Week 5 in the FCS

[s--k]

Saturday, September 27

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Delaware State at Sacred Heart	12:00pm	ESPN+
Penn at Lehigh	12:00pm	ESPN+
New Haven at Duquesne	12:00pm	SNP/NEC Front Row
Norfolk State at Wagner	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Dartmouth at CCSU	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Stetson at Dayton	12:00pm	YouTube
Georgetown at Columbia	12:00pm	ESPN+
Cornell at Yale	12:00pm	ESPN+
Towson at Bryant	1:00pm	FloSports
Holy Cross at Fordham	1:00pm	ESPN+
LIU at Stonehill	1:00pm	NEC Front Row
Morehead State at Presbyterian	1:00pm	ESPN+
Marist at Butler	1:00pm	FloSports
UAlbany at New Hampshire	1:00pm	FloSports
Howard at Richmond	2:00pm	ESPN+
South Dakota at North Dakota State	2:00pm	ABC ND/ESPN+
Utah Tech at Austin Peay	2:00pm	ESPN+
Hampton at Elon	2:00pm	FloSports/My48
Miles College vs Morgan State (in Indianapolis, IN)	2:00pm	TV TBA
Mercyhurst at South Dakota State	3:00pm	ESPN+
Alabama State at Florida A&M	3:00pm	HBCU GO
Alabama A&M at Bethune-Cookman	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Idaho State at Northern Colorado	3:00pm	ESPN+
Furman at Samford	3:30pm	ESPN+
Western Carolina at Campbell	3:30pm	FloSports
William & Mary at Villanova	3:30pm	FloSports
North Carolina A&T at Maine	3:30pm	FOX22/FloSports
Merrimack at Stony Brook	3:30pm	FloSports
Lindenwood at Miami (Ohio)	3:30pm	ESPN+
Princeton at Lafayette	3:30pm	ESPN+
Eastern Illinois at Western Illinois	4:00pm	ESPN+
St. Thomas at San Diego	4:00pm	ESPN+
Eastern Washington at Montana State	4:00pm	Scripps/SWX/ESPN+
Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State	4:30pm	ESPN+
Texas Southern at MVSU	5:00pm	SWAC TV
Northern Arizona at Portland State	5:00pm	ESPN+
Mercer at ETSU	5:30pm	ESPN+
Saint Francis U. at Bucknell	6:00pm	ESPN+
Brown at Harvard	6:00pm	ESPN+
SC State at Charleston So.	6:00pm	ESPN+
The Citadel at Chattanooga	6:00pm	ESPN+
Nicholls at Eastern Kentucky	6:00pm	ESPN+
Rhode Island at Western Michigan	6:30pm	ESPN+
Abilene Christian at UIW	7:00pm	ESPN+
Grambling State vs Prairie View A&M (in Dallas, TX)	7:00pm	SWAC TV
Southeast Missouri at UT Martin	7:00pm	ESPN+
Jackson State at Southern	7:00pm	ESPN network
Alcorn State vs UAPB (in Memphis, TN)	7:00pm	theGrio
NC Central at East Texas A&M	7:00pm	ESPN+
UTRGV at Southeastern La.	7:00pm	ESPN+
Central Arkansas at Lamar	7:00pm	ESPN+
McNeese at Stephen F. Austin	8:00pm	ESPN+
West Georgia at Southern Utah	8:30pm	ESPN+
Cal Poly at Sacramento State	9:00pm	KMAX31/ESPN+
Weber State at UC Davis	10:00pm	ESPN+/CW Sac
Idaho at Montana	10:15pm	ESPN2

 

[steponaduck]

So much I am looking forward to this week in FCS

 

[carolinablue]

Unfortunately gonna miss the party the next two weeks as me and the wife are taking the profits to head to Europe for a few weeks. Hope you guys kill it while I’m gone and I will see you guys back in here for Week 7 action.

 

[s--k]

