Week Nine

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 8 [7-6 +2.71u]
SEASON [71-71 -1.5u]

LAST [0-1-1 -4u]
4/3.48 BENGALS -3 -115
3/2.86 BROWNS u45 -105

THURSDAY

• 2.10/2 EAGLES -13½ -105
• 4/3.81 TEXANS (HOU) u45½-105

HOU 9-15 ATS AS DOG OF 8 OR MORE LAST 7 YEARS
PHI 8-0-1 ATS AS DD FAV LAST 10 YEARS
DD FAVS ARE 130-87-9 59.9% ATS LAST 7 YEARS
PHI 13-8-1 ATS VS L22 IN PRIME-TIME and 4-2-1 SINCE 2020(5 OF LAST 6 CASHED UNDER)
HOU 8-19-1 ATS VS L2 IN PRIME-TIME and 1-2 SINCE 2020

DD FAVS WHEN THE TOTAL IS OVER 43 COVER 60.8% AND THE UNDER CASHES 64% OVER THE LAST 7+ SEASONS

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 8 [7-6 +2.71u]
WEEK 9 [0-2 -6.1u]
SEASON [71-74 -7.6u]

LAST [0-2 -6.1u]

THURSDAY
4/3.81 TEXANS (HOU) u45½-105
2.10/2 EAGLES -13½ -105

Lucky night Thur losing both plays by total of 2.5 points


SUNDAY

• 6/5.56 Bengals -7 -108
• 5/4.85 SEAHAWKS +1½ -103
• 5/4.76 Rams +3 -105
• 5/4.55 Chiefs u46 -110
• 4/3.81 Bears u46 -105
• 4/3.85 BENGALS u42½ -104
• 4/3.77 CHIEFS -12 -106
• 3/2.86 PATRIOTS -5 -105
• 3/2.86 PATRIOTS u40½ -105
• 3/2.91 JETS u45½ -103
• 3/2.86 Packers o49½ -105
• 3/3.00 COMMANDERS +3 +100

randoms...

• BUF 12-4-1 ATS LST 7 YEARS AS FAV OF -7 TO -14
• JAX 10-23-1 ATS 30.3% ATS LAST 5 YEARS WHEN LINE -4 TO +4
• TB 15-22-3 ATS 40.5% ATS LAST 5 YEARS WHEN LINE -4 TO +4
• NO 21-14 ATS 60% ATS LAST 5 YEARS WHEN LINE -4 TO +4
• MIA 21-14 ATS 60% ATS LAST 5 YEARS WHEN LINE -4 TO +4
• SEA 24-16-2 ATS 60% ATS LAST 5 YEARS WHEN LINE -4 TO +4
• WA 12-17-1 ATS 41.4% LAST 7 YEARS AS HOME DOG
• NO 9-6 ATS 60% LAST 7 YEARS AS HOME DOG
• NE 29-22 ATS 57% OUTSIDE OF DIVISION LAST 5 YEARS(10-3 L13)
• NYJ 16-9 ATS 64% @HOME VS TEAMS w/WINNING RECORD L7 YEARS(9-2 L11)
• CHI 12-21 ATS 36.4% VS TEAMS w/WINNING RECORD L5 YEARS(4-11 L15)
• JAX 13-25-2 ATS 34.2% AFTER LOSING 2 STRAIGHT LAST 5 YEAR(1-9 L10)

FWIW, over the last 7+ seasons when line was 10 or more the FAV covered 59.6% and the under cashed 61%

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 1 [11-7 +7.79U]
WEEK 2 [9-10 +0.52u]
WEEK 3 [8-10-1 -5.17u]
WEEK 4 [8-10 -12.61u]
WEEK 5 [10-6 +14.6u]
WEEK 6 [11-12 -0.57u]
WEEK 7 [7-10 -8.77u]
WEEK 8 [7-6 +2.71u]
WEEK 9 [6-6-2 +2.49u]
----------------------
SEASON [77-78 +0.99u]

LAST [6-4-2 +8.59u]

SUNDAY
6/5.56 Bengals -7 -108
5/4.85 SEAHAWKS +1½ -103
5/4.76 Rams +3 -105
5/4.55 Chiefs u46 -110
4/3.81 Bears u46 -105
4/3.85 BENGALS u42½ -104
4/3.77 CHIEFS -12 -106
3/2.86 PATRIOTS -5 -105
3/2.86 PATRIOTS u40½ -105
3/2.91 JETS u45½ -103
3/2.86 Packers o49½ -105
3/3.00 COMMANDERS +3 +100



MONDAY

• 3/2.86 RAVENS -1½ -105
• 2/1.90 RAVENS o46½ -105

randoms...

BAL 15-7 ATS 68.2% IN TIGHTLY LINES ROAD GAMES (-3 TO +3) L7 years..covered 5 straight​

BAL 11-8 ATS IN PRIME-TIME L7 YEARS WITH TOTAL SAILING OVER 72.2% (13-5-1)​

NO 9-14 ATS IN PRIME-TIME L7 YEARS WITH TOTAL OVER ONLY 31.8% (7-15-1)​

NO 5-9 ATS AS PRIME-TIME DOG L10 YEARS WITH TOTAL GOING 1-11-2​

NO 9-6 ATS 60% LAST 7 YEARS AS HOME DOG​

​