TroyStacks
18" Pythons
Back to old skool capping for me.....
UNC @ UVA... We have a "hot" UVA team off 2 big home wins versus a UNC team who is just getting the job done, plain and simple and quietly playing great football. After capping this game already I see an edge for UNC in TO margin/1st down margin/punt margin/PPG/RYPG and defense allow similiar PYPG and RYPG. Have to go with the better team in UNC with better talent and coaching. UNC has a lot to play for as the bottom feeders are now kicking ass and taking names. Butch Davis is quicly turning UNC into the Texas of the B12 (excelling at basketball and football). I want CB's analysis on this as well.
Play: UNC-5.5 2 units
Akron @ Eastern Michigan... I'm going to keep this real simple. You lose to Army and give me a team with similiar stats across the board as a small favorite I'm going against you. EMU gives up 5.1 ypc and has allowed 19 rushing TDs this year! Akron should be able to get ther 4.8+ ypc and run all over this poor rushing defense.
Play: Akron-3 2 units
Wisconsin @ Iowa... Iowa off a big time blowout win might hurt me here but I still think the public sees Wisky as the better squad when if you take a closer look that is not the case. I think the big seperation here is the offesive production. Wisky is one sided team rushing the ball (#2 in B10) and horrible in the passing game (#9 in B10) as well as throwing more INT than TDs this season. Iowa is #1 in B10 in total defense allowing only 10 ppg and defensively picking off 11 passes while allowing only 5 TDs this year. Wisky off 3 straight losses (conf losses at that) knowing they will underachieve yet again this year can't be a good thing for this teams attitude. Iowa at 1-2 can still compee for B10 championship if they can close out against Illinois and PSU with some help. Look for Iowas to come out and shut down Wisky all game.
Play: Iowa-3 -120 2 units
LSU @ South Carolina... LSU off a blowout loss and a small favorite (7-2 ATS) versus a South Carolina team that consistently turns over the ball (14 int last in SEC) and has given up more sacks than any SEC team this year (24) when compared with LSU who has given up only 6 sacks. LSU defense surrenders less YPG but SC has the edge in PYPG allowed. LSU will have no problem pounding this ball and allowing the play action pass to be setup and WR screens to the speedy WRs to run to daylight. This line IMo should be 7 and we could talk about wagering on this up and down cocks team. Gimmer better coaching and talent anyday anywhere!
Play: LSU -3 -120 2 units
Utah State @ Nevada... Nevad off a home loss against a very very poor Utah State team. Utah St has only beat Idaho this year for shittiest team in the country and have lost games on avg of about 3 TDs. Nevada leads the WAC in offense with 518ypg against the second to last rated defense in the WAC. I see a similiar game between BYU and Utah so lets say Nevada squeaks away by 4 tds here.
Play: Nevada-19.5 2 units
Hawaii @ Boise..."Smurf Turf"
Play: Boise St-24 -120 2 units FREE BET FROM BOOKMAKER NOT COUNTING TOWARDS UNITS AS STATED IN ANOTHER THEAD
FSU @ NCST... FSU Defense is ranked #2 versus a NC St Defense last week gave up 600 yards vs BC which makes the FSU offense lick their chops. I expect FSU to establish that running game and eat up that clock, UNDER UNDER UNDER
Play: UNDER 48 -120 2 units:cheers:
Texas Tech @ TAMU... TT pass percentage is 67% on the season going against a defens that allows 64% passes complete p/g. Defensively the aggies are the worst def team in total def as well as rushing defense which should mean TT has their choice in how to blow this shitty team out!
Play: Texas Tech-20.5 2 units
Utah @ CSU...Its Utah against a shitty conf foe in CSU Rams. Hav to think this line is off by atleast 3 points. I wouldn't taek the dog unless this hit +28.5 so -21 is a gift IMO, lets see if this offense can hang some points on this shitty defense and ot allow the backdoor cover!
