Week 4
- Thread starter Capaholic
- Start date
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dilaudid8
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cap gl
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
Thank you my friend
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
Strictly numbers. if it were 9.5 I wouldn't. Lookahead was 4.5. I like Jimmy but he's not 5.5 pts better in my opinion. And I think SF can put 17-21 on the board with the speed they have against the banged up LAC.
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
No Sherman now could mean all 4 starting DBs will be out for SF.
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
Bought out of Niners last night.... Maybe come back to it later in the week if the spread gets out of hand. Maybe an over play
LockthisMonster
Pretty much a regular
Bol cap
Capaholic
Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
Re: tonight’s game
Keeping it simple. There is still some sort of doubt that this Chiefs offense and team as a whole is not for real. I’ll break it down in chunks as I’m typing on the phone.
- I get it from a numbers standpoint. This line indicates KC would be about a 9.5/10 pt fav at home. Maybe the line is up a tick? I don’t think it is.
- again, I don’t have a ton of time here. But Case Keenum isn’t good. Sorry to everyone. There was one outlier and that was being placed in a perfect situation with an actual system and actual coaching last year. If the Chiefs get ANY safety play tonight and ANY pass rush it’s over.
- staying with the much maligned defense. I don’t have the numbers in front of me. Take a look at the numbers when the Chiefs built a big lead and then played soft coverage. Yards for days. Now dig deeper and see how teams have done within 7 Pts of KC. Door shut. Blitz ramped up. Chargers, Steelers, Niners all stopped. All 3 with better offenses at full strength.
- Denver is very vulnerable in the middle of the field. In this order, this is what will kill the Broncos tonight 1) Kelce, 2) Hill, 3) Hunt. Sure Watkins will get involved. But Kelce is going to own the middle again. Leading to one on one coverage against Hill, leading to selling out on the pass and Hunt getting his. Already assuming it’s understood the QB will be bringing it.
- Mitchell Schwartz owns Von Miller
- Special Teams? Advantage KC
- Coaching? Advantage KC
This is as brief as i could do this quickly while working.
Keeping it simple. There is still some sort of doubt that this Chiefs offense and team as a whole is not for real. I’ll break it down in chunks as I’m typing on the phone.
- I get it from a numbers standpoint. This line indicates KC would be about a 9.5/10 pt fav at home. Maybe the line is up a tick? I don’t think it is.
- again, I don’t have a ton of time here. But Case Keenum isn’t good. Sorry to everyone. There was one outlier and that was being placed in a perfect situation with an actual system and actual coaching last year. If the Chiefs get ANY safety play tonight and ANY pass rush it’s over.
- staying with the much maligned defense. I don’t have the numbers in front of me. Take a look at the numbers when the Chiefs built a big lead and then played soft coverage. Yards for days. Now dig deeper and see how teams have done within 7 Pts of KC. Door shut. Blitz ramped up. Chargers, Steelers, Niners all stopped. All 3 with better offenses at full strength.
- Denver is very vulnerable in the middle of the field. In this order, this is what will kill the Broncos tonight 1) Kelce, 2) Hill, 3) Hunt. Sure Watkins will get involved. But Kelce is going to own the middle again. Leading to one on one coverage against Hill, leading to selling out on the pass and Hunt getting his. Already assuming it’s understood the QB will be bringing it.
- Mitchell Schwartz owns Von Miller
- Special Teams? Advantage KC
- Coaching? Advantage KC
This is as brief as i could do this quickly while working.
Let the good times roll...
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