CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
After the beating I absorbed last week in college I am spending the majority of my free time this week doing some tweaking to my numbers. Not sure what the deal is, but I had a boatload of favorites on Saturday. Only a couple of them I was quite confident in (Clempson, Michigan State), while a few of them I was quite unsure of (Burning Green, Cincinnati, Jorja).
It is my belief that the addition of the three new teams has really created a virus in my numbers, especially with how wrong the oddsmakers were about the initial line that Georgia Southern received coming in (see them catching three plus touchdowns in Raleigh and probably unfairly losing outright at the gun). Old Dome was a comfortably covering team for a month and Appalachian State got thrashed at Mishitgan and poisoned my perception on the Wolves. Since my numbers all directly relate to their performances, and more heavily so in September than in November, I probably had some bad openers. But it seems all of my underadjustments and overadjustments have been wrong also. A very frustrating season. When I make a game 13, it opens 10 and gets bet down to 5, i have to bet the favorite if i have any confidence in my numbers. I must say, they used to stand up like soldiers at Buckingham Palace, but these days they are losing at an alarming clip when the number flies in my face. Let's hope to turn it around.
Right Angle Sports sides (last week one side only for them, Cuse) release in a bit over an hour. I'll post it when I can but there will be no live posting from me in here consistently this week. I'll try to answer any questions when I can get to them but I've got to get my hockey up to speed today and tomorrow, and I've got to get my ass in the gym and in the pool. This sedentary lifestyle is fucking unacceptable.
Today the movers are out on 2 games that I see so far, 108 New Mexico +7 and 152 UAB -4. The UAB has not hit the screen, so go now if you like that side.
It is my belief that the addition of the three new teams has really created a virus in my numbers, especially with how wrong the oddsmakers were about the initial line that Georgia Southern received coming in (see them catching three plus touchdowns in Raleigh and probably unfairly losing outright at the gun). Old Dome was a comfortably covering team for a month and Appalachian State got thrashed at Mishitgan and poisoned my perception on the Wolves. Since my numbers all directly relate to their performances, and more heavily so in September than in November, I probably had some bad openers. But it seems all of my underadjustments and overadjustments have been wrong also. A very frustrating season. When I make a game 13, it opens 10 and gets bet down to 5, i have to bet the favorite if i have any confidence in my numbers. I must say, they used to stand up like soldiers at Buckingham Palace, but these days they are losing at an alarming clip when the number flies in my face. Let's hope to turn it around.
Right Angle Sports sides (last week one side only for them, Cuse) release in a bit over an hour. I'll post it when I can but there will be no live posting from me in here consistently this week. I'll try to answer any questions when I can get to them but I've got to get my hockey up to speed today and tomorrow, and I've got to get my ass in the gym and in the pool. This sedentary lifestyle is fucking unacceptable.
Today the movers are out on 2 games that I see so far, 108 New Mexico +7 and 152 UAB -4. The UAB has not hit the screen, so go now if you like that side.
