WEEK 7

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
one unit

Iowa -2' W
Mizzou +4 W
TT -13' W


smaller

Rutgers +10' L
USF +0.5 W
BG +10' W
Ark TT over 27' W
Kent St -1' W
TX/OU 1H under 22' W
Fla St -9' L
Temple +10' W
-------------
Texas 1H ML L
Sparty -7 L
Illinois +3' 1Q L



LEANS
ODU
USC
Fla
S Caro?
AUB??
FAU
PENN ST
WMU
Iowa St?
UTAH
TREE
INDY
AF TT
SDSU
ECaro
Texas St?
 
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What the line 'should be' - without regard to the SPOT, injuries, etc.
>> btw - by far, the best way to use this is to help predict which way the line will move (not where it opens ffs, like most think) -OFTEN what I give you here is where the line 'settles'- say Tuesday or Wednesday. BLOWOUTS don't count .... Ole Miss will probably close as 35+ favorite - numbers say 32.

eg. USF @ NTX -2
*If USF blows out Clt (probably)- they'll probably open as a small favorite. Let's say 3. If you like NTX, do you take the 3 or wait? If you like USF, do you lay the 3 or wait?
ANSWER- if you like NTX - you take the 3 (maybe pause briefly for a 3'). If you like USF (me) you WAIT. Note SP+ has this NTX -7'/8 (line usually moves toward SP+ / I shade these towards SP+)



