WEEK 5

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
ONE UNIT

Cal +7 W
AF/A&M ML L


smaller

Iowa +8 W
WV +10' L
App St +16' L
Virginia+7' W
Mizzou -27' 1H L
FAU +14' L
S Alabama +13 L
Illinois +7/ML W
Minn -4' L
Utah St +23' W
Kan St -6' live W
-------------------
Oregon St +3' 1Q W
Rice +14' W
ND TT over 34' W
EMU/CMU over 54' L
Arkansas +16' live L
Louisville +7' live W
UCLA +6' W
------------------
0.10-25
Wash +3 1Q W
OSU -2' 2Q W


leans


Houston
BGreen
NDAME
Buffalo?
Hokies???
Pitt?
DUKE
MINNY
Utah St
AF?
Cinn?
S Ala
LSU
Tulane
A&M
Washington?
 
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probably won't get involved until later in the week...did these now

* Iowa - might climb to 10 ..... I'll add to it if so.......probably best to not step out in front of Indiana, but I don't mind paying a small admission price to see 'em win by margin here on the road.
* WV- terrible spot for Utes - survival time here you would think (bye next) - I always play this spot > home favorite gets embarrassed, now favored by DD on the road? Small play only - Utes might respond big here - Couch Burners probably not very good right now.
* CAL - large road favorite? - that's not what they do - now a TD road dog to a weak BC team? > yep - I would expect them to win outright.
 
What happened to Cal last wk? Saw the box, 3 TO's and only 289 yds of offense. DD favorite and can't even score, yikes...
 
Timh said:
What happened to Cal last wk? Saw the box, 3 TO's and only 289 yds of offense. DD favorite and can't even score, yikes...
Click to expand...


For some reason ..... Cal HC Wilcox has extreme issues getting his team prepared for teams they're supposed to beat .....EASILY.
>> if a competitive game (<7 pt fav) - they're great ..... 8-0 su/ats - a non-competitive one (>14) .....2-12 ats / 10 pts from 0-14

In all games where the spread is <7 - he's covered 23/30 - winning 50% su if dog

WHY? - gotta start with him. He MUST kinda take it easy on himself/staff/players on these 'off weeks' - then really gear up when facing a tough opponent. Coaches work harder - practices are more intense - he coaches more aggressively on game day, etc

Can't believe I hesitated to take the 14 LW - if a short favorite (SDSU was really good) they woulda killed 'em probably ha
 
Didn’t know the numbers but always been a fan of cal with points and especially off a game they made ppl scratch their heads! Good stuff, I leaned wvu also but had same concern bout Utah maybe having a bad taste and I really don’t trust wvu like I used to:
 
small play

App St +16'

* Mountaineers stink, but so does Boise D....Boise off AF, with NOTRE DAME on deck / Neers off bye. (MAYBE) an intangible on our side here too ????? - last years coach (Shawn Clark) recently passed away at 50. Would be a larger play, but ASU has turned the ball over 8 times already - Boise not great there either tho.
 
Isn't Vegas begging for USC action? Line has sat at -6.5 all week.....cant image how many teasers and ML parlays the Trojans are linked to.....bettors have such short memories....surely if Indiana can win 63-10 USC will have no trouble.....that gets people killed by the books weekly
 
Any view on the ACC banger tonight? I'm not sold on Florida State with just a win over Bama, and blowing the lid off a couples soup cans. Also, not a great spot with hated rival, Miami, on deck. I've been bullish on Virginia all season and think they really have a chance for an outright win tonight. Virginia D has looked pretty bad at times but their O can hang with anyone. Maybe the over is the best play here?
Thanks for all you do. Must read stuff weekly. GL this week!
 
sorry boys got busy.....
>> got nuthin' this week anyway - zombie staring at the linesheets - pissing my pants/drooling on the computer ...........

Live/2H plays seem like the way to go this week, especially the big games.

added smaller

Mizzou -27' 1H (MB)
FAU +14' (LV/BO)
Illinois +7/ML (H - juice)
Minn -4' (BM- juice)
S Alabama +13 (LV/BO)

small

Rice +14'
ND TT over 34' (H)
EMU/CMU over 54' (BO/LV)



WILL PLAY (if hits)

Iowa at 10 (add to 7')
Utah St at 24
Wash at 10
Penn St at 3/2'
Georgia at 2?
UCLA at 7 ??
NIU at 3 / ML?

