Inspekdah
My man, Novak Djokovic!
RECAP:Well last week did not go as planned as I had problem transferring money between books and was left with almost none in my Greek account and waiting on funds to hit my Pinny. Luckily I threw $100 5 team Parlay in that hit for around 22-1. Giving me some money to play with while my bankroll should hit Pinny anyday now. Would have been a profitable day (although I don't know if I would have made 2 g's so maybe this is better). So my record is the same as it was through Week 6...despite wishing it wasn't because I hit right around 60% on the picks from my Week 7 topic.
'06 Record
21-13 (62%) +13.60 UNITS , +$2,720.00
Locked in plays. All -110 unless specified differently.
Pitt -6.5 -105 2.5 Units -LOSER-
This # stuck out to me. At first I saw this as an impressive amount of points for a sound Rutgers squad to take. Kind of following Rutgers closely though I realized they've really never played from behind this season and rely heavily on the running game. If Pitt can get up 7-0, 10-0 and force Rutgers into being one-dimensional... it won't matter what type of number they are getting... b/c Pitt will cover. Rutgers' TD/INT ratio is poor... I just don't like them to hang tough here... Rice would have to have a career game and Pitt's defense is the best he will see all season long.
Wisconsin -5.5 2 Units -WINNER-
Wisconsin is just not getting enough respect from the books... they are a damn good football team.. perhaps top 10 IMO. You all saw what type of caliber team this is with what they did to Auburn last year. Now they have one of the top 5 backs in the nation pounding it away in Hill. Stocco has impressed me thus far but the Wisky D is why they cover here. Only team to really compete with Michigan through half time this season too...Purdue's defense just cannot get it done here... and they won't pile on enough points to cover. I will middle for possibly a half unit if I can eventually catch 7, 7.5.
N.D -12.5 2 UNITS -LOSER-
This aint the UCLA of year's past. With Olsen out points are not comming easily.. and putting up 20, including the last 7 being a moose score against Oregon didn't show me much. N.D at home after a week off.. I expect to be very sharp... plus BCS rankings comming out is motivation for guys like Weiss and B Quinn.. I expect a 38-17 type affair.
OREGON ST. -2.5 -115 2 UNITS
See Killa's write-up. He knows/says more about this better than I ever could. Zona is not playing well right now but Ore St. seems to be making some progress... especially defensively.
TULSA -12.5 1 UNIT
TULSA -13.5 1 UNIT (2 UNITS TOTAL NOW)
Memphis just does not seem able to score enough points to be able to stay with anyone. Fading them is never a bad plan. A big # to chalk on the road but feel like Memphis isn't as good as ECU.. and look what Tulsa just did to them and their so called efficient defense. Watched Tulsa take my money a few weeks ago on a weeknight game... going to hopefully get it back here. Line is moving quick making me think this is the right side.
ARIZONA ST. -23 2 UNITS -WINNER-
Agree here with Redbearde that fading Stanford is a must. This team has absolutely no confidence and AZST looks like it found some offense last week. I expect them to score while Stanford would have breakout on offense if they put up double-digit points. This may be the best 20+ chalk on the board..
TENNESEE -11 2 UNITS -LOSER-
Alabama's offense is horrendous. They will be up for this game though... but I do not think they can hang. Fade made some great points on this one and I think Bama is in over their heads here vs. an offense that is rolling. Tenny embarassed the GA d on the road and will embarass Bama at home. 11 is not enough.
WEEKDAY PLAY/S: 3-1 +1.4 units
BOWLING GREEN +7.5 1 UNIT -Loser-
N.C./VIRGINIA UNDER 42 1 UNIT -Winner-
B.G/CMU UNDER 50 1/2 UNIT -Winner-
WVU -23.5 1 UNIT -WINNER-
GAMEDAY ADDITIONS::36_19_2:1-2 (-0.1 units)
PENN ST 1H -10 1/2 UNIT -LOSER-
PENN ST. -17.5 1/2 UNIT -LOSER-
Illinois in order to score needs to establish the running game. They won't be able to here... and they won't be able to stop PSU's running attack. They stopped Mich's running attack for the most part and held them to 17 points. This aint Michigan's run attack and this aint Mich's run defense. These kind of games are confidence builders for Morelli and company. I expect PSU's defense to give the offense great field position early and limit/hold Illinois to little or zero points. The total tells me PSU is going to score here and there... and that's all I need because passing on the road against PSU is a little tougher than Michigan State. Final... 34-10 (late score for Illinois in 4th)
LOUISVILLE -10 -105 2H 1 UNIT -WINNER-
Louisville's settled in... should cover this easy number in what is now a close game.
