Week 3 Trend Plays--All At Least 70% ATS Winners

[RJ Esq]

I bought Bob Frederick's 2006 College Football Trend Notebook from Gambler's Bookstore to see how helpful it is. It includes trends that hit for at least 70% winners and are listed by team and then cross-referenced in the back for trends that apply each week of the season.

I'm not a pure trend player, nor do I rely on them significantly, but find that they can be helpful to shore up your capping.

In any case, I'll post them this season and we'll see how they do.

Week 3 (Sept. 16)

1. Since 1993, Arkansas is 3-10 ATS in their first road game (Against 76.9%). At Vandy on 9/16. W

2. Since 1990, ECU is 11-3 ATS against Memphis (78.6%). W

3. Since 1992, Fresno St. is 15-5 ATS the week after playing a Pac-10 opponent (75%). At Washington 9/16 and at Colorado State on 9/30. L

4. Since 1988, Louisville has a record of 13-2 ATS against ACC teams (86.6%). Miami on 9/16. W

5. Since 1978, Michigan is 7-0 ATS as an underdog to Notre Dame (100%). W

6. Since 1989, Mississippi State has been 7-1 ATS against Tulane (87.5). L

7. Since 1989, Texas A&M has a record of 25-9 at home against non-conference teams (73.5%). Army on 9/16 at San Antonio. Does this apply? L

8. Since 1999, Utah has a 5-1-1 ATS record against Utah St. (83.3%) W

9. Since 1990, Va Tech has a record of 8-1-2 ATS as a home underdog (88.8%). May apply. Did Not Apply

10. Since 2002, Washington has a record of 4-11 ATS against non-conference opponents (73.3%). Fresno St. on 9/16. L

11. Since 1994, Utah has a record of 21-4-1 ATS as a road underdog during the regular season (84%). May apply. Did Not Apply

12. Since 1985, Texas Tech is 9-3 ATS against TCU (75%). L

13. Since 1979, Notre Dame is 12-3 ATS as an underdog against Michigan (80%). did Not Apply

14. Since 1988, Michigan has a regular season record of 14-4 ATS as a road underdog (77.7%). W

15. Since 1999, Maryland is 6-2 ATS against WVU (75%). L

16. Since 1998, Iowa St is 7-1 ATS against Iowa (87.5%). W

17. Since 1991, Florida is 10-4-1 ATS against Tennessee (71.4%). L

18. For the last 18 years, BYU is 9-23-3 ATS on artificial turf (71.8%). At BC on 9/16. P

Good luck in Week 3.

Week 3 Results: 7-7-1

 

[TroyStacks]

your getting way ahead here hahaha comeon lets atleast get week2 discusions in rj hahaha good effort

 

[Doug Clayton]

haha i have to agree with Troy, but i do love the effort

 

[RJ Esq]

Recap of Week 1 Trend Play Results

Let's see how our week 1 trend plays did:

Week 1

1. Since 1999, Ball State is 5-2 ATS against EMU (71.4%). W

2. Boston College is 6-15 in season openers since 1985 (Against 71.4%). W

3. Duke is 1-7 in lined season openers since 1997 (Against 87.5%). Did not apply

4. Houston is 9-3 as a visitor against Rice since 1977 (75%). L

5. May apply for all Indiana home games: Indiana is 12-32 ATS as a home underdog since 1989 (Against 72.7%). Did not apply.

6. Since 1999, Louisville is 5-2 ATS against Kentucky (71.4%) W

7. Miami is 14-4 ATS in season openers since 1984 (77.7%) (Note--This includes a 2-1 ATS record against FSU). L

8. Oregon is 5-1 ATS against Stanford since 1998 (83.3%). W

9. Tennessee is 12-4 ATS in season openers since 1990 (75%). W

10. Since 1994, UCLA is 9-2-1 in home openers (81.8%). W

11. May apply for all VaTech home games: Va Tech is 8-1-2 ATS as a home underdog since 1990 (88.8%). Did not apply

12. Since 1989, Baylor is 5-2 ATS against TCU (71.4%). L

13. Since 1999, BYU is 5-2 in season openers (71.4%). W

14. Since 1999, Fresno State is 5-1-1 against Nevada (83.3%). L

15. Since 1983, Illinois is 6-16 in season openers (Against 72.7%). Did not apply

16. (See above as well) Since 1999, Miami is 6-2 ATS against FSU (75%). L

17. Ole Miss is 8-3 ATS at home against Memphis since 1980 (72.7%). Push

18. Oregon is 18-5 ATS in their first Pac-10 game of the year since 1983 (78.3%). W

19. Since 1994, TCU is 9-3 in season openers (75%). W

20. Since 1994, Utah is 21-4-1 ATS as a road underdog during the regular season (84%). L

21. Since 2002, Washington is 4-11 against non-conference teams (Against 73.3%). W

Week 1 Results: 10-6 (62.5%)

 

[RJ Esq]

your getting way ahead here hahaha comeon lets atleast get week2 discusions in rj hahaha good effort

Thanks guys, but I get started looking ahead to Week 3 right about now and I think BAR does the same.

Plus I'm busy during the week so get these things done now.

This does not take any time. I'm just quoting the book.

 

[TroyStacks]

i understand hahaha

 

[RJ Esq]

Bump with Updated Week 1 Results

 

[RJ Esq]

Week 2 Results

1. Since 2002, Auburn is 4-0 ATS against Mississippi State. (100%) W

2. Since 1998, CMU has a record of 2-8-1 ATS against the Big 10 (plays Michigan). (Against 80%) W

3. Since 1989, Ohio State has a record of 23-8 as a DD Road Fav (probably not applicable this week, but keep in mind for later). (74.2%) Did not apply

4. Since 1987, Oregon has a record of 15-3-1 ATS in their first road game. (83.3%) W

5. Since 1989, Texas A&M has a record of 25-9 ATS at home against non-conference opponents. (73.5%) W

6. Since 1997, Toledo has a 7-2 ATS record against WMU. (77.7%) L

7. Since 1992, Vandy has a record as a dog to Alabama of 9-2. (81.8%) W

8. Since 2002, Washington has a record of 4-11 against non-conference teams. (Against 73.3%) P

4-1-1 (80%)

 

[RJ Esq]

Bump

 

[TroyStacks]

good shit

 

[B.A.R.]

Damn them trends are doing very well indeed.

Valuable information indeed RJ

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

Damn them trends are doing very well indeed.

Valuable information indeed RJ

concur:cheers:

 

[RJ Esq]

Bump with Week 3 Results

This is the worst week so far and it hit at 50%.

 

[RJ Esq]

Bump with Week 3 Results