Massey

Date​	Team​	Standing​	Scr​	Pred​	Pwin​	Margin​	Total​
Sat 09.27 12:00.PM.ET	Stetson @ Dayton	# 129 (1-3) # 100 (2-1)	0 0	10 37	4 % 96 %	-26.5	50.5
Sat 09.27 12:00.PM.ET	Delaware St @ Sacred Heart	# 87 (3-1) # 73 (3-1)	0 0	21 27	34 % 66 %	-5.5	50.5
Sat 09.27 12:00.PM.ET	Penn @ Lehigh	# 53 (1-0) # 22 (4-0)	0 0	23 28	37 % 63 %	-4.5	51.5
Sat 09.27 12:00.PM.ET	New Haven @ Duquesne	# 111 (2-2) # 102 (1-3)	0 0	24 34	25 % 75 %	-10.5	57.5
Sat 09.27 1:00.PM.ET	Marist @ Butler	# 116 (2-1) # 93 (2-2)	0 0	17 30	18 % 82 %	-12.5	48.5
Sat 09.27 1:00.PM.ET	SUNY Albany @ New Hampshire	# 81 (1-3) # 27 (2-2)	0 0	20 30	21 % 79 %	-9.5	50.5
Sat 09.27 1:00.PM.ET	Georgetown @ Columbia	# 104 (2-2) # 77 (0-1)	0 0	17 31	18 % 82 %	-13.5	49.5
Sat 09.27 1:00.PM.ET	Towson @ Bryant	# 44 (2-2) # 65 (2-2)	0 0	28 24	63 % 37 %	-4.5	55.5
Sat 09.27 1:00.PM.ET	Morehead St @ Presbyterian	# 123 (2-2) # 83 (4-0)	0 0	23 31	27 % 73 %	-7.5	55.5
Sat 09.27 2:00.PM.ET	Utah Tech @ Austin Peay	# 48 (1-3) # 15 (2-2)	0 0	20 33	18 % 82 %	-13.5	53.5
Sat 09.27 2:00.PM.ET	Hampton @ Elon	# 117 (1-3) # 33 (2-2)	0 0	14 35	9 % 91 %	-20.5	52.5
Sat 09.27 3:00.PM.ET	Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman	# 70 (3-1) # 106 (1-3)	0 0	31 28	57 % 43 %	-3.5	60.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	Lindenwood @ Miami OH	# 64 (2-2) (0-3)	0 0	10 41	1 % 99 %	-31.5	52.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	Furman @ Samford	# 58 (2-1) # 95 (0-4)	0 0	28 27	51 % 49 %	-0.5	54.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	NC A&T @ Maine	# 110 (1-3) # 88 (0-4)	0 0	17 34	14 % 86 %	-16.5	55.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	William & Mary @ Villanova	# 45 (2-2) # 31 (1-2)	0 0	21 28	31 % 69 %	-6.5	51.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	W Carolina @ Campbell	# 62 (1-3) # 82 (1-3)	0 0	38 33	61 % 39 %	-4.5	70.5
Sat 09.27 3:30.PM.ET	Princeton @ Lafayette	# 96 (0-1) # 39 (3-1)	0 0	24 30	36 % 64 %	-5.5	57.5
Sat 09.27 4:00.PM.ET	E Illinois @ W Illinois	# 91 (1-2) # 86 (1-3)	0 0	31 34	46 % 54 %	-2.5	63.5
Sat 09.27 4:00.PM.ET	St Thomas MN @ San Diego	# 75 (2-1) # 61 (2-2)	0 0	23 26	44 % 56 %	-2.5	49.5
Sat 09.27 6:00.PM.ET	S Carolina St @ Charleston So	# 51 (2-2) # 101 (0-4)	0 0	28 24	63 % 37 %	-4.5	52.5
Sat 09.27 6:00.PM.ET	Brown @ Harvard	# 59 (1-0) # 25 (1-0)	0 0	21 35	23 % 77 %	-13.5	56.5
Sat 09.27 6:30.PM.ET	Rhode Island @ W Michigan	# 13 (4-0) (1-3)	0 0	14 28	10 % 90 %	-14.5	45.5
Sat 09.27 7:00.PM.ET	SE Missouri St @ TN Martin	# 43 (1-3) # 49 (0-4)	0 0	27 31	39 % 61 %	-3.5	57.5
Sat 09.27 7:00.PM.ET	UTRGV @ SE Louisiana	# 50 (4-0) # 28 (2-2)	0 0	27 33	39 % 61 %	-5.5	60.5
Sat 09.27 8:30.PM.ET	West Georgia @ Southern Utah	# 14 (4-0) # 41 (1-3)	0 0	28 34	36 % 64 %	-6.5	64.5
Sat 09.27	Alabama St @ Florida A&M	# 71 (2-1) # 92 (1-2)	0 0	22 24	46 % 54 %	-2.5	47.5
Sat 09.27	Cal Poly @ CS Sacramento	# 56 (2-2) # 17 (2-2)	0 0	20 35	18 % 82 %	-14.5	60.5
Sat 09.27	Citadel @ Chattanooga	# 67 (1-3) # 42 (1-3)	0 0	14 30	11 % 89 %	-15.5	47.5
Sat 09.27	Alcorn St Ark Pine Bluff Memphis TN	# 121 (0-3) # 125 (1-2)	0 0	30 21	75 % 25 %	-9.5	53.5
Sat 09.27	Abilene Chr @ Incarnate Word	# 10 (2-2) # 29 (1-3)	0 0	31 28	55 % 45 %	-2.5	59.5
Sat 09.27	Dartmouth @ Central Conn	# 24 (1-0) # 94 (2-2)	0 0	31 17	83 % 17 %	-13.5	50.5
Sat 09.27	Mercer @ ETSU	# 37 (2-1) # 35 (2-2)	0 0	27 24	59 % 41 %	-3.5	52.5
Sat 09.27	Nicholls St @ E Kentucky	# 47 (1-3) # 40 (1-3)	0 0	20 27	31 % 69 %	-6.5	47.5
Sat 09.27	E Washington @ Montana St	# 34 (1-3) # 4 (2-2)	0 0	21 39	13 % 87 %	-18.5	60.5
Sat 09.27	Grambling Prairie View Dallas TX	# 99 (3-1) # 98 (2-2)	0 0	27 28	48 % 52 %	-1.5	55.5
Sat 09.27	Holy Cross @ Fordham	# 55 (0-4) # 114 (0-4)	0 0	34 17	88 % 12 %	-17.5	50.5
Sat 09.27	Idaho @ Montana	# 11 (2-2) # 5 (3-0)	0 0	24 29	36 % 64 %	-4.5	55.5
Sat 09.27	Idaho St @ N Colorado	# 46 (1-3) # 60 (2-2)	0 0	31 24	69 % 31 %	-6.5	54.5
Sat 09.27	Jackson St @ Southern Univ	# 52 (2-1) # 115 (1-3)	0 0	31 16	88 % 12 %	-14.5	49.5
Sat 09.27	Cent Arkansas @ Lamar	# 57 (1-3) # 36 (2-1)	0 0	27 28	49 % 51 %	-0.5	54.5
Sat 09.27	McNeese St @ SF Austin	# 72 (1-3) # 23 (2-2)	0 0	20 34	15 % 85 %	-14.5	52.5
Sat 09.27	TX Southern @ MS Valley St	# 122 (0-3) # 128 (0-3)	0 0	28 21	71 % 29 %	-7.5	53.5
Sat 09.27	NC Central @ East Texas A&M	# 54 (3-2) # 108 (0-3)	0 0	31 24	70 % 30 %	-7.5	58.5
Sat 09.27	South Dakota @ N Dakota St	# 12 (2-2) # 2 (3-0)	0 0	17 35	11 % 89 %	-17.5	54.5
Sat 09.27	Northern Arizona @ Portland St	# 8 (3-1) # 68 (0-4)	0 0	34 24	74 % 26 %	-9.5	61.5
Sat 09.27	St Francis PA @ Bucknell	# 120 (0-4) # 85 (2-2)	0 0	21 31	24 % 76 %	-9.5	52.5
Sat 09.27	Mercyhurst @ S Dakota St	# 107 (1-3) # 1 (3-0)	0 0	3 49	0 % 100 %	-45.5	51.5
Sat 09.27	Merrimack @ Stony Brook	# 78 (2-2) # 76 (1-3)	0 0	21 28	32 % 68 %	-6.5	47.5
Sat 09.27	Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee St	# 19 (3-0) # 89 (1-2)	0 0	31 17	82 % 18 %	-13.5	51.5
Sat 09.27	Norfolk St @ Wagner	# 112 (1-3) # 124 (0-4)	0 0	27 24	59 % 41 %	-3.5	53.5
Sat 09.27	Weber St @ UC Davis	# 26 (2-2) # 7 (2-1)	0 0	27 37	28 % 72 %	-9.5	64.5
Sat 09.27	Cornell @ Yale	# 84 (0-1) # 16 (1-0)	0 0	17 34	17 % 83 %	-16.5	52.5
Sat 09.27	Howard @ Richmond	# 74 (3-1) # 32 (2-2)	0 0	10 31	4 % 96 %	-20.5	44.5
Sat 09.27	Miles Morgan St Indianapolis IN	(0-4) # 103 (1-3)	0 0	14 35	8 % 92 %	-20.5	50.5
Sat 09.27	LIU Post @ Stonehill	# 90 (1-3) # 109 (1-3)	0 0	28 23	65 % 35 %	-5.5	50.5

