Week 9 in the FCS

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Friday, October 24

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Columbia at Dartmouth	6:00pm	ESPNU
Montana at Sacramento State	10:30pm	ESPN2

Saturday, October 25

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Presbyterian at Dayton	12:00pm	YouTube
New Haven at LIU	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Stonehill at Mercyhurst	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Duquesne at Wagner	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Drake at Marist	12:00pm	ESPN+
Georgetown at Bucknell	12:00pm	ESPN+
Penn at Yale	12:00pm	ESPN+
Harvard at Princeton	12:00pm	ESPN+
St. Thomas at Stetson	1:00pm	ESPN+
Colgate at Holy Cross	1:00pm	ESPN+
Lehigh at Fordham	1:00pm	SNY/ESPN+
San Diego at Davidson	12:00	ESPN+
Delaware State at NC Central	1:00pm	ESPN+
Southeast Missouri at Tennessee Tech	1:00pm	ESPN+
Brown at Cornell	1:00pm	ESPN+
Bryant at Rhode Island	1:00pm	FloSports
William & Mary at New Hampshire	1:00pm	FloSports
Elon at Maine	1:00pm	FOX22/FloSports
Campbell at North Carolina A&T	1:00pm	FloSports
Morehead State at Valparaiso	1:00pm	ESPN+
The Citadel at Furman	2:00pm	ESPN+
Eastern Illinois at Charleston So.	2:00pm	ESPN+
SC State at Norfolk State	2:00pm	ESPN+
Central Arkansas at West Georgia	2:00pm	ESPN+
Monmouth at Hampton	2:00pm	MNMT/FloSports
Murray State at Youngstown State	2:00pm	ESPN+
Illinois State at South Dakota	2:00pm	ESPN+
Western Illinois at Tennessee State	2:30pm	ESPN+
UC Davis at Northern Colorado	3:00pm	ESPN+
Robert Morris at Saint Francis U.	3:00pm	NEC Front Row
Eastern Washington at Weber State	3:00pm	ESPN+
UAPB at Bethune-Cookman	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Lincoln (CA) at Prairie View A&M	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Tarleton State at Eastern Kentucky	3:00pm	ESPN+
Southeastern La. at HCU	3:00pm	ESPN+
MVSU at Alcorn State	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Gardner-Webb at Lindenwood	3:00pm	ESPN+
VMI at Mercer	3:00pm	ESPN+
Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois	3:00pm	ESPN+
Towson at Stony Brook	3:30pm	FloSports
UAlbany at Villanova	3:30pm	FloSports
Chattanooga at Samford	3:30pm	ESPN+
Wofford at ETSU	3:30pm	ESPN+
Alabama A&M vs Alabama State (in Birmingham, AL)	3:30pm	ESPN+
Morgan State at Howard	3:30pm	ESPN+
Portland State at Idaho	4:00pm	SWX/ESPN+
North Alabama at Austin Peay	4:00pm	ESPN+
McNeese at Nicholls	4:00pm	ESPN+
Indiana State at North Dakota	4:00pm	ESPN+
Florida A&M at Southern	5:00pm	SWAC TV
Lamar at Northwestern State	5:00pm	ESPN+
Grambling State vs Jackson State (in Las Vegas, NV)	6:00pm	HBCU GO
Northern Arizona at Idaho State	6:00pm	ESPN+
Stephen F. Austin at East Texas A&M	7:00pm	ESPN+
North Dakota State at South Dakota State	8:00pm	ESPNU
Southern Utah at Utah Tech	8:00pm	ESPN+
UIW at UTRGV	8:00pm	ESPN+
Montana State at Cal Poly	8:00pm	Scripps/ESPN+

I use this schedule on gameday. There were several time changes last week, not just the weather ones. So if anyone else uses it, check for time changes. And there were 2 games with wrong times at a certain book that were left open for playing last week and one at a different book the week before. Results were honored in both cases.

Same with last year, my only complaint as a fan and as a bettor in the FCS is the time slot scheduling sucks, it's so bunched up at certain times and then nothing at night, which is how it goes when TV partners aren't dictating kickoff times they want for their inventory. I'd still rather all these games be produced by local and regional media outlets vs national ones, but it comes with it's drawbacks. Overall, I will take it over the alternative. Makes it hard to enjoy the games when 75% of the games overlap and are on at the same time between 12-3:30

 

