Week 8 in the FCS

Really enjoy your write-ups every week. Very informative stuff.

What are your 3 top plays for the week?

Thanks s--k and good luck.
 
I looked into that Davidson over. I really wanted to take the over but then I remember how Harvard got up on Stetson 21-0 in the first 6 minutes and then did nothing the rest of the game. Stetson run defense has been half way decent Furman only got 171 and Harvard 136 rushing. Davidson is now using a WR at QB and the guy can't throw it at all, only 41 yards passing last week. The Davidson kicker sucks which may not be a bad thing as after getting three kicks blocked last week they probably won't be trying any FG's. Stetson like Dayton last week has two weeks to prepare for the Davidson run game. I think I might take a small shot with Stetson tomorrow.
 
sleepy said:
I looked into that Davidson over. I really wanted to take the over but then I remember how Harvard got up on Stetson 21-0 in the first 6 minutes and then did nothing the rest of the game. Stetson run defense has been half way decent Furman only got 171 and Harvard 136 rushing. Davidson is now using a WR at QB and the guy can't throw it at all, only 41 yards passing last week. The Davidson kicker sucks which may not be a bad thing as after getting three kicks blocked last week they probably won't be trying any FG's. Stetson like Dayton last week has two weeks to prepare for the Davidson run game. I think I might take a small shot with Stetson tomorrow.
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harvard played stetson in a driving rain and wind weather situation. there was not normal weather in that one which affected the scoring for both teams.
 
steponaduck said:
have you taken out any significant positions? interested in what you feel strongly about
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oakas said:
Really enjoy your write-ups every week. Very informative stuff.

What are your 3 top plays for the week?

Thanks s--k and good luck.
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Thank you. I write those kind of as if I am talking to myself as I try and determine what I like, but I try to type them in a way that is helpful to read.

I've always been a volume bettor. Part of it is I just love having action on what I think might happen and I like having to try and figure a lot of games out. The other part is that I am not good isolating bests. When I bet larger numbers, I would lose one or two key bets and it would take down the whole day. Didn't like that. Now I lose some key bets and I can often still have a good day if the other ones do ok. Ideally I would flat bet everything, but I don't at is a little too boring. There are bets that end up being overweight and that is usually because of the line or I'm trying to catch a good line before it is no longer good.

I made bets on 29 different sides or totals this afternoon. Sometimes I went back in this thread and reread what I said to remember if I liked something or not. I'll answer the question like I have before, the ones I have the most money on right now are Lehigh, Rhode Island, Columbia. Everything else is 1unit or less right now. I do have more than that risked on Lamar ML (-160) and I stand to make the most on Utah Tech if that +500 ML were to hit. Are those my best or my favorite? Not necessarily, it is just the way the money has been placed as I tried to get ahead of line moves.

I love betting all day Saturday adding to positions, even at lesser lines sometimes or seeking out lines that moved in new games which I like.

I am happy to hear that anyone enjoys finding some FCS plays. I really really like doing this. It is very unique which makes it more fun I think.
 
sleepy said:
I looked into that Davidson over. I really wanted to take the over but then I remember how Harvard got up on Stetson 21-0 in the first 6 minutes and then did nothing the rest of the game. Stetson run defense has been half way decent Furman only got 171 and Harvard 136 rushing. Davidson is now using a WR at QB and the guy can't throw it at all, only 41 yards passing last week. The Davidson kicker sucks which may not be a bad thing as after getting three kicks blocked last week they probably won't be trying any FG's. Stetson like Dayton last week has two weeks to prepare for the Davidson run game. I think I might take a small shot with Stetson tomorrow.
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As duck says, the weather was really bad. And as you pointed out before Meitz wasn't QB for Stetson in that one either. But no matter who was QB that day was going to be tough.

Actually, some of that scoring for Harvard was a little misleading. I make some notes, rather than going back completely - I think their opening drive was good. But then Stetson had a very short punt and Harvard got a good return out of it to the S20 and then they got a 37y pick-six. That is how they got to 21 1Q lead. Not alot of offense.

It is tough to know on Stetson. I really wish they would;'ve played that Valpo game.

