Week 6: Fading Public Dogs
- Thread starter nbafan88
- Start date
Nice job last week. Tx Tech fan here and we never match up well with KSTATE. Like the play
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
AliShaheed
Pretty much a regular
Wouldn't USC qualify as a play?
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Colorado is certainly a popular underdog at 60%.
I think nbafan throws in some other angles on top of it, too.
DeadEyeDuckie
Pretty much a regular
Noooooooo lol. I'm on the Lobos tonight. I knew I should've gone back to my chalky ways. Damn. Good luck tonight bud!
Uncle Thirsty
Pretty much a regular
Nice work nbafan. Just about right on the money.
This thread has won me a shit ton over the past few weeks. I love this angle. Thanks for the introduction.
This thread has won me a shit ton over the past few weeks. I love this angle. Thanks for the introduction.
Uncle Thirsty
Pretty much a regular
Public favoring Kansas St now, but I still like them to beat the hell out of Tech today. Until Tech proves to limit mistakes that plague them in these road games, and force a few turnovers themselves, it will be just another 3 TD conference road loss.
Also, Texas now a public dog this morning. 61% according to SI. I hate this damn game. Hard to pick but this angle has continued to cash. What do you think nbafan about either of these games?
Also, Texas now a public dog this morning. 61% according to SI. I hate this damn game. Hard to pick but this angle has continued to cash. What do you think nbafan about either of these games?
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
CrimsonK,
Of course. Line movement is always part of it. Personally I hate following line moves that cross over 0. That's what is making me a little hesitant about NC state.... also I tend to stay away from the smaller schools/games that don't have many wagers for obvious reasons.
Current leans
penn state (opened as favorite)
Nc state
oklahoma
Air Force
Alabama
Ucla
There are a few smaller schools that qualify but I'm not touching those.
Of course. Line movement is always part of it. Personally I hate following line moves that cross over 0. That's what is making me a little hesitant about NC state.... also I tend to stay away from the smaller schools/games that don't have many wagers for obvious reasons.
Current leans
penn state (opened as favorite)
Nc state
oklahoma
Air Force
Alabama
Ucla
There are a few smaller schools that qualify but I'm not touching those.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
All the plays posted in these thread fit the system (or fit the system at the open). I just cannot play the games that have less 3500 or so wagers. I am not going to bet every single game that fits the system due to various reasons and if I don't bet it I don't post it as a play.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
12:00 PM EST
Penn State +1 -110 (opened at -2... close to 68-70% on UMD)
Oklahoma -13.5 -110 (currently showing about 60% on Texas)
NC State -2.5 -110... (hate this line move... not sure if its weather related or not but over 70% of tickets on ND so have to play it)
also on the auburn/miss state over 55.5.... public pounding the under and total rises... have to play it, similar concept of fading public dogs applies to fading public unders
also on Uconn +3 (not a system play)
have a bad feeling on a lot of these plays because of what look like dummy line moves.... none of the plays look strong
Penn State +1 -110 (opened at -2... close to 68-70% on UMD)
Oklahoma -13.5 -110 (currently showing about 60% on Texas)
NC State -2.5 -110... (hate this line move... not sure if its weather related or not but over 70% of tickets on ND so have to play it)
also on the auburn/miss state over 55.5.... public pounding the under and total rises... have to play it, similar concept of fading public dogs applies to fading public unders
also on Uconn +3 (not a system play)
have a bad feeling on a lot of these plays because of what look like dummy line moves.... none of the plays look strong
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