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Massey

Date	Team	Standing	Scr	Pred	Pwin	Margin	Total
Sat 10.25 12:00.PM.ET	Presbyterian @ Dayton	# 68 (7-0) # 101 (5-2)	0 0	24 26	47 % 53 %	-2.5	51.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Campbell @ NC A&T	# 83 (2-6) # 112 (1-6)	0 0	34 31	59 % 41 %	-3.5	63.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Elon @ Maine	# 33 (4-4) # 66 (3-4)	0 0	27 24	58 % 42 %	-2.5	50.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Georgetown @ Bucknell	# 91 (4-3) # 87 (4-4)	0 0	28 31	40 % 60 %	-3.5	58.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Bryant @ Rhode Island	# 90 (2-5) # 24 (6-2)	0 0	18 34	12 % 88 %	-15.5	53.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	St Thomas MN @ Stetson	# 85 (4-3) # 129 (3-5)	0 0	42 14	97 % 3 %	-28.5	55.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	William & Mary @ New Hampshire	# 39 (4-3) # 32 (4-4)	0 0	24 27	38 % 62 %	-3.5	52.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	San Diego @ Davidson	# 76 (3-4) # 128 (1-6)	0 0	38 17	91 % 9 %	-21.5	58.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Morehead St @ Valparaiso	# 125 (3-5) # 127 (1-6)	0 0	27 28	49 % 51 %	-0.5	53.5
Sat 10.25 1:00.PM.ET	Lehigh @ Fordham	# 12 (7-0) # 97 (1-6)	0 0	33 17	87 % 13 %	-15.5	52.5
Sat 10.25 2:00.PM.ET	E Illinois @ Charleston So	# 79 (3-4) # 74 (2-6)	0 0	21 24	37 % 63 %	-3.5	45.5
Sat 10.25 2:00.PM.ET	Monmouth NJ @ Hampton	# 16 (6-1) # 115 (2-6)	0 0	44 24	85 % 15 %	-19.5	71.5
Sat 10.25 2:00.PM.ET	Murray St @ Youngstown St	# 105 (0-7) # 21 (4-3)	0 0	21 41	13 % 87 %	-19.5	67.5
Sat 10.25 2:00.PM.ET	Cent Arkansas @ West Georgia	# 47 (3-4) # 28 (5-3)	0 0	28 27	52 % 48 %	-1.5	57.5
Sat 10.25 2:30.PM.ET	SE Missouri St @ Tennessee Tech	# 48 (3-4) # 9 (7-0)	0 0	24 34	23 % 77 %	-10.5	59.5
Sat 10.25 3:00.PM.ET	Gardner Webb @ Lindenwood	# 43 (4-3) # 62 (3-4)	0 0	30 28	53 % 47 %	-2.5	60.5
Sat 10.25 3:00.PM.ET	Ark Pine Bluff @ Bethune-Cookman	# 124 (2-4) # 98 (3-4)	0 0	20 38	12 % 88 %	-18.5	58.5
Sat 10.25 3:00.PM.ET	VMI @ Mercer	# 114 (1-6) # 19 (5-1)	0 0	7 38	0 % 100 %	-31.5	49.5
Sat 10.25 3:00.PM.ET	SE Louisiana @ Houston Chr	# 18 (5-2) # 102 (2-5)	0 0	35 14	94 % 6 %	-21.5	51.5
Sat 10.25 3:00.PM.ET	Northern Iowa @ S Illinois	# 38 (2-5) # 11 (4-3)	0 0	20 31	18 % 82 %	-11.5	51.5
Sat 10.25 3:30.PM.ET	Alabama St Alabama A&M Birmingham AL	# 71 (4-2) # 96 (4-3)	0 0	34 27	68 % 32 %	-6.5	61.5
Sat 10.25 3:30.PM.ET	SUNY Albany @ Villanova	# 103 (1-6) # 13 (5-2)	0 0	14 38	4 % 96 %	-23.5	50.5
Sat 10.25 3:30.PM.ET	Chattanooga @ Samford	# 49 (3-4) # 92 (1-6)	0 0	30 24	66 % 34 %	-5.5	55.5
Sat 10.25 3:30.PM.ET	Towson @ Stony Brook	# 61 (3-4) # 64 (3-4)	0 0	26 27	48 % 52 %	-1.5	52.5
Sat 10.25 4:00.PM.ET	Indiana St @ North Dakota	# 73 (2-5) # 6 (5-2)	0 0	14 44	3 % 97 %	-30.5	58.5
Sat 10.25 6:00.PM.ET	Grambling Jackson St Las Vegas NV	# 111 (4-3) # 41 (5-1)	0 0	14 35	7 % 93 %	-20.5	52.5
Sat 10.25 8:00.PM.ET	Montana St @ Cal Poly	# 3 (5-2) # 45 (3-4)	0 0	42 17	95 % 5 %	-25.5	56.5
Sat 10.25 10:30.PM.ET	Montana @ CS Sacramento	# 5 (7-0) # 22 (4-3)	0 0	34 31	60 % 40 %	-3.5	63.5
Sat 10.25	Citadel @ Furman	# 57 (3-4) # 55 (4-3)	0 0	21 24	38 % 62 %	-3.5	47.5
Sat 10.25	MS Valley St @ Alcorn St	# 126 (1-5) # 123 (1-6)	0 0	19 31	18 % 82 %	-12.5	51.5
Sat 10.25	Columbia @ Dartmouth	# 86 (1-4) # 26 (4-1)	0 0	14 28	12 % 88 %	-13.5	42.5
Sat 10.25	Delaware St @ NC Central	# 99 (4-3) # 42 (5-2)	0 0	24 42	14 % 86 %	-18.5	65.5
Sat 10.25	Southern Utah @ Utah Tech	# 44 (2-5) # 65 (1-6)	0 0	34 28	65 % 35 %	-6.5	61.5
Sat 10.25	Duquesne @ Wagner	# 72 (5-3) # 121 (1-6)	0 0	31 17	86 % 14 %	-14.5	52.5
Sat 10.25	Wofford @ ETSU	# 67 (2-5) # 53 (3-5)	0 0	21 28	30 % 70 %	-6.5	49.5
Sat 10.25	Tarleton St @ E Kentucky	# 4 (8-0) # 36 (3-4)	0 0	35 23	80 % 20 %	-12.5	57.5
Sat 10.25	E Washington @ Weber St	# 29 (3-4) # 34 (3-4)	0 0	31 30	50 % 50 %	-0.5	63.5
Sat 10.25	Colgate @ Holy Cross	# 78 (2-5) # 63 (1-6)	0 0	21 31	21 % 79 %	-10.5	54.5
Sat 10.25	Northern Arizona @ Idaho St	# 15 (4-3) # 46 (2-5)	0 0	33 30	56 % 44 %	-2.5	63.5
Sat 10.25	Illinois St @ South Dakota	# 25 (4-3) # 10 (5-3)	0 0	27 35	24 % 76 %	-8.5	57.5
Sat 10.25	Lamar @ Northwestern LA	# 23 (6-1) # 120 (1-6)	0 0	35 12	96 % 4 %	-23.5	49.5
Sat 10.25	Drake @ Marist	# 56 (4-2) # 116 (3-4)	0 0	31 13	93 % 7 %	-17.5	45.5
Sat 10.25	North Alabama @ Austin Peay	# 70 (2-5) # 20 (4-3)	0 0	23 38	17 % 83 %	-14.5	61.5
Sat 10.25	McNeese St @ Nicholls St	# 75 (2-5) # 69 (1-6)	0 0	21 25	36 % 64 %	-3.5	47.5
Sat 10.25	N Dakota St @ S Dakota St	# 1 (7-0) # 2 (7-0)	0 0	28 27	52 % 48 %	-1.5	53.5
Sat 10.25	UC Davis @ N Colorado	# 7 (5-1) # 54 (3-4)	0 0	35 17	89 % 11 %	-17.5	54.5
Sat 10.25	Portland St @ Idaho	# 88 (0-7) # 27 (2-5)	0 0	20 38	11 % 89 %	-17.5	56.5
Sat 10.25	Lincoln CA @ Prairie View	(0-6) # 82 (5-2)	0 0	0 49	0 % 100 %	-48.5	52.5
Sat 10.25	Robert Morris @ St Francis PA	# 117 (1-6) # 122 (0-6)	0 0	21 24	44 % 56 %	-2.5	43.5
Sat 10.25	Florida A&M @ Southern Univ	# 107 (2-4) # 119 (1-6)	0 0	27 21	68 % 32 %	-6.5	51.5
Sat 10.25	Stonehill @ Mercyhurst	# 104 (2-5) # 100 (3-5)	0 0	19 24	33 % 67 %	-4.5	44.5
Sat 10.25	W Illinois @ Tennessee St	# 109 (1-7) # 94 (2-5)	0 0	28 31	41 % 59 %	-3.5	60.5
Sat 10.25	SF Austin @ East Texas A&M	# 14 (5-2) # 89 (2-5)	0 0	37 21	84 % 16 %	-15.5	59.5
Sat 10.25	S Carolina St @ Norfolk St	# 59 (4-3) # 118 (1-6)	0 0	34 21	81 % 19 %	-12.5	57.5
Sat 10.25	Brown @ Cornell	# 58 (3-2) # 93 (1-4)	0 0	28 26	53 % 47 %	-1.5	54.5
Sat 10.25	Incarnate Word @ UTRGV	# 40 (2-5) # 60 (5-2)	0 0	31 28	59 % 41 %	-3.5	60.5
Sat 10.25	Harvard @ Princeton	# 8 (5-0) # 52 (3-2)	0 0	35 24	78 % 22 %	-11.5	57.5
Sat 10.25	Morgan St @ Howard	# 110 (3-4) # 95 (3-4)	0 0	21 24	38 % 62 %	-3.5	44.5
Sat 10.25	New Haven @ LIU Post	# 113 (4-3) # 106 (2-5)	0 0	20 28	22 % 78 %	-7.5	47.5
Sat 10.25	Penn @ Yale	# 37 (4-1) # 31 (3-2)	0 0	24 31	28 % 72 %	-7.5	58.5

Massey Ratings - CF Games

CF,College Football,FCS, game scores, schedules, and predictions

masseyratings.com

 