Massey Ratings - CF Games

CF,College Football,FCS, game scores, schedules, and predictions

masseyratings.com

 

[s--k]

Sagarin

FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _

====================================================================================

@ Miami-Ohio 20.06 20.56 20.74 22.26 17.84 Lindenwood 676 87% 50.66

@ Western Michigan 11.01 12.20 11.01 11.01 6.78 Rhode Island 302 75% 41.51

N @ Alcorn State 3.25 2.32 5.07 2.82 1.46 Ark.-Pine Bluff 141 58% 49.98

@ Austin Peay 15.02 16.33 15.38 15.81 16.77 Utah Tech 436 81% 50.13

@ Bethune-Cookman 2.75 3.35 1.83 2.48 -0.52 Alabama A&M 134 57% 58.25

Towson 2.77 2.71 3.03 4.48 3.76 @ Bryant 134 57% 54.73

@ Bucknell 8.43 7.96 6.81 12.73 21.47 Saint Francis-Pa. 237 70% 49.01

@ Butler 11.80 12.77 13.02 10.98 2.62 Marist 325 76% 49.76

Western Carolina 0.39 -0.25 -0.13 3.22 3.58 @ Campbell 104 51% 71.16

Dartmouth 6.15 4.13 10.91 5.28 5.50 @ Central Connecticut 189 65% 44.54

SC State 1.33 0.46 1.64 3.59 4.61 @ Charleston Southern 115 54% 43.16

@ Chattanooga 15.68 15.93 15.73 17.88 18.71 The Citadel 462 82% 47.15

@ Columbia 8.50 11.32 2.38 11.50 5.83 Georgetown 238 70% 58.69

@ Dayton 13.09 10.99 11.21 21.83 33.75 Stetson 366 79% 44.95

@ Duquesne 7.10 7.30 8.87 4.47 -4.37 New Haven 208 68% 48.63

@ East Tennessee State 1.41 0.18 -0.23 3.99 6.45 Mercer 116 54% 45.66

@ Eastern Kentucky 3.04 3.40 3.97 0.85 -0.17 Nicholls State 138 58% 42.82

@ Elon 16.83 16.40 15.81 21.47 29.29 Hampton 512 84% 52.66

@ Florida A&M 1.35 2.42 4.30 -4.52 -17.02 Alabama State 115 54% 56.00

Holy Cross 8.08 7.90 5.95 15.14 23.26 @ Fordham 229 70% 44.13

@ Harvard 15.54 15.55 14.78 19.49 19.79 Brown 457 82% 46.26

@ Incarnate Word 3.94 3.36 6.40 1.34 -4.11 Abilene Christian 151 60% 52.45

@ Lafayette 11.52 7.19 17.49 13.93 27.61 Princeton 317 76% 68.72

@ Lamar 7.33 7.71 4.17 11.64 22.71 Central Arkansas 213 68% 47.85

@ Lehigh 6.66 7.47 1.73 12.26 19.54 Pennsylvania 199 67% 46.32

@ Maine 12.46 12.79 11.18 15.55 19.94 NC A&T 346 78% 49.83

Texas Southern 1.43 0.33 0.15 6.88 10.47 @ Miss. Valley State 116 54% 42.00

@ Montana 10.82 11.48 10.82 11.38 14.66 Idaho 297 75% 53.17

@ Montana State 18.21 20.00 20.08 17.04 13.21 Eastern Washington 577 85% 47.51

@ New Hampshire 12.14 12.29 11.12 14.99 19.39 Albany-NY 336 77% 43.92

@ North Dakota State 22.16 23.15 19.39 28.60 38.50 South Dakota 806 89% 48.13

@ Northern Colorado 4.23 3.84 3.12 5.52 10.20 Idaho State 156 61% 51.13

Northern Arizona 5.82 6.52 3.65 10.53 17.86 @ Portland State 183 65% 60.55

C Grambling State 1.21 1.65 0.33 2.79 0.62 @ Prairie View A&M 114 53% 54.32

@ Presbyterian College 11.55 10.23 9.27 17.60 32.68 Morehead State 318 76% 55.82

@ Richmond 11.65 12.11 12.59 11.60 10.20 Howard 321 76% 38.86

@ Sacramento State 19.37 19.43 17.94 24.55 28.67 Cal Poly-SLO 638 86% 56.28

@ Sacred Heart 3.15 2.66 5.68 0.64 -3.61 Delaware State 139 58% 49.75

@ Samford 0.90 0.00 1.72 -0.16 -6.08 Furman 110 52% 56.17

@ San Diego 1.31 -0.18 2.90 0.25 -4.63 St. Thomas-Mn. 115 53% 61.81

@ South Dakota State 30.24 30.66 35.47 30.24 22.07 Mercyhurst 1503 94% 45.22

@ SE Louisiana 14.19 18.53 9.74 17.73 13.71 UTRGV 405 80% 50.40

Jackson State 4.81 5.47 3.25 8.76 14.10 @ Southern U. 165 62% 47.28

@ Southern Utah 2.45 1.60 5.29 -0.60 -9.13 West Georgia 130 56% 62.96

@ Stephen F. Austin 14.52 15.15 14.18 16.49 21.44 McNeese State 417 81% 48.44

@ Stonehill College 2.45 2.74 1.74 2.19 5.04 LIU Post 130 56% 40.72

@ Stony Brook 6.62 5.52 6.42 8.59 9.45 Merrimack 199 67% 42.14

Tennessee Tech 6.87 7.63 2.55 14.32 32.26 @ Tennessee State 203 67% 65.90

@ Tennessee-Martin 2.43 2.46 4.37 -1.14 -6.23 SE Missouri State 129 56% 54.11

NC Central 2.89 3.16 3.36 3.99 5.21 @ East Texas A&M 136 58% 55.64

@ UC Davis 11.57 12.33 12.00 11.73 11.85 Weber State 319 76% 69.84

@ Villanova 6.00 6.13 7.40 4.26 -0.81 William & Mary 187 65% 58.27

@ Wagner 1.41 1.12 1.45 0.87 2.25 Norfolk State 116 54% 43.07

@ Western Illinois 4.69 4.17 4.63 5.27 8.62 Eastern Illinois 163 62% 60.83

@ Yale 20.51 17.24 29.41 18.69 21.31 Cornell 703 88% 41.08

College Football Ratings Page

 

