Week 9 in the FCS (5 to go)
- Thread starter s--k
- Start date
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
And then trying to back door QB is sack fumbled from the 10. I think if I counted up the number of turnovers that have hurt my cause today it would be a stunning number
carolinablue
College Football Guru
Watching Tarleton to see if they can close the deal
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
I cashed out my Under 48.5. Mostly because it was a bad number and was a minimal cost to do it. But this statement just sounds so quietly confident I might have to come aboard USD
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
BM just moved it to 10 so I bought to 10.5 -125 on USD
carolinablue
College Football Guru
About to settle in and watch this one next. Who needs Miami vs FSU…
carolinablue
College Football Guru
14-8 so far on the day…Kentucky and South Dakota remain
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Can't complain how things ended up from where it was 6-7 hours ago.
Two great point spread buys mattered on Montana and Eastern Washington. Got lucky with some things related to the Eastern Washington 10 pt game.
Columbia hurt, but Western Illinois is going to bother me for a while. W ILL never trailed by more than 7 and led 3x in the 2H. To have them lose by 11 as a 10/10.5 pt dog in the fashion in which that happened is tough. Then I got carried away with some early 3Q live bets on Dayton, which looked really smart by me for a few minutes then it turned pretty dumb and I lost more than I should've there. But all-in-all I'll take the end result.
Twice this year, once at DK and today at FD, there have been time changed games where the books did not change the time and left the pregame lines up to be bet while the game was being played. I posted here both times it happened. Once was Campbell at WCU and today was Colgate at Merrimack. Both books graded the past-post wagers win. I didn't make out in either, but it did allow me to wash bad bets on WCU and Colgate I bet before KO by playing the other side after I could see that I had in fact made bad bets. I play typical amounts to not put up any red flags. There must be no human review of these type things. It may only be once or twice a year, but these things happen with FCS games. It happened last year too at DK I know.
Cornell led 21-3, Brown scored 20 straight to win on a walk-off FG. And the fans rush the field like they did when Bruno beat Harvard. Chris Berman was there today, they interviewed him at halftime.
Sacred Heart finished with just a 372-354 ttl yard edge, but won by 17. Mercyhurst fumbled at the goal line and were SOD twice in SHU terr plus another fumble in SHU territory
So yeah, Morehead beats Dayton. I laid off the game when the line came out because I got worried that off two big games, Dayton might not have their fastball today. Well, no, they didn't. Failed to score a TD. Morehead could not close the game out and kept giving Dayton chances late, but the Flyer O was just awful awful terrible.
Lehigh led 33-3 after a safety but then Fordham scored 2 4Q TDs with two 2-pt conversions to make the final 33-19. This sent it Over some numbers
San Diego was a road fav at St Thomas - they lost by 20
Southern Illinois led 17-0 at one pt, but Indiana State scored a go-ahead TD mid 4Q to win 20-17. SIU's last 5 drives of the game INT (pick-six)-FUM (I02)-FUM (I44)-SOD (I38)-SOD S32
Duquesne had leads of 38-13 and 48-20 2H, but they only won 48-34
Monmouth held to just 14 pts. The CAA is crazy, but man is Towson up and down
Lafayette dropped a TD pass on 4th down in the EZ at the end of the game down 6
Columbia scored 14 pts in 2min at the end of the game to only lose by 3. This mattered for live bets and the total
In a 1 pt game Bucknell missed a 36y FG on their second to last possession then had some chances on their final drive but were sacked on 4th down from the G45. Bucknell led 14-0 early
As they say "the SoCon is going to SoCon". Week after Samford beats Mercer, The Citadel beats Samford!
St Francis has been shutout in back-to-back weeks
Norfolk led 21-17 when Howard was driving, but they lost yardage on 3rd down from the N10 which created a 4th-11 and they kicked a 36y FG with just over 5min left. Norfolk killed all but the final :18 and went on to win by 1.
BAD loss for Elon. They led 21-20 3Q, Hampton ended up beating them by 20!