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Sagarin

HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.37 4.16 4.49 4.46 4.46

FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL



9 @ Dartmouth 15.69 13.32 17.77 17.88 24.95 Columbia 484 83% 24.72 5.87 30.60

10 Montana 2.57 1.98 6.20 0.46 -0.55 @ Sacramento State 132 57% 34.86 32.20 67.06



56 N Alabama State 10.75 10.75 8.17 15.65 21.96 @ Alabama A&M 305 75% 31.04 42.29 73.33

57 @ Alcorn State 9.09 8.28 7.94 12.18 15.26 Miss. Valley State 259 72% 28.17 23.75 51.92

58 @ Austin Peay 17.64 18.44 16.18 20.74 23.21 North Alabama 577 85% 51.79 19.26 71.05

59 @ Bethune-Cookman 14.99 13.13 13.44 20.60 26.46 Ark.-Pine Bluff 454 82% 39.99 22.81 62.80

60 @ Bucknell 2.79 2.28 5.05 0.12 -1.71 Georgetown 136 58% 33.64 30.97 64.61

61 Montana State 17.64 18.84 14.92 23.37 23.68 @ Cal Poly-SLO 577 85% 18.77 32.20 50.97

62 @ Charleston Southern 6.65 6.42 4.86 9.27 12.78 Eastern Illinois 203 67% 22.37 8.09 30.46

63 Brown 0.37 0.64 3.96 -3.19 -1.35 @ Cornell 104 51% 13.53 22.42 35.95

64 San Diego 11.33 8.96 10.86 18.93 31.93 @ Davidson 322 76% 17.62 46.10 63.72

65 Presbyterian College 3.86 2.71 6.33 3.63 8.89 @ Dayton 152 60% 19.58 29.55 49.13

66 @ East Tennessee State 6.49 5.61 7.17 7.14 6.85 Wofford 200 67% 28.01 18.70 46.72

67 Tarleton State 15.52 16.38 15.13 18.42 25.29 @ Eastern Kentucky 476 83% 15.20 40.95 56.15

68 Lehigh 16.04 13.11 17.39 21.46 32.90 @ Fordham 500 83% 10.99 36.04 47.03

69 @ Furman 5.02 3.01 6.80 5.09 4.24 The Citadel 172 63% 23.62 18.25 41.87

70 N Jackson State 15.00 13.86 14.83 19.28 24.67 @ Grambling State 454 82% 19.70 33.65 53.35

71 Monmouth-NJ 18.78 16.60 19.97 24.07 32.87 @ Hampton 639 86% 26.23 56.08 82.31

72 @ Holy Cross 7.03 7.16 7.24 7.08 3.38 Colgate 211 68% 26.86 23.92 50.78

73 SE Louisiana 19.28 18.86 17.92 25.65 35.80 @ Houston Christian 668 87% 10.88 34.29 45.16

74 @ Howard 3.86 2.04 6.19 3.42 4.68 Morgan State 152 60% 19.39 17.04 36.43

75 @ Idaho 15.80 15.53 14.78 19.26 22.13 Portland State 489 83% 37.26 13.04 50.30

76 @ Idaho State 0.01 0.74 -3.27 2.19 5.23 Northern Arizona 100 50% 39.87 29.96 69.84

77 @ Lindenwood 1.95 3.69 1.84 -0.28 -0.64 Gardner-Webb 124 55% 34.03 29.70 63.74

78 @ LIU Post 8.07 6.31 8.20 10.77 14.78 New Haven 235 70% 28.66 13.68 42.34

79 Elon 1.71 2.93 1.94 1.15 0.43 @ Maine 121 55% 18.66 21.60 40.27

80 Drake 8.37 8.69 6.93 11.85 15.57 @ Marist 242 71% 12.07 21.71 33.78

81 @ Mercer 29.58 27.43 32.99 32.71 40.75 VMI 1535 94% 41.86 6.01 47.87

82 @ Mercyhurst 8.86 7.68 8.07 12.10 13.93 Stonehill College 254 72% 18.48 8.38 26.86

83 @ New Hampshire 3.72 2.57 3.50 5.21 6.60 William & Mary 150 60% 25.14 22.15 47.29

84 @ Nicholls State 5.56 4.96 6.04 5.88 4.06 McNeese State 182 65% 22.94 18.25 41.19

85 SC State 7.51 5.56 11.75 7.37 10.20 @ Norfolk State 222 69% 23.02 40.12 63.13

86 @ NC A&T 1.24 0.58 -0.91 3.69 5.06 Campbell 115 53% 32.44 36.68 69.12

87 @ NC Central 14.89 14.87 15.54 16.22 15.30 Delaware State 450 82% 39.84 31.92 71.76

88 @ North Dakota 29.25 28.87 27.19 36.64 47.22 Indiana State 1498 94% 52.12 12.07 64.18

89 UC Davis 8.30 7.03 13.54 6.21 3.29 @ Northern Colorado 240 71% 25.76 31.06 56.82

90 Lamar 14.94 13.00 18.10 16.54 22.21 @ Northwestern State 452 82% 7.63 30.62 38.24

91 Harvard 8.69 10.61 7.69 10.02 14.92 @ Princeton 250 71% 26.36 42.89 69.26

92 @ Rhode Island 20.14 17.57 22.94 22.76 27.98 Bryant 720 88% 39.67 18.58 58.25

93 @ Saint Francis-Pa. 1.86 1.38 3.35 0.19 -3.11 Robert Morris 123 55% 14.30 17.70 32.00

94 Chattanooga 4.59 4.30 5.58 5.39 6.40 @ Samford 164 62% 20.06 34.18 54.24

95 @ South Dakota 6.31 5.51 9.02 4.29 3.86 Illinois State 196 66% 34.25 28.19 62.45

96 North Dakota State 1.09 1.38 -3.31 5.77 11.25 @ South Dakota State 113 53% 23.03 26.06 49.09

97 @ Southern U. 0.63 0.59 2.07 -2.53 -3.35 Florida A&M 107 52% 25.90 17.20 43.10

98 @ Southern Illinois 14.71 15.10 14.67 16.09 19.42 Northern Iowa 443 82% 33.85 14.57 48.43

99 St. Thomas-Mn. 13.29 14.19 7.90 22.30 34.56 @ Stetson 388 80% 11.71 43.07 54.78

100 @ Stony Brook 4.75 3.99 4.21 6.31 9.81 Towson 167 63% 27.10 19.89 46.99

College Football 2025 ratings through games of 2025 October 18 Saturday - Week 8

HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.37 4.16 4.49 4.46 4.46

FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL

101 @ Tennessee State 5.73 4.49 7.50 5.35 4.43 Western Illinois 185 65% 27.29 28.68 55.97

102 @ Tennessee Tech 17.10 16.16 16.95 20.57 30.62 SE Missouri State 550 85% 51.34 20.60 71.94

103 Stephen F. Austin 8.20 9.10 8.65 8.88 9.41 @ East Texas A&M 238 70% 24.91 40.37 65.27

104 Southern Utah 3.56 4.10 3.88 4.17 3.12 @ Utah Tech 147 60% 26.90 32.27 59.17

105 @ Valparaiso 0.65 2.71 0.51 -3.70 -10.66 Morehead State 107 52% 30.64 28.10 58.74

106 @ Villanova 27.21 25.04 28.10 32.67 42.37 Albany-NY 1286 93% 39.53 9.34 48.87

107 Duquesne 12.52 11.42 13.11 16.22 25.36 @ Wagner 361 78% 19.97 34.97 54.93

108 @ Weber State 3.51 3.14 5.20 1.69 1.37 Eastern Washington 146 59% 35.64 31.82 67.45