[s--k]

Reddit

/r/FCS Sportsbook - FCS Games

9/27: Abilene Christian -7.5 @ UIW (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman -1 (O/U 56.5)

9/27: Alabama State -5.5 @ Florida A&M (O/U 54)

9/27: UAlbany @ New Hampshire -16.5 (O/U 48.5)

9/27: Alcorn State -6 vs. UAPB (O/U 55.5)

9/27: Brown @ Harvard -1 (O/U 55)

9/27: Cal Poly @ Sacramento State -9 (O/U 54.5)

9/27: Central Arkansas @ Lamar -10.5 (O/U 52.5)

9/27: Cornell @ Yale -23 (O/U 40.5)

9/27: Dartmouth -13.5 @ CCSU (O/U 49.5)

9/27: Delaware State -1 @ Sacred Heart (O/U 50)

9/27: Eastern Illinois @ Western Illinois -4 (O/U 57.5)

9/27: Eastern Washington @ Montana State -19.5 (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Furman -12.5 @ Samford (O/U 55.5)

9/27: Georgetown -4.5 @ Columbia (O/U 55)

9/27: Grambling vs. Prairie View A&M -2 (O/U 55.5)

9/27: Hampton @ Elon -23 (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Holy Cross -22.5 @ Fordham (O/U 52)

9/27: Howard @ Richmond -14 (O/U 46.5)

9/27: Idaho @ Montana -14 (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Idaho State -1 @ Northern Colorado (O/U 54)

9/27: Jackson State -17.5 @ Southern (O/U 50)

9/27: Lindenwood @ Miami OH -13.5 (O/U 52.5)

9/27: LIU @ Stonehill -1.5 (O/U 47.5)

9/27: Marist @ Butler -2 (O/U 50)

9/27: McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -17 (O/U 54)

9/27: Mercer @ ETSU -0.5 (O/U 51.5)

9/27: Mercyhurst @ South Dakota State -30.5 (O/U 50)

9/27: Merrimack -1.5 @ Stony Brook (O/U 48)

9/27: Miles vs. Morgan State -25.5 (O/U 52.5)

9/27: Morehead State @ Presbyterian -19.5 (O/U 58.5)

9/27: New Haven @ Duquesne -7.5 (O/U 56)

9/27: Nicholls @ EKU -2.5 (O/U 48.5)

9/27: Norfolk State -1.5 @ Wagner (O/U 53.5)

9/27: North Carolina A&T @ Maine -15 (O/U 54.5)

9/27: NCCU -8 @ East Texas A&M (O/U 58)

9/27: Northern Arizona -15 @ Portland State (O/U 58)

9/27: Penn @ Lehigh -7.5 (O/U 50)

9/27: Princeton @ Lafayette -17.5 (O/U 61.5)

9/27: Rhode Island @ Western Michigan -9.5 (O/U 45)

9/27: Southeast Missouri -3 @ UT Martin (O/U 55.5)

9/27: South Carolina State -5 @ Charleston Southern (O/U 52.5)

9/27: South Dakota @ North Dakota State -28 (O/U 52)

9/27: St. Francis @ Bucknell -17.5 (O/U 52.5)

9/27: St. Thomas -6.5 @ San Diego (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Stetson @ Dayton -31 (O/U 51.5)

9/27: Tennessee Tech -32 @ Tennessee State (O/U 57.5)

9/27: Texas Southern -10 @ MVSU (O/U 52)

9/27: The Citadel @ Chattanooga -17.5 (O/U 53)

9/27: Towson -5.5 @ Bryant (O/U 53.5)

9/27: Utah Tech @ Austin Peay -16.5 (O/U 51.5)

9/27: UTRGV -6 @ Southeastern (O/U 58)

9/27: Weber State @ UC Davis -11 (O/U 62)

9/27: West Georgia -6.5 @ Southern Utah (O/U 59)

9/27: Western Carolina -1.5 @ Campbell (O/U 63.5)

9/27: William & Mary @ Villanova -1 (O/U 55.5)

https://www.reddit.com/r/fcs/comments/1n08tmt/the_rfcs_sportsbook_is_back_for_2025_the_earliest

 

[s--k]