Eastern Kentucky led 21-3 and 28-10 before Utah Tech scored the final TD with just 1min left
Prairie View A&M led 31-6! Lamar made it 31-27, but couldn't get the onside kick at the end
Delaware only led Albany 21-14 mid 4Q when they got a TD to go up 28-14. This line opened at 10.5 and closed 14/14.5. Minicucci started for Hens
Arkansas Pine Bluff never led Mississippi Valley State by more than 7 until the final 5-1/2 minutes. Valley's final 3 drives got to the PB 11, 18 and 35 yard lines but netted zero pts
UT Martin was firmly in control leading Eastern Illinois 28-17, but then they added 24 pts over the final 18 minutes including a 21y TD drive after INT and then capped it with a 76y pick-six
Jackson State and Bethune were tied 17-17 HT. Jackson won 37-17
Harvard outgained Princeton 492-223 and turned a 24-13 game at the end of the 3Q into a 45-13 final. Ryan Fitzpatrick was at the game and was interviewed. Always liked him. Was Ivy Champion and player of the year in 2004. Tim Murphy who just retired last year, was in the booth for a while. He called Fitzpatrick the greatest Ivy QB ever, but then he also said that current Ivy QB Jaden Craig may be the most talented they've had. He is having a great year.
Montana...hopefully nobody who had Montana at -25 or higher was watching the ending in Greeley. And maybe you'd rather not read this. Griz got a 3rd down pass down to the NC03 in the final minute. They could've downed it. Run for 1 yard. Run for 0 yards. The play-by-play doesn't have it, but there was an illegal formation or something on the Griz that moved them back to the like the 12 yard line. They could take a knee, but instead they pass the ball and it is caught with the receiver just outside the goal line and the final seconds rolled off the clock
Western Carolina led 14-0 and 24-7, but Mercer scored two TDs in the final minutes of the 1H which would become part of 27 unanswered and WCU would never lead again.
Villanova led 14-3 when New Hampshire kicked a FG with about 1min left, putting the final 14-6 and right around the spread
William & Mary and Stony Brook combined for 8 turnovers, half of them occurred near the red zone. One was a pick-six.
NCCU's O gained nearly 400y and about doubled up Morgan's offensive yardage, but NCCU scored just 16 pts. They missed and made a FG from the M04, fumbled at the M26 and ended the game at the M20. Morgan's only TD was on a short field following an INT
UMass led just 21-7 4Q when they got a 58y punt ret TD and then another TD with 2min left to win 35-7
Alabama State led 27-3 before A&M scored the final two TDs and got both 2pt conversions for a 27-19 final
More games:
Clifton McDowell DNP for McNeese, but they were in the game early without him vs Nicholls. 10-2, but Nicholls slow start wore off and they led 24-13 before McNeese tried to make things interesting towards the end. Fr RB Brock Miequle had his second 100y game of the year for Nicholls. Spears also DNP again
Austin Peay made Tarleton State work for their cover, as Tarleton didn't get ahead by more than 1 score until 10 minutes left in the game. Tarleton did outgain them 433-317 (6.0-4.5)
Northern Iowa played their best offensive game of the season at home vs Missouri State. This game was a one score or tied game the entire time until late 3Q and it was played as a 7 / 14 pt game over the final quarter with UNI getting a 4th-28 TD pass :44 left to make it 49-42 for Mo State (9.7-6.7 ypp)
North Alabama led 13-10 HT, but Central Arkansas got up 24-13 before a late UNA TD
YSU played their best game of the season, on their third top 10 Dakota school in a row and after showing improvement last week they came up with an OT win vs North Dakota. Brungard scrambled 28y for a TD with just :06 left in the 1H which gave the Penguins a 21-20 HT lead. There were 5 lead changes 2H. UND had missed an extra point earlier in the game, this allowed YSU to kick a tying FG in the final seconds of the game. YSU went 4th-1 for TD from the goal line top OT1. UND scored and decided to go for 2 and the win. They put in former QB and converted TE to run the play Quincy Vaughn which may've been designed to trick YSU into thinking it was QB power and then some kind of pop pass, but the Penguins weren't fulled, covered receivers, got pressure and forced a desperate throw to an ineligible OL which fell incomplete.