WED 10/8

101 MISSOURI ST -4
7:30 p.m.
102 MIDDLE TENN ST

103 LIBERTY -1'
8:00 p.m.
104 UTEP


THURS 10/9

107 LOUISIANA TECH -8'
7:00 p.m.
108 KENNESAW STATE

109 SOUTHERN MISS
7:30 p.m.
110 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -1'

111 JACKSONVILLE ST -8'
8:00 p.m.
112 SAM HOUSTON ST

113 EAST CAROLINA
8:00 p.m.
114 TULANE -4


FRI 10/10

115 USF
7:30 p.m.
116 NORTH TEXAS -2

117 FRESNO ST -7
9:00 p.m.
118 COLORADO ST

119 RUTGERS
9:00 p.m.
120 WASHINGTON -9'


SAT 10/11



121 UMASS
12:00 p.m.
122 KENT ST -1'
* Stay TF away- most have UM favored... SP+ KSU -7

123 NAVY -6'
12:00 p.m.
124 TEMPLE

125 UCF
12:00 p.m.
126 CINCINNATI -13

127 UAB
12:00 p.m.
128 FAU -7

129 CHARLOTTE
12:00 p.m.
130 ARMY -14

131 LOUISIANA
12:00 p.m.
132 JAMES MADISON -21

133 OLD DOMINION -15
12:00 p.m.
134 MARSHALL

135 APP ST -6
12:00 p.m.
136 GEORGIA ST

137 NORTHWESTERN
12:00 p.m.
138 PENN ST -25

139 CLEMSON -10 ?
12:00 p.m.
140 BOSTON COLLEGE

141 PITTSBURGH
12:00 p.m.
142 FLORIDA ST -8'

143 VIRGINIA TECH
12:00 p.m.
144 GEORGIA TECH -14

145 IOWA -6
12:00 p.m.
146 WISCONSIN

147 UCLA
12:00 p.m.
148 MICHIGAN ST -8

149 ULM
12:00 p.m.
150 COASTAL CAROLINA P

151 MIAMI, OH -9'
12:00 p.m.
152 AKRON

153 TOLEDO -8
12:00 p.m.
154 BOWLING GREEN

155 NIU -3
12:00 p.m.
156 EASTERN MICHIGAN

157 KANSAS
12:00 p.m.
158 TEXAS TECH -17

159 BALL ST
12:00 p.m.
160 WESTERN MICHIGAN -10

161 ALABAMA -3
12:00 p.m.
162 MISSOURI

163 WASHINGTON ST
12:45 p.m.
164 OLE MISS -32

165 IOWA ST -6'
2:00 p.m.
166 COLORADO

167 ARIZONA ST
2:00 p.m.
168 UTAH -3'

169 NEW MEXICO
2:00 p.m.
170 BOISE ST -18

171 MICHIGAN
3:00 p.m.
172 USC -2

173 BYU -5
3:00 p.m.
174 ARIZONA

175 TROY
3:30 p.m.
176 TEXAS ST -10

177 ARKANSAS
3:30 p.m.
178 TENNESSEE -12'

179 FLORIDA
3:30 p.m.
180 TEXAS A&M -8

181 SOUTH CAROLINA
3:30 p.m.
182 LSU -11

183 OHIO ST -12'
3:30 p.m.
184 ILLINOIS

185 STANFORD
3:30 p.m.
186 SMU -18'

187 NEBRASKA -5
3:30 p.m.
188 MARYLAND

189 HOUSTON -12
3:30 p.m.
190 OKLAHOMA ST

191 RICE
3:30 p.m.
192 UTSA -12

193 TCU -2'
3:30 p.m.
194 KANSAS ST

195 NC STATE
3:30 p.m.
196 NOTRE DAME -21

197 INDIANA
3:30 p.m.
198 OREGON -8'

199 WAKE FOREST -3
3:30 p.m.
200 OREGON ST

201 OKLAHOMA
3:30 p.m. Dallas, TX
202 TEXAS -3 ?
* healthy JM - OU -4
* < 100% JM - OU -2'
* JM out TX -3

203 AIR FORCE
3:30 p.m.
204 UNLV -7

205 UTAH ST
6:00 p.m.
206 HAWAII -1'

207 SAN JOSE ST
7:00 p.m.
208 WYOMING P

209 PURDUE
7:00 p.m.
210 MINNESOTA -10

211 GEORGIA -4
8:00 p.m.
212 AUBURN

213 SAN DIEGO ST -8
10:30 p.m.
214 NEVADA
 
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at MB

one unit

Iowa -2'
* Iowa off bye - great on the B10 road, esp. as a favorite - dominated Wisky in the past - Wisky in @Mich/Ohio State sammich

smaller

Rutgers +10'
* off bye - Huskies off tough game @Terps/ @ Michigan next....Schiano 8-0 off bye
 
adding smaller for now

USF +0.5

This one might go NTX's way briefly - then swing back around I would think - should be a high scoring game, SU winner covers
 
Pirates +7 caught my attention..I also think them, ruff tough Texas Aggies might saw the gators in half….brutal spot.
Mizzou…you dirty dawg! Tailing 🤙🏽 that and Iowa too as a roady, Tremendo!
 
Where’s our fearless leader?? Hopefully in the lab cooking up some winners…. As usual for me, I busted a few moves based on BA’s ‘earlier than anyone on the World Wide Web’s lines’. I will add a few plays closer to game time per his wise ass advice, and also add to the ones wagered closer to game time. It’s been more than lucrative over the years… Jesus this guy ☝ Assasin.

Let’s tip them TAMU to the “small” posse of plays ….👍🏼 gig em
 
sorry boys too busy ...

added a few hunches / darts

TTech -13' (-113 at LV) - too much for a tired Kansas team - bad on the road - weak before a bye (some reason - 0-11/2-9). With at ASU on deck, RR's need a strong effort here - bad line IMO, should be 16/17.

Fla St -9' - (BM) - just fading a terrible road team off a huge effort/W- FSU should bounce back

BG +10' - (H) - flat spot for a horrific road team/favorite (Toledo)- BG can run, ugly this up

Kent St -1' - (LV) dumb play, but for some reason many have UMass as the better team (SP+ is KSU -7) - Kent St sux yes they do, but UMass sux worse, with the worse D / Flashes actually have a decent QB (out last week, but on depth chart here). UMass has not scored a point in the 2H (don't think) and average 0.6 yards/rush in the 2H.

Ark TT over 27' (H) - like the Hogs here, but need 14 ... Petrino should have his O ready (for sure) - his D?, who TF knows

Temple +10' (BM) - not sure how Owls respond off big win over UTSA, but Navy is shaky as hell in this spot - Nightbirds should move the ball

Sparty -7 (BM) - too many points probably (and juice) - but just gotta fade the Bruins off THAT W

Illinois +3' 1Q - Buckeyes stink early - will play off this probably

Horns P 1H ......and 1H UNDER 22' (BM) - I always bet 1H/2H in this one - 1H the team coming in with an 'edge' usually - A must win for Sark/Texas. Horns are probably better than they appear / OU probably not as good ?? GTTH the head I say Arch looks much better, Texas wins.


