Week 9 Discussion Thread

[EL CAPO]

USC is great against the rush. Can Rutgers pass well enough across the country in a must win for USC? USC has played toe to toe with PSU at home, and gone on the road and had better teams than Rutgers beat before giving the wins away. Line seems big, but if you make Rutgers one dimensional - I think you can blow the doors open like Wisconsin did and USC offense is better.

i lean usc team total over and spread - usc if going to want to separate and not allow a close game with this string of close losses - and on top of that need some confidence. if riley has the opportunity to run it up he will being on the hot seat.

UCLA scored over 30 on rutgers. Defense feels broken-

 

[Frank Costanza]

Adding IU now at 5.5. Sort of a weird twist as I'd be concerned about a letdown if Roarke was playing but not so tomorrow as a team naturally rallies around and is typically on point when a backup QB is starting. Jackson's plenty capable, UW doesn't do much for me and is winless on the road. And no way I'm fading Cignetti.

 

[satnightfever05]

Adding IU now at 5.5. Sort of a weird twist as I'd be concerned about a letdown if Roarke was playing but not so tomorrow as a team naturally rallies around and is typically on point when a backup QB is starting. Jackson's plenty capable, UW doesn't do much for me and is winless on the road. And no way I'm fading Cignetti.

One of the most talked about games on the board this week.. IU massive public fav.. yet line dropping? why? Hopeful it steams back or I'll be forced to play Wash in game if IU starts out hot

 

[BiffTFinancial]

One of the most talked about games on the board this week.. IU massive public fav.. yet line dropping? why? Hopeful it steams back or I'll be forced to play Wash in game if IU starts out hot

I think it's safe to say that the line arguably is dropping due to the Rourke injury (don't think I'd assume that it's sharp money on Nebraska moving the line). If it weren't for the injury, the line move from 8' to 5' definitely would look fishy, but a starting QB the quality of Rourke is easily worth a 3-point line move (probably more).

 

[satnightfever05]

I think it's safe to say that the line arguably is dropping due to the Rourke injury (don't think I'd assume that it's sharp money on Nebraska moving the line). If it weren't for the injury, the line move from 8' to 5' definitely would look fishy, but a starting QB the quality of Rourke is easily worth a 3-point line move (probably more).

He’s been announced out all week though. It touched 7 for a moment but it’s been 6.5 basically all week and just today to 6 and then 5.5

 

[BiffTFinancial]

He’s been announced out all week though. It touched 7 for a moment but it’s been 6.5 basically all week and just today to 6 and then 5.5

That's fair, the move from 6' to 5' has been post-injury announcement. I'm not sure how much weight I place on that, though - it takes a lot more to move 7 to 6' than 6' to 5'. If the line move on Michigan from -3' to -6 late last week (with no news to pin it to) can be completely off-base, I don't know that this impacts my opinion (which is to pass and just watch, so all of this is easy for me to say). GL whatever you decide!

 

[2daBank]

I think it's safe to say that the line arguably is dropping due to the Rourke injury (don't think I'd assume that it's sharp money on Nebraska moving the line). If it weren't for the injury, the line move from 8' to 5' definitely would look fishy, but a starting QB the quality of Rourke is easily worth a 3-point line move (probably more).

Sharp money def not playin Nebraska in this game, lol. I didn’t even know Rourke had the injury, just still not all way sold on Hoosiers and I do think huskies one the better 3 loss teams in the country, the Iowa game really they only game they were outplayed and think spot was a issue here. With a week off to prep for Hoosiers at the very least I think huskies will be the 1st d who can slow them down. Iu hasn’t faced a murderers row of defenses, I’d argue Usub d the best they will have faced. My biggest problem is huskies have managed to lose games they totally dominated!

 

[2daBank]

Keep fading unc? I believe uva offense is plenty capable of scoring on that god awful heels d. Uva run d been pretty strong, you slow down Hampton and force unc to throw that qb a mistake waiting to happen. Think I have faded unc ever since the jmu game and zed very little reason to stop, Mac brown has nothing going in chapel hill.

 

[2daBank]

Small play on bc +7.5 and Castellanos over 41 rush yards

 

[B.A.R.]

Adding IU now at 5.5. Sort of a weird twist as I'd be concerned about a letdown if Roarke was playing but not so tomorrow as a team naturally rallies around and is typically on point when a backup QB is starting. Jackson's plenty capable, UW doesn't do much for me and is winless on the road. And no way I'm fading Cignetti.

Interesting thought.

 

[2daBank]

That's fair, the move from 6' to 5' has been post-injury announcement. I'm not sure how much weight I place on that, though - it takes a lot more to move 7 to 6' than 6' to 5'. If the line move on Michigan from -3' to -6 late last week (with no news to pin it to) can be completely off-base, I don't know that this impacts my opinion (which is to pass and just watch, so all of this is easy for me to say). GL whatever you decide!

I’m growing a real liking to Rodgers over 230 pass yards. Still lean udub but think this might be better.

 

[2daBank]

Dunno how I can stop facing unc, or why we should? They are not good! Uva run d is solid enough Heels not beating them just hanging to Hampton, get unc behind the chains and god that qb a mistake waiting to happen! Then there the heels d, jfc who can they stop? I’ll prob be on uva qb passing and maybe rush yards along with laying the -3.5.

 

[FadeTheHype]

Adding IU now at 5.5. Sort of a weird twist as I'd be concerned about a letdown if Roarke was playing but not so tomorrow as a team naturally rallies around and is typically on point when a backup QB is starting. Jackson's plenty capable, UW doesn't do much for me and is winless on the road. And no way I'm fading Cignetti.

Free money! Books are gonna get cooked

 

[2daBank]

Free money! Books are gonna get cooked

Not w dummies like me who want to play udub (and did play neb last week, lol), but I do think the Rodgers passing prop the smarter play for me opposed to going against Hoosiers, I do think he will have success, even better if Iu is up!

 

[2daBank]

If you ever were looking for the definition of shaving it was defined "Kyle McCord" last night. He didn't even seem to try and mask it. Lazy throws, over and over and over.

217 total yards for Pitt.

Can't wait to see the line next weekend. More scared for SMU tomorrow.

If you have watched much of him he has a terrible habbit of throwing ball to wrong team, especially if he under any pressure, really biggest reason I liked Pitt. I knew there was potential he threw all over them but was pretty confident the turnovers would come, damn sure didn’t expect them to all go back for 6, really fucked up my Reid rush props! lol. Dunno if you watched the cuse/unlv game but he tried so hard to lose that game. On drive that coulda put cuse up 2 scores he threw an awful red zone pick, then the drive for overtime he hit 3 different Rebs defenders in the hands on that drive and they simply dropped them. Kid can get cooking but he makes 3-5 god awful throws a game where you think he either color blind or his eyes are closed!! lol

 

[2daBank]

Why the hell they take the hook off uva? Someone actually betting unc? I just can’t see it, I’ve watched to much of them to think anything good! I have uva-3.5 (whoops), Colandrea ov 268 passing and over 27 rushing

 

[FadeTheHype]

Not w dummies like me who want to play udub (and did play neb last week, lol), but I do think the Rodgers passing prop the smarter play for me opposed to going against Hoosiers, I do think he will have success, even better if Iu is up!

I rarely chirp lock city, but last week was about as easy as it gets for that spread.