109 @ West Georgia 3.49 4.24 3.85 2.05 2.07 Central Arkansas 146 59% 35.78 19.73 55.52

110 @ Yale 7.34 9.40 4.65 8.75 7.52 Pennsylvania 218 69% 38.53 29.61 68.14

111 @ Youngstown State 23.56 21.39 25.60 27.41 32.03 Murray State 961 91% 47.92 21.14 69.06

112 @ UTRGV 0.33 -1.89 1.08 1.27 11.30 Incarnate Word 104 51% 40.74 23.71 64.45

College Football Ratings Page

 

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Reddit

/r/FCS Sportsbook - FCS Games

10/24: Montana -7 @ Sacramento State (O/U 58)

10/25: Alabama State -12.5 vs. Alabama A&M (O/U 60.5)

10/25: UAlbany @ Villanova -26.5 (O/U 53.5)

10/25: UAPB @ Bethune-Cookman -22 (O/U 56.5)

10/25: Brown -7.5 @ Cornell (O/U 51.5)

10/25: Bryant @ Rhode Island -16.5 (O/U 52)

10/25: Campbell -5.5 @ North Carolina A&T (O/U 58.5)

10/25: Central Arkansas @ West Georgia -8.5 (O/U 55.5)

10/25: Chattanooga -9.5 @ Samford (O/U 55.5)

10/25: Colgate @ Holy Cross -3 (O/U 52.5)

10/25: Columbia @ Dartmouth -15 (O/U 48.5)

10/25: Delaware State @ NCCU -13.5 (O/U 60)

10/25: Drake -13.5 @ Marist (O/U 49.5)

10/25: Duquesne -15.5 @ Wagner (O/U 51.5)

10/25: Eastern Illinois @ Charles Southern -6.5 (O/U 50)

10/25: Eastern Washington @ Weber State -1.5 (O/U 57.5)

10/25: Elon -4.5 @ Maine (O/U 51)

10/25: Florida A&M -2 @ Southern (O/U 52)

10/25: Gardner-Webb -3.5 @ Lindenwood (O/U 55)

10/25: Georgetown @ Bucknell -1.5 (O/U 55.5)

10/25: Grambling vs. Jackson State -17 (O/U 54.5)

10/25: Harvard -17.5 @ Princeton (O/U 55)

10/25: Illinois State @ South Dakota -5.5 (O/U 55.5)

10/25: UIW @ UTRGV -6.5 (O/U 56)

10/25: Indiana State @ North Dakota -30 (O/U 57.5)

10/25: Lamar -23 @ Northwestern State (O/U 51)

10/25: Lehigh -24.5 @ Fordham (O/U 53.5)

10/25: Lincoln CA @ Prairie View A&M -58.5 (O/U 58.5)

10/25: McNeese @ Nicholls -3.5 (O/U 49.5)

10/25: MVSU @ Alcorn State -6.5 (O/U 53.5)

10/25: Monmouth -28 @ Hampton (O/U 62)

10/25: Montana State -17 @ Cal Poly (O/U 54)

10/25: Morehead State -1.5 @ Valparaiso (O/U 55.5)

10/25: Morgan State @ Howard -4.5 (O/U 48)

10/25: Murray State @ Youngstown State -23 (O/U 58.5)

10/25: New Haven @ LIU -10 (O/U 49.5)

10/25: North Alabama @ Austin Peay -23.5 (O/U 58)

10/25: North Dakota St -3.5 @ South Dakota St (O/U 52)

10/25: Northern Arizona @ Idaho State -1 (O/U 60)

10/25: Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois -16 (O/U 51.5)

10/25: Penn @ Yale -7 (O/U 52)

10/25: Portland State @ Idaho -19 (O/U 53.5)

10/25: Presbyterian -5.5 @ Dayton (O/U 52)

10/25: Robert Morris -2.5 @ St. Francis (O/U 48)

10/25: San Diego -26.5 @ Davidson (O/U 56)

10/25: Southeastern -25.5 @ HCU (O/U 51.5)

10/25: Southeast Missouri @ Tennessee Tech -24 (O/U 58)

10/25: South Carolina State -16 @ Norfolk State (O/U 54.5)

10/25: Southern Utah -7.5 @ Utah Tech (O/U 57.5)

10/25: St. Thomas -30 @ Stetson (O/U 55)

10/25: Stephen F. Austin -12 @ East Texas A&M (O/U 56.5)

10/25: Stonehill @ Mercyhurst -7 (O/U 46.5)

10/25: Tarleton -22 @ EKU (O/U 54.5)

10/25: The Citadel @ Furman -1 (O/U 52)

10/25: Towson @ Stony Brook -4.5 (O/U 52.5)

10/25: UC Davis -9 @ Northern Colorado (O/U 56)

10/25: VMI @ Mercer -32 (O/U 52)

10/25: Western Illinois @ Tennessee State -0.5 (O/U 54)

10/25: William & Mary @ New Hampshire -1 (O/U 51.5)

10/25: Wofford @ ETSU -6.5 (O/U 52.5)

/r/FCS Sportsbook - 2025

docs.google.com

 

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S&P+

Dartmouth 28.7, Columbia 12.9

Montana 36.4, Sacramento State 27.6

Alabama State 34.4, Alabama A&M 25.0

Alcorn State 33.4, MVSU 18.2

Austin Peay 38.7, North Alabama 21.4

Bethune-Cookman 33.1, UAPB 25.2

Brown 25.6, Cornell 24.2

Campbell 31.0, NC A&T 28.4

Chattanooga 32.7, Samford 22.3

Drake 28.3, Marist 18.5

Duquesne 31.9, Wagner 9.3

Eastern Illinois 25.1, Charleston Southern 23.8

Elon 26.5, Maine 24.0

ETSU 29.4, Wofford 20.3

Florida A&M 29.4, Southern U. 21.7

Furman 27.4, The Citadel 23.3

Georgetown 28.6, Bucknell 28.5

Harvard 35.5, Princeton 16.3

Holy Cross 26.8, Colgate 24.6

Idaho 42.6, Portland State 15.7

Jackson State 35.4, Grambling 18.3

Lamar 33.9, Northwestern State 10.0

Lehigh 44.8, Fordham 9.2

Lindenwood 30.7, Gardner-Webb 26.6

McNeese State 24.8, Nicholls State 19.4

Mercer 42.7, VMI 7.2

Mercyhurst 22.5, Stonehill 14.5

Monmouth 46.6, Hampton 22.2

Montana State 39.6, Cal Poly 17.2

Morehead State 28.0, Valparaiso 23.0

Morgan State 22.6, Howard 21.4

NC Central 37.1, Delaware State 23.5

New Hampshire 25.9, William & Mary 24.8

New Haven 19.8, Long Island 18.8

North Dakota 44.0, Indiana State 13.2

North Dakota State 30.5, South Dakota State 23.6

Northern Arizona 32.9, Idaho State 31.7

Presbyterian 26.7, Dayton 21.8

Rhode Island 35.5, Bryant 15.8

Robert Morris 19.6, Saint Francis-PA 16.2

San Diego 34.7, Davidson 21.5

SC State 32.5, Norfolk State 20.8

South Dakota 29.7, Illinois State 26.7

Southeastern La 33.1, Houston Christian 11.9

Southern Illinois 33.8, Northern Iowa 17.5

Southern Utah 38.3, Utah Tech 23.7

St. Thomas 39.0, Stetson 14.4

Stephen F. Austin 36.6, East Texas A&M 16.2

Stony Brook 30.1, Towson 23.9

Tarleton State 41.5, Eastern Kentucky 15.3

Tennessee State 30.3, Western Illinois 25.8

Tennessee Tech 42.3, SE Missouri State 14.5

UC Davis 37.7, Northern Colorado 20.1

UTRGV 26.9, Incarnate Word 21.5

Villanova 40.6, Albany-NY 10.5

Weber State 32.0, Eastern Washington 30.5

West Georgia 31.9, Central Arkansas 26.6

Yale 29.4, Penn 21.9

Youngstown State 46.3, Murray State 16.8

2025 SP+

docs.google.com

 

[s--k]

DraftKings

 

[sleepy]

It's always a secret

Mason was hurt on a 6-yard touchdown run to open SDSU's 35-14 win at Murray State and never returned. His ankles were taped, and he walked with a hobble the rest of the day.