Leans - live/2H plays?
>> will post as long as I can stay awake ha

Penn State
Tulane
LSU !
GASO
Air Force
A&M
PITT
Iowa St?
 
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Rusty Trombone said:
Isn't Vegas begging for USC action? Line has sat at -6.5 all week.....cant image how many teasers and ML parlays the Trojans are linked to.....bettors have such short memories....surely if Indiana can win 63-10 USC will have no trouble.....that gets people killed by the books weekly
Click to expand...

Looks like 80% of money, AND tickets are on Illini - line hasn't moved...... for me it's Illinois or nothing - small at juiced 7/ sprinkle on ML..... BOL tomorrow
 
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Jhoss003 said:
Any view on the ACC banger tonight? I'm not sold on Florida State with just a win over Bama, and blowing the lid off a couples soup cans. Also, not a great spot with hated rival, Miami, on deck. I've been bullish on Virginia all season and think they really have a chance for an outright win tonight. Virginia D has looked pretty bad at times but their O can hang with anyone. Maybe the over is the best play here?
Thanks for all you do. Must read stuff weekly. GL this week!
Click to expand...


good eye - hope you played it .......for some reason I didn't have the guts to commit. Cavs are a covering machine - Criminoles are overrated, and stink before Miami - now 1-6 ats - BOL this weekend
 
bookieassassin said:
Looks like 80% of money, AND tickets are on Illini - line hasn't moved...... for me it's Illinois or nothing - small at juiced 7/ sprinkle on ML..... BOL tomorrow
Click to expand...
There's zero chance thats accurate. Every poster and Podcaster I've listened to this week is on USC....impossible 80% is backing Illinois after last weekend....

GL BA
 
dumb play that should work as well as anything......

Air Force / A&M ML - $100 > 95
* 6 pt teaser gets you +100

AF off 2 losses shouldn't lose to Hawaii (2/18 SU away) - playing for 6th straight week - IF Aggies (off bye / Miss St next) get beat at home by Auburn - off a really tough road loss at OU (allowed 10 sacks/14 TFL) .... I'll be so impressed I won't care ha. Note Auburn won LY 43-41. Like both as a play, but lines got away from me. I'll look to play A&M live as well, as Hugh Freeze should have a great early plan (Kiffin called him THE best game day coach in CFB)

small play

Utah St +23'

Love Vandy as dog - but here with Bama on deck? - Bronco is a great, underrated coach and should have a plan to not get their ass kicked.
 
Rusty Trombone said:
There's zero chance thats accurate. Every poster and Podcaster I've listened to this week is on USC....impossible 80% is backing Illinois after last weekend....

GL BA
Click to expand...


wut

Total averages? - a paid service like UNABATED is best. Probably 60/40 USC. Numbers change by the minute, vary by book ......
>> THIS MORNING - those were the numbers (Wager Talk - probably FD or DK) - early numbers look like USC was bet heavily. The only thing that interests me is WHEN can I get the line I want......
 
smaller at MB

Kan State -6'

I would think KSU settles down - takes over 2H - running the ball well / QB looks improved (INT wasn't him) - UCF has one 80 yd play - otherwise shut down totally - QB is likely out too
 
JUST FOR THE ACTION - juice stinks

Wash +3 1Q
OSU -2' 2Q

Huskies fast starters / OSU slow 1Q - 2Q figures things out - UW fades a bit
>> Husky D is tougher 2H (so far)
 
bookieassassin said:
For some reason ..... Cal HC Wilcox has extreme issues getting his team prepared for teams they're supposed to beat .....EASILY.
>> if a competitive game (<7 pt fav) - they're great ..... 8-0 su/ats - a non-competitive one (>14) .....2-12 ats / 10 pts from 0-14

In all games where the spread is <7 - he's covered 23/30 - winning 50% su if dog

WHY? - gotta start with him. He MUST kinda take it easy on himself/staff/players on these 'off weeks' - then really gear up when facing a tough opponent. Coaches work harder - practices are more intense - he coaches more aggressively on game day, etc

Can't believe I hesitated to take the 14 LW - if a short favorite (SDSU was really good) they woulda killed 'em probably ha
Click to expand...
TREMENDO BA!!! +195 ML
 
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