Grambling never led at the neutral site game vs Texas Southern, but it was tied 17-17 late. TSU broke that tie 24-17, Grambling went 3-and-out with 4min left and never touched it again.
FAMU handed Southern their first SWAC loss complicating matters in the West. FAMU led just 7-3 HT and won 24-6 with a 404-205 yard edge
Incarnate Word at Southeastern Louisiana was wild. UIW twice stretched the lead to 2 scores on TWO defensive TDs, but a KO ret TD helped SLU keep pace. SLU missed a 58y FG as time expired which would've tied. UIW's final 4 possessions all ended in punts from their own territory
South Dakota at South Dakota State, great game! USD came out hot scoring their first TD vs the Jacks since 2021 on their opening drive. Those were all the points they would have until they returend a fumble 15y under 5min to go making it a 14-14 tie! The play immediately before that would've been a game changer, a RB pass to the QB on 1st down from the SDSU 10 yard line was ill advised and INT'd. But the fumble and return TD equaled the score. SDSU missed a 46y FG under :30 to go. In OT USD was held to a FG and the Jacks scored TD. USD had a few other moments where big plays were just out of reach or dropped and an illegal shift negated a deep TD pass. Ttl yards were just 329-275 (4.5-4.7) for SDSU.
Week 1 starter Jack Layne returned for Idaho, his first action since leaving the Oregon game. The backups filled in admirably, but Layne makes Idaho a threat in the playoffs. Game was tight throughout the 1H with Vandals leading 17-13 HT. In the 2H Idaho scored 3 straight TDs while EWU was SOD inside the 5 and fumbled. Idaho led by 18, but EWU scored and got the 2 to cut it to 10, then Idaho led 38-21 late, but a 100y KO ret TD kept it a 10 pt game. After what I think was EWU's 3rd onside kick, Idaho got a break away TD run but holding brought it back and ultimately they took knees from the EW07. Of note, Idaho prides itself on their run D, EWU ran for 215 (4.8) which is not out of the normal for EW as their OL is good and they want to run the ball like that. But the fact somebody other than Montana State was able to run on Idaho to that extent reveals a little more vulnerability on Idaho D than previously thought.
Two great point spread buys mattered on Montana and Eastern Washington. Got lucky with some things related to the Eastern Washington 10 pt game.
Columbia hurt, but Western Illinois is going to bother me for a while. W ILL never trailed by more than 7 and led 3x in the 2H. To have them lose by 11 as a 10/10.5 pt dog in the fashion in which that happened is tough. Then I got carried away with some early 3Q live bets on Dayton, which looked really smart by me for a few minutes then it turned pretty dumb and I lost more than I should've there. But all-in-all I'll take the end result.
Twice this year, once at DK and today at FD, there have been time changed games where the books did not change the time and left the pregame lines up to be bet while the game was being played. I posted here both times it happened. Once was Campbell at WCU and today was Colgate at Merrimack. Both books graded the past-post wagers win. I didn't make out in either, but it did allow me to wash bad bets on WCU and Colgate I bet before KO by playing the other side after I could see that I had in fact made bad bets. I play typical amounts to not put up any red flags. There must be no human review of these type things. It may only be once or twice a year, but these things happen with FCS games. It happened last year too at DK I know.
Cornell led 21-3, Brown scored 20 straight to win on a walk-off FG. And the fans rush the field like they did when Bruno beat Harvard. Chris Berman was there today, they interviewed him at halftime.
Sacred Heart finished with just a 372-354 ttl yard edge, but won by 17. Mercyhurst fumbled at the goal line and were SOD twice in SHU terr plus another fumble in SHU territory
So yeah, Morehead beats Dayton. I laid off the game when the line came out because I got worried that off two big games, Dayton might not have their fastball today. Well, no, they didn't. Failed to score a TD. Morehead could not close the game out and kept giving Dayton chances late, but the Flyer O was just awful awful terrible.