S&P+


Alabama A&M 34.5, Bethune-Cookman 25.1

Alabama State 27.3, Florida A&M 19.4

Alcorn State 30.2, UAPB 23.7

Austin Peay 34.2, Utah Tech 18.1

Bucknell 35.5, Saint Francis-PA 16.9

Butler 26.8, Marist 21.2

Chattanooga 33.3, The Citadel 17.7

Columbia 28.0, Georgetown 22.6

Dartmouth 25.8, Central Connecticut 20.2

Dayton 34.8, Stetson 11.7

Duquesne 31.0, New Haven 21.0

Eastern Kentucky 26.5, Nicholls State 18.6

Elon 33.8, Hampton 19.5

Furman 32.8, Samford 23.5

Grambling 28.7, Prairie View A&M 24.9

Harvard 38.0, Brown 19.9

Holy Cross 34.3, Fordham 15.5

Idaho State 29.8, Northern Colorado 25.1

Incarnate Word 28.7, Abilene Christian 27.9

Jackson State 32.8, Southern U. 16.8

Lafayette 36.6, Princeton 25.5

Lamar 30.5, Central Arkansas 19.9

Lehigh 32.8, Penn 17.9

Maine 32.7, NC A&T 20.0

Mercer 27.4, ETSU 20.8

Montana 34.8, Idaho 21.7

Montana State 39.1, Eastern Washington 19.3

NC Central 38.6, East Texas A&M 15.9

New Hampshire 31.6, Albany-NY 15.1

Norfolk State 26.3, Wagner 21.4

North Dakota State 40.1, South Dakota 14.4

Northern Arizona 41.2, Portland State 19.9

Presbyterian 36.6, Morehead State 15.9

Richmond 27.4, Howard 17.0

Sacramento State 37.8, Cal Poly 19.3

Sacred Heart 24.5, Delaware State 22.2

SC State 33.4, Charleston Southern 19.4

SE Missouri State 31.8, UT Martin 29.9

South Dakota State 42.4, Mercyhurst 5.2

Southeastern Louisiana 29.7, UTRGV 19.8

St. Thomas 31.1, San Diego 22.8

Stephen F. Austin 33.2, McNeese State 18.1

Stony Brook 25.2, Merrimack 21.7

Tennessee Tech 43.5, Tennessee State 11.6

Texas Southern 32.0, MVSU 19.7

Towson 30.3, Bryant 24.5

UC Davis 40.1, Weber State 24.8

Villanova 26.2, William & Mary 25.7

West Georgia 31.7, Southern Utah 30.0

Western Carolina 37.6, Campbell 30.0

Western Illinois 34.0, Eastern Illinois 31.6

Yale 33.2, Cornell 13.7

Lindenwood at Miami-OH

Miami-OH​

21.7​

91%​

36-14​

Rhode Island at Western Michigan

W Michigan​

0.8​

52%​

22-22​

https://x.com/ESPN_BillC

 

[sleepy]

Reddit sportsbook has a far more accurate reflection of the odds than Massey or Sagarin

 

[sleepy]

Some of those Massey and Sagarin odds are just laughable

 

[sleepy]

Solid efforts on defense by both teams

 

[s--k]

There is usually an outlier on the PR spreads. Sometimes it is Reddit. I think the Reddit numbers are solid sometimes either in a close to actual open or as a predictor of where the line ultimately goes. They all have their warts, but good to reference all I feel. You make your own lines right Sleepy? I don't think I have the ability or time to ever do my own, but I envy and respect all that do.

 

[steponaduck]

Imagine thinking Harvard would be -1

 

[s--k]

Imagine thinking Harvard would be -1

Care in point, the outlier. Some of their lines this season, just the last couple weeks when they should be better have been way off. Last week they had Austin Peay -13, which nothing wrong to favor them based on recent play, but -13 on the road was heavy. Dayton -11 at Robert Morris? Kudos to them to identify the actual winner in the game ahead of time, but you can't favor them by 11 at RM. There are plenty others.

But then they do sometimes nail where lines might end up, like Montana -20 which had been bet up to 26.5 or 27.5 I think before crashing downward. Or Sac State at -18.5 which I think it got there, or almost got there in the 17 neighborhood when the market let it sit around 12-14 for a couple days.

So, like I said they all have some warts. I personally feel I am better off for looking at all of them and just seeing what some of these lines could be according to whomever in absence of my own. Post for all to see, and it's fun to pick them apart ahead of time. Harvard -1 as if! They can defend themselves if they wish, they have some process that is supposed to keep track of right team being favored and who wins the game straight up and I think they have some way of comparing their line to the official line. It's within their spreadsheet.

 

[sleepy]

Cal Poly QB Ty Dieffenbach left game in 1st quarter and did not return.

Jackson Akins replaced him and put up poor numbers 13/29 with 3 picks

https://www.sanluisobispo.com/sports/college/cal-poly-sports/article312179114.html

 

[sleepy]

Just read that they played 8 minute quarters in the second half

They could have scored scored 110 with the additional time

Cooke played a little bit in the game. I assume he is good to go next week against Northern Colorado

 

[steponaduck]

Lincoln CA is not a real team.

It’s like one of those guys who buys a college online for $10

Then slaps a team together…they lose every game 69-0 or so.

 

[sleepy]

Northern Colorado has improved a lot

HCU had only 200 yds of total offense and only TD's were generated by the defense

 

[sleepy]

Nice start to the season by Alabama State Andrew Body

Completions/Attempts: 48-for-65
Passing Yards: 761
Touchdowns: 10
Interceptions: 0

According to the latest NCAA rankings, Body leads all of FCS with a 223.0 passer efficiency rating. That number not only puts him ahead of every other quarterback in the country, it also pushes him into territory rarely seen in college football.

 

[s--k]

Northern Colorado very gritty team and good for them they got a result they deserved finally. After the heartbreak of CSU and USD the last 2 weeks they had the game-winning 36y FGA in regulation blk'd with :04 so they went to OT. Won it on 2nd QB sneak try from the 1 in bottom of OT1 after all those goal line issues the week prior at USD. 437-200 yard edge and barely won! This team is still pretty deficient but do love how they are battling. Might they be running a little low this week after so many grinding emotional games - or does it inspire them for Big Sky home opener?

Pretty clear evidence if it wasn't known fully before HCU is a little bit worse each year since Braxton Harris was there and then left. 6-5 2023 in Harris' 1 year, 5-7 2024 last year without him and already 1-3 with no Dl wins and 0-2 vs FCS teams they could've or should've had a shot at winning. People had talked about how good they had been recruiting, but a lot of their good players have transferred out.

 

[s--k]

Cal Poly QB Ty Dieffenbach left game in 1st quarter and did not return.

Jackson Akins replaced him and put up poor numbers 13/29 with 3 picks

https://www.sanluisobispo.com/sports/college/cal-poly-sports/article312179114.html

Dieffenbach was an upgrade for them it appears. I would think Kelly has a shot at regaining the starting job if Dieffenbach is out. Kelly started a few last year, but like you say they have played Akins and also Grisby this year so it's a bunch of guys that are all kind of bad to below average.

 

[s--k]

Lincoln CA is not a real team.

It’s like one of those guys who buys a college online for $10

Then slaps a team together…they lose every game 69-0 or so.

Can you imagine being on that team, or who would even want to be on a team like that?

 

[sleepy]

The Great Danes' quarterback situation is uncertain entering the New Hampshire game. Starter Jack Shields came out at halftime after taking a helmet to the knee. Colin Parachek entered and threw his first passes since he was at Marshall two years ago.

