Odds
Week 6 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
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CPA-hole
2024 CTG Supporting Donation Member
You bastard. Lol
And yet, you hit that link!
BiffTFinancial
Local Heat Tracker
W6 thoughts/leans...
UK +21/under 48' - UK always seems to play UGA tough (or UGA plays down to them) and the games are generally low-scoring eyeball-melting affairs (13-12, 51-13, 16-6, 30-13, 14-3, 21-0). Passed on +21 earlier hoping for better, kinda wishing I'd taken it but pretty sure it will come back. All that said, I liked it a lot better when UGA wasn't coming off the Bama loss.
Clemson/UNC under 46/1H under 23 or Clemson TT under 30' - Not sure I have the stomach for the Heels even at +14. Do expect Belichick to come up with some sort of defensive voodoo and clock management gameplan, settle for all sorts of FGs and punts and make this score less ugly. 24-12, maybe 15.
Michigan -16' - Fickell retirement game?
Maryland +6'/ML - Hoping for 7. Rough spot for UW traveling east off OSU (though at least it's 330 not noon)
Florida +7/1H under 21/Horns TT under 24' - rock fight (UT -0.01 EPA/rush, 0.04 EPA/pass; UF 0.03 and -0.18 respectively). Big concern with under is turnovers leading to easy points.
Houston +12 - These teams are about 12 points apart in PRs if you look at some consensus numbers. Houston HFA isn't amazing but it's something. Also, Texas Tech has looked great, shines in a number of analytics metrics and it sort of a darling right now so I think you're paying a premium to back TT, if it gets to 13+ I think I'll grab some Houston
UK +21/under 48' - UK always seems to play UGA tough (or UGA plays down to them) and the games are generally low-scoring eyeball-melting affairs (13-12, 51-13, 16-6, 30-13, 14-3, 21-0). Passed on +21 earlier hoping for better, kinda wishing I'd taken it but pretty sure it will come back. All that said, I liked it a lot better when UGA wasn't coming off the Bama loss.
Clemson/UNC under 46/1H under 23 or Clemson TT under 30' - Not sure I have the stomach for the Heels even at +14. Do expect Belichick to come up with some sort of defensive voodoo and clock management gameplan, settle for all sorts of FGs and punts and make this score less ugly. 24-12, maybe 15.
Michigan -16' - Fickell retirement game?
Maryland +6'/ML - Hoping for 7. Rough spot for UW traveling east off OSU (though at least it's 330 not noon)
Florida +7/1H under 21/Horns TT under 24' - rock fight (UT -0.01 EPA/rush, 0.04 EPA/pass; UF 0.03 and -0.18 respectively). Big concern with under is turnovers leading to easy points.
Houston +12 - These teams are about 12 points apart in PRs if you look at some consensus numbers. Houston HFA isn't amazing but it's something. Also, Texas Tech has looked great, shines in a number of analytics metrics and it sort of a darling right now so I think you're paying a premium to back TT, if it gets to 13+ I think I'll grab some Houston