Week 9 in the FCS

carolinablue said:
Did you take the 27.5 as I see it dropped 2 points to 25.5
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I did. I put $113 on that one. I would rather have Tarleton at something under 10, which if fantasy so I take baited lines. So high vs a team that is so good at home
 
They aren't going in order by kickoff time so who knows when they post what
 
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I'm still interested in playing Monmouth with the backup, but that is too high of an open for me even vs Hampton
 
s--k said:
UND and Elon only movers towards favorites. Everything else that moved went down on the dog side
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URI went to 20.5 so maybe about even split between up and down moves overall
 
They are opening most favorites high again just like they had been a couple weeks ago. Last week they released a bunch of soft numbers and had to adjust quickly. Maybe different person was okaying the releases? I have no idea how that works on their end
 
I put $36.90 on the UND under 54.5 when it came out. They want shitty limits, fuck them, ain't no way they are going to make back the money I took from them this year by limiting me
 
steponaduck said:
yeah FD being first to market is the only one to attack. so if you like harvard, bet Princeton tonight and keep betting it, driving that number down. once the real limits are out the market will be shaped and you can get a harvard -13.5 everywhere
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They don't let you re-bet on the app.
 
looks like they already stopped, so yeah. This sucks. I still love the prep part of knowing what teams have done and how and what they might do going forward, but the act of betting these openers has become the worst part of the whole process. Lines sucks, limits aren't always a problem for me, but just the fact they do that. How they release them. I would just rather it be all Saturday morning like it was in 2023
 
I just took -20.5 for 113. No total. After weighing Drake, I settled on Marist for 56.50
 
I doubt fifty bucks moves their line but we know they’ve become super sensitive to even small action
 
Seriously it can’t be me but I put a second bet in Columbia for 20 bucks. Now line lower. I wonder if someday they will show different users different lines based in betting patterns or AI anticipated what sides or total a user is inclined to bet?
 
Sleepy hanging out with drunk Vikings fans or he throw the towel in on these guys?
 
carolinablue said:
Waiting for the other noon games to post
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Taking Penn. Want to see their total. Might guess Rucker is back and take Bucknell. Will wait in New Haven. People fade them hard and some LIU lines have steamed. So that will be better day of game I’d assume.
 
The PR lines were pretty far off the PC line. 7-10 would be a fair spread. 15.5 is gouging
 
I typically look for opportunities below 10, 14, 17, 24, 28, 31 when dealing with double digit and huge favs and Presby was one of those "10" favs where I was hoping for 9.5. Most of the remaining big boys, I will probably accept 27.5 or less as I know they will be off the charts
 
I probably won't mess with Youngstown as I just can't figure those guys out and have lost with em a couple times as a result. Murray is competitive so not sure I want to lay 23.5 with Youngstown but will see where it opens as maybe it will be lighter
 
carolinablue said:
I typically look for opportunities below 10, 14, 17, 24, 28, 31 when dealing with double digit and huge favs and Presby was one of those "10" favs where I was hoping for 9.5. Most of the remaining big boys, I will probably accept 27.5 or less as I know they will be off the charts
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Question I’ve wondered on this. 9.5 definitely better than 10 and 27.5 better than 28 but why not still play a team at -10 if 9.5 never materializes? You don’t lose if game lands in 10. But if you’re playing 9.5 you’re expecting the team to win by 10 or more. Betting -10 you need 11 or more but 10 doesn’t hurt you. Same as 27.5/28 or any half pt below a common number. Thoughts?
 
s--k said:
Question I’ve wondered on this. 9.5 definitely better than 10 and 27.5 better than 28 but why not still play a team at -10 if 9.5 never materializes? You don’t lose if game lands in 10. But if you’re playing 9.5 you’re expecting the team to win by 10 or more. Betting -10 you need 11 or more but 10 doesn’t hurt you. Same as 27.5/28 or any half pt below a common number. Thoughts?
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Typically don't see 10 though as 10.5 would be the likely line, kinda like how we get 24.5 and not 24 or 28.5 and not 28, so my comments above take that into account.
 
One of the reasons I have stuck with BM is because they allow buys which get me to where I want oftentimes without huge jumps for a point as they stairstep much more gradually than many others when it comes to alts
 
Didn't think I would miss those times of waiting for BOL and BM to release FCS at like 11am Saturday up til kickoff but I kinda do
 
Yes. I like buying too, or alt lines , just gives a little more confidence in the pick which helps me mentally. Paying juice but assuming I read the teams right I should and do win more than not so extra juice ends up not mattering. But I might not know fully what you meant but always see you’ll play below a key number and assumed you’re passing on 7 when hoping for 6.5 but now I get it with the other outjets and just waiting. I often don’t wait. I bet it once if I can get better line later I bet it again.
 
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