 

[s--k]

Albany been pretty rough. Cornell was a good matchup for them...finally got their run game going and didn't face much of a threat on D from Cornell. Very inefficient O so far this year. Albany 1pt home fav last year and game was played fairly even on stat sheet, but wasn't so close on the field. UNH led 24-0 HT and Albany got a bunch of their yards and pts later in the game. Not real in love with UNH this year either, their O sometimes gets yards but not so many points with some bad RZ games and some bad 3rd down O games. I'd bet them to win, but looking at projected spreads, not sure I want to trust them to win by much margin. Unders. Depending on number, UNH vs FCS is either 2-1 or 3-0 to the Under and Albany is 2-1 Under vs FCS.

 

[sleepy]

Not that it matters because all The Citadel QBs suck

Freshman quarterback Cobey Thompkins left Saturday’s game against Mercer after the Bulldogs’ first offensive series and did not return.
Thompkins did not practice on Sunday and hasn’t been cleared to practice on Tuesday, the Bulldogs’ next scheduled workout.

 

[s--k]

Always appreciate the personnel updates, that always gets away from me during the week.

There was some buzz about the Air Force transfer Hayes, who I think started a few games for AF last year, but he's been a dud too. Only time their O is going to be a threat is when they either play a really weak offensive team and they can stay in the game with 10-20 pts (Wofford, VMI, maaayyybe Furman if it is like last year), or they play an extremely bad D like Samford and even while 20 of their 40 pts were by turnovers, 14 scored directly by the D themselves, still, vs Samford the O hit 10-of-13 for 168 yards passing! More of an indictment on Samford which we already knew. 12.9 yards per pass attempt vs Samford! Avg 5.76 in other 3 games. And that was Tompkins who did almost all the passing vs Samford for what it is worth (9-11-155-1-0 #1 rusher) while Hayes as 1-2-13-1-0 #2 rusher.

 

[s--k]

Who is playing QB for Long Island this week will matter. They started Howell and he was predictably awful. LIU needs either Stanzani or Greenwood, preferrably both from their perspective. No idea the nature of their injuries. Depsite URI winning 28-7 that was actually a pretty unimpressive game by Rhody (3-out punts 3x 1H and one TD drive was 2p4y after LIU punted from own EZ and Buchanon gave them a great return). Only outgained LIU with a weak 3rd string QB 351-304 (5.1-4.8). I don't do rankings so I really do not want to criticize those that do, but why Rhode Island is #6 in the country is beyond me. Good team, but great team? Don't think so.

 

[s--k]

Don’t know when they came out, only two crossovers this week:

WMich-7.5 / 47.5
Mia Oh -20.5 / 49.5

I took URI and Over in the Lindenwood game

 

[s--k]

Don’t know when they came out, only two crossovers this week:

WMich-7.5 / 47.5
Mia Oh -20.5 / 49.5

I took URI and Over in the Lindenwood game

I was just told MiaOh QB hurt last week. I don’t know anything about these FBS teams other than assumptions. I wouldn’t have taken Over if Mia on backup QB

 

[steponaduck]

Eeeah. Maybe I’m the sucker this week.
I took western Michigan on opener

 

[s--k]

Eeeah. Maybe I’m the sucker this week.
I took western Michigan on opener

you could be right. Hard for me to have a lot of confidence as I don't know really anything about WM. But I would think that talent wise, URI O is as good as any MAC O and I feel pretty good in saying that. D I am not sure, URI could be vulnerable there, they have played better in spots this year than I anticipated before the season started.

 

[s--k]

Delaware State at Sacred Heart - Lean DSU if dogged, but not laying many pts if fav. Am a bit surprised DSU have played as well as they have this year considering I thought the DeSean Jackson hire was more publicity than something that would show in terms of wins. In some ways St Francis had their best O game so far this year vs DSU last week, which isn't a good reflection on DSU D. DSU has enjoyed playing 3 weak opponents the last 3 weeks and now at Sacred Heart who would appear like another weak team, but does play tough. DSU beat them here last year as a 5.5pt dog, but it came down to a failed 2pt conversion to tie late. SHU ugly dog 3-0 ATS this year and were 5-2 ATS in that role last year.

Penn at Lehigh - Penn isn't dogged often, 2-0 ATS last year including a 3 pt loss +8.5 vs Harvard when Crimson never led until game winning FG and a 7 pt loss +13 at Delaware. Two years ago Penn 2-0 ATS as dogs with a straight up win vs Yale and an OT loss vs Harvard. That makes them 3-0 ATS vs teams that won/shared the Ivy Title the last 2 years. Pretty solid. Lehigh started the year 0-2 ATS as fav, but O is getting better each week with impressive wins vs Duquesne and Bucknell...who have weak defenses. Vs some better Ds Lehigh did struggle some to score vs SHU and Richmond weeks 1 and 2. Penn up 14-0 left the door open for Stonehill last week and had to kick a game winning FG with :09 left despite a ttl yard edge of 375-261 (6.0-4.4). Would assume that Penn is competitive here so what the spread is matters.

New Haven at Duquesne. Not much interest in laying pts with Duquesne and not a good pulse on New Haven to take pts. Could be an Over game though depending on number as both teams have shown some O vs the right opponent and can't trust either D.

Norfolk State at Wagner. Both teams struggling to find their way. Believe that Wagner is worse off as home loss vs Marist showed. Wagner may have the worst passing O in FCS. It has been a struggle for Norfolk as well but have some proven capability on O, 550y and 28 pts last week in the loss vs SHU and 490 with 34 pts in the OT win vs Virginia State and they had a few good possessions at Rutgers. Was a tough loss vs SHU last week for Vick's crew, had some good drives end up empty in terms of points due to TO or missed FGs. If Norfolk gets the run or pass game going here, which they should, don't believe Wagner is good enough on O to trade scores. Wagner #1 QB might be injured just based on box score review, but he was bad anyway so backup can't be worse.