LEANS / will look to play live

ODU - that 14 is fine probably - I haven't played them and feel stupid to jump on now / JMU next, plus Herd off bye
USC - maybe a great play at 2'? - I just don't don't trust these dogs, but seems really tough for Michigan to win this one.
Fla -
S Caro?
AUB??
FAU - OVER worth a hard look
PENN ST - if somehow NW jumps out early - I'll hit Penn St big ( I think ha)
WMU
Iowa St? - liking Buffs at a TD or so - but can't see Rocco LOSING here? (line is too low now)
UTAH - line is too high - ASU probably plays em tough early
STANFORD - worth a look - Ponies have been terrible (check boxscores) current rumors have HC leaving for Arkansas / huge Jerry Jones infusion of cash -
INDY -
AF TT
SDSU

BOL boys, back tomorrow
 
Already a dumb start - loved USF - but let myself get talked out of a large play ........by everybody ha. NTX an improved, fun to watch team, but life/death struggles with ARMY / S BAMA / WMU? ..... USF is legit (a flaky road team tho). I didn't even post a USF +4' live play.....
 
blowoutgm said:
Love Mizzo and A&M. My biggest play will be James Madison. ULL simply sucks this year and they can not throw the ball. JM will absolutely maul them and cover before the end of the first half.
Click to expand...

For the next month ..... you're gonna be driving your wife AND Nigerian ho's crazy......walking around muttering "Lunch Winfield .....Lunch Winfield..... why man why, who TF are you anyway!"....... haha.
 
bookieassassin said:
sorry boys too busy ...

added a few hunches / darts

TTech -13' (-113 at LV) - too much for a tired Kansas team - bad on the road - weak before a bye (some reason - 0-11/2-9). With at ASU on deck, RR's need a strong effort here - bad line IMO, should be 16/17.

Fla St -9' - (BM) - just fading a terrible road team off a huge effort/W- FSU should bounce back

BG +10' - (H) - flat spot for a horrific road team/favorite (Toledo)- BG can run, ugly this up

Kent St -1' - (LV) dumb play, but for some reason many have UMass as the better team (SP+ is KSU -7) - Kent St sux yes they do, but UMass sux worse, with the worse D / Flashes actually have a decent QB (out last week, but on depth chart here). UMass has not scored a point in the 2H (don't think) and average 0.6 yards/rush in the 2H.

Ark TT over 27' (H) - like the Hogs here, but need 14 ... Petrino should have his O ready (for sure) - his D?, who TF knows

Temple +10' (BM) - not sure how Owls respond off big win over UTSA, but Navy is shaky as hell in this spot - Nightbirds should move the ball

Sparty -7 (BM) - too many points probably (and juice) - but just gotta fade the Bruins off THAT W

Illinois +3' 1Q - Buckeyes stink early - will play off this probably

Horns P 1H ......and 1H UNDER 22' (BM) - I always bet 1H/2H in this one - 1H the team coming in with an 'edge' usually - A must win for Sark/Texas. Horns are probably better than they appear / OU probably not as good ?? GTTH the head I say Arch looks much better, Texas wins.


LEANS / will look to play live

ODU - that 14 is fine probably - I haven't played them and feel stupid to jump on now / JMU next, plus Herd off bye
USC - maybe a great play at 2'? - I just don't don't trust these dogs, but seems really tough for Michigan to win this one.
Fla -
S Caro?
AUB??
FAU - OVER worth a hard look
PENN ST - if somehow NW jumps out early - I'll hit Penn St big ( I think ha)
WMU
Iowa St? - liking Buffs at a TD or so - but can't see Rocco LOSING here? (line is too low now)
UTAH - line is too high - ASU probably plays em tough early
STANFORD - worth a look - Ponies have been terrible (check boxscores) current rumors have HC leaving for Arkansas / huge Jerry Jones infusion of cash -
INDY -
AF TT
SDSU

BOL boys, back tomorrow
Click to expand...
Glad to see ya on Tech n Sparty.
 
bookieassassin said:
UCLA -3
Click to expand...
What a story! I had them pegged bottom of the conference …. Lot of fun to watch as well. Schedule is brutal though last 5 games ouch. I mean tough AF. GL …long way form terrapin to travel as well. This is my favorite play this weekend. Best of luck big man ..
 
Wolfeman said:
What a story! I had them pegged bottom of the conference …. Lot of fun to watch as well. Schedule is brutal though last 5 games ouch. I mean tough AF. GL …long way form terrapin to travel as well. This is my favorite play this weekend. Best of luck big man ..
Click to expand...

It's as much a fade of the Terps/ Locksley as anything....
>> the mark of a good/bad coach? does your team improve as the season wears on, or get worse?....same in-game....

Maryland has only covered ONE road game in October under ML....as a favorite his first year it seems - and never as a dog.
 
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