In his first public remarks since the Jacks returned home Saturday night, head coach Dan Jackson would not tell Happy Hour host John Gaskins what Mason's specific injury was and deemed Mason's status for this Saturday as "day-to-day," with Mason "getting all the tests done — standard procedure for this type of thing."

 

[s--k]

I took some at -4.5, not specifically because of the injury, but a) if he plays he will probably be a little limited and b) even if he was 100% he is leading an offense that is not as good as what we are used to in Brookings and c) if he doesn't play or they use a backup more, that is rFr Marble who might be good, or might play like a rFr.

Whether we offer reasons, or if they are excuses, but this South Dakota State team is just not what it used to be and that's on O and D.

Murray State shows on a weekly basis how much more competitive they are than last year, but they gained 438y (7.3) on the Jacks D scoring 14 pts! They gained 236 (4.1) last year and scored 6pts.

SDSU couldn't run on UNI at home, on hobo day...120y (3.1) and 'only' scored 31 pts...well sure, UNI D is actually a good unit...but this is SDSU #2 team in the country we are talking about, only 31pts? Last year it was 41 on the road.

The YSU 1H...YSU legitimately looked and played like the better team. Credit to YSU, but I saw SDSU there in 2023 and it was a mismatch from the opening kick.

All these games just show who SDSU is this year, which is good, they are plenty good, but compared to what they have been and what you'd expect they would need to be in order to compete or beat NDSU, I don't see it.

Both teams have been slow starters, just so much more to trust on the Bison side. I think the line could go to 6.5/7 at some point. SDSU had their run where they won 5 straight marker games, NDSU has won the last 2 and looks to be making a new streak of their own.

 

[sleepy]

How bad is everyone else in the FCS when NDSU is -4.5 on the road to the #2 ranked team in the nation?

 

[s--k]

How bad is everyone else in the FCS when NDSU is -4.5 on the road to the #2 ranked team in the nation?

I'd say judge the teams by how they have played, not by what ranking number is next to their name. How many times has the #2 team in the country been on a 1-4 ATS slide over their last 5 games? Typically the teams at the top show dominance, SDSU has not done that. And perhaps the injury to Mason was factored into the number

 

[s--k]

Line projections for Columbia - Dartmouth are high...13.5/42.5, 15.69/30.6, 15/48.5 and 28.7-12.9 score prediction for S&P. A few years back Dartmouth was routinely a DD fav vs Columbia, but the last handful of years have been lined and played close. 2024 Col -3.5 Dart won 24-21 (Dart led 17-0 and 24-7) - 2023 Dart -6 won 20-9 - 2022 Col -2.5 Dart won 27-24. Columbia hasn't won since the Friday night shocker in 2021 when they shut out Big Green 19-0 as +17.5 dogs!

Dartmouth got their first comfortable win last week...while they won by 17 vs Fordham, that was just 16-13 4Q before Big Green added on 2 later TDs. Dartmouth's O has a been inconsistent and often struggle in the RZ (TDs just 52.6% of the time). They do move it well for yards and are great on 3rd down (#2 nation 55%), it's just finishing. Dartmouth D is good, don't let the 36pts Penn score fool anyone, there are some reasons how and why Penn got over half those pts that aren't directly the Ds fault.

Columbia finally found some O behind a new starting QB Sanchez who previously started a couple last year. Sanchez is the first Columbia QB to finish the season with a positive TD-INT ratio this year. Season high pts, ttl yards and ypp vs Penn last week (21-366-5.2). As a team they didn't run well, but Walters was back after missing the last 2 games and individually he had a decent game (11att-61-TD, 3rec-16y). Columbia's D specifically wasn't so much the reason Lions were in that game until Penn pulled away at the end, but due to Penn 3 TOs which led to 14 Columbia pts it was a close game until late 4th quarter. Columbia's D has been good vs weaker Os, but not so much vs average to good units.

I wonder if Columbia's O might be improving enough at this point in the year to make them competive in this game relative to a higher spread? They avg 281ypg their first 4 and put up 366 last game with a big jump in their passing average from 187y and to 311y and 55% after having 3 games of mid-40% completions. Dartmouth is good, but just the expected spead...compare to Lehigh who is very strong was only -11.5 at Columbia, so this Dartmouth team is going to be favored by more (albeit at home) the week after Columbia has their best offensive showing of the year?

Think I would somewhat reluctantly back Columbia if the spread comes out high like the PRs suggest.

 

[s--k]

Some fun trash talk by Sac State President and Montana HC this week (long story short, Sac St President was trying to be funny in interview and called Montana Grizlies the Montana Pandas and Hauck called him a clown).

Don't know how deep to look into this game. Maybe keep it simple and take the team that has a QB that can be counted on to complete a forward pass more than half the time and that would be Ah Yat for Montana as the Sac State QBs really struggle to pass. On the other hand, the Sac State rushing game is much more explosive where as the Montana run game is just a 3.9ypc team vs FCS.

Montana D has shown vulnerable at times. North Dakota and Idaho State both should've could've or would've beat the Griz, but Ah Yat wouldn't let it happen and he was great in the 4Q to pull out wins. Believe Sacred Heart's 21 and 340 (5.3) last week were more than anyone would've expected. Last road game (only road game this year) for UM, the Idaho State O was on fire vs Griz scoring 38 pts and 497y (6.5). And the Sac State DBs were shredded vs Northern Colorado last week.

Assume it will be a small line with Griz favored. Total could be an Over depending what they release. Montana is 4-2 to the Over and Sac State is 2pts away from being on a 5-0 Over run (combined 56 pts vs Cal Poly on a 57.5 total).

 

[sleepy]

Got to think total will be 60+

Sac St. averaging 70 ppg last five and Montana 60 ppg last five

 

[s--k]

We know who the real Dayton offense is now. After avg 413ypg (6.63) and 41ppg vs Stetson, Morehead and Valpo, vs a better team in Butler the Fliers only got 298y (5.2) and scored just 17 pts. They never led last week. This matches their earlier games vs Robert Morris and Eastern Illinois in which they scored just 17 and 14 respectively with sub-300y in each game. Not sure if the primary starting QB Schondelmyer got hurt last week, but 2024 starter VanVleet got some time as well. PR lines have this line way low as we all can see. I'd have to assume they open it at atleast 7? PC won at home last year 28-7 as 5.5pt dog. Last time here in 2023 PC won 20-17 in OT as 7pt dog. Both those games went Under. Dayton games are 3-3 O/U this year, just because vs the bad Pioneer teams Dayton scored lots of pts, vs everyone else they don't. Total in the 50s seems high unless PC is going to do all the scoring (avg 38ppg vs league opponents so far this year). Yardage was even between PC and Butler 2 weeks ago (Butler +3 yards), but PC has outgained every other FCS team this year (including Mercer and Furman) by an average of 144ypg.