Dartmouth at CCSU. Dartmouth quality win vs an upper-mid CAA team UNH open 1-0. CCSU still limited on O, 262y of O (4.2) and didn't score until the 4Q last week at Merrimack and week prior beat SFU 31-7 but only had 300y (4.2) as they had 3 of 4 TD drives under 23 yards. Which is kind of what CCSU was last year too, a limited O that relied on TOs and D to propel them to the NEC Title and playoff birth. Olson completing under 50% passes in 3 of 4 games this year. Dartmouth was -12.5 at home last year vs CCSU and only won 20-16, CCSU was SOD at the D06 with :40 left in a super close game (CCSU led often throughout). A couple lines project this to be as large of a Dartmouth road fav role at CCSU as they were last year at home vs them which makes for a curious spread.

Stetson at Dayton. Stetson has been big dogs vs Pioneer opponents before and it is bad. 2024 lost by 22 at Davidson as 17.5 pt dog, lost vs PC by 28 as 5.5 pt dog, lost vs Butler by 33 as 26.5 pt dog, lost by 39 at San Diego as 26.5 pt dog and lost by 39 vs Drake as 19 pt dog. Dayton doesn't typically blow teams away, but they can on occasion (beat Marist by 37 in 2024 and 29 in 2023 and beat Davison by 31 also in '23). Can't be excited about it, a lot of variance in the PR lines from as low as 13 to as high as 31, but would assume Dayton is the only way to go.

Georgetown at Columbia. Message boards aren't talking about who is QB for the Hoyas this week, mostly discussing why the school is fielding a football team. Columbia was -7 on the road last year, but GT won with +4 TO margin and a 345-378 (5.9-5.6) deficit. Columbia led 14-0 but the turnovers and a short FG instead of a TD allowed GT to steal it 20-17. 2023 in a downpour Columbia won 30-0 as 6.5 pt favs. 411-167 ttl yard edge in that one... and Columbia went 3-7 that year. Not sure how the team responds to the worst loss in the 12 year tenure of Sgarlata. It was as bad as it gets for sure.

Cornell at Yale. Double revenge for Yale and if last week is any indication, they will certainly get it this year. No Wang for Cornell and they were lost on O. Yale's new QB, the son of HC Tony Reno, Dante Reno showed plenty capable in his first live action. Holy Cross D has made it tough on everyone this year as they did in the 1H vs Yale, but it became too much to bear and Yale score 21 2H pts...HC hasn't allowed 21 pts in an entire game this year, let alone a half. HC is one of the most inefficent offenses in the country and Cornell may not end up being much better. Cornell D might be good enough to make Yale work for it, but they will get there eventually.

 

[s--k]

Towson at Bryant. Before the season I thought Towson would be a little better, but a couple less than impressive wins vs MEAC, were a total noncompete vs Maryland despite the cover and then they blew a 11pt 4Q lead vs YSU. YSU D is proving to be improved this year and Towson was just 2-of-10 3rd down, so Towson had to get creative to sustain drives with their punter running for a FD on a fake and throw a pass on another fake punt to keep drives alive and one of their TDs was a WR pass. So the traditional O wasn’t getting it done, they had to turn to some tricks. They don’t have a good run game and the tFr QB has shown some flashes, but still a Fr and seems to short-term limit the strength of their team which is the WRs. The Towson D? Well, Morgan State O literally had their best offensive game of the season vs them so that’s not good and the D was a question coming into the year. Bryant lost a shootout on a failed 2pt conversion in OT at Campbell. D was a sieve, which is concerning because while the team is more competitive so far this year, the D doesn’t appear to have improved so much outside of week 1 at NM State. The schedule has been pretty soft with a Dll and UMass so far and Campbell O really exploded on them. Offense is in a better place with Meyer now in year 2 although he does have an occasional INT problem. These two didn’t play last year. Would assume that Towson is the stronger roster with outside shot at a bubble playoff run still if they pull things together. Bryant was DD dog in every game but 1 last year (+6.5 home vs Albany lost by 7). This is looking like a single digit line for Towson so probably not enough value to take Bryant and in terms of CAA landscape, would be a fairly big upset if Towson were to lose this one. I could be on Towson.

Holy Cross at Fordham – HC no O, Fordham no D! HC has yet to top 300 yards of O vs anyone this year and are scoring just 12.5ppg! HC D has been super tough vs everyone until the 2H vs Yale they just couldn’t do it anymore. Would be a little worried about mental state with so many close losses and coming here 0-4. This is Patriot League opener, so maybe they view it as a new season. HC has won a share of the PL 6 straight so you'd think they know what is at stake and be up for it. Everyone has scored 40+ on Fordham as they allow a lot of everything on that side of the ball. Fordham O can move it some, but not very consistent or efficient. HC O was much much better last year, but they oddly struggled vs Fordham. Rams led 6-3 HT and HC didn’t get their first lead until 6min left in the game. The D did limit what was a very weak Fordham O last year to just 262y (4.4) and sub-40% completions. It’s hard to see this HC O doing much because I’m not sure it is the other Ds they have faced that have caused the struggles, they flat out just aren’t good at anything on O and QB isn't good. If they were to show anything it could be this week vs Fordham D. These projected lines are all over the place from 8 to 22.5. Last year were -16.5 at home and only won 19-16. HC was only 2-3 ATS when favored by more than a TD and they only outgained those teams by an average of 36. While they might have won/shared 6 straight league titles, these are far from the Chesney-Sluka HC teams. Hard to know what to do here. Probably Under even as bad as the Fordham D has been. HC games have gone Under by avg of 15.6 ppg…Fordham FCS games have gone Ov by 6.6 ppg.

Long Island at Stonehill – Questions at LIU QB spot. Last year with Greenwood at QB, LIU beat them 31-7 as a 10pt home fav with 428-135 ttl yard edge (5.9-3.8) with 41:19 TOP. LIU without their top 2 QBs just very different, I’m totally guessing, but the NEC opener, would speculate they play if they can. With Stanzani and Greenwood at QB they are the team that beat Eastern Mich with a 479-311 (6.9-5.8) yard edge. Without them they are the team that generated just 208y vs SHU and 304 vs URI. 2-for-21 3rd downs and just 2 TDs on 5 RZ trips combined the last 2 games and abysmal passing numbers. Stonehill is improved so don’t see a 24pt loss repeat happening even if LIU QBs return. Two of the PRs actually have SH a small fav and SP+ has LIU 105th ranked FCS team with SH not far behind at 113th implying a small fav spot for LIU on the road. SH played pretty tough vs Penn, but the O is still an issue. On the year avg just 264.5ypg (4.15). SH is 3-1 to the Under as is LIU although the SHU game went over by just 1 pt and the Florida game stayed Under by just 1.5 pts and EM stayed Under by 3.5 pts. Avg LIU O/U total in 4 games 50.38, avg in 2 FCS games 45.25. Avg SH 4 game O/U total is 47.5

