DiceMan
Pretty much a regular
After a successful Week 2 I've gotten a little more confidence and have locked in some early bets to avoid any unfortunate line movement.
This week I'm playing
Atlanta -3 (1 Unit)
As much as I don't like the x-factor of the Saint's post-Katrina homefield mojo, and the way the NFL is making the game into a big event, it could play against them as well by putting too much pressure on them to win for the home crowd. One risk too many could end up as a defensive TD for Atlanta. Also, a 3-0 Saints team would surprise me. If that happens, I might put a small bet on them to win their division if it stays at plus money. Decided against buying the hook as I was already paying extra juice as it stood at -118. There are a lot worse things than a push.
Green Bay +7 (Hook) (1 Unit)
Detroit isn't the worst of the worst, but they're certainly no playoff team. As long as Favre and Driver can hook up the Pack will score enough to stay within the spread if not win outright. If the line stays this way I may make a small ML bet as well. (Since my crappy book doesn't post ML bets until the day before the game)
NY Giants +3.5 (2 Units)
Not much to say about this game, I just think it's pretty even. And in an evenly matched game, I'll take the points thanks. Especially a sweet +3.5. I just hope my ex-boy Deion doesn't end up screwing me over if he plays. Ex-Patriots have been good luck for me though. Adam Vinatieri was the one who hit that FG at the end of the first Indy game to beat the spread when the Colts were already winning by 2.
With that said, here are some other games I like. But I may wait till Free Half Point Friday to place any others.
Chicago -3 (If it wasn't -120 I'd take it now) (Edit: Now it's -125!)
Carolina -3
Baltimore -6.5 (I'm going to regret not taking this one right away...)
Philadelphia -6
I'm glad I had a good first week, because now I can ask stupid questions and still hold some measure of respectablity. The main issue I have is with the term "against the spread." Does an ATS record include ALL games in which a spread is used no matter if its a + or -, or is it only based on wagers placed on either favorites or dogs. I assume it's on all games, but I just wanted clarification to avoid making a further ass of myself. Thanks!
And GL this week everyone! :cheers:
This week I'm playing
Atlanta -3 (1 Unit)
As much as I don't like the x-factor of the Saint's post-Katrina homefield mojo, and the way the NFL is making the game into a big event, it could play against them as well by putting too much pressure on them to win for the home crowd. One risk too many could end up as a defensive TD for Atlanta. Also, a 3-0 Saints team would surprise me. If that happens, I might put a small bet on them to win their division if it stays at plus money. Decided against buying the hook as I was already paying extra juice as it stood at -118. There are a lot worse things than a push.
Green Bay +7 (Hook) (1 Unit)
Detroit isn't the worst of the worst, but they're certainly no playoff team. As long as Favre and Driver can hook up the Pack will score enough to stay within the spread if not win outright. If the line stays this way I may make a small ML bet as well. (Since my crappy book doesn't post ML bets until the day before the game)
NY Giants +3.5 (2 Units)
Not much to say about this game, I just think it's pretty even. And in an evenly matched game, I'll take the points thanks. Especially a sweet +3.5. I just hope my ex-boy Deion doesn't end up screwing me over if he plays. Ex-Patriots have been good luck for me though. Adam Vinatieri was the one who hit that FG at the end of the first Indy game to beat the spread when the Colts were already winning by 2.
With that said, here are some other games I like. But I may wait till Free Half Point Friday to place any others.
Chicago -3 (If it wasn't -120 I'd take it now) (Edit: Now it's -125!)
Carolina -3
Baltimore -6.5 (I'm going to regret not taking this one right away...)
Philadelphia -6
I'm glad I had a good first week, because now I can ask stupid questions and still hold some measure of respectablity. The main issue I have is with the term "against the spread." Does an ATS record include ALL games in which a spread is used no matter if its a + or -, or is it only based on wagers placed on either favorites or dogs. I assume it's on all games, but I just wanted clarification to avoid making a further ass of myself. Thanks!
And GL this week everyone! :cheers:
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