Lehigh led 33-3 after a safety but then Fordham scored 2 4Q TDs with two 2-pt conversions to make the final 33-19. This sent it Over some numbers
San Diego was a road fav at St Thomas - they lost by 20
Southern Illinois led 17-0 at one pt, but Indiana State scored a go-ahead TD mid 4Q to win 20-17. SIU's last 5 drives of the game INT (pick-six)-FUM (I02)-FUM (I44)-SOD (I38)-SOD S32
Duquesne had leads of 38-13 and 48-20 2H, but they only won 48-34
Monmouth held to just 14 pts. The CAA is crazy, but man is Towson up and down
Lafayette dropped a TD pass on 4th down in the EZ at the end of the game down 6
Columbia scored 14 pts in 2min at the end of the game to only lose by 3. This mattered for live bets and the total
In a 1 pt game Bucknell missed a 36y FG on their second to last possession then had some chances on their final drive but were sacked on 4th down from the G45. Bucknell led 14-0 early
As they say "the SoCon is going to SoCon". Week after Samford beats Mercer, The Citadel beats Samford!
St Francis has been shutout in back-to-back weeks
Norfolk led 21-17 when Howard was driving, but they lost yardage on 3rd down from the N10 which created a 4th-11 and they kicked a 36y FG with just over 5min left. Norfolk killed all but the final :18 and went on to win by 1.
BAD loss for Elon. They led 21-20 3Q, Hampton ended up beating them by 20!
Eastern Kentucky led 21-3 and 28-10 before Utah Tech scored the final TD with just 1min left
Prairie View A&M led 31-6! Lamar made it 31-27, but couldn't get the onside kick at the end
Delaware only led Albany 21-14 mid 4Q when they got a TD to go up 28-14. This line opened at 10.5 and closed 14/14.5. Minicucci started for Hens
Arkansas Pine Bluff never led Mississippi Valley State by more than 7 until the final 5-1/2 minutes. Valley's final 3 drives got to the PB 11, 18 and 35 yard lines but netted zero pts
UT Martin was firmly in control leading Eastern Illinois 28-17, but then they added 24 pts over the final 18 minutes including a 21y TD drive after INT and then capped it with a 76y pick-six
Jackson State and Bethune were tied 17-17 HT. Jackson won 37-17
Harvard outgained Princeton 492-223 and turned a 24-13 game at the end of the 3Q into a 45-13 final. Ryan Fitzpatrick was at the game and was interviewed. Always liked him. Was Ivy Champion and player of the year in 2004. Tim Murphy who just retired last year, was in the booth for a while. He called Fitzpatrick the greatest Ivy QB ever, but then he also said that current Ivy QB Jaden Craig may be the most talented they've had. He is having a great year.
Montana...hopefully nobody who had Montana at -25 or higher was watching the ending in Greeley. And maybe you'd rather not read this. Griz got a 3rd down pass down to the NC03 in the final minute. They could've downed it. Run for 1 yard. Run for 0 yards. The play-by-play doesn't have it, but there was an illegal formation or something on the Griz that moved them back to the like the 12 yard line. They could take a knee, but instead they pass the ball and it is caught with the receiver just outside the goal line and the final seconds rolled off the clock
Western Carolina led 14-0 and 24-7, but Mercer scored two TDs in the final minutes of the 1H which would become part of 27 unanswered and WCU would never lead again.
Villanova led 14-3 when New Hampshire kicked a FG with about 1min left, putting the final 14-6 and right around the spread
William & Mary and Stony Brook combined for 8 turnovers, half of them occurred near the red zone. One was a pick-six.
