Looks like the best week of the year for mid level dogs.
Terps - No doubt Iowa has been playing good football but so has Maryland for the most part. And Iowa has been beating up on bad teams or teams in bad spots (Indiana last week). Iowa has been forced to throw more and Stanley has done great doing it but Terps pass defense isn't bad at all (held rutgers to 8 yards passing, bg and minny under 200 and have yet to give up a 300 yard passing game. Terps will have to find a few first downs against the tough Iowa rush defense. With both defenses matching up well against the strength of the opponents offense, the under looks extremely solid and that makes me think that Terps are hanging around at a minimum. Teams are pretty even in reality ..... so lots of value on that ML
Miami Ohio - Should be a competitive game throughout with MOH having a decent rush defense and the offense showing signs. lots of line value when you compare this line to the Buffalo minus their star line ... it implies a humongous spread when Buffalo hosts MOH. MOH is a good little team but sits at 3-4 with road trips to NIU and Buffalo and a home game to ohio still remaining on that schedule. This is an extremely important game to MOH's bowl eligibility chances and they are playing their best ball of the year.
Virginia - Duke is struggling a little on offense right now but has been getting fortunate. 304 total yards against GT and were outgained in their 14 pt win, 327 yards in their loss to VT, outgained by a yard against baylor and somehow had 40 pts on 399 yards, 14 first downs and 301 yards in the win against NW and were outgained there too and they had 381 yards while slightly outgaining Army in that victory. Basically this team is South Carolina from last year in some respects. They play great defense (Like Scary did) and they are catching a lot of breaks (Jones injury aside). UVA playing really solid football almost all year. The two teams seem evenish to me. Nice to see this game mean something ... I like both these programs. In any event it should be a low scoring game and UVA should be right there in the fourth with a chance to win.
UTEP - I am hearing from reliable sources they have a shot
SMU - Held an option attack to 23 pts in regulation earlier in the year, Again a situation where the team desperately needs the win if they want a shot at bowl eligibility. SMU might be better than we think having played UCF, Michigan, TCU and at UNT already this year. SMU QB hicks threw for 375 yards on them last year and is getting major defensive class relief as Tulane is giving up big yards per attempt in their pass defense. The concern here is the revenge from last year but this seems to line up well. And as much as SMU is desperate for a win to sniff bowl eligibility, so is Tulane. This should be a dandy of a football game and I for one am excited to watch it.
NCST - I have a lot posted in my thread about this one but vet qb vs inexperienced qb, clemson secondary maybe not as good as normal, ncst rush defense is pretty good which would force the kid to beat them, ncsu confident against clemson.
Wake Forest - They might be able to score in this spot and you never know what you are going to get with FSU
ULL - What? Ya I said it. Jalin Moore, who is App St best weapon is out for the year. This ULL team has a good offense. They laid an egg against Coastal Carolina with just 381 ...but 310 vs Miss St, and 288 vs bama. In the last couple weeks against lessers they are just putting up huge numbers. I think they can score quite a bit on App State here and with the injuries and the QB of App State still at least a small question mark in my mind, I could see ULL pulling off a shocker in a shootout. The ULL ATS is probably my favorite play of the week.
Purdue - Have some skill guys and some QB's and a play caller that might be able to generate pts against that Buckeye defense. I keep waiting for Ohio State to wake up and have a huge game where they put it all together but it hasn't happened yet with their inability to control either line of scrimmage. Obviously Purdue will be pumped under the lights (UTL Weeno)
Old Dominion - I am probably playing them. I would be lying if I said I had any clue what so ever as to what will happen in this game. That makes me think the 5ish point dog play has some value.
Vanderbilt - It feels like an absolute nightmare spot for Vanderbilt but this is a pretty significant line to be laying for that offense against the Dores defense. Will Vandy be able to shrug off their choke job last week and show up against what will be an inspired UK team? eh Maybe not. Just know that UK is not the kind of offensive team that is gonna run away and hide on Vanderbilt in most cases.
USC - I saw some signs of spirit from USC last week. Their defense is starting to play at a high level and the QB/OC are getting more comfortable taking shots down the field. Team is certainly capable of competing in this one and the UTAH performance last week will have their attention. Utah defense could make life pretty tough on USC though. Interesting game. Very interesting game. Should be a great watch.
Nevada - Better team getting points is always worth a look imo.
assing yards) - (po:rushing yards + po