Morehead at Presbyterian – PC 4-0 and ranked by some voters, 2-0 vs SoCon and other 2 wins vs non-Dl competition. Morehead is 2-2 with 2 non-Dl wins, was beating Kentucky Christian 38-14 at one point last week. In their two FCS games at Illinois State and Austin Peay they were outclassed. But this is the first game they play another equal/semi-equal league opponent. Last year PC was a 2.5pt road fav and lost 7-14. PC was SOD at the M01 1H and threw back-back INTs to end the game in Morehead territory. PC was only favored twice last year and split ATS (the cover was Stetson). MH was 4-3 ATS as dog in league play, but 4 upset wins! 4 of MH’s better defensive players transferred out to higher profile FCS programs. They do have some capable offensive players…but so does PC. This line will be interesting as PR have it ranging from 7.5 to 19.5. The last 4 games in the series have been decided by an average of just 5.75ppg.

Marist at Butler. Marist off bye in year 2 of staff. Butler off Weber in year 1 of staff. Did not play last year. Marist is more competitive this year with 2 wins being double what they had all of last year and they are 3-0 ATS with a cover on the closing number at Bucknell to go with their two outright wins. They were outgained in both their wins however by New Haven and Wagner. Managed just 303 (4.7) and 272 (3.7) yards of O in those games. They also benefitted from being +7 TOs in those two games! After an initial surge from Weber early in the 1H last week, Butler played pretty well vs a more talented Big Sky team. It was all Weber could do at the end to hold off a Butler comeback attempt and then the long stalled Weber O finally ripped off a big run at the end to get some breathing room late. Butler’s wins vs Dll and NAIA did not look so impressive, but vs FCS, the Weber game and the UNI game, they played tough. Even if those aren’t good FCS schools, this is Butler we are talking about. Reagan their #1 QB was in street clothes last week and their O lacked much passing threat without him. Not sure his status, although read a fan saying hopeful he’d be back this week for whatever that is worth. Was encouraged how Butler played at Weber when Weber really should’ve blown them out, but Butler would not allow it to be so (that and Weber sucks). Marist starting QB was injured 2 weeks ago vs Wagner, not sure it matters if he plays or not, the backup did a lot of the same, just QB run. Would bet Butler here, but not at the Massey or Sagarin lines of 12.5 and 11.8?! Reddit has it a 2 pt spread and S&P is calling a 26.8-21.2 Butler win.

Albany at New Hampshire. Albany is bad, losing at home to New Haven and letting the game slip away at Delaware State…really struggled to beat Cornell. Last year they beat Cornell easily and this year there was a short period in the 4Q when it felt like Cornell had the momentum to come back to win, but Albany held on 13-10. That game actually moved to Cornell as the road fav leading up to the game. So being home dogged to Cornell means that New Hampshire will be a sizable home fav. PRs have it from 9.5 to 16.5 and that is fine and all, I just don’t feel real comfortable laying pts with this New Hampshire team. They’ve played tough teams, at NCCU won by 17, vs HC won because of how bad HC is on O and HC missed their FG at the end which allowed UNH to get and win on a FG. UNH did compete with Ball St and then did lead Dartmouth in the 4Q before losing by 7. Maybe I shouldn’t be fearful of laying the points with UNH. Albany really has no O…UNH struggles to run the ball also, but they atleast have a capable QB with legs and passing ability. Vezza is usually their leading rusher. Just not real sure that UNH is real good on O to cover a DD spread, they’ve had some issues 3rd down staying on the field and just haven’t produced a whole lot. Both these teams play a lot of Under type games and that would appear like a good route, especially if the Massey total of 50.5 is offered.

 

[steponaduck]

New Hampshire should win by 28

Fordham D is SWAC bad.

 

[sleepy]

How the hell do you have a one on one interview with the coach and not ask why Danny Lauter did not play?

 

[s--k]

Will see if we get lines tonight and how long they take.

I only got through the 1:00 games. Looking forward to seeing the following numbers hopefully tonight:

Austin Peay
Elon
Alabama State
Alabama A&M...QB Brown hurt vs Tenn St (ankle), DNP last week.
Western Carolina
William & Mary
Stony Brook
Princeton
Tennessee Tech
Northern Arizona
Bucknell
Harvard
South Carolina State
SEMO
Southern Utah (home dog?)
Sac State
Davis

 

[s--k]

 

[s--k]

they drop an 8:00 kick first...?

 

[sleepy]

Going to be another long night

Last Wednesday didn't get back home until 3am

Forgot my sheet tonight

 

[s--k]

Going to be another long night

Last Wednesday didn't get back home until 3am

Forgot my sheet tonight

are you loaded up with vouchers?

 

[sleepy]

Got one for 1200

ready to fire

 

[s--k]

That is a low total for both McNeese and SFA to have, would be the lowest for either team this year. Maybe somebody else didnt' like the SFA O last week vs CP

 

[s--k]

That is a low total for both McNeese and SFA to have, would be the lowest for either team this year. Maybe somebody else didnt' like the SFA O last week vs CP

SFA is 3-0 to the Under in lined games, McNeese 2-1 Und

 

[sleepy]

Got these two idiots that stand in front of the two closest kiosks instead of sitting down like normal humans.

They might get knocked over if I see something I really like in my rush to bet

 

[s--k]

They took it down, was thinking against the grain, feels like that game would be an Over candidate

 

[s--k]

Got these two idiots that stand in front of the two closest kiosks instead of sitting down like normal humans.

They might get knocked over if I see something I really like in my rush to bet

Yeah, like they better not be in your way when Tennessee Tech gets released!

 

[s--k]

Haven't set up my week 5 spreadsheet of bets yet. Last week I had 144 FCS bets!

 

[sleepy]

Imagine betting on preseason hockey and screaming at the TV

So much better at 8am

 

[s--k]

total up to 51.5 from 48.5 then 49.5 now 51.5

 

[sleepy]

been stuck on one game for a while now

 

[s--k]