skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Jarvis and OBJ playing. I have a very small bet on Cleveland. Very small. Like, single digit small
Week 7 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
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Coverdatspred
Curious About George Costanza‘s Modeling Career
I think we are getting good value on the better team (Browns). Keenum and Baker are basically the same guy. The Broncos are bad and getting worse.
pressitup
Leader of the Adult Humor Industry
oops wrong thread
Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
You were right MC very low scoring game. Good call. GL
inZane
Loving Life on Planet Earth
I know you hate betting unders Joe, but this game may be worth a look as well because of the weather.
Game time conditions are calling for moderate rain showers with winds in the upper teens.
I just bet under 45 -125. Good luck...
Joe Public
Gabibbo's Finest
I love this post. I also appreciate that you thought of me @inZane. I was just talking to a friend this AM who told me about the weather on Sunday night in this one. It moves me completely off SF and I've teased the Colts to 10. This under looks really good as well and, honestly, until you mentioned it, I wasn't really giving it a ton of though. I didn't think it would be this high, tbh.
No matter whether it wins or not, I think this is a sharp play and appreciate the heads up.
Conversely, if it helps, assuming the weather is fine, I like the over in Baltimore. I feel comfortable both of these teams get over 20. At that point, 46 is too low.
inZane
Loving Life on Planet Earth
I'm kind of a weather geek when it comes to football and like to look at the forecasts when the totals come out. I think there's some value, not only in the NFL but college as well. Here's a few helpful links...
NFL Football Weather Report - DonBest.com
Trust the Weather to Don Best, your one stop sports handicapping resource for an accurate NFL Football weather forecast.
NCCA College Football Weather Forecast - DonBest.com
Find out the NCAAF College Weather forecast for all of today's scheduled NCAA College Football games at DonBest The Internet's Premier Sports Handicapping Site. Sports Picks You Can Bet On - Get Inside!
Then if I see something that piques my interest, I'll just google that city's weather forecast to see what time the shit is moving in. Especially, this time of year with winter storms.
cogenman
Raider Nation for Life
^^^ We're expecting an atmospheric river so that means a steady rain throughout the day. This effects the SF game. Here's a local forecast but it looks like it's gonna be a real wet one. Should effect the game big time. FYI the stadium is just above San Jose on their map at around 2:22 mark and the game is at 5:30PM local. I got in at UNDER 44 earlier in the week. Still see 43's. I think it gets down to 41 or less by game time. We shall see.
That actually doesn’t look nearly as bad for Santa Clara as it does for San Fran proper. Rain totals and wind speeds twice as bad north of stadium.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
24-21 is still under 46? Certainly could go over (as all nfl games these days) but I think the defenses be stout for both sides in this one, bungals d the biggest reason I think they doing so well this year. Afc north game w a up and coming team looking to prove themself feels like a really physical lower scoring type game to me.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Think I like the Eagles, I just wish the ppl running the offense would figure out running the ball with their talented rb is actually a good idea!! Baffling to me how few touches Sanders gets in a given week, think him and Hurts could do some real damage vs Raiders but dunno if i can trust he gets the chance? Other side I would think Philly dline can abuse Raiders in the trenches. I do like this version of the Raiders and not sure I trust Philly coaching staff, actually I know I don’t! Not sure why I’m trying to figure out nfl games? Where my lucky quarter?
Couple props I really like:
Woods over 5 catches and ov 64.5 yards. Kupp got all the action last week and woods only got a few targets, I think Rams will try to make a effort to get woods more looks after weeks like that. They can’t have him moping around so should be a week like in Seattle where they feed him early and often.
Henderson over 20.5 receiving yards. Mixon abused lions after catching passes in open field last week, week before mattison caught 7 passes for 40 yards on them. Jones abused lions out of backfield earlier in the year. Only game I saw where rb didn’t have their way catching passes against lions was the bears game and they don’t throw to rbs all that often. The couple games Henderson didn’t hit this total he had 1 catch for 17 yards in both, can’t imagine he only gets 1 catch here and certainly expect when he gets the ball in space he will gain some yards.
Couple props I really like:
Woods over 5 catches and ov 64.5 yards. Kupp got all the action last week and woods only got a few targets, I think Rams will try to make a effort to get woods more looks after weeks like that. They can’t have him moping around so should be a week like in Seattle where they feed him early and often.
Henderson over 20.5 receiving yards. Mixon abused lions after catching passes in open field last week, week before mattison caught 7 passes for 40 yards on them. Jones abused lions out of backfield earlier in the year. Only game I saw where rb didn’t have their way catching passes against lions was the bears game and they don’t throw to rbs all that often. The couple games Henderson didn’t hit this total he had 1 catch for 17 yards in both, can’t imagine he only gets 1 catch here and certainly expect when he gets the ball in space he will gain some yards.
LOL! It’s the career criminal, no way! Hello son, it’s NLF. You staying outta trouble all these years? what stuff do I need to fade today
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I can’t stand laying points w kc but I feel ya. I’m playing the team total over.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
You know damn well Titans gonna score all over Kc also. That play action shit to draw linebacker up and throw the crossers to AJ brown will kill kc d. Kc gonna score a lot tho, long as they don’t turn it over too much
I took titans TT over here. Just want exposure to this game, and like 26.5 pts for the dog vs 31.5 for chiefs or 57.5 for full game.
Also, laid the hammer with the pats. I know they’re 0-4 at home. I don’t care…jets are awful and will be lucky to score double digits. Mac is slowly but surely getting better and defense looked good last week except for a couple busts that are sure to be cleaned up by bellichek.
Wish books weren’t playing teaser prevention games with packers, i think they destroy skins. Would be hard to backcheck/track, but i wonder when the last team a team that the books gave the teaser prevent treatment lost straight up. Bet it’s been a while. 5dimes used to do it alot…just make a -7 line up to -9 +110 just bc.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Yea hard to argue, titsns prob go over also. I feel like kc gonna score 35 minimum long as they keep the turnovers in check. Titsns secondary wasn’t good before it got banged up.
I used pats for my survivor but seriously scares me. lol. Hope you right.
For the Dolphins, cornerback Noah Igbinoghene, wide receiver DeVante Parker, center Greg Mancz, tackle Greg Little, tight end Hunter Long, and defensive tackle John Jenkins were all listed as inactives. The good news for Miami is cornerbacks Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, both of whom missed last week’s game, will be available today. While Parker is still out, it appears Preston Williams will be back and available for the offense.
I have the same thought. My only worries are Titans killing
with Henry and red zone efficiency.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
You know how it is. When you popular anyplace in life you get these stragglers who know you, think you should know them but they just another Rando. From the sounds of it he one the ppl who was super jelly of others! I wasted way too much thought wondering who the fuck he even was, guess not very memorable! I’m always suspicious of those who change online persona/tag. Years ago I kinda decided I didn’t love “2dabank” anymore but didn’t want to change since I had a reputation already. At the time when I 1st entered forum world I thought it was clever!! Lol
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