Week 7 CFB

Noon Starts:

- Decided that with Kafka not returning it was best to downgrade Northwestern to 1x from 3x.

- Army +4.5 -110 (1x) & ML +172(1x)

- Iowa -17.5 -110 (3x)

- NCST -2.5 -115(3x)

- Syracuse +25.5 -108 (1x) & Over 48.5 -110 (1x)

- Under 50 +104 Wisconsin (1x) waiting though

- Oklahoma -19.5 -105 (1x)

- Navy -2.5 -113 (5x maybe 7x)

- West Michigan +3.5 -115 (3x)

- Oklahoma State +3.5 -120 (5x)

- Tulsa -2-110(1x)

- texas A&M -101 (5x) ML +109(1x)

- Virginia +3.5 -115(3x)

- Colorado +7.5 -120 (1x)

- Michigan State +14.5 -105 (3x)

- Under 52 -105 Oregon (2x)

- E. Mich +11 -105 (1x)

- Wash St +9 -110 (5x)

Lean - Hawaii -4 & SJST -16.5

- Oregon State +10 (1x)

Night -

Lean to Baylor +26.5 , SoMiss -2 , Ill -6 , Ov 40.5 Miami, Over 50 LSU

Kansas St +10.5 -115 (3x)

Auburn +2 -105 (12x)

Penn State +6 -110 (3x) and Under 41 -110 (3x)

Thats it so far......

Questions or comments.......

GL
 
Great looking car nut. I originally liked Maryland a lot but have since shyed off them this week. Your thoughts along with some wrong line movement knocked me off the play. I love Navy tomorrow...also one of my biggest plays...BOL to you and as always, great work!
 
Some thoughts

SportsNut said:
Noon Starts:

- Decided that with Kafka not returning it was best to downgrade Northwestern to 1x from 3x.

- Army +4.5 -110 (1x) & ML +172(1x)

- Iowa -17.5 -110 (3x)

- NCST -2.5 -115(3x)

- Syracuse +25.5 -108 (1x) & Over 48.5 -110 (1x)

- Under 50 +104 Wisconsin (1x) waiting though

- Oklahoma -19.5 -105 (1x)

- Navy -2.5 -113 (5x maybe 7x)

- West Michigan +3.5 -115 (3x)

- Oklahoma State +3.5 -120 (5x)

- Tulsa -2-110(1x)

- texas A&M -101 (5x) ML +109(1x)

- Virginia +3.5 -115(3x)

- Colorado +7.5 -120 (1x)

- Michigan State +14.5 -105 (3x)

- Under 52 -105 Oregon (2x)

- E. Mich +11 -105 (1x)

- Wash St +9 -110 (5x)

Lean - Hawaii -4 & SJST -16.5

- Oregon State +10 (1x)

Night -

Lean to Baylor +26.5 , SoMiss -2 , Ill -6 , Ov 40.5 Miami, Over 50 LSU

Kansas St +10.5 -115 (3x)

Auburn +2 -105 (12x)

Penn State +6 -110 (3x) and Under 41 -110 (3x)

Thats it so far......

Questions or comments.......

GL

- Really like Northwestern finally returning home getting a team in Purdue coming off games @ ND and Iowa. Purdue will be w/o WR Lymon and I dont like there defense enough to cover a TD chalk in a conference road game. You might say what has the Wildcats done? Thats true and Kafka is out again which scares me. I think there defense has been better then adequate but it games @ Wisky and Penn State its just a matter if time before the defense tires and gets walked on..which seemed to happen in both games recently. The Boliermakers gave up alot of points to some less then flattering teams at home so maybe even Northwestren can show a pulse on offense...basic situation play...

- It just seems that UConn was given much more respect this season they desereved. Being pegged as home favs vs Navy and Wake they lost both SU and have now switched QB's. They played @ Indiana and did not svore on offense. They have owned Army which is a concern but it still looks like enoughg peopel havent caught on to how bad the Huskies have turned out. Army always seems to bark as a dog and put up 62 against VMI last week...Army putting up 62 versus anyone is northworthy...so I'll ride Ross boys as a dog and hope for the best. Uconn as a team has been awful for consecutive weeks following consecutive awful performances on offense vs Indiana and Wake. If your not sure how a team can score its tough to justify laying points with them IMO.

- I hopped on Iowa early after last weeks thrashing off Purdue thinking this should have been 3 TDS. To my suprise everyone agrees. Well its getting awful close to 20 and I might just middle it or two units of it tmrw when it breaks 20. Iowa still has to show consistency and Wisky just a few back thrashed Indiana but only laid 10 in that game..plus the Hoosiers had a huge road win and could be sharper at home...so a play I am on but not recomending as I will hedge it.

