Week 6 Discussion Thread

2daBank said:
There were just some things that I didn’t like about laying the points with them. I was capping that game at 4:30 in morning so can’t remember wtf they were!! Lol. I think 3rd down and red zone were 2 areas that concerned me. Im far from making a pick on this one but just thought the total was so interesting I wanted to put it out there and get thoughts!
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Certainly get that and don’t like laying points with Narduzzi but I don’t think BC is very good.
 
Ryno14 said:
Certainly get that and don’t like laying points with Narduzzi but I don’t think BC is very good.
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they are gonna have to throw it a ton! I mean they couldn’t establish any sort of run game vs the likes of north Texas or Unc! They at least tried vs duke but without much success., that is obviously gonna lead to a very good pitt pass rush pinning their ears back. If Pitt can get up on the early it could be a complete ass kicking with a bunch of points scored! Duke and unc were able to run with success on BC, if pitt can run the ball they will score 30+. Laying it might be better than the over.
 
Tcu is laying 8.5 to k-st? Wow, I gotta look closer at that one cause that number doesn’t make a lot of sense to me, is that a reaction to the Texas game?
 
Kst rushing offense could really get right here against a tcu d that allowing 7ypc! Kst also has the 13th best red zone d and they should win the turnover battle. And we getting 8.5 points??
 
Wku+7 has to be a play, look at the history between these 2, it gonna be a knock down drag out affair. Lean under but it little lower than I’d like. I think wku run defense will be able to slow Marshall down and Wku duel threat qb will make just enough plays. Wku also protects the balk so tbink this a battle for 60 minutes.
 
The Pitt game might turn out being one those rare games I play the side and total! This number down to freaking 43!! For life of me I can’t figure out how we see less than 70 passes in this game!! How the hell does a game go under 43 with 70+ passes???? Unless Either these coaches make the mistake of trying to run on short yardage and inevitably get stuffed this thing should have points., BC qb gonna be running for his life that surely lead to mistakes. Pitt only problem is will they actually punch the ball in when they get in scoring range!!! Anyone know the weather forecast?
 
Ryno14 said:
Yeah - a True Freshman against a Gary Patterson D wouldn't be too great
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what wrong with the starter? He have any chance to play? I think kst will have success running the ball, prob not as much if they starting a fresh qb tho.
 
2daBank said:
what wrong with the starter? He have any chance to play? I think kst will have success running the ball, prob not as much if they starting a fresh qb tho.
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Got knocked out on a scramble with a shoulder injury. And with how much he runs, gotta think even if he plays, it’s going to effect him.
 
Temple game is tricky, they havent played yet, projected to be down, rated about 70, Russo qb is not accurate, not that good really but Navy looks bizarre. I lean Navy at home with their boys in the stands. Temple already cried about game being played earlier cuz they needed more time.
 
2daBank said:
The Pitt game might turn out being one those rare games I play the side and total! This number down to freaking 43!! For life of me I can’t figure out how we see less than 70 passes in this game!! How the hell does a game go under 43 with 70+ passes???? Unless Either these coaches make the mistake of trying to run on short yardage and inevitably get stuffed this thing should have points., BC qb gonna be running for his life that surely lead to mistakes. Pitt only problem is will they actually punch the ball in when they get in scoring range!!! Anyone know the weather forecast?
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77 but real wind

16 sustained sw gusting 23
 
Hopefully greed don’t get me. I parlayed ville-5 with lakers money line to make it like +135 or some crap!! Just can’t imagine lakers wanna stay in bubble over the weekend and we all know heat have no chance if bron and AD decide to take over!

then I did a small for fun parlay with ville ml/over 65/tampa rays Ml (just cause I hate yanks! And want rays to win so bad!). Got +550 on that one!
 
2daBank said:
Hopefully greed don’t get me. I parlayed ville-5 with lakers money line to make it like +135 or some crap!! Just can’t imagine lakers wanna stay in bubble over the weekend and we all know heat have no chance if bron and AD decide to take over!

then I did a small for fun parlay with ville ml/over 65/tampa rays Ml (just cause I hate yanks! And want rays to win so bad!). Got +550 on that one!
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Might as well add Lakers ML to it or the spread...,,make it a bigger payout.....
 
pressitup said:
anyone like NCST/fighting Vcavs over?
I may have missed it in the thread
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I been playing all ncst overs cause I noticed week 1 they were running a much quicker paced offense., feel like books might be catching up tho, 58.5 feels pretty high for a uva game doesn’t it?
 
number2 said:
Might as well add Lakers ML to it or the spread...,,make it a bigger payout.....
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after watching what happened gm 4 the spread scared me to death! Leave it to shady ass nba for lakers to somehow dominate and not cover -7!!!! Lol
 