 

[s--k]

Odd to see some difference in the PR predictions on New Haven - Long Island. The 3 spreads have LIU -7.5 to 10 which would seem normal enough. S&P+ has New Haven winning 19.8-18.8. Either result wouldn't surprise, just a notable difference. LIU O has been very limited this year, even with Greenwood at QB and last week Stanzani returned and the O was still pretty weak, 300y (4.3) and just 24 pts on Robert Morris. This is actually an improvement over the 3 prior games where they scored just 7.6ppg and 265ypg (4.7). The D appears good, but stopping the Robert Morris and Stonehill Os has been easy for everyone and Sharks were good vs Mercyhurst, but I wonder if MH O might've lost some mojo at this point in the season.

New Haven does have O, for the most part it's only been seen vs Dll opponents. They struggled at Duquesne..Dukes are proving to be a very good NEC team however. Back in weeks 1 & 2 for their only other FCS games, NH also struggled at MH both offensively and defensively (MH was playing very well first 3 weeks of year). Way way back in week 1, NH O was actually pretty good despite only scoring 14 pts. They gained 395y (5.3) and Duffy passed for 377, but they lost 4 TOs and only scored 1 TD on 3 RZ trips in the loss at Marist. And they beat Albany, who is bad, but just being able to beat any Dl team on the road is an accomplishment as they transition. Duffy was good that game (66% 3-0 ratio).

I think that NH O should show up this week better than we saw vs Duquesne and Mercyhurst. LIU had some potential this year, but other than their win at Eastern Michigan oddly enough, we just have not seen anything close to it. Think I can take New Haven here.

 

[s--k]

Mercyhurst shut out at home last week in what was billed as an NEC playoff game of sorts vs Duquesne. Dukes only punted once and outgained them 439-118 in the 37-0 win (which included a fum ret TD). Urena did miss the Wagner game 2 weeks back (MH still won 19-7), he returned here but was a total non-factor. He played vs LIU and MH was pretty uninspiring at one as well (won 22-13). I wonder if people, myself included, were so impressed with how MH played as big dogs vs YSU (only lost 14-25, +73 ttl yards), Sac State (only trailed by 7 mid 4Q) and Montana St (shutout 0-17, but only outgained 263-354) created a false picture of who they are or what they are capable of. I question how they can compete with YSU, Sac State and Montana State plus blow out the transitioning New Haven team only to struggle vs some of the weaker NEC teams in Wagner and LIU. They beat LIU 22-13, but that was just 15-13 mid 4Q.

Stonehill haven't played well lately vs superior teams in Yale and Duquesne, however, they previously did win any ugly limited possesion game 10-3 vs LIU and before that they hung tough with Penn before losing on a FG with :09 left and as a 20.5 pt dog they won at Maine with a 34y TD pass on 4th-21 with 2min left 13-10!

Not sure where Stonehill is right now. Safe to say that Duq and Yale were bad matchups. They were better back in September. Tough to know about either one of these teams really.

 

[s--k]

Duquesne rolling right now, avg margin of victory 32ppg their last 4. Good O and D. Wagner is bad failing to score more than 20 pts in any game this year. The D does seem to play pretty tough to their credit. Hard to see anything but a multiple score Duke win here though. Just can't imagine Wagner O doing much of anything. Duquesne was good last year too; -13.5 at home and beat Wagner 42-21 vs what was a better Wagner team then (413y 6.9ypp out of them! their avg this year is 310ypg in 5 FCS games).

 

[s--k]

Marist came crashing to earth last week...Morehead led them 20-0, Foxes came back 21-20 :31! But MH retook the lead in a walkoff FG set up by a big KO return. The dog is 6-1 ATS in Marist games with Fox 5-1 ATS (3 upset wins). Good dog, just not a good favorite (0-1). There is some good and bad to be found in the Marist O, often within the same game. The D is much better than last year.

Drake still looking to be a contender for Pioneer title which they won the last 2 years. Last time they played Marist in '23, which was also a Drake title year, Drake only won 10-3 with total yards just 276-246 (4.9-3.5). Strange. I usually question Drake as a big favorite....2023-2024 3-3 ATS as DD fav vs Pioneer league teams. This year however they are 2-0 ATS in that role beating Valpo and Davidson by combined 86-0 score. Only 334y (5.4) vs Valpo, but the O went off vs Davidson last week 570y (8.4). Maybe they won't be DD fav at Marist this week? In their other road league game at San Diego a couple weeks ago Drake punted 4 of first 5, but managed to win 19-16 on a walkoff FG.

Can't see myself on either side here. Suppose Drake would be the way to go, but Marist has been tough enough to create enough doubt.

 

[carolinablue]

Presby and Duquesne both on the short list this week. Also not gonna be afraid of big favs this week, as I have no problem winning with them in FBS but shy away in FCS for some reason, bit figure it’s all part of the learning curve.

 

[s--k]

Presby and Duquesne both on the short list this week. Also not gonna be afraid of big favs this week, as I have no problem winning with them in FBS but shy away in FCS for some reason, bit figure it’s all part of the learning curve.

Was it back in week 3 or 4 when most of the big favorite lines were bumped a few points even higher - as in, they were getting wise to which side action was going to come and were inflating some of those favorites. But then last week I thought they opened a bunch of big favs on the low side, Harvard which lost but I’d contend probably shouldn’t have, all the big pioneer favs and Nova. Those were all low in my opinion. Some more than others moved up quickly.

 

[carolinablue]

Was it back in week 3 or 4 when most of the big favorite lines were bumped a few points even higher - as in, they were getting wise to which side action was going to come and were inflating some of those favorites. But then last week I thought they opened a bunch of big favs on the low side, Harvard which lost but I’d contend probably shouldn’t have, all the big pioneer favs and Nova. Those were all low in my opinion. Some more than others moved up quickly.

Yeah I picked the wrong one last week but after following that one, I don’t feel like that was a total swing and miss as that red zone wall was real haha.

Here is my short list this week…Habe a bunch of funds tied up on FBS so focused on finding top 6-7 max this week…

Presby
St Thomas
N Dakota State
Duquesne
Monmouth
San Diego
SELA
Tenn Tech
Lamar

 

[sleepy]

They can't make the lines big enough against Davidson

Davidson 0-6 ATS

 

[carolinablue]

I may just fade all the bottom feeders this week no matter the line and see what happens haha

 

[carolinablue]

What time did the lines come out last week? I was up at 4am but they were out by that time. Trying to decide if I should grab the proverbial sleeping bag and camp out tonight or not.

 

[sleepy]

What time did the lines come out last week? I was up at 4am but they were out by that time. Trying to decide if I should grab the proverbial sleeping bag and camp out tonight or not.

around midnight central time

 

[carolinablue]

I see the Dakota game is up at FD with ND State at -3.5 113

 

[carolinablue]

around midnight central time

Cool thanks!

 

[s--k]

I see the Dakota game is up at FD with ND State at -3.5 113

I took the -178 ML

 

[s--k]

Yeah I picked the wrong one last week but after following that one, I don’t feel like that was a total swing and miss as that red zone wall was real haha.