Play: Utah-21 -120 2 units
added:
Texas-3 -130
tOSU-3
WMU/CMU OVER 59.5
UNC @ UVA... We have a "hot" UVA team off 2 big home wins versus a UNC team who is just getting the job done, plain and simple and quietly playing great football. After capping this game already I see an edge for UNC in TO margin/1st down margin/punt margin/PPG/RYPG and defense allow similiar PYPG and RYPG. Have to go with the better team in UNC with better talent and coaching. UNC has a lot to play for as the bottom feeders are now kicking ass and taking names. Butch Davis is quicly turning UNC into the Texas of the B12 (excelling at basketball and football). I want CB's analysis on this as well.
Play: UNC-5.5 2 units
Akron @ Eastern Michigan... I'm going to keep this real simple. You lose to Army and give me a team with similiar stats across the board as a small favorite I'm going against you. EMU gives up 5.1 ypc and has allowed 19 rushing TDs this year! Akron should be able to get ther 4.8+ ypc and run all over this poor rushing defense.
Play: Akron-3 2 units
Wisconsin @ Iowa... Iowa off a big time blowout win might hurt me here but I still think the public sees Wisky as the better squad when if you take a closer look that is not the case. I think the big seperation here is the offesive production. Wisky is one sided team rushing the ball (#2 in B10) and horrible in the passing game (#9 in B10) as well as throwing more INT than TDs this season. Iowa is #1 in B10 in total defense allowing only 10 ppg and defensively picking off 11 passes while allowing only 5 TDs this year. Wisky off 3 straight losses (conf losses at that) knowing they will underachieve yet again this year can't be a good thing for this teams attitude. Iowa at 1-2 can still compee for B10 championship if they can close out against Illinois and PSU with some help. Look for Iowas to come out and shut down Wisky all game.
Play: Iowa-3 -120 2 units
LSU @ South Carolina... LSU off a blowout loss and a small favorite (7-2 ATS) versus a South Carolina team that consistently turns over the ball (14 int last in SEC) and has given up more sacks than any SEC team this year (24) when compared with LSU who has given up only 6 sacks. LSU defense surrenders less YPG but SC has the edge in PYPG allowed. LSU will have no problem pounding this ball and allowing the play action pass to be setup and WR screens to the speedy WRs to run to daylight. This line IMo should be 7 and we could talk about wagering on this up and down cocks team. Gimmer better coaching and talent anyday anywhere!
Play: LSU -3 -120 2 units
Utah State @ Nevada... Nevad off a home loss against a very very poor Utah State team. Utah St has only beat Idaho this year for shittiest team in the country and have lost games on avg of about 3 TDs. Nevada leads the WAC in offense with 518ypg against the second to last rated defense in the WAC. I see a similiar game between BYU and Utah so lets say Nevada squeaks away by 4 tds here.
Play: Nevada-19.5 2 units
Hawaii @ Boise..."Smurf Turf"
Play: Boise St-24 -120 2 units FREE BET FROM BOOKMAKER NOT COUNTING TOWARDS UNITS AS STATED IN ANOTHER THEAD
FSU @ NCST... FSU Defense is ranked #2 versus a NC St Defense last week gave up 600 yards vs BC which makes the FSU offense lick their chops. I expect FSU to establish that running game and eat up that clock, UNDER UNDER UNDER
Play: UNDER 48 -120 2 units:cheers:
Texas Tech @ TAMU... TT pass percentage is 67% on the season going against a defens that allows 64% passes complete p/g. Defensively the aggies are the worst def team in total def as well as rushing defense which should mean TT has their choice in how to blow this shitty team out!
Play: Texas Tech-20.5 2 units
Utah @ CSU...Its Utah against a shitty conf foe in CSU Rams. Hav to think this line is off by atleast 3 points. I wouldn't taek the dog unless this hit +28.5 so -21 is a gift IMO, lets see if this offense can hang some points on this shitty defense and ot allow the backdoor cover!
Play: Utah-21 -120 2 units
added:
Texas-3 -130
tOSU-3
WMU/CMU OVER 59.5
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