Thoughts :
-Only interested in Under NJ 102 in that game ..( of course it WINS! cause I passed)


-Had huge concerns about playing SAS 1st H for some reason felt that Miami could win the 2nd Q if SA won the 1st . With 1 pt Quarter lines winning a quarter doesnt take much so not much wiggle room by winning the 1st Quarter essentially..damn heat get 4 points in the last 33 seconds from Marion ..Lean SAS (obviously ) but not playing much on it ..total just based on the low score like the over 93.5 to get into the low 170s..(of course it Wins ....!)


Played :
SAS -2.5 (40) Win by 7


The game in MILW had a strong lean to Tor 1st Quarter and leaned Milw 2nd Q (preferred Tor 1st H) so looking at it now expect a play on MILW 2nd H depending on how it goes to half naturally...

GL:cheers:
 
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2nd h @ Milw :

Bucks -6 (280) made it (320)
Under 96.5 (40)


Have to admit I am shocked how low this came out but rolling with anyway . Just guessing tons of Tor tickets written before the game so they can offer MILW cheap in the 2nd H ...

GL:cheers:

I really would love to max out Milw just curious as to why only -6 ? Raps at 55% in teh 1st H on a B2b shorthanded shouldnt hold up:cheers:
 
Shprthanded, but now go 9 or 10 deep instead of the typical 7 or 8 we are used to under Mitchell.
 
2nd h @ Milw :

Bucks -6 (280) made it (320)
Under 96.5 (40)


Have to admit I am shocked how low this came out but rolling with anyway . Just guessing tons of Tor tickets written before the game so they can offer MILW cheap in the 2nd H ...

GL:cheers:

I really would love to max out Milw just curious as to why only -6 ? Raps at 55% in teh 1st H on a B2b shorthanded shouldnt hold up:cheers:

I got 6.5, and wouldve loved 6. I was real real surprised at this line
 
Shprthanded, but now go 9 or 10 deep instead of the typical 7 or 8 we are used to under Mitchell.

Then I will refer to it as a talent shorthand...I get what your saying but until that depth is a proven consistent commodity guess I wont trust them:shake:
 
Guess I should have known better with Milw ...BAIT..got reeled in ...good job by the T-Dot's ...

:cheers:

Did I really need to see Denver blow that 1st H lead that was DD about TEN different times
 
Guess I should have known better with Milw ...BAIT..got reeled in ...good job by the T-Dot's ...

:cheers:

Did I really need to see Denver blow that 1st H lead that was DD about TEN different times

hey hey tie game still lot of game to play
 
1.05 Monday +768




<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Spurs 1st Quarter -1 (120)
Spurs 1st Half -1.5 -115 (80)
Spurs -3 -120 (200)ML -165(80)
Under 191 Milw (160)
Under 91 TT Raps -115 (80)
Under 182 Heat (120)
Kings +5 (160) ML +180(40)
1st H Kings +2.5 +100 (120)
Nuggets -9 (240) -120(40)
1st H Nuggets -5 -115 (120)
Under 221 (80)
Under 105.5 TT -115 Indy (40)
Over 220 GSW (200)
Over 112.5 1st H GSW(80)
+372


2nd H : +396
Spurs -2.5 (40)
Bucks -6 (320)
Und 96.5 Bucks (40)
Nuggets -5 +100 (80)
 
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hey hey tie game still lot of game to play

Thats just crazy 107-97..

I wasnt paying attention saw the 2nd H was tied with a couple minutes to play and Milw was like +15 in the final handful of minutes...really thought it was over thinking MILW had to be a sucker bet when then didnt pull away to start the 4th Q.

Let me apologize for being a douche and acting like it was over ..honestly thought it was ..sorry T-Dot .:cheers:
 
You think Toronto is short handed. The Clippers are down to 7 players. Dungleavy was complaining about agents keeping their players resting on the DL. For once, he was probably right. GL
 
That Heat total was very interesting. It was supported by some trends but did not have much fath in them. When I looked at the games those referees had called with the Spurs though, i was surprised by how few fouls had been called in those games. The game is played and 17 points are scored in free throws and it goes under by 7 or 8 points. Very strange stuff.
 
You think Toronto is short handed. The Clippers are down to 7 players. Dungleavy was complaining about agents keeping their players resting on the DL. For once, he was probably right. GL

LAC , Det all teams missing 2 or so key guys in their rotations ..LAC might be 4 or 5 though ...:shake:
 
That Heat total was very interesting. It was supported by some trends but did not have much fath in them. When I looked at the games those referees had called with the Spurs though, i was surprised by how few fouls had been called in those games. The game is played and 17 points are scored in free throws and it goes under by 7 or 8 points. Very strange stuff.

To be honest all I looked at was play by SA away and recent play by Miami at home ...coupled with I had Philly vs SA and they played ZERO defense vs them so after allowing 55% expected a better effort because for SAS to allow 55% they had to be very non chalant IMO even in a B2B..seemed like most SAS away games were low scoring lately like low 170s and Miami same deal all real low socring games and they couldnt score vsNJ last time out ...wasnt much value persay but was hoping it ended up something like 92-84..

Just not a big user of the ref info ...kinda we:shake:igh other things more heavily ...
 
Looked not so well at one point but in the end i think you brought it back Sports ! Nice !