Here is my short list this week…Habe a bunch of funds tied up on FBS so focused on finding top 6-7 max this week…

Presby
St Thomas
N Dakota State
Duquesne
Monmouth
San Diego
SELA
Tenn Tech
Lamar

Hoping for a discount on Monmouth with backup QB but not sure we get it

 

[carolinablue]

Hoping for a discount on Monmouth with backup QB but not sure we get it

Yeah Hampton is a mess

 

[s--k]

I assume the back up will be pretty decent. And also Monmouth run game is outstanding. D always a concern but think they might be better than September? Hampton O stresses nobody

 

[carolinablue]

I assume the back up will be pretty decent. And also Monmouth run game is outstanding. D always a concern but think they might be better than September? Hampton O stresses nobody

I’ll be happy with 27.5 or less

 

[sleepy]

Just noticed the NDSU game isn't on the kiosks.

 

[sleepy]

I assume the back up will be pretty decent. And also Monmouth run game is outstanding. D always a concern but think they might be better than September? Hampton O stresses nobody

I doubt he plays since they are such a big favorite

Will Monmouth football be without QB Derek Robertson on Saturday? Latest on injury status

It's the question on the mind of every Monmouth football fan: How is star quarterback Derek Robertson?

www.app.com

 

[s--k]

Georgetown O has avg 24ppg and 367.5 with Thomas at QB the last 2 games after his first 2 games produced a total of 10 pts and 394 ttl yards. That offensive improvement has lost me bets against them both games. Colgate outgained them by 111y last week, 2 INTs in Gtown territory were costly. Was Colgate's 3rd best offensive yards gained, but tied for their fewest points scored. Still do not believe in this Gtown team, but they are on a 3-0 ATS run. Bucknell has played the last 2 games without QB Rucker and he is badly missed. Their O avg 418ypg and 31.2ppg vs FCS with him and just 321.5ypg and 22ppg in the last 2 without him. Winless Cornell led them 30-7 last week before 2 late Bison TDs and Lafayette beat them 62-24 scoring 6 straight TDs at one point. Of course Rucker doesn't play D, but a better O keeps their D off the field more and can try and trade scores. Not sure his status here. If he were to play, I would be on Bucknell as they are 4-1 SU vs FCS with him

Yale scored on their first 9 poss last week vs Stonehill and the D was equally impressive (no SH drive over 25y until 2H). The 481y of O was a coming out party of sorts as their previous 4 games they only gained 329 on average and the Yale D was allowing 362ypg before holding SH to just 152! Yale does have some offensive capability, but I'd still call them average-to-above average and same goes for the D. Yale beat SH 47-7 having a better game vs them then Penn did in their Ivy opener Quakers needed a last second FG to beat them. Penn has the better passing game (stud WR Richardson 21rec-347-5TD last 2 weeks!), Yale has the better run game (Pitsenberger #1 rusher in Ivy). Despite those differing strengths, I feel these teams are pretty even. Will gladly take the TD that PR is projecting. Last year this was the game that Sayin was knocked out and current QB O'Brien took over off the bench (yes former Penn QB Sayin is the current Ohio State QB's brother) and Yale did win that one 31-10 as 3 pt road dog as O'Brien did not appear ready for the role. Last time at the Yale Bowl, Penn won 27-17 as 6pt road dog. Should be a close game this year.

Harvard comes in off two underwhelming games in a row, only scoring 4 TDs on 11 RZ trips leading to back-back 24 pt wins (and both ATS losses). Their first 3 games they scored 14 TDs on 18 RZ opportunities and won their games by 35, 34 and 52 and all ATS wins. I really felt how they played vs Cornell would motivate them to perform that much better vs an overmatched Merrimack team last week and 482y with an 8.0ypp seems like they did, just couldn't finish drives for 2nd week in a row. And the Crimson D honestly, wasn't the best, sure Merrimack only scored 7, but Harvard allowed them 307y which was exactly their Dl average coming in (306). You would think Harvard could hold them under their average, but no. So a little sour on them right now. Princeton has shaken off the opening week loss to San Diego to win 3 of their last 4 and no crime in losing to Mercer right now. Vs teams in their neighborhood Tigers look better than last year, not great, just better than last year. Beating Brown is no surprise as Brown is routinely one of if not the worst Ivy team. They did struggle offensively vs Columbia and while it looks like their had great O vs Lafayette with 38 pts, they actually did not as two short fields off TOs set them up for 21 pts total off TOs and their 328y (4.4) was actually their second worst of the season. Harvard handed them their worst loss of the season last year as 9.5 home favs. Two years ago, last time at Princeton, Harvard came in 5-0 and were getting lots of hype, similar to this year. Tigers upset them as 8.5 pt home fav thanks to 3 TOs, Princeton's 3 TD drives were all 50y and under and the Harvard O went 3-out 7 of their first 11 drives of the game. I'm sure this team remembers their last trip to Princeton and how it went down. But I assumed past performance would lead to motivated practice and better results last week which did not materialize. I could lay under a TD here, but doubt that will be the line (Sagarin closest with 8.7, others are all DD) and I really do not want Princeton as I still think they are a lower half Ivy team.

 

[s--k]

Not sure if St Thomas QB Peters still injured or what kind of injury? Powell was the starter in 2023 and while he wasn't good then, played in just 2 last year, maybe he's better now. Put up great numbers last week vs Valpo (13-20-265-3-0 with 42y rushing and a TD). He should be pretty good again this week vs Stetson you'd figure. I was maybe concerned that Valpo had a 100y RB as Stetson is more of a run heavy team this year under new coach compared to throw it around team of prior editions. If St Thomas can be run on by Stetson, it could limit the possessions that a big favorite might need to win by x amount. Probably overthinking. PC handled them easily. Not sure St Thomas is on PC level, but probably not that far behind. This line projects to be huge though, Massey 28.5 and Reddit 30 (Sagarin outlier with 13.3). PC, a superior Pioneer team, was only favored by 32.5 at home last week (opened 25.5), so can't lay that many or more with St Thomas who's not as good and on the road. Will see what the number is.

Holy Cross off a bye, came in winless to Richmond and came away a 28-22 win as 5.5 pt dogs. Only 246y though, just 3.9ypp! HC gained 120y with TDs on their first 2 drives of the game, then largely hung on (6 3-outs) and capitalized on a short field TD following a Richmond fumble and their D, which had been tough to score on vs everyone the first few games of the year, were great in the RZ as Spiders had to settle for FGs from the H10, H11 and H23. So that is how Crusaiders won despite being outgained by 127y. HC has been outgained in every single game this year to the tune of -101ypg and clearly that was no different last week. Colgate really let me down last week at Gtown. They too played Richmond just 2 games ago, and 'Gate went for 402 (5.7) on them mostly through the air. Colgate led 19-17 late, but Spiders got a 87y punt return TD (was a flag that was picked up on the run back- suspicious?). Colgate outgained both Richmond and Gtwon by 106 and 111 yards but lost both unfortunately. I still like how Colgate has played this year and last week's HC win at Richmond coupled with Colgate's 2 game losing streak might make for a good + spread on the Raiders. They have been playing with backup Stearney who is good (has back-to-back 300+y games and started several games last year), still waiting for their better QB Osborne to return, not sure he will this week. After Colgate had won 7 straight in the series 2012-2018, the last 5 have been lopsided with the average margin of defeat being 24.8ppg.