2daBank said:
after watching what happened gm 4 the spread scared me to death! Leave it to shady ass nba for lakers to somehow dominate and not cover -7!!!! Lol
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Yep....like Em said.....from Push to cover to backdoor.....smh.....
 
number2 said:
Yep....like Em said.....from Push to cover to backdoor.....smh.....
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i really hate this part of myself that hates just making the play I like -110 and feel obligated to find some “lock” to turn it into +135 or whatever it did! Like seriously ill feel like jumping in front of a bus if ville covers and instead of cashing a 110 to win 100 ticket I lost cause I wanted 100 to win +135!!!! Like seriously how can that be worth it?!?!!?? Even if I believe there no way lakers lose!! All the years I’ve spent trying to get myself out of all the bad habits that have often prevented me from being a winning gambler, I’ve even been going to casino placing bets and totally ignoring all the flashing lights and table games that keep calling my name yet I still do ignorant crap like this!! lol
 
2daBank said:
I been playing all ncst overs cause I noticed week 1 they were running a much quicker paced offense., feel like books might be catching up tho, 58.5 feels pretty high for a uva game doesn’t it?
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I took the over, thanks
 
Came across this on tarheelblog.com

In 2020, every time an opponent has entered the red zone against the Hokies, a touchdown is scored. Virginia Tech has allowed four passing touchdowns and two rushing TDs in the opposition’s six red zone trips this season.


The Tar Heel offense is batting 1.000 in red zone scoring. In seven red zone trips this season, Carolina has scored four rushing touchdowns, one through the air, and hit two field goals.
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pressitup said:
I took the over, thanks
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man, I really lean under there, the one thing holding me back is it appears Uva wants to go fast and we know ncst been playing quicker. My thing is I think uva is gonna have fat more success on the ground here than they used to, from the backs and i assume from the qb as well. What I don’t think will happen is I don’t expect ncst to have the same kind of success throwing against uva secondary. I see it was actually higher earlier in the week, if I see it get back to 61 I’d seriously consider under but maybe im way off here?
 
Another one driving me nuts is yet another Pitt total. Played the over against ncst last week and it worked out but now they hanging a 43 for the BC game? Every way I look at this thing it sure feels like there gonna be a whole bunch of passes thrown in this game. A lot of ways for points to get put up when we see 75+ passes thrown against defenses that can get after the qb!!! I also think pitt will prob have more success than they used to having on the ground vs BC defense, BC does have a very solid red zone d and we all know how pitt struggles down by the goal line but damn this number low. Think I almost have to play this over. We saw pitt secondary can be had and I have no doubt the Pitt defense will create a turnover or 2 also.
 
I stayed away from Air Force last week cause I just didn’t know about playing a team who hadn’t played a game yet. Obviously I kicked myself for that as AF beat navy down. Now here we are again and a incredibly down navy squad gets a temple team who has yet to play! One difference here is while I had no clue what to expect From AF this temple team bringing a lot back and are known for being a physical run stuffing team. That does not bode well for navy! They are getting their original starting QB back but he no great shakes either! The owls no strangers to playing option teams and this the worst option navy team we have seen that I can remember! Temple has known who their opponent gonna be and have had plenty of time to scout and prepare while once again navy going into a game with no film or idea on what their opponent gonna throw at them. Just seems like a damn near impossible task for a team who has fallen on bad times. Temple has to be the play dont they??
 
Just concerning the Pitt total keeps dropping. I’m here in Pittsburgh and no weather issues. It is a beautiful day.
 
Looks like wind in Boston could be impacting total? BC very pass heavy and Pitt has been trending that way I think.
 
Florida down to 5.5. Who likes aTm? Seems like reverse line movement as they say with people I hear talking that game all picking Florida.
 
* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts between 35 and 45
mph. Strongest of those wind gusts will be towards the Cape
and Islands.

That is off the coast. I don't know how close to the coast the stadium is. Weatherunderground showed a red flag warning for wind and a small craft advisory.
 
s--k said:
* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts between 35 and 45
mph. Strongest of those wind gusts will be towards the Cape
and Islands.

That is off the coast. I don't know how close to the coast the stadium is. Weatherunderground showed a red flag warning for wind and a small craft advisory.
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well fuck
 
If it really gonna effect passing I think that a huge edge for Pitt, not cause they great at rushing the ball but they much better stopping it than BC is!!
 
I hustled out to casino and made last pre flop for Saturday. It was OTB yesterday. Played LSU u34.5

Often my bets placed on Saturday get all crazy on me. Whatever.

Let's go.
 
I’m still seeing 15 mph on the hour to hour. Can’t find out if it endzone to endzone or side to side. Anyone know? This huge for me
 
I just looked at a map. The end zones are North - South. Directly to the east is the bay and then the ocean. It says winds coming from southwest. I can't speculate beyond that.
 
The big dogs in big12 getting Ton of love, seems like everyone on k-st and Texas tech. Kst qb is out tho right?
 
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