E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
Week 4: 8-4
Week 5: 6-1
Week 6: 6-10
Total: 20-15
As you guys can see, I got hammered last week and I guess it was just one of those weeks I had coming to me. Any and everything that could go wrong, did..This week I am going to be very selective with my picks, hopefully this week resembles week 5 and not week 6.
Alright lets start this off with the play I have locked in already:
Pitt - 10 @ Cent Florida: Pitt has the advantage in every category. Palko is hot right now, 70% completion and 15/3 TD to Interception ratio. This is the 2nd road game for Pitt however, they come into this game after a 10point win in Syracuse. Pitt is 4-1 against the spread, Central Florida is 2-2 vs. the spread. Central Florida had its hands full last week in that game with Marshall, they have a few more days than Pitt to rest for this game but I do not think it will be enough for them. Looking for a 34-17 type score.
Hawaii -5 @ Fresno St - I know this might be a minority opinion, but I actually feel good about this spread under 6. What do we know coming into this game? We know that Hawaii is going to score points but their defense is also going to give up a bunch of yards. We know that the last 2 weeks, Fresno has fallen off the globe. We know that besides their claim to fame against USC last yr, they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall and have lost 8 of their last 9 games. IMO, a team who just got beat by Utah St, ( there is no excuse for this whatsoever, NONE). To be shutout at half by Utah St means that Hawaii would be up by 28 if you gave the same effort. I do not expect the same lousy effort that this team has shown the last 2 weeks, however this is not a light switch that you just flick on and off either. They will score more than 13 points this game but there is no stopping this Hawaii offense from scoring. I know that many are worried about Hawaii's traveling and becoming a different team however look at thier away games this season. They lost to a very good Boise St team on the smurf Turf 41-34 and they lost to Bama opening week. Again, as seen by my last two picks, I am riding with good QB's this week. Brennan is 71% completion with 18/5 TD to Int ratio. Yes Fresno will get Williams back this week, but is one man going to change the nose dive this team has taken? I am banking on not happening.. Fresno Qb is stuggling, the team as a whole is struggling, and this is a bad position for them to be in however, I am betting that they continue their freefall.
Cal -8.5 @ Washington St - Even if Lynch is out, he is day to day with an ancle injury, this team is CLICKING. The line may get to 7 (It opened at 9.5 and continues to fall), the number I am waiting for because people saw that Wash St played USC tough. Forsett is no ordinary backup, in fact hes more than capable of taking the ball in this offense. Jackson is emerging as 1 hell of threat at Punt Returner and WR, Longshore has done nothing but keep the offense moving. He is now at 17/5 TD to interception ratio, which is pretty damn good, even after that first week nightmare. Common Opponent is Oregon St. Cal murdered them 41-13 while Wash St fought with them till the end in a 13-6 game. I was high on this team before the season and that Tennessee game put alot of smoke around this team. I said it last week that Cal would be the team to take USC down, this week I am standing by that statement with full confidence... Cal continues to roll in this one, 37-13.
I am watching the lines closely on the following games:
Cinci +26 @ Louisville (looking for 28+)
Arizona St +19 @ USC (looking for 21+)
Florida +2 @ Auburn ( might have to play this because I feel a line shift)
Clemson -24.5 1st Half (temple beat me the last two weeks, 3rd time a charm???)
Week 5: 6-1
Week 6: 6-10
Total: 20-15
As you guys can see, I got hammered last week and I guess it was just one of those weeks I had coming to me. Any and everything that could go wrong, did..This week I am going to be very selective with my picks, hopefully this week resembles week 5 and not week 6.
Alright lets start this off with the play I have locked in already:
Pitt - 10 @ Cent Florida: Pitt has the advantage in every category. Palko is hot right now, 70% completion and 15/3 TD to Interception ratio. This is the 2nd road game for Pitt however, they come into this game after a 10point win in Syracuse. Pitt is 4-1 against the spread, Central Florida is 2-2 vs. the spread. Central Florida had its hands full last week in that game with Marshall, they have a few more days than Pitt to rest for this game but I do not think it will be enough for them. Looking for a 34-17 type score.
Hawaii -5 @ Fresno St - I know this might be a minority opinion, but I actually feel good about this spread under 6. What do we know coming into this game? We know that Hawaii is going to score points but their defense is also going to give up a bunch of yards. We know that the last 2 weeks, Fresno has fallen off the globe. We know that besides their claim to fame against USC last yr, they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall and have lost 8 of their last 9 games. IMO, a team who just got beat by Utah St, ( there is no excuse for this whatsoever, NONE). To be shutout at half by Utah St means that Hawaii would be up by 28 if you gave the same effort. I do not expect the same lousy effort that this team has shown the last 2 weeks, however this is not a light switch that you just flick on and off either. They will score more than 13 points this game but there is no stopping this Hawaii offense from scoring. I know that many are worried about Hawaii's traveling and becoming a different team however look at thier away games this season. They lost to a very good Boise St team on the smurf Turf 41-34 and they lost to Bama opening week. Again, as seen by my last two picks, I am riding with good QB's this week. Brennan is 71% completion with 18/5 TD to Int ratio. Yes Fresno will get Williams back this week, but is one man going to change the nose dive this team has taken? I am banking on not happening.. Fresno Qb is stuggling, the team as a whole is struggling, and this is a bad position for them to be in however, I am betting that they continue their freefall.
Cal -8.5 @ Washington St - Even if Lynch is out, he is day to day with an ancle injury, this team is CLICKING. The line may get to 7 (It opened at 9.5 and continues to fall), the number I am waiting for because people saw that Wash St played USC tough. Forsett is no ordinary backup, in fact hes more than capable of taking the ball in this offense. Jackson is emerging as 1 hell of threat at Punt Returner and WR, Longshore has done nothing but keep the offense moving. He is now at 17/5 TD to interception ratio, which is pretty damn good, even after that first week nightmare. Common Opponent is Oregon St. Cal murdered them 41-13 while Wash St fought with them till the end in a 13-6 game. I was high on this team before the season and that Tennessee game put alot of smoke around this team. I said it last week that Cal would be the team to take USC down, this week I am standing by that statement with full confidence... Cal continues to roll in this one, 37-13.
I am watching the lines closely on the following games:
Cinci +26 @ Louisville (looking for 28+)
Arizona St +19 @ USC (looking for 21+)
Florida +2 @ Auburn ( might have to play this because I feel a line shift)
Clemson -24.5 1st Half (temple beat me the last two weeks, 3rd time a charm???)
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