 

[carolinablue]

Hoping for 27.5 with St Thomas as well but figure 31.5 will be the opening line

 

[s--k]

Lehigh doesn't get enough respect I think. They've had some of their spreads bet down for some reason, they are on a 5-0 ATS run. Week 1 they won by 7 as 8.5 pt favorite and ended that game at the 1 yard line and then they didn't score many pts as they should've vs SHU so won by 18 as 19.5 pt fav (had 423-177 yardage edge but only 28pts!). LH has outgained everybody they have played by an average of 144ypg. They rate 1st in most Patriot League offensive and defensive categories. Fordham is not as bad a we remember from last year but bad enough to prevent them from really threatening most of the time. The Dartmouth game was close for most of it even though Green won by 17 in the end, but Dartmouth was in scoring position 6 of thier first 7, but only managed 3 FGs (1 TD 4 RZ trips in the game). Dartmouth outgained them 461-328 (7.2-4.9). Before their bye, Fordham did put up 405y (5.3), but Lafayette doesn't have the best D. Still in that one, Lafayette led 21-0, won 21-10 (could've had more pts) - Leopards were only 1 of 5 for TDs in the RZ. Maybe Fordham actually has good RZ D? Kind of doubt it. Not too long ago Colgate and Stony Brook had 44-21 and 41-18 wins vs the Rams. LAst year Lehigh was very good as they are now (actually better now) and Fordham was worse than now, that game went final 33-19 last year which would not cover what some of the lines could be this year. But, LH led 33-3. LH this year has beat everyone by atleast 2 TDs since week 1 and most of them are better than Fordham.

 

[s--k]

San Diego racking up frequent flier miles, have been to New Jersey and beat Princeton and New York and lost to Marist. Now travel to North Carolina to take on Davidson. As sleepy points out Davidson has not been competitive vs anyone on the spread 0-6 ATS (were -7.5 vs Stetson and lost by 3). San Diego has yet to really put it on anyone this year, but they really haven't played anyone bad yet since Marist is recoginized as improved this year. I assume San Diego can win big vs bad team? Vs the worst Pioneer teams last year they did and did so on the road beating Morehead by 23 (7pt road fav), and at home beat Stetson by 39 (26.5pt fav) and they beat a 'not-yet-this-bad' Davidson team by 27 (4pt fav). So Toreros have done it before and this looks like it should be their first such win of 2025. Not sure what S&P+ sees here with only a 34.7-21.5 projected win. Maybe all the close SD games? But those teams are Davidson bad, and not close that bad. Not sure, just weird that it would predict this game to be within 2 TDs when Dave's closest Dl game vs teams not named Stetson is 37 pts.

 

[s--k]

Big time test for Delaware State at North Carolina Central! NCCU beat them 52-10 last year and 55-14 2023! The last close game was 2022, just 28-21 NCCU. DSU scoring 31+ on everyone since Delaware held them to just 17 week 1. Lots of yards and pts on O...the D is not good however. Monmouth does what Monmouth does. But DSU allowed 35 pts and 456 (5.3) at SHU. Albany did have a short field TD, but still, Albany avg just 13ppg in their other 5 FCS games, they scored 32 at DSU! St Francis has one of the worst Os in the country and their second best game of the year, 324y (6.0) was vs DSU. So certainly can not count on DSU D to matchup here. NCCU is one of the kings of the MEAC, this year, so far, they haven't played any good offenses though. FAMU bad, East Texas A&M...I guess they are pretty good sometimes...ET did score 42 and 490y (6.4) - 2 TDs and 122y came in the final minutes (they recovered onside kick to double up garbage time O). First thing that comes to mind is Over, which I'm sure the books will be on top of. NCCU just 3-3 on totals, which goes back to them playing some bad opposing offenses. DSU is 4-1 to the Over. Not sure how many NCCU might win by

 

[sleepy]

All he kiosks are down for a system update and won't be back up until tomorrow.

Heading back home.

 

[s--k]

Tennessee Tech reasserted themselves last week with a ssn high 311y rushing, better than the 308 they put up vs Davidson! A couple blk'd punts let to some short TDs for TTU O and they added another short field TD late - but those types of things are normal for TTU games, D scores, ST plays, short fields set up by the D and ST. SEMO is on their 3rd string QB, so far so good...kinda? Last week 42pts, but came partially by way of 95y pick-six and a 6p22y TD drive :07 before HT and in the 2H a 1p7y TD drive after INT. They did have nearly 400y of O, just...Eastern Illinois gave them SIX turnovers so a lot of field position advantage. 2 weeks ago just 28 pts vs TSU, they jumped out 21-0 then had no O the next 7 possessions. The only thing that has slowed TTU O was the weather in Charleston South Carolina, that and they led 35-0 mid 3Q vs TSU and just kind of put it in cruise control the rest of the game. SEMO has some good offensive weapons, but don't know if they are good enough at QB to keep up and the D wasn't good vs the teams before their bye week (UTM 468y 41pts, SIU 612y 59pts, NDSU 562y 41pts, UNA 440y but just 21 pts - UNA ran for 280y on them 6.7ypc). This won't be the -13.5 pt week.

 

[s--k]

Either Brown or Cornell have finished last or second to last in the Ivy standings 10 of the last 11 years. Cornell appears heading that direction. Big Red has been competitive in a couple losses, notably at Yale week 2, that game was just 27-24 4Q before back-back INTs allowed Yale to pull away. Cornell was +103y The game vs Harvard was much closer than the 34-10 score implies, although it was not as competitive as the Yale game was (-220y vs Harvard). That game was just 20-10 early 4Q due to Harvard inefficiencies and as with Yale a late pick-six was part of why Cornell lost by worse on the scoreboard then how most of the game played out. Cornell has a couple 200+y rushing games on Colgate and Bucknell. They run the QB a lot. Turnovers are an issue, have lost 2 in every game but 1, have lost 4 and 5 vs Yale and Colgate! Bagged their first win of the year last week against a Rucker-less Bucknell. They led 30-7. Brown is a big negative turnover team too, which cost them last week vs Princeton (Tigers 10pts off TOs and just 22y of O needed on those drives) and they lost by 19. Struggled at Bryant a couple Friday's ago, Bryant on their backup QB led 12-0 and 19-15 3Q, but Brown got the lead and ended up winning by 10. Signature win vs URI because of a +4 TO ratio. Kind of a tough game here. Both teams have shown some things, but then both are bad enough that they help the other team enough as well. 4 of the last 5 have been decided by 4pts or less with Cornell winning 3 out of 5.

 

[s--k]

I'm heading to bed soon. Will take tablet to bed and maybe I wake up to see what is available wee hours of the morning.

 

[carolinablue]

I have my alarm set for 12:55am eastern

 

[carolinablue]

Nothing yet as of 1:03am

 

[sleepy]

Every week they just add more bullshit

Who in the hell made the decision to shut all the kiosks down at 9pm?

Was it impossible to leave a few up?

Never know when the lines will come out.

When they finally do. Oh its now micro limits and -113 prices

About ready to throw in the towel

MB and their dumb padlocks and ten minute betting windows are 100x better than FD

 

[sleepy]

Also never address your fly problem

Glad I left

About had it

Ready to get a job, strap on a hair net and start washing some pots

 

[sleepy]

Nothing yet as of 1:03am

I doubt they put any up tonight

That system update probably screws up everything.

 

[sportman13]

s--k Is their any place where FCS lines come out early ?​