***Week 5 Lex***

Lexington 125

Lexington 125

I cap it all, and I cap it well.
49ers+8.5

Demarcus Robinson rec yds o30.5

Davante Adam’s rec yds o56.5

2 units each


+900

Kyren td
Adams td
CMC td
Puka 6+ catches
Puka rec o60 yds

Half unit
 
Injuries reflected in the line, could easily see a closely played game 26-20 type. Might be a blowout but usually these divisional ones are close. Sf still to me has a defense so I’m taking the points
 
Lexington 125 said:
Injuries reflected in the line, could easily see a closely played game 26-20 type. Might be a blowout but usually these divisional ones are close. Sf still to me has a defense so I’m taking the points
Click to expand...
Nice start and I understand this cap. I didn't see that line move being correct. A bit too dramatic for myself.

Long game though but this only helps Puka props
 
early plays

Judkins rush & rec o93.5-112

3 units


Browns+1.5 1sth

Garrett at least .5 sacks/ Hutchinson at least .5 sacks (-113)

2 units each



+410

Judkins rush/rec o93.5/ TD
Garrett at least .5 sacks
Browns+10.5

half unit
 
I posted in another thread about this but everyone is on the fade the rookie on the road vs Flores. I'm gonna fade the backup who's starting against a mean defense with a decimated o-line. Honestly everything points to the under which makes me feel like it goes way over, but I'm not betting on a feeling.

Never bet a defensive prop before but Garrett should feast vs Wentz/ Hutchinson should get to Browning

I would think Cleveland leans on Judkins to ease Gabriel in. Said it before but no Van Ginkle makes the Vikings d less formidable to me. Hoping Judkins can break one off early and make it a no sweat, but I think he gets 110+ all purpose.


Playing Browns 1sth as opposed to full game because I have an unposted longshot with +3.5 as the last leg
 
Browns D comes out so soft 2ndh wtffffff


NYG+2

Chubb rush yds o31.5-118

Mason Taylor rec yds o31.5

3 units each


Mason Taylor TD+350

1 unit
 
decent day

Bills thoughts

Defensively they get Milano back but lose Dorian Williams... a wash to me at this point. Still no Oliver.

Offensively they are rolling with Curtis samuels as elijah moore is a healthy scratch. Regardless there will be a bunch of running from Buffalo. A ton of talk about how good the Pats run d is but they haven't faced an o-line this dominant and Cook.

Bills have been coasting and while I do think the Patriots are better than what you've seen, I don't think they will be able to match up with the Bills. 8 is a tough number but I do think the Bills win....

Still mulling over how I play it. Looking at a couple props....
 
Pats/Bills o49

4 units


Patriots tt o20.5

Bills tt o14.5-103 1sth

Bills-3/o43.5 (-125)

2 units each


Keon Coleman td+185

Ty Johnson TD+600

1 unit each
 
Lexington 125 said:
Brian Thomas rec yds o55.5

Brian Thomas td+185

2 units each
Click to expand...
Nice!

Tossed a unit on his yards too. Never easy but that was a beautiful pass n catch to grab the over.

I went a bit wild and took him 2 TDs +1200. No dice, but he's going to have a multi TD game soon methinks.
 
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