- NCST just really love this spot and play at a FG. The Wolfpack managed to hangaround vs BC and make some plays late...it was a rather lucky win. However turn the page and they trailed all nite vs FSU but out played them in the 4th quarter which is different then a team just shooting themselves in the foot constantly. Huge edge in 3 straight at home. Evans look sto be the real deal making some impressive throws vs FSU. I do think Wake will be flat after theer 4thq collapse vs Clemson...24 points in the 4th! There offense has been lackluster all year and expect the same...could be a 5 unit play possibly...

- Just took a shot on the Orangeman hanging around. This line seems awful high for a team off flat road performances. Maryland was only +17 and i dont see much differrence bewteen the two. So thinking Cuse can make WV work for the points and score 14 ++ here..total is now 50.5 though

- Just dont like the Iowa State eoffense and see it putting up 14 points here. OU will look to bounce back versus an inferior opponent and expect a 21-24 pt win..

- The Minnesota offense struggled IMO in home games vs Michigan and Penn State would expect the same thinking 31-17...

- All year I havent believed in navt but I look game by game and see a much tougher slate then RU's. Who I am also convinced is overrated and faded @ USF. the RU offense is all about the ground game and Navy will slow them there forcing Teel to beat them....Navy destroyed RU two years back in this meeting and I have feeling they cruise...

- WMU is getting a good spot here with Northern Illini playing 3 rd straight away. Think WMU defense is solid and Northern is swiss cheese...

- Really shocked that Ok St was a FG dog here at one point expected worse case a PK game. Kansas seems good enough to keep it close but not good enough to win.. Think OSU was penalized for losing to KSU...its tough to win on the road and sometimes the dif bewteen being -2 and getting +2...makes or breaks you...interesting to see if Meier plays what type of rythym he can produce .

just some comments for the early stuff.....

and A&M should read + 2-101.....
 
Thanks Pags-

Morning Update

- I said I would middle Iowa after having some second thoughts and SIA provided me with 20.5 so I did.

Which means I have a 3x middle with Iowa -17.5 and Indiana +20.5 both sides -110.

- Have the Under 51 -108 in Wisconsin 1x

- Played Navy last nite @ -2.5 -110 7x

- Reduced Michigan State to 1x from 3x. Being w/o 3 key offensive weapons is tough but I still think to many points.

- Will be on Baylor for 3x just trying to do better then 27

Working on more....
 
Todays Action

The clean version:

Auburn +2 -105 (12x)

There are more then a few comemnts in my thread about how this is the perfect situational play. Auburn off a bad home loss while Florida 'upset" LSU and the public at home last week. Making a game that IMO should have been Auburn -3 a +2 home dog. Auburn will shutdown the running game off FLA and make Leak and Tebow beat them. I actually dont believe Tebow will get many chances today...

Navy -2.5 -110 (7x)

You look at what Navy has accomplished nd compare that to RU and you have to be impressed. RU was lucky to win @ USF while Navy dismantled UConn and Stanford on the road. RU is getting way tomuch credit for beating Illinois , Ohio U and UNC early whne linesmakers undervalued them.. Navy will run on them and RU will struggle to run the ball meaning Teel and his 14 INT to 4 TD rati will have to make a play...and remember Tucker is OUT so the WRs are thin and he has to rely more on his TE.

5x Plays

Texas A&M +2 -102(also ML +109 1x)
Oklahoma State +3.5 -120
Wash State +9 -110


3xPlays

Kansas State +10.5 -110
Penn State +6 -110
Under 41 -110 Penn State
Virginia +3.5 -115
NCState -2.5 -115
Baylor will be want better then 27

2x Plays
West Michigan +3.5 -115
Eastern mich +11 -108
Under 52 -105 Oregon

1x Plays
Oregon State -110
Mich State +14.5 -105
Colorado +7.5 -120 (shot in the dark)
Tulsa -2-110
Oklahoma -19.5 -108
Under 51 -108 Wisky
Cuse +25.5 -105
Over 48.5 -110 Cuse
Army +4.5 -110 & ML +174
Northwestern +7.5 -110

Middled(3x each side)
Iowa -17.5 and Indiana +20.5-110(each way)

Team Totals (all 1x unless noted)

Over 11.5 -108 Cuse
Under 20.5 -111 Minnesota
Over 17.5-105 Army
under 17.5 -107 Wake Forest
Over 19.5 -108 East Mich +100
Over 30.5 -111 SJST (2x)
Over 10.5 -108 Baylor
Over 38.5 +100 LSU
Over 33.5 -108 Miami
Under 23.5 -120 Michigan

Good Luck the leans are still the same


 
The races are off...

Was just about to add UNC and another unit on Cuse but was to lazy..of course both score first....

keep on Northwestern and Cuse might be 2nd H plays....as well as UNC
 
redbearde said:
Sportsnut, normally I'm not a "THE LINES MAKERS ARE STUPID" kind of guy...it's just in select few cases...

Hey, maybe Uconn surprises us all and wins by 2TDs.

GL this weekend.


Damn I wanna kick myself for playing Army.......I knew that was line to low!! Red why did you have to be so convinving....Just kidding BTW...
 