The Milw win was huge but I also lost plays on SAS 1st H , Den 1st H and Sac game that all looked good and essentially stole that one after losing those close calls although sac kina faded the 1st H lost inside the last 20 seconds after leading most of the 1stH...

and was kinda unnerved that DEN didnt cover the 1st H number being up 12-15 at one point ...
 
So far ..

Orl 1st H -7 (80)
Orl -12.5 (80)
Under 90 Wiz -115 TT (40)
Philly 1st Q +1 (160)
Philly 1st H +1.5 -105(120)
Charlotte +10-120 (160)
1st H +5.5 (200)
2nd Q +2.5 (40)
Under Char 179 (80)
OKC 3rd Q +0.5 (80)
OKC 4th Q PK (40)
OKC +2 (200)
Under 196 Minnesota (160)
Bulls -8-120 (160)
Hornets ?? Not sure what yet

In a rush so GL all ....:cheers:
 
hard game to read so im off that bulls game

gl wit it

thoughts on Laker game? NO is a strange bird..as dogs they either win SU or lose ATS it seems
 
Playing:

NOH +7 (400) ML +250 (80)
1st H NOH +4 -115 (240)
1st Q +2 +100 (80)

-Not sure what to say other then I just love the spot and feel NOH showed a ton of heart @ Denver , they already have been badly outplayed by LAL twice @ NOH so believe they are highly motivated , LAL has lost 2 key reserves now missing , and if it wasnt a shorthanded a PORT team not sure they pull away so easily ..

GL

 
Tuesday:

Orl 1st H -7 (80)
Orl -12.5 (80)-88
Under 90 Wiz -115 TT (40)
Philly 1st Q +1 (160)-176
Philly 1st H +1.5 -105(120)
Charlotte +10-120 (160)
1st H +5.5 (200)
2nd Q +2.5 (40)
Under Char 179 (80)-88
OKC 3rd Q +0.5 (80) -88 sad beat allow 4 pts in 30 seconds & turn it over to lose by 1
OKC 4th Q PK (40) -44
OKC +2 (200)
Under 196 Minnesota (160)
Bulls -8-120 (160) -192
2nd H Bulls -3.5 -105 (120)-126

NOH +7 (400) ML +250 (80)
1st H NOH +4 -115 (240)
1st Q +2 +100 (80)
+872

:cheers:
 
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dogs r barkin loud tonite mike

gl with CP3

Thanks. Solid 1st H . Sucks I was not around and rushed . Lost Philly 1st H and 1st Q but they cover and really liked Philly and those OKC Quarter..losses may have been avoided had I been home and was able to play NYK 2n d H....

Essentially flat but more because of creativity then picks ....credit to the Kings for doing exactly opposite what I expected ..down 82-70 and rallying rather then falling apart again...

NOH up at half !:cheers:
 
take lakers 2nd half and pound the UNDER 99.5

Good Luck bro. Like the UNDER but not sure on LAL ...think NOH is on a mission andLAL staying in it thanks to offensive glass and 7/12 3 point shooting but fouls for NOH somewhat worrisome...might play LAL small hedge ...:cheers:
 
Wed Plays :

Wash ML -130 (120)
Hawks ML -125 (320)
Cavs 1st H -8 (80)
Cavs -14 (120)
3rd Q Cavs -3.5 (80)
Grizz +5 -120( 40)
Houston 1st H +6 (120)
Houston +10 (80)
Bucks -7 (120)
Wolves -5 -120 (120)
Jazz -4 (120)
Suns -9 -120 (160)
1st Quarter Den -2 (80)
Under 225 GSW (120)

Another not so due diligent effort ....out the door be back later .. Good Luck ...damn I am eating CHALK today :cheers:




 
im gonna jump from the third story with a glass bottle in my hand with you sn. Taking lakeshow under 226.
 
Thanks fellas . Just walked in from a long night of hoops. Playing catch up . I see made mistakes with ATL and Wash games which I had some bad feelings about but just went with they hectic schedules of the road teams and injuries ...

True .....a special extra GL to you !:cheers:
 
Wed Plays :

Wash ML -130 (120) -156
Hawks ML -125 (320) -400
Cavs 1st H -8 (80) +80
Cavs -14 (120) +120
3rd Q Cavs -3.5 (80) +80
Grizz +5 -120( 40) -48
Houston 1st H +6 (120) +120
Houston +10 (80) +80
Bucks -7 (120) -132
Wolves -5 -120 (120) +120
Jazz -4 (120) +120
Suns -9 -120 (160) -192
1st Quarter Den -2 (80) +80
Under 225 GSW (120)
-128

Another not so due diligent effort ....out the door be back later .. Good Luck ...damn I am eating CHALK today :cheers:

Shortened up on some games I liked that were risky and haunting me a tad now ...Utah , Minny and Denver being the three...

Hopefully we get a halftime idea or two to play ..again Good Luck fellas..bukii , cashe , and Dan USC hope you guys did well ...

Be back in a bit need some food and a shower ..:shake::cheers:
 
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2nd H :

Portland -4 -105 (160)
Under 88 (80)

High shooting % for DET and their recent games shortanded have shown a big dropooff in 2nd H offense ...around 40-40 lately in the 2nd H's , Port solid at home in the 3rd Quarter and while that Dets strong trait recently prefer the home team to have the edge ...and neither team doing much in the 4th Q offensively ...:cheers:
 
Damn GSW games can get crazy in ablink was hoping for high 90s maybe a 100 at best seemed likely and they still get to 107 scoring 20 pts in 2:30 minutes before half..
 
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