1Pm starts:
Colts -17 -102 (buy the hook to -16.5)(2.5x)
Clearly the concern here is how motivated Indy is? I think with a BYE WEEK undeck that certainly helps out. Especially since Indy is nicked up..
Both teams weaknesses are stopping the run and neither can really take advantage of that Rhodes and Addai are better then Brown and White.
In general the Colts defense has played well this year at HOME. Holding Jags to 14 and Texans to 24 which saw 3 4thquarter TDS in a blowout. The Texan offense appears light years ahead of Tenny though. You would expect Indy to put up 35 points and I dont see Tenny breaking 17.
Past 2 years the Colts were -12.5 and -15.5 vs Tenny at RCA. Same Colts squad while Tenny is falling...Givens OUT and Bennett Questionable leaving Young with few weapons...
Panthers -7.5 -101(buy to 6.5 )(8x)
Huge key the injury situation in Cleveland...there top 3 corners are not playing. There backup safety is OUTAnd FS Brian Russell is questionable. Even the offense is bange dup with Winslow and Droughns being on the injury list.
Now I hate laying wood with Carolina but they got backdoored last week versus a better Saints team(better then Cle). Here we get th same number basically and that has to present value. Remember that Cle hosted NO as small favs and lost SU. Remember that Cle was catching a TD 2 weeks ago at home vs Balt.
Remember Browns have struggled vs the Run enter DeAngelo Willaims and DeShaun Foster...now there solid pass defense is iffy starting there 4th and 5th corners.
Over 23 -113 Carolina team (3x)
Dolphins +10 -110 (4x)
Had played this earlier in the week thinking Dante was starting. Truth is the books and I agree that it really doesnt matter that he isnt. If the boooks cared tehy would have adjusted the line...just like when the Mets inserted Maine for ElDuque..
Pats still have some issues and the Bengals were getting to much respect last week and NE not enough after losing at home to Denver on primetime.
Public sees Miami off loss to Houston and NE off win @ cincy...Remember that Phins were only +1 in Pitt in week 1...Lets see how good that Miami run defense is..
Bears -9.5 -102 (2.5x)
Teams just do NOT score in Chicago...PERIOD!
Seattle 6 points , Lions 7 points...2 games 1 TD and 2 Fgs.
Last year ATL 3 , GB 7 , Car 3 , SF 9 , Balt 6 , Minny 3 , Det 6...the lone team cincy 24 in week 2..
I worry about a flat performance here but thats about all...Bills will again struggle on offense and should score 10 points...can chi top 20...I think theyget 20-23 here...
Under 35 -110 Bears & Bills (3x)
Lions +6.5 -103 (3x) ( buy it 7.5)
Minnesota is a run first offense and the Lions have been solid vs the run its the pass defense that has killed them. Brad Johnson isnt my concen as he is steady but his WR's are a question? I dont see how I can expect Minnyto score enough to be a TD fav..
DET offense appears to be improving every week and they narrowly missed a win in STL. Longwell battled strep throat this week and do yo want your best offensive weapon to be ill?
Bucs +6.5 -103(2.5x) (buy to 7.5)
First thing is the most impressive part about NO has been there defense. So I expect a low scoring game. Gradkowski appeared prepared to play in the preseason IMO. The Buc offense has just struggled since day one...
I expect the NO offense which IMO has struggled to score against ATL and Carolina to probably not top 20 points. Buc off a BYE will be ready to play...will the OL though?
TB is 4-1 past 5 in NO with a 3 pt loss. Not overly concerned about the Bucs run defense since it kept Car & Balt in relatiev check.
Under 35 -110 (4x)
thinking 17-14 game...
Still looking at the GB / StL game...
My honest OPINION is that NY is a SHARP play. There appears to be no reason why this line continues to run up. NY is historically bad off a bye week and betting appears to be split fairly even...yet the game keeps moving..I am staying away.
GL
Colts -17 -102 (buy the hook to -16.5)(2.5x)
Clearly the concern here is how motivated Indy is? I think with a BYE WEEK undeck that certainly helps out. Especially since Indy is nicked up..
Both teams weaknesses are stopping the run and neither can really take advantage of that Rhodes and Addai are better then Brown and White.
In general the Colts defense has played well this year at HOME. Holding Jags to 14 and Texans to 24 which saw 3 4thquarter TDS in a blowout. The Texan offense appears light years ahead of Tenny though. You would expect Indy to put up 35 points and I dont see Tenny breaking 17.
Past 2 years the Colts were -12.5 and -15.5 vs Tenny at RCA. Same Colts squad while Tenny is falling...Givens OUT and Bennett Questionable leaving Young with few weapons...
Panthers -7.5 -101(buy to 6.5 )(8x)
Huge key the injury situation in Cleveland...there top 3 corners are not playing. There backup safety is OUTAnd FS Brian Russell is questionable. Even the offense is bange dup with Winslow and Droughns being on the injury list.
Now I hate laying wood with Carolina but they got backdoored last week versus a better Saints team(better then Cle). Here we get th same number basically and that has to present value. Remember that Cle hosted NO as small favs and lost SU. Remember that Cle was catching a TD 2 weeks ago at home vs Balt.
Remember Browns have struggled vs the Run enter DeAngelo Willaims and DeShaun Foster...now there solid pass defense is iffy starting there 4th and 5th corners.
Over 23 -113 Carolina team (3x)
Dolphins +10 -110 (4x)
Had played this earlier in the week thinking Dante was starting. Truth is the books and I agree that it really doesnt matter that he isnt. If the boooks cared tehy would have adjusted the line...just like when the Mets inserted Maine for ElDuque..
Pats still have some issues and the Bengals were getting to much respect last week and NE not enough after losing at home to Denver on primetime.
Public sees Miami off loss to Houston and NE off win @ cincy...Remember that Phins were only +1 in Pitt in week 1...Lets see how good that Miami run defense is..
Bears -9.5 -102 (2.5x)
Teams just do NOT score in Chicago...PERIOD!
Seattle 6 points , Lions 7 points...2 games 1 TD and 2 Fgs.
Last year ATL 3 , GB 7 , Car 3 , SF 9 , Balt 6 , Minny 3 , Det 6...the lone team cincy 24 in week 2..
I worry about a flat performance here but thats about all...Bills will again struggle on offense and should score 10 points...can chi top 20...I think theyget 20-23 here...
Under 35 -110 Bears & Bills (3x)
Lions +6.5 -103 (3x) ( buy it 7.5)
Minnesota is a run first offense and the Lions have been solid vs the run its the pass defense that has killed them. Brad Johnson isnt my concen as he is steady but his WR's are a question? I dont see how I can expect Minnyto score enough to be a TD fav..
DET offense appears to be improving every week and they narrowly missed a win in STL. Longwell battled strep throat this week and do yo want your best offensive weapon to be ill?
Bucs +6.5 -103(2.5x) (buy to 7.5)
First thing is the most impressive part about NO has been there defense. So I expect a low scoring game. Gradkowski appeared prepared to play in the preseason IMO. The Buc offense has just struggled since day one...
I expect the NO offense which IMO has struggled to score against ATL and Carolina to probably not top 20 points. Buc off a BYE will be ready to play...will the OL though?
TB is 4-1 past 5 in NO with a 3 pt loss. Not overly concerned about the Bucs run defense since it kept Car & Balt in relatiev check.
Under 35 -110 (4x)
thinking 17-14 game...
Still looking at the GB / StL game...
My honest OPINION is that NY is a SHARP play. There appears to be no reason why this line continues to run up. NY is historically bad off a bye week and betting appears to be split fairly even...yet the game keeps moving..I am staying away.
GL