The only meaningful play I had early NCST just blew up like they alwasy do....allowing a 50+ yd fg , a safety and 56 ydTD run in the final 2 minutes....I am quite SURE that the Wolfpack are toast! You cant give momentum away before the half in Football...

Just 1 2nd Half Play

Northwestern +3 -109 (1x)
 
A 2nd H play

Oklahoma State -3 (2.5x)

They gave KU 14 points , turned the ball over on downs at the KU 2 and thrw a PICK after moving 50 yards.....

So they are giving KU this game IMO.....

Cant say I feel good about Navy though.....Teel finally made some 3rd down conversions
 
Sorry about Navy fellas! I still think RU is overrated but I guess I was right so was Navy. Just picked teh wrong week to NOT fade them...

Does it get an easier for RU...4 second half possesions inside the Navy 29 to begin... they should have won 56 -0 if they were anything on offense..
 
Damn there tearin the heart out of me @ Wash State.....overturn a TD and they cant get it after that.....backdoor is open but need 2 Wash State TDS!
 
That three trips inside the redzone in arow with NO POINTS for WSU!! two 4th and 1 they didnt get! Idiot HEAD COACH......
 
Wow! Now Auburn is asleep! Moving the ball all damn nite ...and fucking up inside the 5..

1st possession 1st goal from the 4 settle for 3
3rd possession 1st and 10 from Fla 17 and fumble on the FLA 3 ..nada
4th possession 1st goal from the 8th...settle for 3

Then after the FG they get a 15 yard penalty , miss a tackle that cost them 40 yards and allow a TD...

Looks like possession 5 will end up a FG attempt after making the red zone....
 
SportsNut said:
The clean version:

Auburn +2 -105 (12x) WON +12

There are more then a few comemnts in my thread about how this is the perfect situational play. Auburn off a bad home loss while Florida 'upset" LSU and the public at home last week. Making a game that IMO should have been Auburn -3 a +2 home dog. Auburn will shutdown the running game off FLA and make Leak and Tebow beat them. I actually dont believe Tebow will get many chances today...

Navy -2.5 -110 (7x) LOST -7.7

You look at what Navy has accomplished nd compare that to RU and you have to be impressed. RU was lucky to win @ USF while Navy dismantled UConn and Stanford on the road. RU is getting way tomuch credit for beating Illinois , Ohio U and UNC early whne linesmakers undervalued them.. Navy will run on them and RU will struggle to run the ball meaning Teel and his 14 INT to 4 TD rati will have to make a play...and remember Tucker is OUT so the WRs are thin and he has to rely more on his TE.

5x Plays(+6.59)

Texas A&M +2 -102(also ML +109 1x)Won +7.09 cause I added to it
Oklahoma State +3.5 -120 WON +5
Wash State +9 -110 LOSS -5.5



3xPlays(-4.05)

Kansas State +10.5 -110 Loss -3.3
Penn State +6 -110 Loss -3.3
Under 41 -110 Penn State WIN +3
Virginia +3.5 -115 WIN +3
NCState -2.5 -115 LOSS -3.45


2x Plays(+5.8)
West Michigan +3.5 -115 WIN +2
Eastern mich +11 -108 WIN +2
Under 52 -105 Oregon WIN +2
Hawaii -2.5 -115 WIN +2
Baylor +27.5 -110 LOSS -2.2


1x Plays (+1.67)
Oregon State +10-110 WIN +1
Mich State +14.5 -105 LOSS -1.05
Colorado +7.5 -120 WIN +1
Tulsa -2-110 WIN +1
Oklahoma -19.5 -108 WIN +1
Under 51 -108 Wisky LOSS -1.08
Cuse +25.5 -105 WIN +1
Over 48.5 -110 Cuse WIN +1
Army +4.5 -110 & ML +174 LOSS(-2.10)
Northwestern +7.5 -110 LOSS -1.10
SoMiss -1-104 (1x) WIN +1


Middled(3x each side) LOST VIG -.3
Iowa -17.5 and Indiana +20.5-110(each way)


Team Totals (all 1x unless noted)(+2.66)

Over 11.5 -108 Cuse WIN
Under 20.5 -111 Minnesota WIN
Over 17.5-105 Army LOSS -1.05
under 17.5 -107 Wake Forest LOSS -1.07
Over 19.5 -108 East Mich +100 WIN
Over 30.5 -111 SJST (2x)LOSS -2.22
Over 10.5 -108 Baylor WIN
Over 38.5 +100 LSU WIN
Over 33.5 -108 Miami WIN
Under 23.5 -120 Michigan WIN


2nd H (+1.43)
Northwestren +3 -107 (1x) LOSS
Ok St -3 -105 (2.5x) WIN

Net +22.70 for the day. Not bad should have been much better alot plays I changed my mind on cashed...UTEP ...Idaho...
 
Thanks pay!

Playing Over 44.5 -141 team total Boise St (3x)

Not really interested in this game as NMST is pretty poor.....hoping for another WAC special
 
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