NCCU's O gained nearly 400y and about doubled up Morgan's offensive yardage, but NCCU scored just 16 pts. They missed and made a FG from the M04, fumbled at the M26 and ended the game at the M20. Morgan's only TD was on a short field following an INT
UMass led just 21-7 4Q when they got a 58y punt ret TD and then another TD with 2min left to win 35-7
Alabama State led 27-3 before A&M scored the final two TDs and got both 2pt conversions for a 27-19 final
More games:
Clifton McDowell DNP for McNeese, but they were in the game early without him vs Nicholls. 10-2, but Nicholls slow start wore off and they led 24-13 before McNeese tried to make things interesting towards the end. Fr RB Brock Miequle had his second 100y game of the year for Nicholls. Spears also DNP again
Austin Peay made Tarleton State work for their cover, as Tarleton didn't get ahead by more than 1 score until 10 minutes left in the game. Tarleton did outgain them 433-317 (6.0-4.5)
Northern Iowa played their best offensive game of the season at home vs Missouri State. This game was a one score or tied game the entire time until late 3Q and it was played as a 7 / 14 pt game over the final quarter with UNI getting a 4th-28 TD pass :44 left to make it 49-42 for Mo State (9.7-6.7 ypp)
North Alabama led 13-10 HT, but Central Arkansas got up 24-13 before a late UNA TD
YSU played their best game of the season, on their third top 10 Dakota school in a row and after showing improvement last week they came up with an OT win vs North Dakota. Brungard scrambled 28y for a TD with just :06 left in the 1H which gave the Penguins a 21-20 HT lead. There were 5 lead changes 2H. UND had missed an extra point earlier in the game, this allowed YSU to kick a tying FG in the final seconds of the game. YSU went 4th-1 for TD from the goal line top OT1. UND scored and decided to go for 2 and the win. They put in former QB and converted TE to run the play Quincy Vaughn which may've been designed to trick YSU into thinking it was QB power and then some kind of pop pass, but the Penguins weren't fulled, covered receivers, got pressure and forced a desperate throw to an ineligible OL which fell incomplete.
Grambling never led at the neutral site game vs Texas Southern, but it was tied 17-17 late. TSU broke that tie 24-17, Grambling went 3-and-out with 4min left and never touched it again.
FAMU handed Southern their first SWAC loss complicating matters in the West. FAMU led just 7-3 HT and won 24-6 with a 404-205 yard edge
Incarnate Word at Southeastern Louisiana was wild. UIW twice stretched the lead to 2 scores on TWO defensive TDs, but a KO ret TD helped SLU keep pace. SLU missed a 58y FG as time expired which would've tied. UIW's final 4 possessions all ended in punts from their own territory
South Dakota at South Dakota State, great game! USD came out hot scoring their first TD vs the Jacks since 2021 on their opening drive. Those were all the points they would have until they returend a fumble 15y under 5min to go making it a 14-14 tie! The play immediately before that would've been a game changer, a RB pass to the QB on 1st down from the SDSU 10 yard line was ill advised and INT'd. But the fumble and return TD equaled the score. SDSU missed a 46y FG under :30 to go. In OT USD was held to a FG and the Jacks scored TD. USD had a few other moments where big plays were just out of reach or dropped and an illegal shift negated a deep TD pass. Ttl yards were just 329-275 (4.5-4.7) for SDSU.
Week 1 starter Jack Layne returned for Idaho, his first action since leaving the Oregon game. The backups filled in admirably, but Layne makes Idaho a threat in the playoffs. Game was tight throughout the 1H with Vandals leading 17-13 HT. In the 2H Idaho scored 3 straight TDs while EWU was SOD inside the 5 and fumbled. Idaho led by 18, but EWU scored and got the 2 to cut it to 10, then Idaho led 38-21 late, but a 100y KO ret TD kept it a 10 pt game. After what I think was EWU's 3rd onside kick, Idaho got a break away TD run but holding brought it back and ultimately they took knees from the EW07. Of note, Idaho prides itself on their run D, EWU ran for 215 (4.8) which is not out of the normal for EW as their OL is good and they want to run the ball like that. But the fact somebody other than Montana State was able to run on Idaho to that extent reveals a little more vulnerability on Idaho D than previously thought.
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