Week 7 DFS/Props Discussion Thread

[2daBank]

Planned on parlaying Kamara TD + Saints ML

I don’t really want any part the side tonight. In Seattle in crappy conditions I don’t trust saints all thart much. I know I can find a nba 3 point over prop that way safer to parlay with!! And only be -125 at most compared to saints at what -200? No thanks.

 

[rambler882]

I don’t really want any part the side tonight. In Seattle in crappy conditions I don’t trust saints all thart much. I know I can find a nba 3 point over prop that way safer to parlay with!! And only be -125 at most compared to saints at what -200? No thanks.

I thought they had a dome

 

[2daBank]

I thought they had a dome

There a big hole in top I’m pretty sure. It just that loud cause the design I believe.

 

[mcculran]

I thought they had a dome

You had me doubting myself…had to look it up. Not close to a dome

 

[mcculran]

Hmm. Thinking I might parlay 1 with one my nba over 3 pointer props (man these things are nice! Lebron been a gravy train at 2.5 + money or even!), I’ll prob be looking at Anthony edwards from timber wolves tonight, his number been 2.5 every game and thus far be shot 12 of them one game and 8 the next, appears to me he gonna be getting off 8+ a night, last year he averaged making 2.4 a gm on over 7 per game, he projected to shoot 7.8 a game this year but that feels low to me, he really starting to come into his own so I’ll be hitting this one until it starts getting high juice. Only worry tonight is they facing same team b2b games, don’t love that. There some good options in the Denver/utah game also!

Then take the +250 for ov1,5 by itself. He bound to start adding to that rushing total sooner than later.

You got an nba props thread?

 

[2daBank]

You got an nba props thread?

No. I never even played one before last Friday! Lol. Never been into nba regular season, I was just at casino putting plays in Friday and dude next to me was on phone talking bout nba players so I told him some good ncaa plays and asked him what was up w those and he told me bout these freaking 3 point props. Shit seemed like stupid easy, Since then I’m 10-3 on them!! Lost one cause portland blew Suns out so Dame didn’t play last 15 or so min (I’m just learning so now I know I gotta beware of the potential for that!), then yesterday couple nets missed for 1st time: bron continues to be money at sweet odds tho!! Im not exactly sure how it gonna go or anything so didn’t really consider starting a thread, I hardly ever even go to nba forum, I did go and ask those guys what they thought of them and only response I got was bar, he did say they can be real profitable early in the year. I have no idea if these things gonna adjust or where they normally sit or anything, all my knowledge of them has come in last 3 days! Lol.

 

[mcculran]

Hmm. Thinking I might parlay 1 with one my nba over 3 pointer props (man these things are nice! Lebron been a gravy train at 2.5 + money or even!), I’ll prob be looking at Anthony edwards from timber wolves tonight, his number been 2.5 every game and thus far be shot 12 of them one game and 8 the next, appears to me he gonna be getting off 8+ a night, last year he averaged making 2.4 a gm on over 7 per game, he projected to shoot 7.8 a game this year but that feels low to me, he really starting to come into his own so I’ll be hitting this one until it starts getting high juice. Only worry tonight is they facing same team b2b games, don’t love that. There some good options in the Denver/utah game also!

Then take the +250 for ov1,5 by itself. He bound to start adding to that rushing total sooner than later.

I’ll join you on Edwards. Stats look legit…mf’er prolly break his leg tonight. Hope i don’t mush you!! Who you lookin at in nuggs/jazz?

 

[2daBank]

I’ll join you on Edwards. Stats look legit…mf’er prolly break his leg tonight. Hope i don’t mush you!! Who you lookin at in nuggs/jazz?

That actually 2marro. Don’t pull trigger on edwards just yet, he is playing same team b2b, I’m just looking now he just came up top my head cause i Been taking him. Hard to not get down on harden again, Dunno if b2b games a issue? But fukk he jacks 8-12 a game, he don’t even have to be shooting well! He 2.5 +114 tonight! That has to be b2b or cause they might roll wiz snd he sits? That not gonna happen unless he hits some 3s tho! And they not playing like they gonna roll! Lol. Harris even money, he don’t take quite as many but he shoots them consistently better. I lost on both them yesterday. This 1st time I’m in situation like that w b2b games. Guess I need to look up past years for that? B2b shouldn’t be a issue in gm 3 you wouldn’t think.

 

[rambler882]

You had me doubting myself…had to look it up. Not close to a dome

Hah yea. Maybe an older stadium was the dome. I swear they had 1 at least retractable

 

[ScopeY]

NOS/SEA

NOS DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, meh vs RB D
SEA DVOA Matchup is meh vs P D, bad vs RB D
Pace is T8th for the week (could expect it to be slower with another week of geno/weather situation)
Kamara has the 5th best ALY push.
Winston has the 7th best ASR sitch.

From a DFS perspective, I'd probably go more towards the 4-2/3-3 roster construction. We should expect both of these teams will try to establish the run, and play defense, so I don't hate the idea of a 1 sided affair, and maybe going 5-1 on a leverage type scenario, where maybe you play a backup rb or something of that nature. I think Kamara is the rightful captain, that's hard to pass up, he has the highest floor/ceiling combo in this game, and it may not even be close. Having said that, and despite what I said above, I think you could gain leverage with geno/winston captains, as not many people will go that route, and will be scared off by the defensive numbers/weather, So don't be afraid to try to be unorthodox. This is still famous jameis, I don't hate seattle D, and same can be said about geno, but I think thats more obvious tonight, and would rather pass....

If you're playing in a GPP and do captain kamara (and you probably should), get a bit weird with your other players please. Backup rbs (for blowouts), or the TE2/etc., because you won't win trying to grab the top guys, and missing on the 1 top guy that goes off.

 

[2daBank]

Hah yea. Maybe an older stadium was the dome. I swear they had 1 at least retractable

pretty sure they played in one them old crappy domes back when steve largent was playing but i could be wrong. i dont think that place now has a retractable, i do think the way it shaped up top kinda looks like it might,, i recall seeing them playing in rain too often the last several years to think they have anything to stop the elements, ll.. or i could just be crazy!!

 

[ScopeY]

Trautman was out there 86% of the time last week and had 2 targets, I still like him a bit, especially knowing there will be 0 taysom hill packages. I wouldn't trust johnson (2nd te), as he is not really utilized all weeks but 1 he was 30% or lower.

I think ozigbo can be considered if mass entering, or I guess montgomery!? As there is no other backs on the roster going into the game.

I think penny can make sense, and has can have a realistic path to atleast 40% snaps with expected game script

 

[booksbestfriend]

Not much in Geno:

DK longest rec over 22.5
Lockett longest rec over 19.5