Stetson at least made Furman work it in terms of covering that 30.5 spot. That is compared to Harvard where a bad special teams play and a turnover just hands them points. And Stetson moved it in the 1H ok on Furman. Now, Furman isn't good. But for Stetson, to them, Furman is tough, Furman is better. So the fact Hatters had a 12 play drive for 69y but missed a FG and they had two other 1H drives that ended with an INT and failed 4th down in Furman territory that shows I think in the 1H against the Furman first line guys that they can sustain some drives at least and then hopefully when they face a lesser opponent they can matchup with, those drives yield pts. Or they get 2 punts blk'd against St Thomas.

I was waiting on Stetson myself for tomorrow. I remember the line steaming for Davidson vs Marist, so I thought if I sat it out maybe can get more pts on Stetson than right now. I think Stetson > Marist, so if the line gets to the same point it would make sense to take Stetson.
 
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I have a Montana State future from a few weeks ago. Roughly the same odds as it is currently. Will be interesting if these odds were to change after the Dakota Marker game. Getting home field advantage all the way to Frisco is the key. You'd assume the two of the HF teams are going to be one of the Dakotas or a Montana, with Cats more likley than Griz right now. That makes going deeper for long shots harder knowing that anyone not one of the top 2 seeds will have to travel to a game in a Dakota or Montana school to get to Frisco. If those games were played at neutal then it could make more sense to play a longer shot like Villanova or Incarnate Word. But the odds would likely be different because the path then is also different.
 
BOL of all places has some games that nobody else appears to. Such as Monmouth, Citadel, St Thomas, Albany. BOL never has full FCS this early in the morning
 
SEMO 14.5? Was 18.5 yesterday. Very strange against Charleston Southern who sucks. Must be some player news?

A twitter reporter to check with

x.com

x.com x.com
 
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When I first turned everything on My Bookie had all their lines up, then about 20 minutes ago they lock them all. Why they got to be like that? Last night Heritage had bunch of games up, all the alternate lines and everything and this morning all gone. Why they got to be like that?
 
s--k said:
When I first turned everything on My Bookie had all their lines up, then about 20 minutes ago they lock them all. Why they got to be like that? Last night Heritage had bunch of games up, all the alternate lines and everything and this morning all gone. Why they got to be like that?
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I put in a couple of bets and then games all OTB

Fukers cut my limits from 11000 to 550
 
They are pretty dumb. I am going to give them some feedback on ways they can improve if they are interested.
 
I wonder if MB would ever pay if you deposited 20k on a brand new account and ran it up to 50k betting nothing but d2 games taking advantage of their 11k max bet.
 
sleepy said:
I wonder if MB would ever pay if you deposited 20k on a brand new account and ran it up to 50k betting nothing but d2 games taking advantage of their 11k max bet.
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From carolinablue's experience it sounds like they would never let it get that far, cutting the limit after you started winning
 
s--k said:
From carolinablue's experience it sounds like they would never let it get that far, cutting the limit after you started winning
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You could come out firing 5k bets right after the deposit cleared on the early games and double up on the afternoon games.

LOL...... 11k
 
Was able to bet Columbia last night on MB and this morning it was nowhere to be found.
 
These offshores scared of getting taken advantage of on a sour line or something and play it very cautious
 
I would have taken all my money out but I got some futures that are certain winners.

These apps are such a waste
 
I'm listening to a live SEMO Scramble show. Will post if there is any player news
 
Carolinablue? I read in his thread last week he's out of the country caribbean or something
 
The wife went to the church and is helping pack meals for the kids in Haiti and I'm here stalking FCS lines.

Advantage me. Selfish bastard.
 
Imagine asking to bet Indiana and the guy can't find it
 

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They put it back on fixed. -192 now. My bet not voided
 

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I'm surprised. The least likely game to go Over today, the total hasn't moved. Stonehill at Merrimack 49.5/50.5 Last year was very high scoring, somehow
 
sleepy said:
must have read my speel... LOL

but I think Davidson sucks
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Maybe. They sucked week 1 when I had them vs Georgetown. They always lose to Dayton for some reason. The Marist game, the fact that Marist was able to kind of get back in that game briefly might reveal weakness
 
s--k said:
Maybe. They sucked week 1 when I had them vs Georgetown. They always lose to Dayton for some reason. The Marist game, the fact that Marist was able to kind of get back in that game briefly might reveal weakness
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They should have never covered that game
 
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