FSU -6 5 UNITS
Clemson -7 4 UNITS
Finally got it at the number I wanted. Liked this play all week long... should be a good one.
NMST +20.5 1/2 UNIT
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Also tailed Hunt with a $50 (1/4 Unit) to win $225 play on Colorado ML. More plays and in depth writeups comming shortly.
'06 Record
21-13 (62%) +13.60 UNITS , +$2,720.00
Locked in plays. All -110 unless specified differently.
Pitt -6.5 -105 2.5 Units -LOSER-
This # stuck out to me. At first I saw this as an impressive amount of points for a sound Rutgers squad to take. Kind of following Rutgers closely though I realized they've really never played from behind this season and rely heavily on the running game. If Pitt can get up 7-0, 10-0 and force Rutgers into being one-dimensional... it won't matter what type of number they are getting... b/c Pitt will cover. Rutgers' TD/INT ratio is poor... I just don't like them to hang tough here... Rice would have to have a career game and Pitt's defense is the best he will see all season long.
Wisconsin -5.5 2 Units -WINNER-
Wisconsin is just not getting enough respect from the books... they are a damn good football team.. perhaps top 10 IMO. You all saw what type of caliber team this is with what they did to Auburn last year. Now they have one of the top 5 backs in the nation pounding it away in Hill. Stocco has impressed me thus far but the Wisky D is why they cover here. Only team to really compete with Michigan through half time this season too...Purdue's defense just cannot get it done here... and they won't pile on enough points to cover. I will middle for possibly a half unit if I can eventually catch 7, 7.5.
N.D -12.5 2 UNITS -LOSER-
This aint the UCLA of year's past. With Olsen out points are not comming easily.. and putting up 20, including the last 7 being a moose score against Oregon didn't show me much. N.D at home after a week off.. I expect to be very sharp... plus BCS rankings comming out is motivation for guys like Weiss and B Quinn.. I expect a 38-17 type affair.
OREGON ST. -2.5 -115 2 UNITS
See Killa's write-up. He knows/says more about this better than I ever could. Zona is not playing well right now but Ore St. seems to be making some progress... especially defensively.
TULSA -12.5 1 UNIT
TULSA -13.5 1 UNIT (2 UNITS TOTAL NOW)
Memphis just does not seem able to score enough points to be able to stay with anyone. Fading them is never a bad plan. A big # to chalk on the road but feel like Memphis isn't as good as ECU.. and look what Tulsa just did to them and their so called efficient defense. Watched Tulsa take my money a few weeks ago on a weeknight game... going to hopefully get it back here. Line is moving quick making me think this is the right side.
ARIZONA ST. -23 2 UNITS -WINNER-
Agree here with Redbearde that fading Stanford is a must. This team has absolutely no confidence and AZST looks like it found some offense last week. I expect them to score while Stanford would have breakout on offense if they put up double-digit points. This may be the best 20+ chalk on the board..
TENNESEE -11 2 UNITS -LOSER-
Alabama's offense is horrendous. They will be up for this game though... but I do not think they can hang. Fade made some great points on this one and I think Bama is in over their heads here vs. an offense that is rolling. Tenny embarassed the GA d on the road and will embarass Bama at home. 11 is not enough.
WEEKDAY PLAY/S: 3-1 +1.4 units
BOWLING GREEN +7.5 1 UNIT -Loser-
N.C./VIRGINIA UNDER 42 1 UNIT -Winner-
B.G/CMU UNDER 50 1/2 UNIT -Winner-
WVU -23.5 1 UNIT -WINNER-
GAMEDAY ADDITIONS::36_19_2:1-2 (-0.1 units)
PENN ST 1H -10 1/2 UNIT -LOSER-
PENN ST. -17.5 1/2 UNIT -LOSER-
Illinois in order to score needs to establish the running game. They won't be able to here... and they won't be able to stop PSU's running attack. They stopped Mich's running attack for the most part and held them to 17 points. This aint Michigan's run attack and this aint Mich's run defense. These kind of games are confidence builders for Morelli and company. I expect PSU's defense to give the offense great field position early and limit/hold Illinois to little or zero points. The total tells me PSU is going to score here and there... and that's all I need because passing on the road against PSU is a little tougher than Michigan State. Final... 34-10 (late score for Illinois in 4th)
LOUISVILLE -10 -105 2H 1 UNIT -WINNER-
Louisville's settled in... should cover this easy number in what is now a close game.
FSU -6 5 UNITS
Clemson -7 4 UNITS
Finally got it at the number I wanted. Liked this play all week long... should be a good one.
NMST +20.5 1/2 UNIT
------------------
Also tailed Hunt with a $50 (1/4 Unit) to win $225 play on Colorado ML. More plays and in depth writeups comming shortly.
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